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Posts posted by Rovex
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My opinion of it hasnt changed that much. It is much much better than i expected, but it has weaknesses. Its a very good comic book movie, but its not a masterpiece. I don't have a great desire to see it again, but im glad i did see it.People are caught up in its 'awesomeness' right now, but it wont be considered a classic, i dont think.
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I cant believe people are still saying this will beat Avatar. It wont Avatars run is freakish in a way this just wont be. This is just a larger opening normal running film. It will still drop more and more each weekend, Avatar didnt. 600M is likely if it goes over 100M this weekend, but 700M? No way, it has too much competition in coming weeks. There is no reason to think this will be taking £20M at the weekends in July
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My graph shows that Avatars run is much more entertaining than the movie itself.
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I have to admit that id rather rewatch TA than Avatar at any time, but Avatar is a movie you use to show off your TV.
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It does need a big TV to work, luckily i have a 50 inch 3D plasma at the end of my bed!
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Updated with Friday estimates.
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TDK didnt have the build up this did. The previous film was ok, not stunning and TDKs anticipation was way lower, it was driven by the whole Ledger thing and WOM.I think it will be in the 525-565 range, but talk of $650-700M is madness. Its weekday drops will be too big for a 600+ total.I don't see how that differs from TDK.
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Perhaps, but why should it? I think its more front loaded than that, remember its a modern event movie. Yes it appeals to many, but its also fanboi driven, its broader appeal is whats stopping it having Twilight/potter drops until after the second weekend. Its just a feeling, but i think it will drop hard after 10 days or so.I dont mind in the least if it does pass TDK, but i dont want it to pass Titanic.As I stated in another thread, if TA just performs in the middle of X2 and IM1 from here it makes 600m+. I think TDK's total is more probable than just possible.
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I still think TA will drop harder than TDK from here on out. It might be close, but its not going much over TDK DOM total, IF it gets there.
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It would be poetic if all three lines converge at about day 28/29.. I doubt it though, it does look like TA will finish above TDK.
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Better?Nice conveniant way of stopping the graph right as AVATAR was about to overtake TDK!.
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True, but copy/paste gets boring after a while! I will extend it. It does show how steady Avatar was, and that TDK was reasonably smooth in its drops. So far TA is a weekend movie, although we have only had one..The fun part of that graph happens from days 29-60.
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A little graph, doesnt say much yet, but i will update it.
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It seems your definition of acting ability is based on whether the actor/actress meets with your aesthetic approval, rather than if they are actually a good actor/actress or not.She was great as Pepper in IM. here, she looked incredibly old. I don`t know what happened. perhaps that childish hair? I dunno. I thought she was a fug here.
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Your not no.. others seem to be.Just trying to calm it down. I still think it will be frontloaded for a Marvel movie even within the OW. Its likely less people will see this than THG DOM. Thats a sobering thought.Wait a minute, who here said it would challenge Avatar or Titanic or TDK?I never knew movie grosses had a limit. I thought if they got an A+ cinemascore then they would make 500M+ guaranteed.I think people get this and this seems like an overreaction. I would be happy with 400M-odd. I'm not even thinking about anything beyond that right now regardless of the cinemascore.
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Whatever the CS all movies have a limit to their gross. Even if it was 100% on RT 10 on IMDB and A++++++ on CS there are enough people who wont go to see it 'because its a stupid campy comic book film' (fair comment or not) to prevent it challenging something like Titanic or Avatar. I doubt it would ever have a chance at passing TDK either, however good it is because of this natural limitation.
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Well to a degree but its not a very fine scale.
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Yeah i mean its good, but its not a masterpiece or anything. Its no TDK either. Remember that the RT score is a % of who liked it, how much they liked it isnt factored in. I really liked it after seeing it, but now ive had a week to think about it i like it less.My problem with it is that it has no killer punch. It has no new tech, no 'Cameroneque' feel, no genius performances. Everything is good, but nothing is brilliant..lolI loved the movie but already there's a lot of people who think it wasn't as good as the reviews made it out to be, of course CS means everything though. We should start selling our houses and buying more Marvel stock.
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Good WOM or not i still think this is going to be more front loaded than the Marvel norm and it will sell less tickets DOM than TDKR or THG with there being a realistic chance of it selling less than TH.
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Thor deserved more, Capt deserved less, so half right.
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While Marvel usually skews older and therefore backloaded i think the anticipation for this will pull it further forward. It wont be Potter forward, but it wont hold as well as IM, even Friday to Saturday and Saturday to Sunday.. Its still going north of 150M though, say about $158.3M?
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Could it be a good movie? Sure, why not. Would it flop? Hell yes.
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The problem is these films appeal to people who THINK they are smarter than everyone else, but arent. If anything they are dumber.Seen CITW, left me cold as pretty much everything Whedon has been involved with has. Mind you ive never seen a movie i couldn't follow, or didn't get the 'surprise' in.Mainstream doesn`t like self-congratulatory ain`t-we-smarter-than-ayone-else high concept that Internet geeks brag about getting while no one else does. It isn`t about getting something or not. It`s about what looks smart to minority, it looks stupid to majority. I said flat out it sounded stupid. So I`m an averige Jane Multiplex, not smarter than other averiges and looks like they feel the same. Couple that with the fact that horror comedies aren`t popular and comedy was not played up in trailers or that "comedy" was, as Cocho points out, pop cultural references, and you see why mixed to negative WOM.
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I dont think anyone who likes twilight is an idiot (i DO think those that get over excited and cry at the trailers are idiots), but im shocked an adult cant see how shallow and ridiculous they are. I am a fan of Vampire mythology and i find them a mortally offensive insult.Having said that i suppose adults believe a lot of ridiculous things. So perhaps I shouldn't be THAT shocked.
Weekend estimates thread TA 103,052,274!!
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Updated with weekend Estimates..