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Louis Lux

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    7/1/13 MON ACTUALS: MU - 7.9M; Heat - 5.3M; WWZ - 4.3M; WHD - 3.05M; MoS - 3.04M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Funny story; I had Brad Bird direct my CAYOM Justice League movie since he's great with ensembles. :P I'd much rather had his version of Man of Steel or a Superman origin movie in general; he's already made two fantastic pseudo-Superman movies, might as well give him a shot at the real deal.

    Yes, he's got major cred in the genre. Comic book fans would be delighted if he got the gig, and WB should see that in the right hands it's a 2B dollar movie waiting to happen.

    7/1/13 MON ACTUALS: MU - 7.9M; Heat - 5.3M; WWZ - 4.3M; WHD - 3.05M; MoS - 3.04M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    7 PM shows included in the next day's gross...SMH. Hollywood is getting away with some Enron accounting on this shit.

    That way catching fire might pull off a 100M opening day.

     

    Incredibles, Ratatouille, Wall-E & Toy Story are my favorites from Pixar.

     

    Never seen Monsters Inc or Finding Nemo ;)

     

    Monsters and Nemo are much more geared toward children than the other Pixar movie IMO. Toy Story, Wall-e and incredibles are among Pixar more mature movies.

     

    A superman movie by Brad Bird would be great, maybe he'll still do it. Justice League anyone? 

    Weekend Actuals 6/28-6/30

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    So when bo.com says mos budget is 300 million they surely dont mean the marketing for that was just 80 mill?

    It's an estimative just like every other figure given. They're generally a bit more conservative than other media coverage sites, but personally I feel that some budget reports are wildly over estimated. Studios get tax rebates and make promotional deals that probably offset some of the budget costs.

    Wknd Est: MU - 46.1M; The Heat - 40M; WWZ - 29.8M; WHD - 25.7M; MoS - 20.8M; (pg 104)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Louis Lux

    That may be true, but there's no actual way of knowing that IM3 would've had better legs were it released at a different time of the summer. 

     

    IMO we can. the HP series has remained fairly constant even with very different release dates, if we compare HP3 and HP4 their weekend multiplier are quite different but their seven day multiplier are almost identical. Same for HP7 and HP8 their seven day multiplier are much closer than their three day multiplier. The obvious conclusion is that including weekdays to measure legs is much more accurate.

    Wknd Est: MU - 46.1M; The Heat - 40M; WWZ - 29.8M; WHD - 25.7M; MoS - 20.8M; (pg 104)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    None of that matters. The multipliers are what they are. No getting around it. We've seen movies have great legs in the face of competition before. IM3 could've done it. It didn't. 

    Depending on the time of the year movies behave dramatically different, so all this talk of weekend multipliers is plain dumb. The more balanced way to do it is comparing the first seven days, why exclude the weekdays?

    Wknd Est: MU - 46.1M; The Heat - 40M; WWZ - 29.8M; WHD - 25.7M; MoS - 20.8M; (pg 104)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    So if MoS makes 18M, 300M is done.19M means its a lock.Interesting analysis.

     

    People are failing in their analyses of MOS, they expect the drops to remain this big but they're bound to get lower and stabilize.

     

    The summer Harry Potter movies grossed an average of 61M after 17 days in theaters.

    The Transformer movies grossed an average of 73M after 17 days in theaters.

     

    Man of Steel is behaving more like the HP movies but a little better, with 248M after 17 days in theaters it looks like it is headed for a 310M total -/+ 5M.

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    Wknd Est: MU - 46.1M; The Heat - 40M; WWZ - 29.8M; WHD - 25.7M; MoS - 20.8M; (pg 104)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Louis Lux

    Almost 20 pages since Nikki's numbers were posted and I'm still scratching my head over her MOS weekend "guesstimation".  The weekend number has a range of 6? but her cum range is 15m?  Someone help me understand!!

     

    Basically it's all a bunch of poppycock. Her 6-9 range for friday would mean anywhere from 18-32 for the weekend, that's some mad range right there.

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