BXT
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Posts posted by BXT
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3 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:
That's getting the couples and family business...couples for $18.99/month and 4 person families in for $29.99/month and now you've got even more money "in" with people undoubtedly as less frequent goers...they probably do not want to "add" this until they get a feel for the breakdown of super vs normal vs casual users in their base now and how that might change...
I mean, families who can only see each movie once would be a money bonanza, b/c they'd pretty much only have one-two movie options/month, and they probably wouldn't be interested in every option...but the certainty of having the plan would get them in...
I mean, I barely watch Netflix, but I have it for the Disney supers tv (not even the movies) and "when I want it or my kids do"...my kids are pretty much Youtube watchers, so that makes me a casual Netflix user...but one who knows its still "worth it" for $10.99/month...
Yeah, Netflix isn't profitable either but they will be fine as long as they keep generating insane amount of revenues and keep growing their subscription base.
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Moviepass business model is unrealistic if they only have a million or two members who are all regular moviegoers but what if they get 50-60 million subscribers most of whom aren't regular movie goers. Suddenly they are generating $6 billion or more (if they hike the price) in revenues every year and thousands of big corporations are interested in their big data.
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NYTimes did a profile on Elizabeth Banks and it looks like she will also act in it.
QuoteHer vision for “Charlie’s Angels” — the cast shortlist reportedly includes Kristen Stewart and Lupita Nyong’o — is of an international crime-fighting syndicate with a feminist bent. In this era, she added, “we don’t have to apologize for kicking a man’s butt.” This one, she’ll act in.
“I am very ambitious for the project,” Ms. Banks said. “I am down for go big or go home.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/20/movies/elizabeth-banks-pitch-perfect.html
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6 minutes ago, DARth DAR said:
Let's think about this just using the domestic gross of the franchise since Disney ruined childhoods er took over
TFA 936
RO 532
TLJ 660(worst case)
2.1 billion in just the US alone
Giving just a shade over 700 million average. Yep there's definitely trouble
They paid $4 billion for the franchise. Each movie also has a negative cost of $450-500 million. Things aren't bad but Disney has to be careful how they proceed with the SW franchise. What worked for Marvel may not work here in this case.
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It will be interesting to see how a Solo movie without Harrison Ford does. If TLJ falls under $1.5 billion then a sub $1 billion WW total may happen for a new Star Wars movie as early as next summer.
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Ep8 seems to be down 15% or so from Ep7 in France based on very early numbers. If that trend holds in US then $210-220 million seems to be where it will end up on the OW.
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This is also bad news for some fanboys too. If they are folding Fox/Marvel into Disney/Marvel then Fox/marvel will have to play by the Disney/marvel rules. Say goodbye to R-rated movies and say hello to X-Men movies that look and feel exactly like Ironman movies.
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According to a WSJ report , Disney will fold Fox into their main studio and it will function similar to Lucasfilms and Marvel so theyw ill be making maybe 3-4 movies per year for Disney if it pans out. That's a sucky situation because not only will it kill Fox, it will hurt studios like Sony and Paramount who will now have to face even more $200 million Disney movies. Hopefully a few studios will still stick to some mid-range movies.
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2 hours ago, Barnack said:
What percentage of a movie total box office run like Atomic Blonde pre-buy their ticket in advance ?
I would think less than 4%.
It used to be that super-frontloaded movies like Twilight and Harry Potter would make 15-20% of their opening weekend in presales according to Fandango. For normal adult-skewing movie like Atomic Blonde the number must be around 5% but that was back then. MY guess is that presales account for 2-3% of the total for a movie like AB these days.
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12 hours ago, Matrix4You said:
Are any of the following features stirring anything up, or are December Holiday #'s going to be like Novembers??? It sure is going to be alot of new product. Will Disney support Thor still? Can JL steal screens from Wonder? DH and Murder's legs will be cut off quick. May need an Arrival push to get to 100M. Maybe Bad Moms 2 can take command of second run in week 8. Is Disney going to put Thor in second run theaters in week 8? They would sure command alot of the market then. Hmm......
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/schedule/
Friday
22NEW IN THEATERS DISTRIBUTOR RELEASE All the Money in the World
CrimeTriStar Wide Downsizing
Comedy / DramaParamount Wide Father Figures
ComedyWarner Bros. Wide Pitch Perfect 3
ComedyUniversal Wide Wednesday
20NEW IN THEATERS DISTRIBUTOR RELEASE The Greatest Showman
MusicalFox Wide Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle
ActionSony / Columbia Wide I think this is a solid lineup. Jumanji will be a hit. PP3 should do $100 million+ even if it has a big drop from PP2. The Greatest Showman will need solid reviews in order to break out but it has an audience. I am completely clueless about the other three movies.
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13 minutes ago, Rth Ragnarok said:
Top Canada
JL, Coco, T:R, W, DH2, MOTOE
This shows just how crucial Hispanic audiences were in the US for Coco.
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1 hour ago, filmlover said:
Here's where it's playing this weekend:
So 18 theaters. It's unlikely to come anywhere near the heights of Lady Bird/Three Billboards/Call Me by Your Name but could still score $20-25K per theater on average.
I think it would've done over $100k PTA from 4/5 theaters so I am expecting around $1 million from 18 theaters.
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7 minutes ago, grey ghost said:
Does she have the final say for castings?
No way. She may have a say but there is no way WB will allow her the final say.
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Has anyone else noticed that Deadline routinely underestimates limited opening numbers in their Friday midnight updates. Is it because they don't include Thursday previews ? Call Me By Your Name was at $125k last night and went up by over $30k this morning. I see it almost every week.
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3 minutes ago, NamakFiskKa said:
What if I tell you this keeps up till mid January
Mid-December only because nothing is opening from now until SW8.
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Justice League looks on track for $700 million WW. I wonder how it would've done if Snyder had stayed on as the director because it doesn't look like Whedon added a lot of positive to the movie.
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If Affleck leaves then they may not have any option other than to reboot JL. My guess is that Cavill also goes and they make standalone Batman and Superman movies with new actors after 2020.
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Let us be honest, it is the hardcore fans who buy tickets two weeks in advance. I think the casual fans abandoned the movie and the rotten tomatoes stunt didn't help either. When your movie doesn't have a score on RT 24 hours before release then its RT score may as well be 0%. That's why there was no big surge in the Monday-Thursday period.
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I think bad filmaking is starting to catch up with DC Universe.
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4 hours ago, filmlover said:
I've been looking up Roman J. Israel, Esq.'s sales at the limited theaters it's showing at with reserved seating and it's selling like shit. Oof. Remember when I said even arthouse crowds are becoming fickle?
Meanwhile, I looked at the sales for both Darkest Hour and Call Me by Your Name at the Hollywood Arclight next week and the former has sold not even a sixth (and that's being charitable) of what the latter has sold across the extended holiday weekends combined (it's also selling extremely well at City Cinemas Paris Theatre in NY too). The latter is clearly headed for a monstrous $80K+ (at the minimum) PTA from the 4 theaters, though I'm sure the former will do just fine as it expands even if it doesn't set the world on fire next week.
Specialty movies live and die with reviews these days. I don't understand why Sony didn't just go wide with a Denzel movie.
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The "mister police" thing is from the DC sniper incident. Right ? Because I don't think it is there in the book.
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What happened with Only The Brave ? Is it the subject matter or poor marketing ?
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Breathe will be lucky to have a $1000 PTA after that opening week. Geostorm has a shot at $15 million with that presale number.
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4 minutes ago, filmlover said:
Maybe it's because the Harvey Weinstein stuff has been drowning out everything else out, but has anything been released as to any records being set in terms of pre-sales?
You won't get anything until tickets have been on sale for 24 hours so they will probably release some numbers tomorrow.
CHARLIE'S ANGELS | 15 NOVEMBER 2019 | Sony | Elizabeth Banks directing. Kristen Stewart, Naomi Scott, Ella Balinska
in Box Office Discussion
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