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Posts posted by RTX
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Not a good number. Way harsher than Avengers 1 and even IM3. 500m is dead and gone. Fuck American box office.
I guess it's back to reality with this stupid franchise.
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I really didn't care about this flick, and don't plan on watching it. But I have to say: it's overseas performance has been stunning! Absolutely stunning!
Especially for a 2D movie. Especially considering how strong the dollar is right now. Just WOW.
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Wow, can't believe TF4 has already passed 200M in China!
That's the way its done, America!
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American moviegoing is dying. That's the only thing I can say.
It was supposed to be a deflated Friday, then films were to jump 60% on Saturday. Instead, we got a deflated weekend?
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But why are the Saturday increases so low, when films are supposed to be up by 50-60%?
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So 39-40m weekend. Not bad. Could still reach 250m as long as it doesn't crash next weekend.
250M is locked, even if it does crash next weekend.
TF2 had 2.6 multiplier from its second weekend (when July 4th fell on Saturday). Using this multiplier yields 270+ final total for TF4.
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Fri looking like AOE 10.7-9,Tam 6.4,HTTYD2/ETE 2.8,DUFE/22j 2.5,Malef 2,JB 1.9,TLAM2 1.4,Ame/EOT 1
Pretty low jumps on Friday all around. I'm now looking for a 3.85 weekend multiplier.
41.5M weekend - here we come!
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How on earth will it gross 45M from 9.45M thursday which is already like a friday!!!!
Expect Friday to be up by 20%, and then a HUGE (50-60%) jump on Saturday.
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Am I the only one who gets the impression that AUS box office is just weak this year in general?
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If Trans4 is 9.7 wouldnt that put it on pace for about 36-37 mill?
Based on dailies from a corresponding week in 2008, Friday should increase by 10-30%.
I expect a weekend multiplier of 3.7.
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This is not a rocket science but a projection. That is still within range (+/- 5%).
Remember, the actual Tuesday gross for TF4 was probably 400K higher than reported by Paramount. So, rth underestimated it by as much as 10%.
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8m for TF4? That's kinda mediocre right? Or normal? I'm clueless when it comes to the July 4th holiday when it comes to BO. It's all over the place and it changes year to year on what to expect.
That's a great number for TF4. Thursday should be up by at least 30%.
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10,410,443They stole 370k.
That's a great number for TF4!
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BoxOffice@BoxOfficeFollow
TRANSFORMERS: AGE OF EXTINCTION opened with $100.04M this weekend. #Transformers4 #AgeOfExtinction
[*]
Take it, haters!
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As for TF4 it will have the biggest OW of 2014 by virtue of taking half of the existing screens and having close to zero competition at the start of the summer holidays. Consider also South Korea's box office is much bigger than when TF2 or TF3 was released. If you think such a decrease is a win then suit yourself.
I don't see the indications of SK market rapidly growing, in fact in terms of admissions, all three TF movies had very similar sales in SK. Perhaps the tickets got more expensive?
TF3 had one extraordinary opening in SK, but it was also much more frontloaded than previous films, and it's easy to see why: finale factor and the novelty of being the first TF film in 3D.
It's to early call TF4 a flop in SK, it may well be less frontloaded than TF3.
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Australia has let Transformers down.
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TF4 has a very disappointed comments from people who's already seen it. Drop will be huge on the next week.
With no major releases next week, 60% drop is the most I see. It will be nearing 40m by the end of next weekend.
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Regardless of whether or not it hits my prediction of 1b OS, it will be the biggest movie of the year by far.
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I told you all this was gonna happen even if tomorrow it is gonna decrease a good 3-4M.
The number will be fudged if necessary.
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I'm just saying it the way it is, I have nothing against TF4. Fact is it's going to decrease by a wide margin from TF3. For a normal film these would be very good numbers yes but given the huge number of screens allocated to it and that it's nearest competitor is in it's 4th week of release (=zero competition) it's hard to argue that these are good numbers for TF4.
lol I remember you from BOM forums, you were just as negative about TF3 performance back then.
TF4 is doing fine. Pretty sure, this is the biggest opening of the year by far.
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TF3 dropped over 50% despite a Wednesday opening, and the weekend this year will be deflated by the 4th falling on Friday. I'm seeing at least a 60% drop, maybe close to 65%.
Dude. 50% was an excellent second weekend drop.
Only Friday will get somewhat deflated. But Thursday could get a big boost.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2008-07-03&p=.htm
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In hindsight, it was unrealistic to expect an increase from Friday - midnights. This is late June.
Should drop around 20-25% on Sunday, and 50-55% on Monday.
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Faith in a third crappy sequel to a crappy sequel to a crappy sequel? Uh...OK.
No, I wasn't talking about these damn Spider man movies. Never cared about them.
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No chance in hell, will be closer to 200m than 300m IMO
Have a little faith.
Thurs: (RTH)| SA 3.5 | Entour 1.9 | PP2/MMFR 1.3 | TL 1.2 |
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Lousy numbers all around.