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StarWarsMemer

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Posts posted by StarWarsMemer

  1. 55 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

    Raya has good trend everywhere during weekend internationally. It's too low so won't be breaking out big, but legs will be good.

     

    Friday was around $2.5M internationally, Sunday will be close to $6.5M. overall weekend around $16M range. 

     

    Some countries numbers for Friday and Sunday as compared with (T&J weekend)

     

    China - $1.38M & $3.2M ($4.4M & $3.1M)

    Russia - $0.33M & $1.2M ($0.5M & $1.4M)

    Korea - $0.11M & $0.41M ($0.09M & $0.17M)

    Japan - $0.06M & $0.25M

    Vietnam - $0.02M & $0.1M

    the Japan performance is awful 

  2. 24 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

    I was hoping maybe night show have some improvement, but naah.

    $47.5-48mn Approx.

     

    Rest at same place, as few hours back, may be slightly better.

    So like $1.2M~1.5M above Rogue One's first Sat. 20% drop on Sunday would be 176.4M for the weekend. Would need a 2.83× multiplier for $500M (TLJ had a 2.82 multiplier). 

    • Like 1
  3. 2 hours ago, MagnarTheGreat said:

    $38M * 4.35 (SW:TFA IM) = $165.3M first weekend
    $38M * 4.89 (SW:TLJ IM) = $185.8M first weekend
    $38M * 5.43 = $206.3M first weekend

     

    Deadline:

    $44M * 4.35 (SW:TFA IM) = $191.4M first weekend
    $48M * 4.35 (SW:TFA IM) = $208.8M first weekend
    $44M * 4.89 (SW:TLJ IM) = $215.16M first weekend
    $48M * 4.89 (SW:TLJ IM) = $234.72M first weekend
    $44M * 5.43 = $238.92M first weekend
    $48M * 5.43 = $260.64M first weekend

    Why would you use $48M

  4. 2 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

    T-3 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

     

    MTC 1: $26.7mn Approx

     

    At same time

    Endgame: $43mn Approx (62%) (Final $53mn Approx)

     

    MTC 2: $15mn

     

    At same time

    Endgame: $24.5mn Approx (61%) (Final $30mn Approx)

    The Lion King: $6mn (40%) (Final $12mn)

     

    Nationwide estimates

    Previews: $24mn

    Friday: $22mn

    Saturday: $18mn

    Sunday: $11mn

    Rest: $16mn 

     

    FSS: $76mn Approx

    Total: $91mn Approx

     

    At same time

    Endgame: $148mn (61.5%) (Final $186mn Approx)

    The Lion King: $36mn (40%) (Final $74mn Approx) 

     

    Estimated FSS day wise comparison of Endgame and TRS T-3 Days

      Hide contents
      Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Avengers: Endgame  
    Previews $24.25 $31.00 78.23%
    Friday $22.25 $36.50 60.96%
    Saturday $18.24 $36.00 50.67%
    Sunday $10.91 $25.00 43.63%
    Rest $15.62 $20.00 78.12%

     

    Note: All these numbers include a good amount of estimation. The system is working well but there's always margin of error, take +/-5%.

    There was an error in calculation of overall sales after FSS which I corrected so previous data will need some alterations. The data is, however updated in the sheet.

    http://bit.ly/JatUSPS

    Previewz will be 47M if proportional to Endgame. Do you think the TRoS next 3 days will fall below 78% of Endgame's adjacent days based on the current momentum? 

  5. 6 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

    T-5 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

     

    MTC 1: $23.2mn Approx

     

    At same time

    Endgame: $39mn

     

    MTC 2: $13.30mn

     

    Nationwide estimates

    Previews: $23mn

    Friday: $20mn

    Saturday: $16.5mn

    Sunday: $9.5mn // $69mn

    Rest: $14mn // $83mn

     

    At same time

    Endgame: $135mn

     

    Estimated FSS day wise comparison of Endgame and TRS T-5 Days

      Hide contents

     

      Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Avengers: Endgame % TRS/EG
    Previews $23.06 $28.00 82.35%
    Friday $20.34 $33.00 61.63%
    Saturday $16.43 $33.00 49.80%
    Sunday $9.55 $23.00 41.52%

     

    Note: All these numbers include a good amount of estimation. The system is working well but there's always margin of error, take +/-5%.

    damn 82% of endgame would be almost 50m in previews 

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