RTX
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Thurs: (RTH)| SA 3.5 | Entour 1.9 | PP2/MMFR 1.3 | TL 1.2 |
RTX replied to abra's topic in Numbers and Data
Lousy numbers all around. -
MONDAY ACTUALS: AGE OF ULTRON - 13.23M (Normal -74% Drop)
RTX replied to Noctis's topic in Numbers and Data
I guess it's back to reality with this stupid franchise. -
I really didn't care about this flick, and don't plan on watching it. But I have to say: it's overseas performance has been stunning! Absolutely stunning! Especially for a 2D movie. Especially considering how strong the dollar is right now. Just WOW.
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That's the way its done, America!
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American moviegoing is dying. That's the only thing I can say. It was supposed to be a deflated Friday, then films were to jump 60% on Saturday. Instead, we got a deflated weekend?
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But why are the Saturday increases so low, when films are supposed to be up by 50-60%?
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250M is locked, even if it does crash next weekend. TF2 had 2.6 multiplier from its second weekend (when July 4th fell on Saturday). Using this multiplier yields 270+ final total for TF4.
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Pretty low jumps on Friday all around. I'm now looking for a 3.85 weekend multiplier. 41.5M weekend - here we come!
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Expect Friday to be up by 20%, and then a HUGE (50-60%) jump on Saturday.
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Am I the only one who gets the impression that AUS box office is just weak this year in general?
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Based on dailies from a corresponding week in 2008, Friday should increase by 10-30%. I expect a weekend multiplier of 3.7.
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Remember, the actual Tuesday gross for TF4 was probably 400K higher than reported by Paramount. So, rth underestimated it by as much as 10%.
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That's a great number for TF4. Thursday should be up by at least 30%.
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That's a great number for TF4!
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Take it, haters!
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I don't see the indications of SK market rapidly growing, in fact in terms of admissions, all three TF movies had very similar sales in SK. Perhaps the tickets got more expensive? TF3 had one extraordinary opening in SK, but it was also much more frontloaded than previous films, and it's easy to see why: finale factor and the novelty of being the first TF film in 3D. It's to early call TF4 a flop in SK, it may well be less frontloaded than TF3.
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Australia has let Transformers down.
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With no major releases next week, 60% drop is the most I see. It will be nearing 40m by the end of next weekend.
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Regardless of whether or not it hits my prediction of 1b OS, it will be the biggest movie of the year by far.
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The number will be fudged if necessary.
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lol I remember you from BOM forums, you were just as negative about TF3 performance back then. TF4 is doing fine. Pretty sure, this is the biggest opening of the year by far.
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Dude. 50% was an excellent second weekend drop. Only Friday will get somewhat deflated. But Thursday could get a big boost. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2008-07-03&p=.htm
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In hindsight, it was unrealistic to expect an increase from Friday - midnights. This is late June. Should drop around 20-25% on Sunday, and 50-55% on Monday.
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No, I wasn't talking about these damn Spider man movies. Never cared about them.
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Have a little faith.
