[Weekend Actuals (Page 29): Split 40M | xXx 20.1M | Hidden Figures 15.7M | Sing 9M | La La Land 8.4M | The Founder 3.4M]

I just like to take any opportunity I can to talk about how Boss Baby is going to both bomb and flop.

[Weekend Actuals (Page 29): Split 40M | xXx 20.1M | Hidden Figures 15.7M | Sing 9M | La La Land 8.4M | The Founder 3.4M]

Boss Baby's final gross is going to be under B&TB's first weekend, likely well under. I don't think it'll be killing anything's legs.

[Frozen II | Nov 22 2019 | 2nd Most Profitable Movie of 2019. Disney does it again! | Documentary series coming to D+ June 26]

It's going to have a Finding Dory-like opening weekend due to the sheer hype behind the brand now, but where it goes from there is the bigger question.

[Best Animated Feature - 2016: Zootopia, Moana, Kubo, Zucchini, Red Turtle]

At this point, with all of Zootopia/Finding Dory/Moana looking like locked-in contenders and the tendency of voters in this category to reward skilled animation over script (see, the Lego snub), I think this category probably results in the biggest WTF of the year as the vote split between the three allows Kubo and the Two Strings to take the win.

[Highest grossing 2017 Superhero Film -Voting ends March 2, 2017]

It's gonna be Lego Batman.

 

GotG holds mostly flat from its first installment, hitting 350 or so. Spider-Man: Homecoming suffers a bit from the Batman Begins effect and does around 300. Justice League has the biggest opening yet for the DCEU but suffers from the same bad legs as the others in the franchise.

 

Lego Batman brings in both the kids and the geeks to take in over 450M and take the Silver for 2017's overall box office race.

[Weekend #s: Sully 22M, Blair Witch 9.6M, Bridget Jones 8.2M, Snowden 8M, DB 5.6M, WTBB 5.5M, Squad 4.7M]

Expect those lower-than-expected Friday numbers on Blair Witch to keep declining through the weekend. Just got out and word of mouth on this might be Fan4Stick-level bad.

[Sing | Dec. 21, 2016 | Illumination | Beats Moana domestic. The McConaissance Continues]

Rogue One is going to double up Sing.

[Sing | Dec. 21, 2016 | Illumination | Beats Moana domestic. The McConaissance Continues]

Predictions for RT scores when all is said and done:

 

Moana - 96%

Sing - 91%

Storks - 72%

Trolls - 36%

[Top 10 of 2017 predictions!]

1. Star Wars: Episode VIII - 870M

2. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - 435M

3. Lego Batman - 390M

4. Justice League - 365M

5. Beauty and the Beast - 360M

6. Wonder Woman - 345M

7. Despicable Me 3 - 330M

8. Spider-Man: Homecoming - 325M

9. Fast 8 - 318M

10. Thor: Ragnarok - 288M

 

Honorable Mention - Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (13th place, 245M, biggest surprise of the year)

[Best Picture predictions-2016!]

It feels like La La Land is going to run away with this, probably with Denzel winning Best Actor to minimize the backlash.

[Star Trek Beyond and Ghostbusters box office: What Went Wrong]

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

With all the hate Ghostbusters was getting (from people who hadn't seen the film in cinemas), it's doing well. 

 

This could easily have performed like Fantastic Four in the US. 

 

I'm so glad it went over $100m, despite everything it was up against. 

 

Are you familiar with the term "black swan"? A unique, rare event that is impossible to predict. That's what Fan4stick was. Word of mouth was so bad that people were returning their tickets for Friday after hearing Thursday reports.

 

There was NO way Ghostbusters was ever doing those numbers, barring apocalyptic critical response.

 

Their biggest mistake was doubling down on making this a Paul Feig movie as opposed to a reboot/sequel to a beloved franchise. Thus, it performed like a Paul Feig movie, instead of the blockbuster it needed to be given the budget.

[Weekend Prediction thread 9/20-9/22 Play the Derby]

1. Suicide Squad - 49.1M

2. Pete's Dragon - 39.8M

3. Sausage Part - 23.5M

4. Florence Foster Jenkins - 12.3M

5. Jason Bourne - 11.6M

6. Bad Moms - 8.8M

7. The Secret Life of Pets - 6.9M

8. Star Trek Beyond - 6M

9. Lights Out - 3.1M

10. Nine Lives - 2.7M

[Weekend Prediction thread 9/20-9/22 Play the Derby]

1. Secret Lives of Pets - 52M

2. Ghostbusters - 41M

3. Finding Dory - 13M

4. The Legend of Tarzan - 9.5M

5. The Infiltrator - 7.7M

[Weekend Prediction thread 9/20-9/22 Play the Derby]

The Conjuring 2 - 49M

Warcraft - 27M

NYSM2 - 14.5M

TMNT2 - 12.8M

XMA - 11.3M

 

[Best Animated Feature - 2016: Zootopia, Moana, Kubo, Zucchini, Red Turtle]

I'm thinking that the big guns can sweep this year.

 

Dory

Zootopia

Moana

Secret Life of Pets

Kubo and the Two Strings

[Weekend Prediction thread 9/20-9/22 Play the Derby]

1. Civil War - 211M

2. The Jungle Book - 16M

3. Keanu - 5.1M

4. The Huntsman: Winter's War - 3.9M

5. Zootopia - 3.1M

6. Barbershop 3 - 2.7M

7. Mother's Day - 2.6M

8. Ratchet and Clank - 2.1M

9. The Boss - 1.9M

10. Batman vs. Superman - 1.7M

[Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween | October 12 2018 | Sony | Jack Black may not return]

This one has to be set at Horrorland, right?

[Weekend Prediction thread 9/20-9/22 Play the Derby]

13 hours ago, Impact said:

^Dang, are you predicting like a 30% drop for TJB or something? (since we don't know the estimates yet, right now I say it will be in the 90s)

 

It's over 100. I'm predicting a roughly 35-40% drop, due to incredible word of mouth and a lot of the Huntsman audience switching movies when they read the reviews. I don't see this having quite Zootopia's legs, but something similar.

[Weekend Prediction thread 9/20-9/22 Play the Derby]

Feast or Famine 2016 continues apace.

 

1. The Jungle Book - 66M

2. The Huntsman: Winter's War - 23M

3. Barbershop 3 - 13M

4. Zootopia - 7.3M

5. The Boss - 5.9M

 

[Weekend Prediction thread 9/20-9/22 Play the Derby]

1. Batman vs. Superman - 23.5M

2. The Boss - 18M

3. Zootopia - 15.8M

4. Hardcore Henry - 11M

5. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 - 7.5M

6. Miracles From Heaven - 5.7M

7. God's Not Dead 2 - 4.6

8. Allegiant - 3.4

9. 10 Cloverfield Lane - 3.1M

10. Deadpool - 2.9M

 

I'm not sure what to make of Before I Wake. If Midnight Special expands, it's probably going to be in there.

[Weekend Thread: Grimsby Bros leads the way with massive 3.1M, 10CL has decent 25.2M, Zootopia crumbles to $50M ;) P.31]

1 hour ago, Kung Fu Panda Tree said:

The 5pm Allegiant showing at my cinema is 5.4% full. Bear in mind my cinema is situated next to a massive high school. #bombombomb

 

The core audience of the series HATES this book, to the point where many of them refuse to acknowledge it exist. Both these movies are going to bomb hard unless word comes out that the ending was rewritten for the movie.

[Weekend Estimates (Page 25): Zootopia 73.7M | London Has Fallen 21.71M | Deadpool 16.4M | WTF 7.6M]

Yeah, those are projections, not estimates.

[Weekend Prediction thread 9/20-9/22 Play the Derby]

1. Deadpool - 31M (late legs start to kick in a bit)

2. Gods of Egypt - 10.5M

3. Kung Fu Panda 3 - 8.2M

4. Risen - 7.3M

5. Eddie the Eagle - 7.1M

6. How to be Single - 5.9M

7. The Witch - 5.3M

8. Triple 9 - 4.5M

9. Race - 4M

10. Star Wars: The Force Awaken - 3.1M

[DEADPOOL WEEKEND THREAD | Deadpool 152.193 actual. Daily breakdown on page 159]

Just now, GiantCALBears said:

What % chance do we think Deadpool has of breaking FSOG February 3 day record now?

 

Not 100% sure about three-day due to the Valentine's Day effect, but I think 4-day is locked.

[Thursday numbers (nilephelan ) Rev 2.15 TFA 1.9]

Waiting for reports on 13 Hours. I need to know because reasons.