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Nakamura

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    ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' stronger than predecessor

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Omni said:

    So Pika is already showing signs of fronloadness, with less than a 20% increase from Thursday. The rainy weekend will save it (just like it will save Endgame too), but at this point sub-3M OW is almost guaranteed and sub-2.5M is a 50/50.

    Friday rises have been kind of weak all around though - maybe Saturday will surprise with 150/200% bumps.

     

    It depends on what you mean with break out. It certainly is very likely to pass the 20M mark as Disney live actions are very popular here:

     

    Alice in Wonderland > 11.1M OW // 30.4M total (the times of 3D craze)

    Beauty and the Beast > 6.9M OW // 20.5M total

    Cinderella > 5.1M OW // 15.0M total

    Maleficent > 5.0M OW // 14.0M total

    Mary Poppins > 2.7M OW // 12.1M total

    Dumbo > 3.3M OW // 11.2M total

    The Jungle Book > 3.0M OW // 10.4M total

    (Nutcracker > 4.3M OW // 9.4M total)

    Oz the Great and Powerful > 2.9M OW // 8.1M total

     

    On one hand you could say 20M is pretty much locked, and even 25+ has a good chance of happening.

    On the other hand, just look at the positions of Dumbo abd TJB compared to the top 5. Having a female as a lead and/or a big name behind the project really helps here, and in fact all the top 5 is composed of female-driven movies, sometimes with the help of some huge name (Burton+Depp / Emma Watson / Angelina Jolie) which helps giving the film an aura of event. You could say that the lower grosses of Dumbo and Oz aren't alarming, as the first did poorly WW and the second was a hard sell in all non-anglosaxon markets. Even if we take this, and ignore that Nutcracker (female-driven+sort of princess) incredibly succeded while it bombed in all the other markets) - we have The Jungle Book. It's the 2nd highest grossing LA remake WW, and easily too, yet it's on the bottom of the list. And it's also pretty similar to The Lion King under many aspects.

    Overall, it TLK really makes huge numbers (close to 30M) it will be just a proof of how insanely strong the name is. On its favour it has the release date, the same that allowed freaking HT3 to pass the 12M mark and make more than I2, the same that gave 23+ to the Minions and huge grosses to many family products.

     

    Fun fact: if it sells the same amount of tickets the animated version sold, it will finish within 85% of Avatar's gross (55M+).

     

     

    AEG is $30.3M. How far do you think it can go further? 

    China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

    in China At The Box Office

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

     

    yup. most of it was made at 6.73 and we'll have the right number here but mojo and most other place will screw it up like they did with IW.

    I have IW at $376m.  EG will be lowered by 1.4%($8m) by mojo on Monday with the 6.82 rate

    its comical to look at IW's chart below

    CHINA
    Weekend Box Office

    2018

    Date
    (click to view chart)         		Rank Weekend
    Gross     /     % Change     		Gross-to-Date Week #
    May 11–13 1 $191,034,859 - $200,486,738 1
    May 18–20 1 $54,161,473 -71.7% $301,403,464 2
    May 25–27 2 $17,750,990 -67.2% $333,784,095 3
    Jun. 1–3 3 $14,014,594 -21.1% $353,530,497 4
    Jun. 8–10 4 $6,572,073 -53.1% $366,249,504 5
    Jun. 15–17 6 $943,513 -85.6% $368,735,506 6
    Jun. 22–24 9 $331,243 -64.9% $366,437,358 7
    Jun. 29–Jul. 1 14 $138,740 -58.1% $360,483,643 8
    Jul. 6–8 12 $65,696 -52.7% $359,543,153 9

    So Mojo will calculate the whole gross of EG from the start (not from today)  based on the new ER? Thats suck. 

    China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

    in China At The Box Office

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, UserHN said:

    Nope. You got that one reversed. Official total is from the studios regardless of Mojo's foreign conversion. Anyway, Mojo's total gross for the movies isn't affected by their faulty 

    In short, the boxofficemojo website will use the number sent to them from the studios to calculate the final total gross of the movie? 

    I just want that.

     

    China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

    in China At The Box Office

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

    Mojo will report the wrong amount maybe. The real number won't be affected.

    But the report of Mojo will be used to officially calculate for the total final number of EG regardless of the report of studios, right? That will be suck.

     

    28 minutes ago, UserHN said:

    I don't think that's the case since 90%+ of EG's gross was under the old ER. But BoxOfficeMojo will surely calculate it based on the new ER 😑. I really can't trust BOM's foreign table. Good thing is that BOM's foreign adjustments doesn't affect the total gross reported by the studios.

     

    BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

    Endgame slightly worse than I thought:

      Reveal hidden contents
     

    Endgame vs TLJ  (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k

    Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k

    OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k)

    OWdays: 707k (2841k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+217k (+724k)

    2nd Wend: 871k (3712k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +150k (+874k)

    2nd Wdays: 163k (3875k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -548k (+326k)

    3rd Wend: 425k (4300k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -424k (+93k)

    3rd Wdays: 90k (4390k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -261k (-354k)

    4th Wend: 275k (4665k) vs 467k (5211k) -> -192k (-546k)

    4th Wdays: 60k (4725k) vs 91k (5302k) -> -31k (-577k)

    5th Wend: 150k (4875k) vs 202k (5504k) -> -52k (-629k)

    5th Wdays: 35k (4910k) vs 49k (5553k) -> -14k (-643k)

    6th Wend: 90k (5000k) vs 110k (5663k) -> -20k (-663k)

    6th Wdays: 25k (5025k) vs 28k (5691k) -> -3k (-666k)

     

    TLJ had 215k more admissions after that, if Endgame would add that it would get to 5240k, which is probably the highest it could go, would mean a little below €60m, translating to ~$67m. It would also mean that it would beat Spider-Man 1 (5186k) in adm.

     

    More realistic would probably a finish closer to 5m adm and with that slightly below Spider-Man 1.

    The worst case can be about $63-65M ? 

    China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

    in China At The Box Office

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Aj9 said:

    Because of the trade war effect

    Till  Thursday 1 usd dollar = 6.74 from yesterday, 1 dollar = 6.82 yuan 

    So what happens to total gross

    According to today exchange rate 

    4 billion Chinese yuan is only  587 million usd. 

    A loss around 6 usd dollar 

    What does it mean to final total 

    Hope it wont affect the final total

    So sad if it is true

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