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cgold

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Posts posted by cgold

  1. There was something wrong with the marketing for The Hobbit, in my opinion. I think because of the success of LOTR they didn't really think they had to oversell this thing. It was very lackluster with little attempt to find a new audience. It held zero interest for me and that's coming from someone who obsessively watched all the LOTR films in theatres and even watched the extended DVDs of the 3 films in one day. The only thing that made me remotely interested is the fact that I found Lee Pace sexy in BD 2 and I wanted to see more of him and that's it. Perhaps I'm not the best judge though because some movies that I think are advertised awfully do go on to do well. Also, I wouldn't quite count out The Hobbit yet because movies opening in December do tend to have longer legs than normal so who knows. Maybe it will pick up.

  2. Did you read the book? Friends tell me there is no climax. Male-oriented? It's going to have awful WOM from that demo, if they even turn up at all unless they change the book. I think it'll struggle to $300m.

    I'm not saying it's going to make it to $300m. Just that it has a good chance especially because of finale effect. Eclipse had a 65/35% female to male ratio and that movie only had one fight scene. BD2 will have the training scenes with all the new vamps which will be action oriented plus the film added a new action scene near the climax that's not in the book (at least that's the rumour). So that's already one more than Eclipse. The love stories are also resolved and some scenes with Charlie will probably be fun. Plus Bella as a vamp is kinda into rough sex so that might be interesting too. It might be able to get that 35% male demo again and depending on reviews (Eclipse is 65% with top critics) it might have slightly stronger legs than usual. All Twilight movies have poor legs so nothing new in terms of WOM. Idk, we'll se how it goes.
  3. Wait, it's 2012 and people here STILL question Twilight's box office?

    Everytime there's a new Twilight coming out I think the interest is waining and it still does steady box office. The audience is simply there. The trailer views for BD2 broke records:

    http://www.deadline.com/2012/06/twilight-saga-finale-already-breaks-record/

    Summit Entertainment’s 24-hour-old debut of the new teaser trailer for the last of this annoyingly anticipated Twilight Saga films, Breaking Dawn Part 2 which releases November 16th, is already breaking records. It debuted exclusively on Yahoo and received 7 million views within the first day, the most ever for a trailer viewed on Yahoo.

    Also, Harry Potter and DH was split in 2 and DH1 actually had the least audience for any Potter film. Some people just don't go to the first halves of movies when they're split. The same could happen here. Whether I'm feeling the hype or not I've given up doubting the audience for Twilight movies. They seem very loyal to the series. I'm not saying it's going to make $300m but this is an action packed Twilight and the last male oriented Twilight film, Eclipse, did $300m and this one will have more action than that so my bets are on it making that as well even though it will not be a summer release.
  4. From ERC: https://www.facebook.com/ercboxoffice

    MIB 3 probed $38.3M overseas this weekend & is now the franchise's top grossing film internationally w/ $352M. Worldwide cume is $487M.

    ETA: How do you delete posts

    Anyway, I do hope it makes it to $450. I wonder if they will make a next one soon? The marketing for this film did not seem over elaborate and if they manage to control costs the next time it would be a lot more profitable.

  5. From THR:

    Overseas, however, Sony's Men in Black 3 won the weekend, grossing a strong $78.6 million in its sophmore session for a worldwide total of $386.9 million. Domestically, the pic placed No. 2 with a pleasing $29.3 million.

    YES! FUCK YES!

    RTX, where r ya? :P

    Yay! As one of the few people hoping for MIB 4 I'm delighted it's holding well. :P
  6. Both Matt Damon and Brad Pitt are poor comparisons because both were break out stars that catapulted them into worldwide fame. Taylor Kitsch never had that. These projects were probably supposed to do that.However, I agree that Taylor can definitely still have a career. It is just that he won't be trusted with $200m blockbusters for a while until he proves he can be successful in much smaller projects.

  7. I'm still not confident this will beat THG. Unlike Twilight and Harry Potter, THG behaved normally over the weekend and had very good legs for Saturday and Sunday. I guess we'll know more once the Friday estimates come in.

  8. See, I agree with this to a point, but as you know fish, there really aren't many true stars anymore. How many people really open a film on name alone? Sandler, Smith (although he hasn't made a film for about 75 years now it seems) Denzel, Streep and who? Who can open a film on name alone? Stallone, The Rock, Clooney, Willis, Tatum? Maybe but not sure. So Hollywood has to continue taking risks with projects like this. Short of putting an ensemble together every single film, stuff like this is bound to happen from time to time.

    Certain actors can open certain types of films. Almost none can open a romantic drama really well. They often get killed by critics and audiences don't seem to appreciate them as much anymore. Will Smith of the past seems to be the only actor that could open most genres well enough. I think MIB will do relatively well and his kid's stuff has done well too so I think he's still the number 1 box office draw at this moment. It could change
  9. I'm not surprised Think Like A Man will be number 1 again this week. Watched it last week and it was tonnes of fun. I can see it getting good word of mouth. Not surprised 5 Year Engagement is underperforming (for now) because the TV ads were pretty uninteresting and with TLAM dominating the comedic audience and The Lucky One eating away at the romantics, I don't think it's a good time for this release because the TV ads didn't imply that there was a lot of bawdiness like Bridesmaids or anything to differentiate itself. In fact, my main surprise is that it's doing a bit better (for now) than the Mandy Moore/John Krasinski License to Wed. I can't see it having better legs though, not with the Summer season starting with the Avengers and every movie hitting after that being a big one which will need the theatre seats.

  10. I've been watching the box office this year and most movies have been doing better than expected. I think this trend will last through the summer. I must say I'm surprised Battleship opened so huge overseas but the overseas market has always responded to these big action movies. They saved Pirates of the Caribbean, Transformers, etc. I'm also wondering if Rihanna being a part of the cast was a huge help? I've noticed that Katy Perry being in the Smurfs and just Justin Bieber's Never Say Never caused the box office to do much better than expected.

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