[SOTM 7 - Winning every Weekend]

Week 11:  1st.... The Upside                                 2nd..... Aquaman 

Week 12:  1st....Glass                                            2nd.....Aquaman 

Week 13:  1st....Glass                                            2nd..... The Kid Who Would Be King

Week 14:  1st....Miss Bala                                     2nd.....Glass                                           

 

Week 15:  1st....Lego 2                                         2nd..... What Men Want

Week 16:  1st....Lego 2                                         2nd.....Alita       

Week 17:  1st....How to Train Your Dragon 3     2nd.....Lego 2 

[The Winter Game QOTW Survival Game Thread - Good times are just a click away]

Week 11 - Yes

[Week 10 - There is no escape from the Game]

Part A:

 

1. Will Escape Room Open to more than $9M? Yes

2. Will Escape Room Open to more than $15M? Yes

3. Will Escape Room Open to more than $12M? Yes

4. Will The top three change from last weekend? Yes

5. Will Poppins drop more than 18%? Yes

 

6. Will Aquaman make more than 27.5M?  Yes

7. Will Aquaman make more than 32.5M? No

8. Will Bumblebee make more than 13.5M? Yes

9. Will Bumblebee finish above Spiderverse? Yes

10. Will Holmes and Watson stay in the top 9? Yes

 

11. Will Bohemian Rhapsody have a bigger percentage drop than Mary Queen of Scots? Yes

12. Will Welcome to Marwen drop more than 60%? Yes

13. Will The Mule have a  PTA above $2250? Yes

14. Will The Grinch have the biggest decrease in the top 25? No

15. On what day will Second Act cross $350M domestic? 

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Escape Room make for its 3 day? 18M

2. What will be the percentage change for Grinch? -59.5%

3. What will Poppins make on Saturday? 7.3M

 

 

Part 😄

 

1.  Aquaman

3.  Escape Room

5.  Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse

8.  Second Act

11. If Beale Street Could Talk

13. Mary Queen of Scots

[The Winter Game QOTW Survival Game Thread - Good times are just a click away]

Week 10 - No

[The Winter Game QOTW Survival Game Thread - Good times are just a click away]

Week 9 - No

[Week 8 and 9 - Bumble Poppins in Atlantis]

Part A:

 

1. Will Aquaman Open to more than $64M? Yes

2. Will Aquaman Open to more than $80M? Yes

3. Will Aquaman Open to more than $72M? Yes

4. Will Aquaman's Friday and Saturday be higher than Mary Poppins' 5 day? No

5. Will Aquaman increase on Saturday from its Friday gross without previews? Yes

 

6. Will Bumblebee open to more than $19M?  Yes

7. Will Bumblebee open to more than $24M? Yes

8. Will Will Second Act have a higher PTA than Welcome to Marwan? Yes

9. Will The Favourite make more than Mary Queen of Scots? Yes

10. Will Mortal Instruments stay above Creed? Yes

 

11. Will The Mule have a smaller percentage drop than Ralph? Yes

12. Will Robin hood have a bigger decrease than Hannah Grace? Yes

13. Will Bohemian Rhapsody have a PTA above $1500 Yes

14. Will the top 4 combine to more than $150M? Yes

15. Will Bumblebee drink a refreshingly cool Bud Light? Yes

 

THIS SECTION IS ABOUT CHRISTMAS DAY OF CLOSE TO IT

 

16. Will Aquaman increase more than 110% on Christmas Day? No

17. Will Mary Poppins increase more than 160% on Christmas Day? No

18. Will Bumblebee increase more than 125% on Christmas Day? Yes

19. Will at least two films in the top 10 have a bigger Christmas Day gross than every day from the 21st-24th? Yes

20. Will Holmes and Watson Decrease more than 32.5% on Boxing Day? No

 

THIS SECTION IS ABOUT THE WEEKEND STARTING DECEMBER 28th

 

21. Will Aquaman drop more than 20%?  No

22. Will Mary Poppins increase more than 40%? Yes

23. Will Mary Poppins win the weekend? Yes

24. Will Bumblebee increase? No

25. Will The Grinch increase? No

 

26. Will Holmes and Watson enter in the top 5? Yes

27. Will Green Book increase more than 55%? No

28. Will Ralph finish above the Grinch? No

29. Will Second Act have one of the two worst percentage changes in the top 12? No

30. Will this be the moment that Mortal Engines kicks into gear and saves my preseasons with a monster $20M weekend out of nowhere? No

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Aquaman make for its 3 day? 88.7M

2. What will Spiderman's Percentage drop be? -60%

3. What will Mary Queen of Scots percentage increase be? 206%

 

4. What will Mary Poppins make on Christmas Day? 14.3M

5. What will Bumblebee's percentage change be on Christmas Day? +78.3%

6. What will Holmes and Watson's Domestic total be by the end of its opening weekend? 32M

 

7. What will be the difference between Grinch and Ralph's Weekend grosses on the 28th weekend? 2.1M

8. What will be the difference between The Mule and Instant family's total domestic gross by the end of the weekend of the 28th? 5M

 

Part 😄

 

21st weekend

 

2. Mary Poppins

4. Spider Man

7. Second Act

9. Ralph Breaks the Internet

 

Christmas Day

 

1. Mary Poppins

3. Bumblebee

6. Vice

8. Second Act

 

28th weekend

 

1. Aquaman

4. Bumblebee

7. The Mule

11 Mortal Engines

[The Winter Game QOTW Survival Game Thread - Good times are just a click away]

Week 8: No

[Week 7 -]

Part A:

 

1. Will Spiderverse Open to more than $25M? Yes

2. Will Spiderverse Open to more than $35M? Yes

3. Will Spiderverse Open to more than $30M? Yes

4. Will Mortal Engines open to more than $12M? Yes

5. Will Mortal Engines open to more than $16M? No

 

6. Will The Mule more than $13M?  Yes

7. Will The Mule more than $18M? No

8. Will SPiderverse make more than the two best new entries combined? Yes

9. Will Deadpool make more for its 3 day than the Favorite? Yes

10. Will Vox Lux enter the top 10? No

 

11. Will the top three films all be new entries? No

12. Will Fantastic Beasts stay above Bohemian Rhapsody? No

13. Will Creed have a PTA above $2000 Yes

14. Will Grinch have a better percentage drop than Green Book? No

15. Will this be the moment Sony finally releases the superspy Aunt May character into their Spiderverse? No

 

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Spiderverse make for its 3 day? 37.5M

2. What will be the difference in gross between Mule and Mortal Engines? 6.4M

3. What will Deadpool make on Saturday? 1.65M

 

 

Part 😄

 

2. The Mule

4. The Grinch

6. Creed 2

8. Instant Family

10. Green Book

12. Widows

 

[The Winter Game QOTW Survival Game Thread - Good times are just a click away]

Week 7 - No

[Week 6 - So... Why isn't Alita or something releasing now?]

Part A:

 

1. Will Schindler's List Open to more than $2M? Yes

2. Will Schindler's List Open to more than $4M? No

3. Will Schindler's List Open to more than $3M? No

4. Will Ralph make more than $15M? Yes

5. Will Swimming with Men open to more than 225k? No

 

6. Will Creed 2 make more than $10M?  Yes

7. Will any of the top 5 finish in a different position to last weekend? No

8. Will Robin Hood stay above Green Book? No

9. Will any film in the top 10 drop more than 62%? No

10. Will Bohemian Rhapsody stay above $2000 PTA? Yes

 

11. Will Bohemian Rhapsody overtake Crazy Rich Asians' Domestic total? Yes

12. Will Instant Family increase more than 140% on Friday? Yes

13. Will Hannah Grace increase more than 45% on Saturday? No

14. How many films in the top 10 will not drop a place from their position last weekend? 8

15. Will anything ever be released in cinemas ever again? No

 

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Schindler's List make for its 3 day? 2.4M

2. What will Robin Hood's percentage change be? 42.3%

3. What will Green Book's PTA be for the Weekend? $2847

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. Creed 2

5. Bohemian Rhapsody

7. Green Book

9. Robin Hood

11. A Star is Born

13. The Wife

[SOTM 6 - Building a pyramid of predictions.]

Highest

Bumblebee's China total

Into the Spiderverse domestic total

$80M 

$100M - Arctic Dogs' domestic total 

Lowest

 

 

[The Winter Game QOTW Survival Game Thread - Good times are just a click away]

Week 6 - No

[Week 5 - The Biggest weekend of 2018 is surely incoming]

Part A:

 

1. Will Hannah Grace Open to more than $2.5M? Yes

2. Will Hannah Grace Open to more than $5.25M? Yes

3. Will Hannah Grace Open to more than $3.75M? Yes

4. Will Ralph make more than $30M? No

5. Will Will Hannah Grace make more than 40% of its OW on Friday? Yes

 

6. Will Creed 2 make more than $20M?  No

7. Will Creed and Ralph combine for more than $47.5M? No

8. Will Robin Hood stay above Green Book? No

9. Will Fantastic Beasts and Grinch combined make more than Creed? Yes

10. On what day will Instant Family pass Nutcracker's total (Fri, Sat, Sun, or None - If it does it early everyone wins)? Saturday

 

11. Will Head full of Honey make more than 50k PTA? No

12. Will Robin Hood have a bigger percentage drop than Overlord? Yes

13. Will A star is born increase more than 200% on Friday? No

14. Will Widows drop more than 37% on Sunday? Yes

15. How about this weekend? Will Robin Hood finally have its moment? Yes

 

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Hannah Grace make for its 3 day? 8.3M

2. What will Grinch's percentage change be? -33.8%

3. What will Head full of Honey's PTA be for the Weekend? $16,629

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. Creed 2

4. Fantastic Beasts

6. The Possession of Hannah Grace

8. Instant Family

10. Robin Hood

12. The Nutcracker

[SOTM5 - Fantasy Time is here again]

Full 20,000 - Aquaman   

Full 5,000  - Holmes and Watson

Full 3,000 - The Upside

Full 2,000  - Escape Room

 

 

[The Winter Game QOTW Survival Game Thread - Good times are just a click away]

Week 5 - Yes

[Winter Game Week 4 - Creed Breaks Robin Hood]

Part A: (Everything is 3 day) 

 

1. Will Ralph Open to more than $45M? Yes

2. Will Ralph Open to more than $55M? Yes

3. Will Ralph Open to more than $50M? Yes

4. Will Ralph make more than 2.4x its Wednesday and Thursday for its 3 Day weekend? No

5. Will Ralph Increase on Saturday? No

 

6. Will Creed Open to more than $30M?  Yes

7. Will Robin Hood Open to more than $10M? Yes

8. Will Creed open in the top 2? Yes

9. Will Creed and Robin Hoods combined 5 day totals be higher than Ralph's 3 Day total? Yes

10. Will Robin Hood make more on Wednesday or Sunday? Wednesday

 

11. Will Green Book make more than $5M? No

12. Will Dragon Tattoo drop more than 60%? Yes

13. Will Overlord stay in the top 12? Yes

14. Will Instant Family stay above Widows? Yes

15.  Will Grinch drop less than 15%? No

 

16. Will fantastic beasts drop more than 45% on Sunday? Yes

17. Will Nutcracker have a PTA above $1000? Yes

18. Will A Star is Born be closer to Grinch or Venom's domestic total by the end of Sunday? Grinch

19. Will any non new opener or major expander increase on Saturday? Yes

20. Will Robin Hood? Or won't it? Yes

 

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Ralph make for its 3 day OW? 70M

2. What will Robin Hood's Wed + Thurs be as a percentage of its 3 day? 56.6%

3. What will Overlord's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $951

 

 

Part 😄

 

2. Creed

3. Fantastic Beasts

5.  Bohemian Rhapsody

7. Widows

10. Nutcracker

12. Overlord

[SOTM 4 - The traditional overs and unders affair - Deadline Same as weekend deadline]

1. Creed 2 - Too low

2. Robin Hood - Too low

3. Possession of Hannah Grace - Too low

4. Mortal Engines - Too low

5. The Mule - Too low

 

6. Bumblebee - Too low

7. Second Act - Too high

8. Vice - Half

9. Escape Room - Too low

10. The Upside - Double 

 

PART B:

 

Here are 10 questions: 

 

1. Which film will be the lowest grossing except Hannah Grace? Vice

2. Which film will be the highest grossing without making more than $100M? The Mule

3. Will exactly four films make the Domestic top 15? No

4. Will any film double its predicted gross? Yes

5. Will any film fail to reach half of its predicted gross? Yes

 

6. Will the actual combined total gross for the films be higher or lower than the predicted total gross? Higher

7. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's best prediction? Second Act

8. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's worst prediction? Possession of Hannah Grace

9. How many of these films will open in the number 1 position? Two

10. Will 4 or more of these films open in 5th or lower? Yes

[The Winter Game QOTW Survival Game Thread - Good times are just a click away]

Week 4 - Yes

[Winter Game Week 3 - Fantastic Films and Where to Find Them]

Part A:

 

1. Will Fatastic Beasts Open to more than $65M? Yes

2. Will Fantastic Beasts Open to more than $80M? No

3. Will Fantastic Beasts Open to more than $72.5M? No

4. Will Widows Open to more than $14M? Yes

5. Will Widows Open to more than $17.5M? No

 

6. Will Instant Family open to more than $14.5M?  Yes

7. Will Green Book have a PTA above $17,500? Yes

8. Will Bohemian Rhapsody stay in the top 4? Yes

9. Will Grinch make more than half of Fantastic Beasts' weekend total? Yes

10. Will Nutcracker stay above Star is Born? No

 

11. Will Halloween's PTA stay above $1,500? No

12. Will Overlord have a bigger percentage drop than Spider's Web? No

13. Will A Private War enter the top 10? No

14. Will Smallfoot drop below the top 16? Yes

15. Will Johnny Depp transform into somebody more GA friendly by the end of the film? I dunno maybe Mel Gibson? Yes

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Fantastic Beasts make for its 3 day? 70M

2. What will Nutcracker's percentage change be? -53%

3. What will Venom's PTA be for the Weekend? $1,905

 

 

Part 😄

 

3.  Instant Family 

4. Bohemian Rhapsody

6. A Star is Born

8. Nutcracker

10. The Girl In The Spider's Web

12. A Private War

[The Winter Game QOTW Survival Game Thread - Good times are just a click away]

Week 3 - Yes

[Winter Game Week 2 -]

Part A:

 

1. Will The Grinch Open to more than $65M? No

2. Will The Grinch Open to more than $72.5M? No

3. Will Spider's Web Open to more than $11M? No

4. Will Spider's Web Open to more than $15M? No

5. Will the top three new entries combine to more than $90M? Yes

 

6. Will Overlord open in the top 5?  Yes

7. Will Bohemian Rhapsody drop less than 45%? No

8. Will A Star is Born finish within $1.5M of Nutcracker? No

9. Will Goosebumps stay above The hate you Give? No

10. Will Hunter Killer have a bigger percentage drop than Halloween? Yes

 

11. Will Venom's PTA stay above $2,000? No

12. Will First Man drop more than 62.5%? No

13. Will Nobody's Fool stay in the top 7? Yes

14. Will Beautiful Boy increase more than 25% from last weekend? No

15. Will Cumberbatch at any point make a person kiss a dog's anus? Yes

 

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Grinch make for its 3 day? 56M

2. What will Halloween's percentage change be? -57.4%

3. What will Smallfoot's PTA be for the Weekend? $1,301

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. The Nutcracker

4. Overlord

6. A Star is Born

8. Venom

9. Halloween

11. Beautiful Boy

 

[The Winter Game QOTW Survival Game Thread - Good times are just a click away]

Week 2 - Yes

[Winter Game Week 1 - It this the real game? Is This just Fantasy? - Deadline Thursday 11:59pm Forum Time]

Part A:

 

1. Will Bohemian Rhapsody Open to more than $35M? Yes

2. Will Bohemian Rhapsody Open to more than $50M? No

3. Will Bohemian Rhapsody Open to more than $42.5M? No

4. Will Bohemian Rhapsody make more than Nobody's Fool and Nutcracker Combined? Yes

5. Will Bohemian Rhapsody have a higher PTA than Suspiria? Yes

 

6. Will Nobody's Fool Open to more than $12M?  Yes

7. Will Nobody's Fool Open to more than $16M? No

8. Will Nutcracker Open to more than $18M? Yes

9. Will Nutcracker Open to more than $22.5M? Yes

10. Will Nobody's Fool have a higher PTA than Nutcracker? Yes

 

11. Will Beautiful Boy make more this weekend than Suspiria? Yes

12. Will Halloween stay in the top 3? No

13. Will Hunter Killer stay above First Man? Yes

14. Will Goosebumps have a bigger percentage drop than Littlefoot? Yes

15. Will Hate You Give stay in the top 8? Yes

 

16. Will First Man increase more than 60% on Saturday? No

17. Will Venom have a PTA above $2000? Yes

18. Will A Star is Born finish the weekend within $2.5M of Halloween? No

19. Will The top 5 make more than $100M? Yes

20. Will Bohemian Rhapsody mean to make you cry? No

 

 

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Bohemian Rhapsody make for its 3 day OW? 48.2M

2. What will Hunter Killer's Sunday gross be? $983,000

3. What will Night School's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $1,240

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

1. Bohemian Rhapsody

2. The Nutcracker

4. Nobody's Fool

6. Venom

9. Hunter Killer

11. Beautiful Boy

 

[SOTM 3 - Oscars are all around Me]

1 Mary Poppins

2 Widows

3 Vice

4 The Mule

5 Green Book

6 Fantastic Beasts

7 The Favourite

[SOTM 1 - International Insanity - Deadline: Start of Game]

20M - Aquaman - Germany

40M - Ralph Breaks the Internet- Japan

60M - Mary Poppins Returns - UK

80M - Fantastic Beasts - China

100M -  Aquaman - China