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p a p i

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    Weekend Thread (8/12-14) | Estimates: Train 13.4, Pets 7.17, TGM 7.15, Thor 5.31, Nope 5.3 | Bodies 3.25, Fall 2.5, Laal Singh 1.8, Mack 1.09, E.T. 1.07

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    2 hours ago, M37 said:

    I mean, January was essentially an empty month besides Scream, with the next highest OWs being The 355 ($4.6M) and Redeeming Love ($3.5M), with the 1/21 and 1/28 weekends netting $42M and $31M in total respectively

     

    We’re not quite to that level here (but may be end of August into September)

     

     

    The 1st weekend of September is really bad. 

    Weekend Thread (8/12-14) | Estimates: Train 13.4, Pets 7.17, TGM 7.15, Thor 5.31, Nope 5.3 | Bodies 3.25, Fall 2.5, Laal Singh 1.8, Mack 1.09, E.T. 1.07

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by p a p i

    23 minutes ago, setna said:


    Boring?
    There is a movie that is making records constantly since its premiere and it´s something that doesn´t happen very often.
    Maybe for you the only interesting thing in BO tracking is when a movie makes 200 M or more in it´s first weekend, but there are much more subjects to be interested about in BO, and for sure the TGM is all less boring for me and i think for others members in this forum.

    No to all this assumption fest. 

    I'm sorry but not invested on if TGM crosses 700M or not. It's already a historical success and if it crosses 700M I will celebrate. But I don't really think about it that much anymore. When it happens, it happens. 

     

    And Yes, horribly boring. Mack & Rita making less 2M, Fall also, Bodies Bodies Bodies doesn't seem to be a breakout. Boring movies with bad to ok performances. Mostly a dumping yard that won't get in the Top 10 except BBB. Bullet Train 2nd Weekend drop does look to be quite big. Let's see. And just holdovers remaining. 

     

    And next weekend I see potential with Beast and Dragon Ball like I said which makes really excited and none of them is opening to 200M. But nice try. 

     

    Summmary: A awfully slow weekend, with studios trying to take advantage of it with movies with bare marketing and that no one really cares and that the studios probably don't either or have no confidence. And the lack of new releases and those few releases not performing as well as they should is sad. 

     

    ON THE BRIGHT SIDE. 

    August 2023 does look MUCH better and MAYBE this August just suffered from VFX backlog. 

    And the next few weeks do have stronger movies releasing. 

    Maybe BodiesBB comes with some really good holds in the coming weeks also. 

     

     

     

     

    • Like 3

    The Disney Thread | Iger will be with us until 2026

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    On 8/10/2022 at 2:51 AM, CoolioD1 said:

    for the lucasfilm presentation do we think they'll just talk about the shows or will they announce another movie that won't get made?

    I know people here like to joke about Star Wars movies not coming (which is understandable)but I'll say this. At SW Celebration, they went all out on streaming. 

     

    We won't get a SW movie in 2023. Period. 

    If they don't schedule something for October 2024 or August 2024 or maybe July 2024, we won't get a Star Wars movie until December 2025.

     

    Still. I predict right here and now that at D23 we will get BIG Star Wars theatrical updates. BIG updates. If not a whole ass trilogy or even a roadmap, at least confirm 2 movies. 

    2023 Box Office Predictions and Discussion

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    Wonder how many Billion dollar movies we will have in 2023. I feel like now more than ever, your movie needs to be good to reach it.  I think we have some Billion potential in 2023:

     

    1) Ant-Man Quantumania -  If this movie is great, I think the breakout potential of this one is huge. Ant-Man is bigger. Kang is coming. It's BHM. Tell you this. If this is a GOOD MCU movie, this reaches 1B. Probably won't go 1.1B

     

    2) Super Mario -  If this movie is good, has a great entertainment value for children plus the immense fanbase of Mario and Nintendo and a China release, I say it gets there.

     

    3) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 -  This to me is a SAFE bet. I think it's going to be a really good and emotional movie. The goodbye to this roster of Guardians. I say 1.2B

     

    4) Fast X -  Fast 9 sold me. With a China release date, movie theaters doing much better, I think the title alone adds something and with the huge cast joining...I think this makes a Billion. Unless this movie stinks hard, I think it makes a B. 

     

    5) The Little Mermaid - Memorial Day Weekend. It's going to be a BIG musical. Lin Manuel Miranda is on it. This feels like such a Summer winner. If it's good, It gets to a Billion. 

     

    6) Indy 5 -  I was lower on this days ago but I'm starting to feel that this will be huge. Specially Domestic. If this a great Indy movie, it's a beast unleashed. Faith in Mangold. 

     

    7) Mission Impossible: DR P1 - Tom Cruise is hotter than ever. I sense a lot of good will and excitement will jump from TG to MI. Also, this is a big franchise already and I'm getting confident on a Billion on this. 

     

    8) The Marvels -  If this movie is really good, I think it makes it. 

     

    9) Blade -  Again. If this movie is really good, this could be a big breakout hit and bring the Black audiences in droves like Black Panther me thinks. 

     

    10) Aquaman 2 -  I think this movie will replicate the 1st success. Or even more. 

     

    Not saying all these will happen. But I think they have the most potential to do it. 

    I wonder if we will ever have a 2019 again. That was madness. 2023 doesn't seem like another 2019 but it does look MUCH better than this year. Same for 2024 already. 2025 will be interesting. 2 Avengers movies. Another 2 MCU movies that could make a Billion just by default and hype carry. I also think we will definitely get a Star Wars movie in 2025 if there isn't one in 2024. And the other studios is something to be seen. It's very early. 

     

    But 2025 more than 2023 and 2024, does have a real potential for the next 2019-like year. 

    Weekend - 08/05-08/07 | Actuals: Bullet Train 30, Super Pets 11, Nope 8.5, Thor 7.7, Minions 7.1 | TGM sinks Titanic! 7th-biggest film DOM | Bodies Bodies Bodies earns 37.8K PTA

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    1 minute ago, CJohn said:

    Prey is one of the best movies of the year. Simply phenomenal. Fuck Chapek.

    Iger could be the CEO, I think that would have gone to streaming still. 

     

    Predator is a failure of a franchise. If it had chance of coming back, it would be on streaming. 

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