[Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby]

6 hours ago, Vanilla said:

Looks like everything is going to have some staying power in the next month. 😆 

Good for The Invisible Man's leg, indeed. With AQM2 removed from sched, it could drag on to top 100M.

 

This situation sadly reminds me of the 9-11.

[Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby]

10 hours ago, mahnamahna said:

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2/21-2/23

1. Sonic the Hedgehog: $35 million ($118 million) 
2. The Call of the Wild: $14.5 million
3. Birds of Prey: $10 million ($76 million) 
4. The Photograph: $7 million ($27 million) 
5. Bad Boys for Life: $6.5 million ($189 million)
6. 1917: $5 million ($151 million) 
7. Brahm - The Boy II: $5 million 
8. Parasite: $4 million ($49 million) 
9. Fantasy Island: $4 million ($20 million) 
10. Jumanji - The Next Level: $3 million ($310 million) 

2/28-3/1

1. The Invisible Man: $33 million 
2. Sonic the Hedgehog: $25 million ($151 million) 
3. The Call of the Wild: $10.5 million ($28 million) 
4. Birds of Prey: $7 million ($86 million) 
5. Bad Boys for Life: $5 million ($196 million) 
6. The Photograph: $4 million ($33 million) 
7. 1917: $3.5 million ($156 million) 
8. Parasite: $2.5 million ($53 million) 
9. Jumanji - The Next Level: $2 million ($313 million) 
10. Brahm - The Boy II: $2 million ($8 million) 

3/6-3/8

1. Onward: $55 million 
2. The Invisible Man: $14.5 million ($55 million) 
3. Sonic the Hedgehog: $13 million ($170 million) 
4. The Way Back: $12 million 
5. The Call of the Wild: $6 million ($36 million) 
6. Birds of Prey: $4 million ($92 million)
7. Bad Boys for Life: $3 million ($200 million) 
8. 1917: $2.5 million ($160 million) 
9. The Photograph: $2 million ($36 million) 
10. Parasite: $1.5 million ($55 million) 

3/13-3/15

1. Onward: $34.5 million ($100 million) 
2. The Hunt: $16 million 
3. I Still Believe: $15 million
4. Bloodshot: $14.5 million 
5. My Spy:: $12 million 
6. Sonic the Hedgehog: $8 million ($182 million) 
7. The Way Back: $7 million ($23 million) 
8. The Invisible Man: $5.5 million ($64 million) 
9. The Call of the Wild: $4 million ($41 million) 
10. Birds of Prey: $2.5 million ($96 million) 

3/20-3/22

1. A Quiet Place Part II: $83 million 
2. Onward: $24 million ($134 million) 
3. I Still Believe: $11 million ($33 million) 
4. My Spy: $8 million ($25 million) 
5. Sonic the Hedgehog: $6 million ($192 million) 
6. The Hunt: $5 million ($25 million) 
7. Bloodshot: $5 million ($22 million) 
8. The Way Back: $4 million ($29 million) 
9. The Call of the Wild: $3 million ($46 million) 
10. The Invisible Man: $2 million ($68 million) 

3/27-3/29

1. Mulan: $127 million 
2. A Quiet Place Part II: $32 million ($138 million)
3. Onward: $14.5 million ($158 million) 
4. I Still Believe: $6.5 million ($44 million)
5. My Spy: $4.5 million ($32 million) 
6. Sonic the Hedgehog: $3 million ($197 million) 
7. The Hunt: $2.5 million ($30 million) 
8. Bloodshot: $2.5 million ($26 million) 
9. The Way Back: $2 million ($32 million) 
10. The Call of the Wild: $1.5 million ($49 million) 

4/3-4/5

1. Mulan: $66 million ($230 million) 
2. The Lovebirds: $21 million
3. Peter Rabbit - The Runaway: $17 million
4. The New Mutants: $16.5 million 
5. A Quiet Place Part II: $14 million ($161 million) 
6. Onward: $8 million ($170 million) 
7. I Still Believe: $5 million ($52 million) 
8. Saint Maud: $3 million 
9. My Spy: $2 million ($35 million) 
10. The Hunt: $1.5 million ($32 million) 

4/10-4/12

1. No Time to Die: $110 million 
2. Mulan: $43 million ($295 million) 
3. Peter Rabbit - The Runaway: $19 million ($42 million) 
4. The Lovebirds: $14 million ($43 million) 
5. A Quiet  Place Part  II: $8.5 million ($174 million) 
6. Onward: $7 million ($180 million) 
7. The New Mutants: $6.5 million ($27 million) 
8. I Still Believe: $5.5 million ($60 million) 
9. Saint Maud: $1.5 million ($5 million) 
10. My Spy: $1.5 million ($37 million) 

4/17-4/19

1. Trolls World Tour: $42 million 
2. No Time to Die: $41.5 million ($172 million) 
3. Mulan: $24 million ($327 million) 
4. The Lovebirds: $10 million ($58 million)
5. Monster Problems: $8 million
6. A Quiet Place Part II: $4.5 million ($181 million)
7. Onward: $3 million ($184 million) 
8. Antlers: $3 million 
9. I Still Believe: $2.5 million ($64 million)
10. The New Mutants: $2.5 million ($31 million) 

4/24-4/26

1. Trolls World Tour: $26 million ($74 million) 
2. No Time to Die: $25.5 million ($210 million) 
3. Mulan: $17 million ($350 million) 
4. Bad Trip: $8.5 million 
5. The Lovebirds: $8 million ($70 million) 
6. Antebellum: $7 million 
7. Monster Problems: $3 million ($12 million)
8. A Quiet Place  Part  II: $2.5 million ($185 million) 
9. Onward: $2 million ($186 million) 
10. I Still Believe: $1.5 million ($66 million) 

5/1-5/3

1. Black Widow: $157 million 
2. Trolls World Tour: $15 million ($93 million) 
3. No Time to Die: $12 million ($230 million) 
4. Mulan: $11 million ($365 million) 
5. The Lovebirds: $5.5 million ($78 million) 
6. Bad Trip: $4.5 million ($15 million) 
7. Antebellum: $3 million ($12 million)
8. Monster Problems: $2 million ($14 million)
9. Onward: $1.5 million ($188 million)
10. A Quiet Place Part II: $1.5 million ($187 million) 

5/8-5/10

1. Black Widow: $60 million ($249 million) 
2. Legally Blonde 3: $36.5 million 
3. Greyhound: $14 million 
4. Run: $11.5 million 
5. Trolls World Tour: $10 million ($106 million) 
6. Mulan: $9.5 million ($377 million) 
7. No Time to Die: $7 million ($241 million) 
8. Covers: $5.5 million 
9. The Lovebirds: $3.5 million ($83 million) 
10. Bad Trip: $3 million ($20 million) 

5/15-5/17

1. Scoob!: $86 million 
2. Black Widow: $31.5 million ($296 million) 
3. Spiral: $27 million 
4. Legally Blonde 3: $19 million ($65 million) 
5. The Woman in the Window: $16.5 million 
6. Greyhound: $8 million ($26 million) 
7. Mulan: $5 million ($384 million) 
8. Run: $4 million ($17 million) 
9. Trolls World Tour: $4 million ($111 million) 
10. No Time to Die: $3.5 million ($246 million) 

5/22-5/24

1. Fast 9: $88 million/$109.5 mlilion 
2. Scoob!: $47 million/$60 million ($159 million) 
3. The SpongeBob Movie - Sponge on the Run: $28 million/$35 million 
4. Black Widow: $20 million/$25 million ($331 million) 
5. Spiral: $16 million/$19 million ($54 million) 
6. Legally Blonde 3: $12.5 million/$15.5 million ($87 million) 
7. The Woman in the Window: $9 million/$11 million ($31 million) 
8. Greyhound: $5 million/$6.25 million ($34 million) 
9. Mulan: $3 million/$4 million ($389 million) 
10. Run: $2.5 million/$3.25 million ($22 million) 

5/29-5/31

1. Fast 9: $33 million ($153 million) 
2. Scoob!: $28.5 million ($195 million) 
3. The SpongeBob Movie - Sponge on the Run: $14.5 million ($54 million) 
4. Artemis Fowl: $12 million 
5. Black Widow: $12 million ($347 million) 
6. Spiral: $8 million ($65 million) 
7. Legally Blonde 3: $6.5 million ($96 million) 
8. Irresistible:  $5 million 
9. The Woman in the Window: $4.5 million ($37 million) 
10. Greyhound: $3 million ($38 million) 

6/5-6/7

1. Wonder Woman 1984: $182 million 
2. Scoob!: $17 million ($223 million) 
3. Fast  9: $13 million ($176 million) 
4. The SpongeBob Movie - Sponge on the Run: $7 million ($65 million) 
5. Artemis Fowl: $5 million ($20 million) 
6. Black Widow: $4 million ($355 million) 
7. Spiral: $4 million ($72 million) 
8. Legally Blonde 3: $3 million ($102 million) 
9. Irresistible: $2 million ($8 million) 
10. The Woman in the Window: $2 million ($40 million) 

6/12-6/14

1. Wonder Woman 1984: $71.5 million ($300 million) 
2. Candyman: $22 million 
3. Scoob!: $13 million ($244 million) 
4. Fast 9: $9 million ($191 million) 
5. The SpongeBob Movie - Sponge on the Run: $6 million ($75 million) 
6. Artemis Fowl: $3.5 million ($26 million) 
7. Black Widow: $3 million ($360 million) 
8. Spiral: $2 million ($75 million) 
9. Legally Blonde 3: $2 million ($105 million) 
10. Irresistible: $1.5 million ($10 million) 

6/19-6/21

1. Soul: $83.5 million 
2. Wonder Woman 1984: $46 million ($382 million) 
3. Judd Apatow/Pete Davison Comedy: $15 million 
4. Scoob!: $9 million ($261 million) 
5. Candyman: $8 million ($36 million) 
6. Fast 9: $6.5 million ($202 million) 
7. The SpongeBob Movie - Sponge on the Run: $3.5 million ($81 million) 
8. Black Widow: $2 million ($364 million) 
9. Artemis Fowl: $2 million ($29 million) 
10. Spiral: $1.25 million ($77 million) 

6/26-6/28

1. Top Gun - Maverick: $52 million 
2. Soul: $50 million ($181 million) 
3. Into the Heights: $37 million 
4. Wonder Woman 1984: $24.5 million ($431 million) 
5. Judd Apatow/Pete Davison Comedy: $8 million ($30 million) 
6. Scoob!: $6 million ($273 million) 
7. Candyman: $4 million ($44 million) 
8. Fast 9: $2.5 million ($207 million) 
9. The SpongeBob Movie - Sponge on the Run: $2 million ($85 million) 
10. Artemis Fowl: $1.5 million ($32 million) 

7/3-7/5

1. Minions - The Rise of Gru: $53 million 
2. Free Guy: $40.5 million 
3. Soul: $26 million ($237 million) 
4. Top Gun - Maverick: $22 million ($98 million) 
5. Into the Heights: $21 million ($78 million) 
6. Wonder Woman 1984: $14 million ($460 million) 
7. Judd Apatow/Pete Davison Comedy: $3.5 million ($38 million) 
8. Scoob!: $2 million ($277 million) 
9. Candyman: $2 million ($48 million) 
10. Fast 9: $1.5 million ($210 million) 

7/10-7/12

1. Ghostbusters - Afterlife: $47 million 
2. Minions - The Rise of Gru: $32 million ($114 million) 
3. Free Guy: $24 million ($86 million) 
4. Purge 5: $16 million 
5. Soul: $15.5 million ($267 million) 
6. Into the Heights: $12 million ($101 million) 
7. Top Gun - Maverick: $10.5 million ($119 million) 
8. Wonder Woman 1984: $8 million ($476 million) 
9. Judd Apatow/Pete Davison Comedy: $2 million ($42 million)
10. Scoob!: $1.5 million ($280 million) 

7/17-7/19

1. Tenet: $54 million
2. Ghostbusters - Afterlife: $20.5 million ($86 million) 
3. Minions - The Rise of Gru: $18 million ($148 million) 
4. Bob's Burgers - The Movie: $17 million 
5. Free Guy: $9.5 million ($106 million) 
6. Soul: $9 million ($284 million) 
7. Into the Heights: $8 million ($116 million) 
8. Purge 5: $6 million ($28 million) 
9. Wonder Woman 1984: $4.5 million ($485 million) 
10. Top Gun - Maverick: $4 million ($127 million) 

7/24-7/26

1. Jungle Cruise: $77.5 million 
2. Tenet: $33 million ($118 million) 
3. Ghostbusters - Afterlife: $12 million ($109 million) 
4. Minions - The Rise of Gru: $8 million ($163 million) 
5. Bob's Burgers - The Movie: $6 million ($29 million) 
6. Free Guy: $6 million ($117 million) 
7. Into the Heights: $5.5 million ($126 million) 
8. Soul: $5 million ($294 million) 
9. Wonder Woman 1984: $3 million ($491 million) 
10. Purge 5: $3 million ($34 million) 

7/31-8/2

1. Morbius: $57 million 
2. Jungle Cruise: $48 million ($171 million) 
3. Tenet: $22 million ($161 million) 
4. Barb and Star Go to Vista Del Mar: $12 million 
5. Ghostbusters - Afterlife: $8 million ($124 million) 
6. Minions - The Rise of Gru: $5.5 million ($173 million) 
7. Free Guy: $4 million ($124 million) 
8. Into the Heights: $4 million ($133 million) 
9. Soul: $4 million ($302 million) 
10. Bob's Burgers - The Movie: $2.75 million ($34 million) 

 

WOW @ that Mulan's number. 

[92nd Academy Awards Discussion Thread | PARASITE WINS BITCHESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS #BONGHIVE]

I hope they re-expand Parasite. Final gross should hit 50 M when all is done.

[Weekend Thread - Odin Jr Sat #s - Bad Boys 10, 1917 5.4, Dolittle 4.2, Jumanji 3.2, Gretel 2.5, Rhythm 1.05]

23 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

The film will be on digital since Feb 7th. Such a pity move when the film is still holding very good

That is too bad. With this kind of staying power and relatively weak competition in Feb, it seems to have enough gas to break 170 mil

[Weekend Thread - Odin Jr Sat #s - Bad Boys 10, 1917 5.4, Dolittle 4.2, Jumanji 3.2, Gretel 2.5, Rhythm 1.05]

My wish is for Knives Out on its 10th wknd to outgross TRS opening wknd and stay put in the top 10 😎

[MLK Weekend Thread: Bad Boys 62.5/73.03 (2nd biggest January debut) | Dolittle 21.84/28.3 | 1917 21.98/26.9]

Dang! Will Smith is off to a great start of the new decade. 1st 100M grosser of the 20s! 

 

My wish is for it to leg over 200M but realistically 150M is a great success. No one saw this coming last week.

[Weekend Thread: Estimates - Midway 17.5, Sleep 14.1, Fire 12.8, Xmas 11.6, Terminatah 10.8, Jokah 9.2, Mal2 8]

18 minutes ago, AnDr3s said:

 

Got the feeling that this unfortunate streak will continue this weekend. Ironically, the Angels are back but they are not to save BO like 19 years ago...

[Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby]

With so many underperformers in the past two weeks (except PwF, Harriet and, to a certain degree, Midway), any chances that CA or FvsF overperform big way?

 

I'm rooting for TGL to exceed projections though.

[Weekend Thread: Estimates - Midway 17.5, Sleep 14.1, Fire 12.8, Xmas 11.6, Terminatah 10.8, Jokah 9.2, Mal2 8]

OMG I made a serious mistake when predicting Sleep's opening gross at 29M. Should have put it for the total dom gross!

[Weekend Thread: Estimates - Midway 17.5, Sleep 14.1, Fire 12.8, Xmas 11.6, Terminatah 10.8, Jokah 9.2, Mal2 8]

Glad that Joker and, to some degree, Mal2 can continue to stand out among so many flops and underperformers...

[Weekend Thread: Actuals - Terminator 29, Joker 13.5, Mal2 13.1, Harriet 11.7, Addams 8.3]

I hope Focus Feature will keep Downton Abbey in theaters until it reaches 100M to mark their first release getting that landmark.

[Weekend Thread: Actuals - Terminator 29, Joker 13.5, Mal2 13.1, Harriet 11.7, Addams 8.3]

Wow! Dark Fate flops hard now. I am afraid that Charlie's Angel will flop harder.

[Weekend Thread: Actuals - Terminator 29, Joker 13.5, Mal2 13.1, Harriet 11.7, Addams 8.3]

On paper this November releases looks strong (including so many IPs). It turns out the real products are unfortunately weak, even weaker than October ones. Sigh!

[Weekend Thread: Estimates - Mal2 36, Jokah 29.2, Zombi2 26.7, Addams 16, Gemini 8.5 | Parasite 1.2 (37.6K), Lighthouse 420K (52K), Jojo 350K (70K avg)]

1 hour ago, cdsacken said:

I definitely think Joker holds well next week. Not much is coming out.

My gut saying Joker will have sub 30% drop and easily win the next wknd.

[Weekend Thread: Estimates - Mal2 36, Jokah 29.2, Zombi2 26.7, Addams 16, Gemini 8.5 | Parasite 1.2 (37.6K), Lighthouse 420K (52K), Jojo 350K (70K avg)]

2 hours ago, The Futurist said:

Parasite's success is great news for the sci fi genre.

Hope it allows more sci fi films like Parasite to get greenlit.

I would put Parasite as a dramedy. But yes, its success is good news for the genre, no matter which genre the film belongs in. I hope it breaks 10M and become a serious awards contender.

[Weekend Thread: Estimates - Mal2 36, Jokah 29.2, Zombi2 26.7, Addams 16, Gemini 8.5 | Parasite 1.2 (37.6K), Lighthouse 420K (52K), Jojo 350K (70K avg)]

52 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

I get that UA/MGM owes the Bond franchise a lot but this is getting out of hand

 

The Hustle

May 10–12

3

$13,007,709

-

3,007

-

$4,326

$13,007,709

1

 

Child's Play

Jun 21–23	2	$14,094,594	-	3,007	-	$4,687	$14,094,594	1
Jun 28–30	8	$4,429,543	-68.6%	3,007	-	$1,473	$23,557,942	2

 

The Addams Family

Oct 11–13	2	$30,300,007	-	4,007	-	$7,562	$30,300,007	1
Oct 18–20	4	$16,057,007 (Estimate)	-47.0%	4,102	+95	$3,914	$56,816,034 (Estimate)	2

No Time to Die to open at 5,007 theaters?

[Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)]

1 hour ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

seems to be no big horror release this Halloween

Any chance that Countdown will become a breakout?

[Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)]

I wish boxofficemojo would do a comp between Joker, Deadpool films, IT and American Sniper.

[Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)]

Joker could leg out like American Sniper. This phenomenon reminded me of the Passion of the Christ.

 

Bravo Todd Phillipps and Kudos to Joaquin Phoenix!

[Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)]

24 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Was it commented on that TLK had an expansion for some reason this weekend?

 

 

Trying to secure 550m???  Kinda a bit far away to hit it though, right?

 

Any other reason for a mini-expansion here?  Besides just Disney saying "We can do it, so why not?"

Any news if TLK will go double feature with Maleficient2 next wknd? 

[Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)]

With this kind of hold, Joker could challenge Aquaman or even WW to be in the top 5 of highest grossing DC movies of all time!

[Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)]

So happy for Parasite! Love the film. With slow expansion, it could easily be the highest grossing Korean film in the US.

[Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby]

Derby forecast is closed now? Normally it is closed in the next couple of hours, isn't it? I am confused now. Two weeks ago the game started late. This week it stopped earlier. 😖

[Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby]

On 7/29/2019 at 5:57 AM, Impact said:

What will be the next non sequel to be number one? Ad Astra? Something in late August? When I just saw The Lion King every trailer was a sequel while nearly every poster was a remake or a sequel 

I think your question has been answered by Mahnamahna's projection. With TLK and H&S underperforming, American audience are ready for something fresh before It2. Dora should have less problem winning this wknd. If Dora is considered not original, Good Boys could be it. 

[Hobbs & Shaw Weekend Thread: 60.8M OW (6th-best August debut), 180.8M WW | TLK 38.2, OUATIH 20, FFH 7.7, TS4 7.1, Farewell 2.4]

3 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

Eight more potential $1B-grossers and the top 50 highest grossing films will all be billionaires. 💁🏻‍♀️🙋🏻‍♀️

 

Before 2009 and the 2010’s-decade, we had like...4 movies that made over $1B WW, which were TDK, POTC: DMC, LOTR: ROTK & Titanic.

 

The box office landscape has considerably changed since then. 👩🏻

Two main factors - Marvel and China, I guess?