Zucch11
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Posts posted by Zucch11
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40 minutes ago, CJohn said:
I think Black Phone is doomed to fail. Universal couldn't have guessed real world events would make people unconfortable with it but looking back it should have stayed in January.
I disagree. There have been basically no wide released theatrical horror movies in the post-pandemic era. Horror movies have their loyal niche and there is a lot of pent up demand.. I think The Black Phone is gonna do really well, people who enjoy horror have had nothing to spend their money on other than Scream all the way back in January when the pandemic was still going on (that is if you consider Scream to be a 'horror' in the first place).
Horror movies always have uncomfortable subject matter so I don't think recent events will have significant impact.
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31 minutes ago, excel1 said:
A number of technological, economic, and political factors have converged to adjust mainstream pop cultures appetite a bit, I think. Among other reasons, I think Lightyear is paying for not having Tim Allen in there. I think Lightyear is paying - to an extent - for forcing the controversial kiss in the film. I think Top Gun heavily benefited from its straight up "modern American military!" theme.
Top Gun is overperforming literally everywhere in the world including places like Japan/Germany/France/Canada. It's reasonable to think that its success is because it is tapping into something more universal than tired US politics. Infact it is quite telling that some people fail to see analyze their entertainment without their extremely narrow US political stripe tinted glasses.
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I have a really good feeling about this. There is a lot of pent-up demand for horror experiences in a movie theater post-pandemic and the supply just hasn't been there. This is coming out at the the right time.
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1 hour ago, Eric Lightyear said:
That's not enough IMO. I know you keep saying families prefer the big screen, but I have seen little evidence of that. If they did, they would have gone to see Lightyear. I'll argue families prefer Disney+ because it's way cheaper and way more convenient. And people like convenience.
The only way I could see families "preferring" theatres for Disney movies is if they came to Disney+ like a year later, which we both know will never happen. I'm sorry, but the genie is out of the bottle and we can't get it back. Even if Chapek leaves, and everything is magically better, people will still like this convenience. It's over.
Ofcourse parents will prefer paying ~$80 a year and getting unlimited movies and shows for "free" over spending $100+ on a night out to the movies, the question is why has Disney made (and continues to make) that calculus so easy for them? I agree that it might be too late to put that genie in the bottle, I also think this is gonna impact animated movies in general beyond Disney... I can see the new Minions movie undershooting expectations in a couple of weeks as I don't think most normal people can tell the difference between what is a Disney or Dreamworks movie and will just expect to see it on a streaming service in short order.
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This is all Disney's fault for releasing the recent Pixar movies directly to streaming and thus conditioning parents to expect that these movies will come out on streaming in a couple of weeks if not right away. Pixar needs to do something to put an end to Disney+ ruining their brand.
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On 3/24/2022 at 10:16 AM, Ryan Reynolds said:
no wonder McQuarrie is all but gone from social media too , this sounds bad , Paramount can't lose Tom
This is hilarious to read now in hindsight of the Top Gun: Maverick run. Cruise literally vindicated on not accepting the 45 day theatrical window. If it was gonna show up on Paramount+ after 45 days I doubt TGM would be doing this well. Considering the incredible holds this film is showing, it is probably going to do like ~20 million weekend the week of day 45. Paramount now has no leg to stand on against Cruise.
They are gonna have to agree to lifting the 45 day window for MI:7/8 and give Cruise/McQuarrie all the money they want for those movies. I can't believe they were trying to "control" the budget in the first place. Give Crusie/McQuarrie whatever they want, not that Paramount has a choice now after TGM. They have no leverage on Cruise after TGM results.Tom Cruise walking into his next meeting with Paramount execs to negotiate MI:7/8's theatrical window and budget:
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Weekend Thread | October 7-10th | Smile grins with a powerful $18.5m second weekend (18% drop!), Lyle hums a tune to $11.4m, Amsterdam gets karma'd with $6.4m
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Perhaps you should go see the movie and see for yourself?