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Eric Prime

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    Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    Just now, That One Guy said:

     

    k explanation time.

     

    HTGSC - Illumination has been on the rise and this has a prime pre-holiday release date that'll allow it to have legs far into the season.  Also based on the huge book.  The live action adaptation from 2000 was also huge, so imagine what an animated one could do.

     

    Spider-Man - wild card prediction, but I think this one could really break out.  Lord and Miller are making this one, and we've seen what they did with Lego and Jump Street.  Also has a holiday release that'll help give it legs.

     

    Scooby-Doo - scooby doo is a massive property, nostalgia is big, and if it's up to par with the other WAG release that have been released, then I can see it breaking out, albeit being a little frontloaded.

     

    Mortal Engines - Jackson producing a quasi-original sci-fi flick is bound to get people hyped for it, and it has a holiday release date.  And honestly at this point, I wouldn't be shocked if Han Solo stays put, so it wouldn't have much competition from that (my prediction will adjust though if it moves)

     

    Ocean's 8 - I'm predicting a WWZ style breakout for this.  It has a big ensemble cast and a recognizable property and a talented director.

     

    Aquaman - out of almost all of the superhero flicks out there, this one seems like it'll suffer the most from fatigue.  Would people really wanna see an Aquaman movie?  Christmas legs will help it out though.

     

    Gigantic - it just doesn't seem like it'd be that appealing to the GA.  It seems like a Good Dinosaur redux waiting to happen, and I predict Grinch to still be going strong. 

     

    A Wrinkle in Time - Pretty sure BFG is a more well known novel than this, and we all know how that did, despite Spielberg being attached.

    Grinch: Still, above $400M? Only 5 other animated movies have crossed that threshold, and of those, 3 were sequels to already huge movies, one got it through two other rereleases, and one got it due to absolutely crazy WOM that's a rarity among most box office runs. Not to mention how crowded November will be. I do agree though Grinch will cross $300M, possibly even $350M

     

    Spider-Man: I guess, but I'm still hesitant. Spider-Man's going to be surrounded by a major superhero movie and a major family movie, and the last animated superhero movie is only making $175M, and it's fresh off of a huge Lord Miller movie people loved.

     

    Scooby-Doo: Yeah the Mystery Machine gang is popular, but a $100M opening in September? Really? If Spongebob, the most popular cartoon amongst kids and adults today can open to only half of that number, why would Scooby-Doo double that? However, I can see it crossing $200M, but definitely not above $250M.

     

    Mortal Engines: Jackson's only other non-LOTR blockbuster was King Kong which made over $218M, and that was a remake of one of the most famous movies of all time. I don't believe Mortal Engines is all that popular of a book series, there are zero stars, and Jackson isn't even directing the bloody movie. Does your average Joe or Jane even know about Peter Jackson's other movies?

     

    Ocean's 8: Admittedly, I kinda see where you're coming from, although I would probably have the movie pegged for around $160M or $170M. (Is Ocean's that popular of a property?

     

    Aquaman: The character will be fresh off of Justice League, and he's already considered a favorite in the marketing, at least here on BOT. It's also going to be the most recognizable brand for Christmas audiences, much like Star Wars and Lord of the Rings. So why would it suddenly drop like a rock in comparison to every other DCEU movie?

     

    Gigantic: In what world is a Disney musical based on a classic fairytale not appealing to the GA? Will it be a Frozen hit? No. Will it be a Moana hit? Probably not. But I'd still think plenty of people would be excited about the next Disney musical that it would make around Wreck-it Ralph numbers at worst.

     

    A Wrinkle in Time: The BFG had zero star power and was the second-to-last collaboration Disney had within their deal to Spielberg and Dreamworks, which only gave Disney two or three hits I might add. A Wrinkle in Time is a Disney production through and through and has Oprah Winfrey, one of the most famous and most influential celebrities in the world, inbetween other recognizable names like Reese Witherspoon. Do I expect it to be a big hit? No. Could it miss the century mark in its total? I wouldn't be surprised. But I can only see around John Carter numbers at worst, and most definitely not below BFG.

    • Like 3

    Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    3 hours ago, That One Guy said:

    I've been constantly updating my list with release date shit and all that but here's my list bumped to the front of the page:

     

    4. How the Grinch Stole Christmas - 110/440

    9. Animated Spider-Man - 60/300

    10. Scooby-Doo - 100/290

    11. Mortal Engines - 70/290

    15. Ocean's 8 - 66/200

    21. Aquaman - 45/158

    26. Gigantic - 35/140

    58. A Wrinkle in Time - 17/51

     

    Michael-What-the-office-10400786-400-226

    • Like 1
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