weresweresweres
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Posts posted by weresweresweres
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1 hour ago, MovieMan89 said:
-5.8% Monday to Monday hold for TGS. That's nearly as good as its New Year's Day Monday to Monday hold. The movie just keeps on winning. The This Is Me performance must have helped it, in spite not even winning.
Not only TGS had wonderful hold, Jumanji did 99.5% of last week monday.
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Jumanji is now available on digital and in 2 weeks it will be on Blu-ray, so it wouldn't win with Wonder Woman.
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Avengers is projected to make 538 million, 100-150 million less than Black Panther
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1 hour ago, MaxAggressor said:
NATM legs from here on out gets J2 to 411.13 million. But right now the duration of the rest of the DBO run is secondary to absolute numbers when pitted against NATM. J2 is rapidly (almost exponentially in the last 2 weekends) gaining on NATM's daily/weekend grosses. So if J2 can continue on the same path, it'll have a solid chance at 410 million+. But NATM's retention between 14th to 18th weekend was amazing and it helped immensely with the late legs. J2 will need to rack up massive bumps over NATM from now to the end of the 13th week because it's retention that far into's it's run is still up in the air. But it would be unwise to bet against Jumanji at this point so 410 million + is looking very likely.
After 10th weekend Wonder Woman will have 12.5 mln lead over Jumanji, with summer weekdays, expansion, labor day, I would be very suprised if Jumanji could reach 410/411 million especially with dvd/blu-ray release on 20th March.
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So with 92 mln BP will end closer to R1 and TDK than TLJ and Avengers?
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Jumanji 803k is just 2.5% less than last week
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I would add to this list Dark Phoenix, China will don't understand this cosmic force, and x-men franchise is slowly dying in usa, new cast can't act so i think it will be a flop.
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Jumanji is doing wonderful, but after 8th weekend it had 365 mln in comparision to wonder woman 389 mln, it's still long way to become top 3 movie.
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Jumanji had 10.9 mln (352.5 total). in 7th weekend, TFA had 11.1 mln and 41 mln after that. In Monday after 7th weekend TFA earned 780k, Jumanji will probably earn less money but will have better 8th weekend, so 400 mln dream is not dead yet, but i would say that possibility that jumanji will earn below 400 mln is still higher.
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7 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:
Jumanji 2 predictions for the weekend -
BOM - 12.1 million (-25.04%)
ProBoxOffice - 10 million+ (-37.5%)
Early Deadline Estimate - (353-341.6) = 11.4 million (-29.38%)
Around 9.95 million (-38.36%) will be a very good result for J2. While anything over 10.35 million (-35.9%) will be extremely good because it'll ensure that J2 keeps it's current pace with NATM.
So following NATM where Jumanji will finish?
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33 minutes ago, a2knet said:
TLJ's Monday is 87.5% of RO. RO added 11.6 more. 85-90% of that gives TLJ 621-621.5 dom.
Do you think that han solo trailer may have small impact? I don't think that LJ will win with Avengers, but maybe it will close race.
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1 hour ago, a2knet said:
you are focusing on that weekend too much imo. Take say all the coming Tuesdays it's gonna beat NATM %-wise due to Discount Tuesday. That and a 2-3 better weekends can well compensate for whatever extra it's gonna fall that weekend compared to -10%.
Natm still had very good numbers in march, i'm not sure if jumanji will have much better numbers in march...
After 6th weekend Jumanji will be around 337mln, WW was 368. WW added 44 mln, will Jumanji add 50% more with worst weekdays, and without reexpansion like WW? It's highly unlikely.
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15 minutes ago, a2knet said:
Considering it's beating NATM legs so far, matching NATM from now on itself requires slowing down. That gives it ~393.5m. Don't think it will go sub-385m. SM2 is well toast. Question is, will it get to SM1?
Are you still ignoring -9.9% natm weekend?
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4 hours ago, a2knet said:
- Following NATM (added 34.01 more after 9.56m 6th weekend) after a 15.4 weekend gives Jumanji 391.5m+ dom.
NATM had wonderful 8th weekend just -9.9% jumanji has a fantastic run but it wouldn't replicate it. Based on this weekend number i would say that jumanji will finish below gotg2.
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Rogue One 763k +24.8% , LJ is 88.6% of R1
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1 hour ago, Mojoguy said:
TLJ is losing theaters about as fast as Rogue OneTLJ is losing theaters faster than TFA...
QuotePeople just aren't rewatching TLJ like they did for TFA.
....because people are watching Jumanji.
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22 minutes ago, Barnack said:
Seem across the board among the family title, Paddington 2 -84%, Coco -80%, ferdinand -85%
NATM -76.3% and later 45.3 mln , so Jumanji will add almost 82 mln, and finish with over 399.5 mln.
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5 hours ago, Barnack said:
Will it end up above all of them except BvS 873m ? maybe even BvS ?
Jumanji had 32.6 mln international weekend, and it wasn't released in Japan yet, 900 mln is much more possible than below BvS. It needs 891 to be second best grossing Sony movie ever.
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1 hour ago, meriodejaneiro said:
Probably ALL the people that have seen Jumanji, have seen TLJ too.
However the opposite cannot be said.
Some people watched tfa more than one time and 2 years later they watched sw8 and jumanji if they would watch sw8 few times it would earn more money. Do you really think that movie which will gross more than 375 didn't affect others movies gross? Do you think that sw8 would lost so many theatres if jumanji wouldn't do so great?
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1 hour ago, baumer said:
No matter how well Jumanji is doing, it didn't give TLJ a run for its money at all. TLJ had a disappointing total, but it's still going to finish more than 220 million ahead of Jumanji.
After 20th December when Jumanji was released it made more money than SW8. So when people could choose between Jumanji and SW8 more of them preferred Jumanji.
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1 hour ago, a2knet said:
ok
to be fair lot's of movies will have better legs than TFA thanks to the bigly way it opened.
and TGS for that matter will beat Jumanji's legs handily.
Of course you're right that TGS will have very impresive legs, but what's more impresive Jumanji doing maybe more than 100 mln after first 4 weeks, or TGS doing maybe 40 mln? Let's not forget that Jumanji and TGS have simillar budgets... TGS legs are impressive but dollars are much more impressive than multiplier
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1 hour ago, a2knet said:
NATM's legs are much closer to JUM than TFA. Even over the MLK weekend TFA's drop was 38% compared to 28% for NATM and 24.5% JUM.
My point was that jumanji will have better late legs than best grossing movie ever (dom)
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28 minutes ago, a2knet said:
NATM had 22.7 Fri-Tue (21.85 FSSM + 0.83 Tue) and added 59.5 more (2.62 * FSSMT) to it's run.
JUMANJI had a 37.6 Fri-Tue (35.2 FSSM + 2.4 Tue) and needs 96.5 (2.57 * FSSMT) more to beat GOTG2.
TFA did 75 mln after 33 FSSM, and 2.38 Tue.
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NATM fell down 30%, Sing 36.8%
Monday Numbers: Black Panther:$4M, TOTAL WW:$1.1B by Tuesday!
in Numbers and Data
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Jumanji UP 2% in comparision to last monday.