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Awesomer

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Posts posted by Awesomer

  1. 57 minutes ago, john2000 said:

    also do you know why box office mojo has avengers at 359 when it made 377 ? 

    Because $359 is the official number.  If you look inside the weekly, you will even see totals higher than $359.  They don't realize the money until the end of the run, so it is subject to exchange rates during the run.  You will find the number to be exactly the same as the final number presented at entgroup.

  2. 19 hours ago, POTUS said:

    AIW  90k.  Its pretty much done .  2391m/$375m with proper XR 6.37 applied.  $365m if they use the current XR 6.65 for the whole run.

    It keeps dropping on BoM.  The more it makes over time, the lower the total 😆

    CHINA
    Weekend Box Office

    2018

    Date
    (click to view chart)
    Rank Weekend
    Gross
     / 
    % Change
    Gross-to-Date Week #
    May 11–13 1 $191,034,859 - $200,486,738 1
    May 18–20 1 $54,161,473 -71.7% $301,403,464 2
    May 25–27 2 $17,750,990 -67.2% $333,784,095 3
    Jun. 1–3 3 $14,014,594 -21.1% $353,530,497 4
    Jun. 8–10 4 $6,572,073 -53.1% $366,249,504 5
    Jun. 15–17 6 $943,513 -85.6% $368,735,506 6
    Jun. 22–24 9 $331,243 -64.9% $366,437,358 7
    Jun. 29–Jul. 1 14 $138,740 -58.1% $360,483,643 8

     

     

     

    That looks to be using the same source/rate fluctuation as entgroup as the English numbers have dropped there on a daily basis.

     

    Here's what english.entgroup looked like on June 7th:  AIW = $359.58

    https://web.archive.org/web/20180607165749/http://english.entgroup.cn/boxoffice/cn/daily/

     

    Here's what the same date looks like today.  AIW = $347.64

    http://english.entgroup.cn/boxoffice/cn/daily/?date=06 /07 /2018

     

    Unfortunately the wayback machine didn't archive very many more dates.

     

    The last day in the top 10 (6/28), the site shows the USD total at $359.90.

    • Like 1
  3. 16 hours ago, weresweresweres said:

    According to BOM Spider-man 3 earned 890.9, and according to the-numbers 894.9, so it's hard to say how much sm:h would have to earn to be no.1 in franchise history. If we assume that Sony would rather choose lower number (it's easier to sell blu-ray of best-selling movie in spider-man franchise history than 2 best) with $131 mln in china spider-man would have to gross 759.9 outside china, according to BOM it's already 757.59, and after sunday it will be around 759, so i think even with less than $130 mln in china sm:h would outperformed s3.

    Yeah, well it's pretty much dead everywhere else.  And We are talking about beating $890.9, not tying, so I was basing on the movie ending at $760m in all territories (other than China).  It's having a little better staying power than expected in the US, the $131m (I guesstimated the figure 5 weeks ago) number might have a swing by as much as $3.5m, so lets say $127.5m needed from China at the low end.

    • Like 1
  4. 4 minutes ago, weresweresweres said:

    You can check gavin's twitter and you will see that you' re not right.

    I see now on his twitter site.  There seems to be some discrepancy. He did certainly post the 717.6m number on here for his Thur number, but then said something totally different on his twitter feed for the 14th day.

     

    I'm at a loss.

  5. 14 minutes ago, weresweresweres said:

    No it doesnt, with friday's numbers it's over $111 mln.

    From Gavin on Thur:

    Homecoming  -  6.15m / 717.6m (posted in this thread)

     

    Thursday was at $108m. 

     

    http://www.cbooo.cn/movieday confirms those numbers are from Thursday (2017-09-21)

     

    $110.8m (the $110m figure I was talking about) is not far off of $111m.  Those numbers are Friday.

     

    My question is, that if you know the numbers are from Friday, why are you saying the number is off by millions when you know the-numbers numbers are from Thursday?

  6. 30 minutes ago, weresweresweres said:

     

    Of course you're right, Gavin's THU numbers was 717.6 and today 6 (724 in total) so I assume that Gavin THU numbers was actualized to 718 (724-6). So thank you for informing me, that my theory about using by sites like the-numbers or BOM numbers without service fees is incorrect, but I still don't understand why there's few millions diffrence between Gavin's number and number from other site.

    When I convert 717.6 I get $108.8m so it's hardly a "few million".  But it's also a matter of what sitr they are getting their numbers from.  Sometimes there can be significant variation from the main sites in China.  Some sites are considered more reliable than others at times.  An it also matters what the exact number they are using as the exchange rate is (people here use what's quickly available, which might not be the most acurate).

  7. 2 hours ago, weresweresweres said:

     

    Thanks to Gavin Feng we know that sm:h earned 717.6 mln yuans, and according to the-numbers this movie earned 108 mln $. But 717.6 yuans is more than 108 $, so I'm curious why Gavin and the-numbers show us diffrent numbers. I believe that they have accurate data, they just have to calculate it in diffrent way e.g. Gavin is giving us data after service fees, and the-numbers before service fees. If my theory is wrong, what's the other option? Why Gavin and the-numbers show us diffrent numbers?

    The numbers Gavin frequently gives aren't finalized (picture domestic weekend estimates).  They often do tweeking to the numbers.  Again, if they were reporting numbers without service fees, the number would be closer to $100m-$101m

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