[MLK Weekend Thread (1/13-16) | 3-day/4-day Estimates: Avatar 32.4M/40.6M, M3GAN 18.26M/21.72M, Puss 14.39M/19.04M, Otto 12.8M/15.33M, Plane 10M/12.03M, House Party 4M/4.73M]

Also, history being made here. For the first time in history, Deadline made accurate estimates. Did they hire any BOT members recently?

[MLK Weekend Thread (1/13-16) | 3-day/4-day Estimates: Avatar 32.4M/40.6M, M3GAN 18.26M/21.72M, Puss 14.39M/19.04M, Otto 12.8M/15.33M, Plane 10M/12.03M, House Party 4M/4.73M]

So I guess Puss played like a horror movie without the Friday the 13th benefits

[MLK Weekend Thread (1/13-16) | 3-day/4-day Estimates: Avatar 32.4M/40.6M, M3GAN 18.26M/21.72M, Puss 14.39M/19.04M, Otto 12.8M/15.33M, Plane 10M/12.03M, House Party 4M/4.73M]

3 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

Thats why i prefer movie titles like "X".

 

I dunno, its easy to remember.

If you had your way, only 26 movies could've been released....

[MLK Weekend Thread (1/13-16) | 3-day/4-day Estimates: Avatar 32.4M/40.6M, M3GAN 18.26M/21.72M, Puss 14.39M/19.04M, Otto 12.8M/15.33M, Plane 10M/12.03M, House Party 4M/4.73M]

2 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said:

I am 99% confident that Menor and Tokugennumataka’s most recent acronyms are *literally* just made up.

Hey I did a Google search and everything. I'm methodical like that...

 

Night of the Day of the Dawn of the Son of the Bride of the Return of the Revenge of the Terror of the Attack of the Evil, Mutant, Hellbound, Flesh-Eating Subhumanoid Zombified Living Dead, Part 2: In Shocking 2-D (1991)

[MLK Weekend Thread (1/13-16) | 3-day/4-day Estimates: Avatar 32.4M/40.6M, M3GAN 18.26M/21.72M, Puss 14.39M/19.04M, Otto 12.8M/15.33M, Plane 10M/12.03M, House Party 4M/4.73M]

1 minute ago, Menor Reborn said:

I prefer Avngekcnjr:gjllgsh myself

Great movie. Loved it

[MLK Weekend Thread (1/13-16) | 3-day/4-day Estimates: Avatar 32.4M/40.6M, M3GAN 18.26M/21.72M, Puss 14.39M/19.04M, Otto 12.8M/15.33M, Plane 10M/12.03M, House Party 4M/4.73M]

1.08M for Puss. Don't think conventional family film bumps apply here, but still should still match the Jumanji films' multis (13.3x Thu). That'd good enough for 14.4M (+6%!!!). Worst case it stays flat. The 2nd, 3rd and 4th weekend above OW. Unironically looks like The Greatest Showman of animated films. 

[MLK Weekend Thread (1/13-16) | 3-day/4-day Estimates: Avatar 32.4M/40.6M, M3GAN 18.26M/21.72M, Puss 14.39M/19.04M, Otto 12.8M/15.33M, Plane 10M/12.03M, House Party 4M/4.73M]

1 minute ago, M37 said:

Possible Headline?

A Plain Debut for Plane

Not looking forward to the 'Plane fails to take off' headlines 

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

32 minutes ago, CJohn said:

And I want ass. Yet none of us will get what we want. 

Saddest story I've ever heard. Not gonna lie

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

It's irrelevant what anyone's opinion of the film is as long they don't insult others and/or the said opinion clouds their judgement. This is a box office forum, the personal opinion of hundreds or even thousands of people hardly matter in the grand scale of hundreds of millions (who determine the box office). 

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

7 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

Time.

 

Isnt it funny?

 

With every passing day, were getting closer to our death.

Nah Brainbug, you're not going until Jurassic World 27 atleast.

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

10 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Very big FRI jump

Very low SAT jump

I wouldn't say very low Sat jump. Almost all films have MLK Sat bump lower than the previous week's (for obvious reasons). Last week was +81%, so +80% this week is reasonable (borderline high end) I'd say. 

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

9 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said:

I am a man who knows when to admit defeat

 

Expected so much more from a man named Legion.

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

30 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said:

Meh, nothing beats

NotDotDotSotBotRotRotTotAotEMHFESZLD: IS2D

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

Some weekend (3day) to Thursday multipliers:

TFA - 8.4x

Avatar - 9.1x

Titanic - 13.7x

MI:GP - 8.9x

RO - 7.9x

J:WTTJ - 13.2x

Aquaman - 9.3x

J: TNL - 13.3x

TCoN: TLTWaTW - 11.8x

King Kong - 11.7x

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

2.95m

Sheesh gonna be real hard to see 8M Friday with that number. 7.5M looks like a realistic high end. Likely to end up with ~7.2M. Still cannot see sub 30M 3 day though. 

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

M3 too didn't hold on very well, compared to other holdovers. Think weekend can go for:

(Thu - 1.6-1.65M)

Fri - 5.2M (+220%) [Friday the 13th]

Sat - 7.0M (+35%)

Sun - 4.9M (-30%)

Mon - 3.2M (-34%)

17M (3day)/20.3M (4day)

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

1 minute ago, Borobudur said:

I am hoping a better number in actual, if not we can't close the week-to-week drop leading up to weekend. 

It doesn't have to close the drop. Fri jump will be twice as much as last week's 

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

Right within expectations. Feels like it needs 3.2M thursday atleast for 8M Fri. 

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

Meh for A2. Not gonna change my weekend projections right now, which was based on a 3.0M Thursday. Still thinking 32M+ 3 day and 40M+ 4 day. 

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

36 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said:

Why the hell did PiB jump only 24% this Tuesday? Sing 1 and 2 jumped 44% and 40%. So did Greatest Showman (40%). Heck even Jumanji WTTJ jumped 33%

 

 

 

 

Weekdays are largely irrelevant for family flicks. Yesterday was a surprise and a huuuge surprise at that. As M37 mentioned there might've been some regional holidays at play for some schools. And as always, the size of numbers do matter too. It opened to 55% of Sing 2 , which was also very leggy, but is now posting dailies nearly 180% of that film. There is still a real possibility that its 4th weekend is gonna end up HIGHER than OW. 

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

1 minute ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

Funny enough, I was gonna mention Mondays tends to be "senior citizen" day...it could be that Puss popularity is breaking into that age range based on its theming...

Yes imagine my surprise when Puss receives a bigger Friday the 13th bump than M3GAN...

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

12 minutes ago, M37 said:

 

Or  just enough schools having one last day off in the right markets to boost the total a bit

Yeah dunno if that's a thing in the US, but it's definitely an anomaly. 

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

Actually lost for words for PiB. Absolutely terrific. 60%ish better than what I was expecting. Was expecting 14-16x (historical data supports it) Thursday for the 3-day. Going by worst cases, can see a Thursday of 900k based on that 1.15M estimate. A flat hold or an increase for next weekend cannot be ruled out.

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

3.4

2.1

1.15

1.15 for PiB?? What the actual fuckk?

[Weekdays Thread (1/9-12)]

9 minutes ago, Elessar said:

 

-20% is 36,5m.

 

Didn't do math, just going by past precedents. 

Would need something like a:

3.4

4.8 (+41%)

3.5 (-27%)

3.5 (-0%)

8.4 (+140%)

15.5 (+84%)

12.4 (-20%)

Not impossible.