GuardianDevil
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Posts posted by GuardianDevil
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2 hours ago, MrPink said:
Dammit on my iPad, don't kick me while I'm down in this forsaken hellhole called Texas
I don't know about other Texas cities,but San Antonio had 127 showings tonight.
I went to a show at 10:30 were even the front row was taken.
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You young bucks have nothing on us "old timers".
We are dealing with shit like the fact Titanic turns 20 years old,Spaceballs turns 30 and Star Wars Turns 40.
Take your Juno/Superbad feels and go update your MySpace page.
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I just read all 26 pages of this thread in one sitting.
Blankments, the opening for LBM is fine. It was never gonna be a tentpole. $200 million might still be in play,but if not its not the marketing. Also brace yourself,because Ninjago is going to struggle to break 100 million,much less be a big hit on par with anything put out by WDAS,Pixar or Illumination. It could do as bad as Planes.
John Wick 2 is doing fantastic because the first film broke out on home media. 25 to 30+ was never a bad estimate. Even if it ends up frontloaded,it will still likely finish on par with The Accountant.It might even go past The Equalizer and truly break out. I'm stoked for this film and it is my top choice this weekend.
Also,wtf Hidden Figures? That is a sick hold!
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Yuck.
Rogue One and Doctor Strange should have just re expanded this weekend ala The Arrival and Passengers.
What a crap weekend.
Next weekend will be hot though.
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I am one of the saps who contributed to the gross of Yoga Hosers.
Kevin Smith hasn't even released the grosses for it,but all evidence points to it being just north of $30,000.
I didn't even go to the Events screening with the live QA,this was the general release.
I feel bad because I made my wife and sister go too,so the three of us all contributed to that trainwreck.
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This is all very simple.
People nowadays have access. That's it. Access to high quality,Blu Ray level streams of the media they want to watch.
It was bad enough when Napster allowed everyone to download music,but look at the effect that had on the music industry. If your name wasn't Beyonce or Kanye no one was paying for your actual media,just downloading it for free.
Look at the grosses for movies in 2016. Everything that wasn't an event film or family film lost money against their projected grosses. The top 10 or 12 movies are the ones that made all the blockbuster money
Why is that?
Very simple. Going to the theatre costs money that people DON'T have to spend. Yes,families still like to get out of the house,couples still like to go to the movies on dates and event films are the kind of theatrical experiences that can't be replicated at home,BOSE sound system and 4k tvs be damned.
You still have to deal with talkers,chair kickers and the back of the mind threat of potential violence.
This is why theatres are upping their game. Cinemas like the Alamo Drafthouse chain have been ahead of the curve. Movie going needs to be an experience to offset piracy. Offer alcohol,food,theme nights ,leather recliners and people will still pay for the experience.
There is a thing now called the Amazon Firestick. The other night I was at a friends place for a Christmas party,and the hostess offered us a movie to watch. She had a Firestick someone rigged for her.
"Hey guys do you want to watch Passengers,Assassin's Creed,Sing or Office Christmas Party?" She said. Someone yelled out "Oh shit,let's watch Rogue One!" To which the hostess replied," Nah that's a movie that you need to see in theatres."
This isn't going away guys. 2017 is going to be hit even harder. You are delusional if you think otherwise.
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I still believe in RO hitting 600 million.
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19 minutes ago, tribefan695 said:
That Seinfeld v Friends thing is something hipsters made up to make themselves feel superior
Dude if you don't think Seinfeld was a better show than Friends was,you are a lost soul.
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1 hour ago, James said:
I fully agree with you. But if it gets to 800m that will be with good legs which would mean it was well received. At this point, I think tha would please most people, since the sequel has something FB1 hadn't. Unlike The Hobbit for example, which crammed the most import connection it got (Gollum) into the first movie, FB had nothing. But it will have Dumbledore reintroduced in the second movie. Now some people might argue that is not a big deal, but just yesterday I read this in the FB thread:
Fantastic Beasts is Batman Begins.
FB2 is going to be TDK.
The franchise is fine.
That being said I'm really happy DS is going to outgross this. I know some Potter nerds that were saying this had a legit shot at topping Rogue One. Uh. No.
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Yeah,Trolls weekend 3 isn't beating DS weekend 3
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4 minutes ago, Baumer liked Blair Witch said:
I think it catches legs. If you have not seen it you don't know the sheer power it possesses. It's such a powerful film.
Baumer,you and I go back to the Box Office Mojo forums almost 14 years and I respect your opinion on movies.
I'm not in your Rogue One club,but I'll take your advice on this and check it out with my wife this week.
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42 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:
That's not nice to make fun of me for spewing very cliché statements
I'm saving this picture for Tuesday if Trump wins.
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12 hours ago, Maxmoser3 said:
Blair Witch ended its run last week with $20.7 million.
Yeah,I saw that. Strange to end right before Halloween weekend.
There are still nine total daily showings of it in my town this week. Should have tracked it one more week.
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It would be cool to the see the dailies for Don't Breathe and Blair Witch too. Not a lot of first run choices for the Halloween movie going crowd this year.
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Young people will always lean on movies for dates,no doubt. Families will still take their kids to make them happy. Nerds (of which I count myself) will turn up for the comic,Star Wars films etc.,but this year has been eye opening to the changing landscape.
If anything I think we see a push for bigger event films and small independent releases scaling back their budgets even further. It can't be denied that something is changing in viewing habits.
There is simply too much competition for viewers attention. Netflix,cable,YouTube,Redbox and streaming apps come to mind.
We have a few legit blockbusters coming up in Dr. Strange,Fantastic Beasts,Moana,Rogue One and Sing. Other than that I think the biggest saving grace for the other sixty or so films of 2016 is going to be worldwide box office. That may ultimately be where the studios make their money from here on out.
I'm not saying the sky is falling,but a trip to the cinema is no longer something that this country relies on for its entertainment.
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2016 will go down as the year when box office became the realm of blockbusters only.
This trend is going to continue.
People will go see the event films,comic book movies and independent horror will be okay,and of course the big family films and Pixar tentpoles, but this is a troubling pattern. People don't want to pay to see movies anymore
Look at the demise of Hollywood Video,Borders,Blockbuster and now Hastings. Even Barnes and Noble is scrambling to reinvent themselves." If you can stream it,why buy it?" is going to be the trend moving forward.
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So the October crown is going to come down to Boo! and Da Vinci Code 3.
October won't have a 100 million grosser.
At least November has a legit hit lined up for all four weekends. Dr.S,Arrival,FB and Moana. I think it's a coin flip to see if Strange or Beasts become the first films of 2016 to cross 200 and not hit 300.
Right now,I'll give Moana the November crown,but it could also do a Good Dinosaur. Too early to call.
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Waiting for Sausage Party numbers..
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7 hours ago, I Might Not Be A Curse said:
If The Girl on the Train opens under 30M I will nuke these forums out of existence, and the world.
Saving for later?
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Anyone starting to think this misses $100,000,000?
It will be at 96 million heading into the weekend,but it's going to lose mad screens the next couple of weeks.
At this point...O/U Green Hornet?
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Honestly,its probably because it is such a tumultuous time for the country with kids getting settled into school,parents and students spending money hand over fist for all the associated costs and priorities basically being completely focused elsewhere.
In a few weeks when everyone has repadded their bank accounts or started dating their fellow students weekends will mean something again.
This is the dead zone for a very logical reason. Even if you don't have kids in school or need to go back to teaching etc, the studios aren't going to risk dropping big budget films when most of the population is at the football stadiums on Friday and Saturday nights.
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I was just going to ask that
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There's a couple hundred thousand people in San Diego right now that may not have time to make it to the movies this weekend,and a lot of them are the target demographic for Star Trek Beyond.
If we are accounting for a few missed Ghostbuster bucks due to IMAX,expect STB to be missing a few million this weekend that it will likely make back next week.
Passengers | Chris Pratt, Jennifer Lawrence | Dec 21, 2016 | Trailer pg 70
in Box Office Discussion
Posted · Edited by GuardianDevil
I still haven't seen this. I'll probably make it a point to buy a ticket on the day it's supposed to hit 100 million. It still has 8 daily showings in my town.