[China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30]

Now Variety and Bloomberg are both reporting EntGroup as confirming a $49.8M (312M CNY) OW-haul for The Hobbit: BoTFA, accounting for more than half of receipts among the 20 top-grossing films currently in China.

[China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30]

Using X-Men: Days of Future Past as a China Opener (OW) comparison, here's my prediction for Hobbit: BoTFA:

 

21 (ranking)    X-Men: Days of Future Past    $39,350,000    33.8% (percentage of Total): $116,490,000

 

11 (ranking)    The Hobbit: BoTFA    $49,850,000    39.1% (percentage of Total): $127,500,000

[China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30]

The OW for Apes was, according to Box Office Mojo (China: All Time Opening Weekends), less than TBoFA: 

 

12   Dawn of the Planet of the Apes   $47,006,968   43.8% (percent of Total):  $107,355,317