bakedpotato
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Posts posted by bakedpotato
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5 hours ago, Noctis said:
What the fuck? I've never heard of this movie or the property and its OD is almost $40m?
Really? Five Nights at Freddy's was released almost a decade ago... It's always been pretty popular.
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45 minutes ago, Krissykins said:
Such a shame about Matthew Perrry.
Big drop for FNAF. Can’t say I’m surprised, with the combination of fan rush and streaming/piracy availability it’ll play like the Halloween sequels.
Yeah. Already available in 4K w/ Dolby 5.1 on pirate sites. That's gotta take a toll on OW...
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1 minute ago, HummingLemon496 said:
This is giving me Mario wibes. I remember when people acted like Mario was gonna be some front-loaded event just because it started with a 46% RT. Did they except "Sorry Jimmy, we can't go watch Mario because this 50-year-old man on RT says it sucks?"
Yeah tho tbf Mario wasn't on streaming same day
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11 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Its still not doing 100 I guess but yeah does make it close due to non refundable thing.
Not so sure about that, Friday shows also expanded "early access". Probably enough to get it over the top.
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4 hours ago, XXR's Eras Tour said:
Definitely. At this point we’re just trying to figure out presale frontloading and capacity restrictions. We still have over a month until it’ll really start to matter.Wonder how much of those presales are for OW
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15 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:
Do we have an actually reliable or likely current average ticket price estimation?
Yeah, can check the tracking thread.
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12 minutes ago, upriser7 said:
There is no sync between 70M Friday and 150M weekend lol...feel like they are intentionally lowballing the weekend number
Yeah, pretty clearly low-balling. They are still assuming frontloading, but as trackers here have shown... there are not really signs this is happening. Should be more in line with 170M 😃. Shout out to all the folks here who work hard to track sales and post updates!
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3 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:
I’m still confused as to whether or not 10 is supposed to be “part 1”?? So then is the next one gonna be called Fast X-2: Furious Men United or something?
Better naming than Attack on Titan: The Final Season Part 3: Part 1
Final Part 3 Part 2 coming out in the Fall 🤣
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9 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:
Demon slayer has a 73 verified audience score thus far, looks like a lot of people expected a brand new movie and not for half of it to be old episodes
Huh thought it was common knowledge for anime fans that this was a theatrical premiere of the new season along with the end of the last arc. That's kinda funny ngl
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34 minutes ago, LonePirate said:
I was fully expecting CB to drop noticeably on Saturday and I think I said so upthread. I'm pleasantly surprised it seems to be holding well and could very well clear $20M for the weekend. The movie has some problems but it does some things extremely well, namely the ambulance scene shown in the trailer as well as the performances from Jesse Tyler Ferguson and Margo Martindale, both of whom truly understood the campy absurdity of their roles and the movie. It's fun, mindless trash cinema we don't see much of anymore, M3gan notwithstanding.
Should be guaranteed over 20M given the high estimates, I'd think.
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1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:
And
You sure bout 125-127M for 4-Day OW? That real money market says only 5% now.
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Amazing, 125M 4-Day OW went from 1% to 50% in that real money market for Ant-Man. Box Office Theory Forums >> r/boxoffice 😃
wagmi MCU not dead yet! -
What is everyone projecting for Avatar 6th WE and 7th WE with latest tracking? I'm thinking we get 21M this weekend, and 14M next weekend... about 622M total gross by end of 7th WE.
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Interesting. What are we looking at for Crawdads OD (Previews/TFri)?
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1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Minions: The Rise of Gru Harkins T-2 Days
Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP 325 81,999 3,894 4.75% $46,186 $11.86 Comps
1.11x Lightyear T-3 days - $6.1M (adj for ATP $5.4M)
+1396 yesterday. Big day. Way ahead of Lightyear. Probably 6.3K+ tomorrow and 19K final. That should be good for around $8M
So I'm hearing conflicting opinions. I believe Friday for a 4-day weekend with Monday holiday should have Friday encompassing mid to higher-end of the range, percentage of the 3-day (Fri, Sat, Sun) weekend. And some others have said that there is backloading for kid's movies which seems the opposite. Balancing those factors (if I even understand correctly?), what might we expect for a range on OD for Minions given the expected previews / early sales? What would we need to be on track for e.g. 75M OW 3-Day?
Sorry for all the questions, pretty new to the tracking game but been lurking for a while. -
What do folks think previews and OD will end up being for Minions? Maybe a bit ahead of Sonic 2? The comps look pretty favorable today.
Weekend Thread (11/17-19) | Early Deadline #s - Songbirds 5.75-6M Previews, Trolls 2M
in Numbers and Data
Posted
daddys gotta eat