Mickiland16
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Posts posted by Mickiland16
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1 minute ago, Valonqar said:
It isn't stan twitter, it's her bf making a dig at Jonah on his burner insta. Implicationw as that Jonah wasn't a man enough for Halle. Then quickly came the rumor of breakup.
Oh I didn't know about that ☠️ but yeah PR is going to be wilde if it turns out to be true. I just hope this kind of things doesn't overshame Halle's talent which is what most critics are praising.
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15 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:
GREATER ORLANDO REGION
Elemental
THURSDAY
T-29 *First 24 hours
SHOWINGS
SEATS SOLD
TOTAL SEATS
PERCENT SOLD
82
346
12052
2.9%
SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY
N/A SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY
N/A
SELLOUTS
0
ATP: $12.80
COMPS
First 24 hours
Little Mermaid
(0.228x)
Across the Spider-verse
(0.152x)
Mario
(0.110x)
So depending on how Mermaid performs 2.5M and maybe 3M previews in the cards? This one should be more walk-up heavy since it's an original.
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14 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
If rumors are true (Halle/Jonah, Halle and flop rapper bf breakup) LM is going to get even more boost. Everyone loves when co-stars are dating.
I saw people shipping Halle and Jonah but is there really a rumor of they dating? I thought it was just a wish from stan twitter.
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5 hours ago, Purple Minion said:
Mario won't reach $100M. If the ER remains stable by its time of release, Toy Story 5 could be the one.If Toy Story 5 doesn't do it, how long may Toy Story 4 admits record last? Tom Holland Spider-Man 4 is gonna be a hit but far from No Way Home hype and I think a Mario sequel will be a similar situation. Also not sure if the MCU overall still have the same hype that lead to Endgame but we'll find out in a couple of years I guess.
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I wonder what this market grown is going to mean for Toy Story 5, The Kang Dinasty and Secret Wars. They're probably the strongest contenders to the first $100M movie for the country if Mario doesn't do it.
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55 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:
Mario 3rd at 3.075M - 75K WKend
Guardians 3 crossed 1M admits // 3rd 1M Film of the Year
More 1M films than 2022 by the end of the year? Fast X, The Little Mermaid, The Marvels and Aquaman 2 would already put it at seven movies and The Nun was also above the million mark.
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2 hours ago, WittyUsername said:
People seem to be convinced that East Asian countries don’t like movies with black leads, but I don’t know how accurate that is. I do know that the Black Panther movies were very domestic heavy, so there’s that.
To be fair, Black Panther did more domestic but overseas money was still higher than every Thor movie, all the Guardians of the Galaxy movies, Spider-Man Homecoming, Batman, Superman and both Doctor Strange movies.
As for The Little Mermaid it probably won't do Aladdin numbers because the former overperformed in Japan and South Korea but $600M OS should still be doable.
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5 hours ago, Spidey Freak said:
It's unique as its early trailers actually did what all the incels and white supremacists couldn't for TLM... hurt a movie's OW.
This one frame has much more POWAH than years of racist whining combined
That's something that I think people mostly forget on the Little Mermaid over/under $100M OW discussion. On reddit specially there is the argument that Aladdin was way more popular which I may understand but Aladdin was also supposed to be closer to BATB in popularity than Jungle Book or Maleficent as for Memorial Day releases but it didn't translate into the actual opening weekend gross...using Cinderella adjusted numbers as a comparison I wouldn't be shocked if Snow White also comes close next year (to Aladdin OW).
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5 hours ago, Porthos said:
Quick and Dirty Transformers: Rise of the Beasts Sacto Report [T-29]
271/18577 (1.46% sold)
0.9783x No Time To Die after one day of sales [6.07m]
1.3618x Ghostbusters: Afterlife after one day of sales [6.13m]
0.3790x Jurassic World: Dominion after one day of sales [6.82m]
0.6362x Black Adam after one day of sales [4.83m]
2.2966x Shazam 2 after one day of sales [7.81m]
0.5634x John Wick 4 after one day of sales [5.01m]That's.... not completely terrible. Maybe not even that bad. The NTTD comp is a little misleading as I didn't get the EA showtimes for that until my third day of tracking, but the others are also not completely terrible.
Not sure the comps I'm using here are all that great, but I can't use Fast X because lol 99 days of pre-sales. ANd speaking of which, JWD is gonna have the same problem with over 40 days of pre-sales.
Still... Could have been much worse. Mind, it also could be a fan rush of sorts, so who knows? Especially when it would shift to T-x comps...
(if anyone wants to suggest a better comp [aside from TGM which blew up here] lemme know)
NB: The Early Access showtimes accounted for 94 of the 271 tickets sold.
Families represented a considerable part of Bumblebee audience, 35% to be exactly, so maybe the John Wick 4 comp goes up on the latter weeks. GB Afterlife audience was way older but not sure if that means worse, better or the same walkups of what Transformers run is going to get.
Note: While I get that the 40 days of pre-sales makes it difficult, Bumblebee portion of families was higher than Fallen Kingdom although not by too much (30%) and the latter was older overall too, the last Transformers movies were still more than half under 25.
In general It's not going to be like a family movie but it shouldn't be surprising if the pre-sales are less frontloaded than those.
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2 minutes ago, AJG said:
There were no major pushes with their big key franchises: Star Wars, Spider-Man, Frozen and Avengers.
The new $70 Star Wars game hasn't been taken into account. They have a new $70 Spider-Man game coming up, and a new Spider-Man movie with 75 different Spider-Men.
I don't think that many people are really bothered about a land dispute in Florida.
Kinda curious on how Frozen is still taken into account not because it isn't big (it's huge) but unlike the others it won't really have any major push untill Frozen 3 outside of the typical holiday season unless I'm missing something. Also does they mean the MCU overall when quoting Avengers?
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53 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
No hate to the actors but I'm kinda glad on how there have been little marketing to the human characters like they are necessary for Optimus develoment but in the end him and the rest of the autobots should be the main characters from the start (again no hate to the actors).
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11 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
Since 680M is the break even point, is it possible not to meet that minimum? would be hilarious.
If the budget is over $300M not even $680M would be enough. In fact, not even Fast 9 numbers would be enough.
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So looking at those numbers, how likely is The Little Mermaid having previews closer to Beauty and the Beast than Aladdin?
5 minutes ago, Mickiland16 said:Entonces, mirando esos números, ¿qué tan probable es que La Sirenita tenga vistas previas más cercanas a La Bella y la Bestia que a Aladdin?
Sorry for translation lol
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Entonces, mirando esos números, ¿qué tan probable es que La Sirenita tenga vistas previas más cercanas a La Bella y la Bestia que a Aladdin?
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19 minutes ago, vafrow said:
I still have it as my pick for top film this summer, but, if it does fall flat, it'll be hard to say there was no warning.
It showed poorly in the Fandango poll, not doing great in these metrics, it didn't get a big presentation in CinemaCon.
I also think that without the writers strike, Harrison Ford would be making the tours on all the late shows, and be getting a lot of media attention.
I'm still hopeful, but the risk certainly is there.
It's weird because at the end of last year it placed fifth on the Fandango poll as for ALL the releases of 2023 but not even top 10 on the summer one? It's like the marketing did the oppositive of getting people hyped which I don't get because it doesn't look bad.
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1 minute ago, I Am Eric said:
It's actually been averaging higher than that at around 70 tickets. And yeah, it's doing good in that regard. Been holding relatively steady with almost all the comps except Mario, and all the comps indicate 100M+, arguably even 110M+. Of course this is going to be a market that will overperform, but it's doing well with other movies that overperformed, so we're golden.
3 days or 4 days?
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9 minutes ago, Mickiland16 said:
Ursula is gonna get a back story isn't it? Lol. But those reactions sounds good, for general audience best live-action adaptation actually means a lot. The only I can think that they actually disliked is Mulan while Alice was meh.
5 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:Well I'm taking back my comment about Ursula I guess.
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3 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
Ursula is gonna get a back story isn't it? Lol. But those reactions sounds good, for general audience best live-action adaptation actually means a lot. The only I can think that they actually disliked is Mulan while Alice was meh.
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11 minutes ago, Spidey Freak said:
150M OW incoming?
Not sure if general audience really cares about the remakes reviews when buying the ticket for the opening weekend. But if they love it then maybe it has Jungle Book or Aladdin kind of legs.
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13 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:
I am wondering if Mermaid is going to hurt Spiderverse? Two movies heavily targeting the ethnic minority family demographics back to back was maybe not a good idea in hindsight. The one good thing though is if Mermaid skews heavily female and Spidey skews heavily male, then they may not have to share so much.
The last part is kinda confirmed, 2/3 of ITS audience were male. Not even the MCU has that kind of ratio normally.
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Weekend Thread 19-21/05 | Fast X $67.5M
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Americans have really lost all their family values I guess what a shame for that country 😪