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envyblog

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Posts posted by envyblog

  1. 42 minutes ago, RandomCat said:

    Yes...The real winners, the people just as wrong as the other people who are wrong.

    one camp was throwing around wishful thinking predictions while the other camp was superciliously preaching so called facts;

     

    I think it's pretty clear who got hit harder with the actual numbers;

     

     

  2. 3 minutes ago, riczhang said:

    I think there’s still statistically a ceiling, but we probably need to revisit that $250 mm number. I remember that number being thrown around as the max since like HP7 like 7 years ago. With population growth, expansion of large / premium format experiences, and also just inflation (an IMAX 2D ticket is $21 :blink: where I live now compared with $16 or $18 a couple of years ago and regular tickets are now $14 up from $11). 

     

    So, the ceiling probably still exists it’s just not $250 mm. Probably like $300 or $325 or something. 

    most definitely, there has to be one, but the way some people here were so self-confident, so self-righteous about the exact threshold for the ceilings (the Saturday one in particular) it became so annoying I'm just glad the numbers proved them wrong.

     

    All in all the final number for the OW I think will be 262-263 which shows the people in the 300 club were not that far fetched.

  3. To be fair, kitik is right.  

     

    Avengers came out at a completely different time of year.  Comparing a Wednesday drop in May to a Wednesday drop in June when school is out, is kind of worthless.  Just saying.

     

    Yet i used the avengers comparison to predict a 50-55 million third weekend. Hardly worthless.

     

    Anyone who paid attention from the beginning could tell this movie is not going to follow standard BO guidelines.

  4. No offense but JW has constantly taken a big dump on BO guidelines. I stick to what I've seen as being a valid comparison. TA run. 50 + mill weekend is still happening. Maybe even 55+ mill

     

    hmm no offense but you don't understand the box office bro :)

     

    the increase in MAY is different from the increase in late JUNE

     

    in may movies increase +100% from THUR to friday in June barely 60 70%

    • Like 1
  5. TF4 is much bigger blockbuster in terms of gross, of course. The Last Samurai is much smaller movie, even R rated. 

    I didnt want to compare those movies, i meant that last samurai was first propper expensive movie to make more in one single country than it made in US.  by expensive i meant that it was not small indie or art movie, which only makes few milions in US so it is not hard to beat it outside US.

    on the other hand, TF4 made about 250M in US, which is a lot. but still, for such a movie it was not satisfactory. FF7 US gross will be much bigger than expected. even so, chinese gross will be bigger. this is the first time when this happens in china. it happened only once before, in japan 12 years ago with last samurai.   

     

    I'm pretty sure this has alreasy happened in China with Pacific Rim

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