Louis Lux
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Posts posted by Louis Lux
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Why the fuck does catwoman open the tunnel again?
If you start asking questions while watching TDKR you'll probably get a headache
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Well that is better then her "estimate"
Yes, she is on some serious crack. Nobody pointed out but a 9M friday for MOS would mean a 30M weekend which is just absurd.
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Okay so what do you guys think the numbers are going to be-not what Nikki's "rough" estimates are.
Not much thought:
1 MU 14/46
2 Heat 16/40
3 WWZ 10/33
4 WHD 11/29
5 MOS 6/19
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Well 50m was on the table last weekend. So you really can't go by their estimates. Although, I do say it has a good chance at 20m. Just depends on how the Heat and WHD opens and WWZ holds.
Competition was really brutal though with a combined opening of 150M, the new releases this week will be lucky to reach half of that.
mos run is very similiar to prisoner of AzkabanJust look at this chart of azkaban numbers compared to mos numbersIf it keeps a similar run; it will make make 40-60 million more than azkaban putting final between 279 and 299
Disagree. The gap between POA and MOS has been steadily climbing and stands now at 55M. So if it keeps the same pace than a 56-66 million gap will occur placing MOS total between 305,5M and 315,5M.
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Alright, what should it be able to do this weekend with that kind of drop? Is $20 still at play?
BO.com and BOM are both predicting over 20M for MOS and it's definetely on the table. 18M-19M would be quite alright too.
I hope MOS gets a nice bump this week so it can save some face and finish over 310M (over Superman II adjusted).
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The Croods has had an amazing run.
Indeed, and with a probable 600M worldwide total we better get ready to the Croods 4 in 2020
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With a crowded May and July those end of the month releases are getting shafted on OW. The heat will probably play well in the coming weeks, not so sure about WHD.
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I'm talking box office numbers and using previous data from a reboot to back up my claims and hit the nail in the head with my predictions. Again, what else do you got despite personal attacks?
Did you even read what I said? You are comparing MOS with TASM, fine I don't disagree with that fact. I just disagree with your conclusion since after 17 days in theaters TASM grossed an additional 45M, if the same happens with MOS it is sure to gross at least 290M. But taking the unfotunate circunstances involving TASM's remaining run I would say MOS is better positioned.
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Kent, since you're so keen to compare MOS to TASM.
MOS 17-day gross without 4th July and without July weekdays will be around 245M
TASM 17-day gross with 4th July and with July weekdays was around 217M
If MOS has the exact same run as TASM from now on MOS we'll gross an additional 45M putting its final gross around 290M.
Except it won't be the same cause MOS still has the 4th of July holyday and the slightly better july weekdays. Also after TASM 17th day the shooting occured and it competed with TDKR wich probably stripped some 20M off of TASM final gross.
So I don't see how you can compare the 2 and expect less than 300M from MOS.
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It really is quite an unhealthy obsession worrying about MOS day to day numbers for many of you.. What more do you want at this point?? It's facing even more competition over the weekend...
Well, when a very peculiar movie like MOS comes a long it's nice to keep an eye out for it from a purely observational point. MOS had a very big OW that defied expectations based on past reboots performances but it hasn't been holding that well so far.
If MOS misses out on 310M than it will be one of the worst performing reboots and will be the first movie outside the twilight and Harry Potter franchises to do so after earning more than 190M in its first ten days.
From what I can tell MOS is performing like a sort of sequel to TDKR, same thing happened to IM3 and its a fairly new B.O. trend from what I can tell.
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You're not making much sense ikent. TASM despite a steep third week drop due to TDKR had a decent run and if MOS has a similar run than 315M+ is pretty much a given.
MOS had a very competitive second weekend and a huge opening, it doesn't necessarily mean it's going into free fall. You're just expecting the worst for the sake of it. Pacific RIm will open July 12, I wouldn't put past MOS to reach your 285M estimate by then.
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I'm thinking $240-$245 by Sunday, and from there it will have steam to pull more $30m, $40m DOM.
If by next sunday MOS is over 250M than it is guaranteed to gross over 300M
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Shutter Island is garbage
The Departed is garbage and would have fit in better at the Razzies. Any other BP nominee would have deserved it more, not to mention films like Pan's Labyrinth and Children of Men that weren't even nominated.
I find myself disliking a lot of movies from Scorcese too. I guess I just don't like his directing style since I feel I would like his movies otherwise.
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I don't think MoS gets to $300m. I see $290mil.
...That would be worse than the two Harry Potter movies just above MOS 10-day gross (without the 12M from Walmart). So I would be really surprised if that was the case since the HP series have a huge rush factor.
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WALMART has seven letters...
Considering everyone dropped a good deal this wednesday, MOS 21% drop is not so bad.
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-Zack Snyder is a great director
-Style and design are important to how immersive and ultimately good a movie is
-Sucker Punch denounced female oppression in genre media and not contributed to it
-Usual Suspects is a terrible movie
-Not that unpopular but has to be said, Superman Returns is bland, forgettable and as farthest from Superman as it could possibly be
-Transformers, 300 and Constantine are all pretty good blockbusters
-Avatar is so pretentious and preachy that it is impossible to rewatch
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Yes it's a sequel with a built in audience from both fans of the first and TF fans. It did just fine. After second weekend it's drops we're similar to the first and sometimes better
Which sequel doesn't have a built in audience though? The fact that it had worse legs than every other blockbuster sequel except the notoriously frontloaded HP and Twilight series and the terribly received Hangover II should be enough to call it a movie with bad WOM.
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actually it did just fine for a sequel with a rush factor.
What would be "just fine"? Having slightly better legs than HP, Twilight and Hangover II? Cause I don't think so.
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That's because ROTF didn't have bad WOM. That's a fallacy.
It actually did have poor WOM, or was at least quite front loaded.
It has the 3rd best 7-day gross ever but falls to 15th in the all time domestic charts, that's pretty bad IMO.
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So your under 40 WWZ thread was just for the lulz?
Brazil
Mexico 
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$12.5m? What happened to all that $13-$14m talk?Good number, but that $500k-$1m more would've made a huge difference in what to expect this week and weekend.
I was probably the only one to suggest 14M
. 12.5M is an outstanding number, best non-holliday monday for a non-sequel. -
Can't remember a Studio changing estimates like that... MOS has been all kinds of weird so far.
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This is june people, smaller weekends and bigger weekdays. MOS is bound to have a 2.7-3.0 multiplier. Plus is not a sequel which normally have a rush factor.
With the superhero genre so hot right now I'm pretty confident about Wonder Woman's Box Office prospects
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I want Alison Brie as WW
Lol, she has the looks and is smoking hot. But she's probably too short and too much of a goofball.
I love that woman though.
Wknd Est: MU - 46.1M; The Heat - 40M; WWZ - 29.8M; WHD - 25.7M; MoS - 20.8M; (pg 104)
in Numbers and Data
Posted · Edited by Louis Lux
Depending on the impact of DM2 it might be a really close race. A 310M total is possible for both.