Eric the Fall Guy
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Posts posted by Eric the Fall Guy
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46 minutes ago, SpiderByte said:
Wait, are tickets available? I'm not seeing anything where I am
Think it might just be UK only for now
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5 minutes ago, grim22 said:
No, I'm grim
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Seen a few "takes a while to get going" reactions that do make me go "hmm". Still, enough enthusiasm in these early reactions I suppose? Maybe? I dunno, this part of the marketing run always causes stress.
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Moderation
We're done with this hyperbolic "this is going to be the biggest bomb in history" talk. This movie won't be out for another nine months. Why are we doing this? What do you gain? What new information are we learning? Why?
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1 hour ago, Arlborn said:
Regarding the movies aspect of this deal, Hollywood is dead.
I know I know, let me overreact and moan a bit
I mean, this isn't an overreaction?
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You know what, 80s toys are still a huge moneymakers with collectors, and Turtles are still big with kids, so I can buy it. Like at my Target, we're still selling He-Man and GI Joe toys, even though not a single kid today knows what those properties are.
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No coincidence Challengers dropped so hard on the day Fall Guy started taking its PLFs...
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Quorum Updates
Back to Black T-16: 26.35% Awareness, 38.35% Interest
The Strangers: Chapter 1 T-16: 31.21% Awareness, 47.4% Interest
Furiosa T-23: 33.99% Awareness, 41.78% Interest
Wolfs T-142: 14.59% Awareness, 40.35% Interest
Joker: Folie a Deux T-156: 52.65% Awareness, 60.55% Interest
Gladiator II T-205: 28.51% Awareness, 46.78% Interest
Mufasa: The Lion King T-233: 49.58% Awareness, 55.95% Interest
Tarot T-2: 31.74% Awareness, 47.32% Interest
Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M
Horror Awareness: 46% chance of 10M, 8% chance of 20M
Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M
Horror Interest: 44% chance of 10M, 11% chance of 20M
The Fall Guy T-2: 47.61% Awareness, 49.67% Interest
Final Awareness: 79% chance of 10M, 45% chance of 20M, 26% chance of 30M, 17% chance of 40M
Tentpole Awareness: N/A
Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M, 10% chance of 30M
Tentpole Interest: N/A
The Watchers T-37: 29.32% Awareness, 45.63% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 56% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M, 3% chance of 40M
Horror Awareness: 65% chance of 10M, 23% chance of 20M, 6% chance of 40M
T-30 Interest: 60% chance of 10M, 34% chance of 20M, 20% chance of 30M, 11% chance of 40M
Horror Interest: 70% chance of 10M, 39% chance of 20M, 17% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 40M
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Doesn’t Instagram have their own TikTok style video service? I’m sure another app will come in and save the day.
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Great increase for Challengers, though today could be bad, since Fall Guy will start taking IMAX and other PLFs later tonight. But I have hope we got a legs monster on our hands. Fitting, since all three leads have very sexy legs. 👅
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22 minutes ago, emoviefan said:
The fact that this movie may be going from a mild disappointment to a possibly outright bomb now. What do people want? So it has to be 95-100% or something on RT now for a movie like this to break out. Sigh
No. It has to be based on a popular IP people recognize from their childhoods, and then it can break out. If you dare to make something original or even based on something obscure, you're doomed to failure 90% of the time. Audiences are frankly repulsed with anything that isn't something they are already familiar with. Kind of disconcerting if I'm being honest.
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Hmm...two duds in a row...might need to schedule another rant about undemanding audiences this weekend? Or maybe I'll wait until all the other non-NTCs this summer bomb...let's see.
SpoilerI'm not actually doing that btw, don't worry about it. I know y'all don't want to hear it lol
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https://deadline.com/2024/04/wonka-movie-profits-1235899978/
QuoteWhat’s the trick to succeeding with a musical on the big screen? You have to hide it from the audience in the marketing and trick them, in this case to a tune of $140M in P&A. Once audiences are inside the theater they’ll either love or hate it, and several did love this as through the year-end holiday: Wonka, which hit U.S. theaters December 15, was No. 1 for three of its first four weekends at the B.O. (Note: The only time it was No. 2 was when Warner Bros opened DC’s Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom over Christmas; Wonka decimated that sequel both in stateside [$218.4M vs. $124.4M] and worldwide [$632.3M vs. $434.4M] coin.) The current Warner Bros feature administration of Michael De Luca and Pamela Abdy were so excited about Wonka, they began screening it to the media before Thanksgiving to generate word of mouth; exhibitors got a taste of the musical at CinemaCon in April. Also working in Wonka‘s favor was the actors strike ending November 8, enabling the movie to truly fire up a PR tour with a world premiere in London, another in Los Angeles, as well as Chalamet singing the film’s song “Pure Imagination” during his Saturday Night Live hosting gig November 11. The $150M streaming revenues includes the money Warner Bros paid itself to put the film on its Max streaming service. Wonka was such a success, coupled with Chalamet’s Dune: Part Two (combined global B.O. for both titles at $1.3M), that the Burbank, CA lot hammered out a first-look feature film deal with the Oscar-nominated actor. End result here is $182M net profit, proving musicals are still very much alive.
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2 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
I think Bad Boys gonna do quite a bit above that actually, and weird Quiet Place only got a cursory mention when it's apparently good and on track for a solid 50 or so opening. He's right about Furiosa though, that's always been my flop of the summer pick.
Is Quiet Place really going for that? Would be pretty surprising for a spin-off with none of the original actors to open on par with the first opening.
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The domestic box office at $2 billion currently this year is dragging 21% behind the same January-April spread last year, and when Universal’s The Fall Guy commences the hot moviegoing season this Friday with a hopeful $35M, expect summer to drag some more.
That’s because the lack of product due to the actors strike has made a backloaded May-through-Labor Day frame in what will be lucky — lucky — to hit $3 billion. That’s a $1 billion, or 27%, less than last summer’s $4.09 billion, per Comscore. More bad news about summer: It’s not going to catch up the year any more against 2023.
Several distribution insiders are still projecting an $8 billion domestic final box office for 2024, $1 billion off from 2023’s $9B. However, instead of summer repping 45% of the total year, which was the case in 2023 — it looks to be around 38%, a share roughly on par with pre-pandemic summers. That means there’s more moviegoing in the off-season to go around. I mean, we could see the biggest opening of the year in September — or even summer, if you want to extend it past Labor Day to September 6-8 — in Warner Bros.’ long-awaited Tim Burton-Michael Keaton sequel Beetlejuice Beetlejuice 2024 A.D. It very un-shockingly could deliver a $100M+ opening, possibly toppling the month’s all-time biggest opener, It, from Warner’s New Line, which debuted to $123.4M in 2017. If the Avengers movies could jumpstart summer early in late-April, why can’t Beetlejuice Beetlejuice extend it?
Breaking down the months, May will be absent a $100M-plus opening, neither in this coming weekend nor Memorial Day weekend. There are notable sleeper tentpoles abounding, i.e. 20th Century Studios’ Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes ($50M opening on May 10) and John Krasinski’s Ryan Reynolds all-audience imaginary friend feature, IF ($40M+ projection on May 17).
However, some are expecting — gulp — a coin toss between Sony’s Garfield and Warner Bros/Village Roadshow’s Max Max: Fury Road prequel Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga in the $30M+ 4-day range over Memorial Day weekend, May 24-27.
One of the four movies expected to work this summer is Disney/Pixar’s Inside Out 2, which opens over Father’s Day weekend, June 14-16. From the hysterical and heartwarming footage shown at CinemaCon, the sequel returns Pixar to the charm and humor it is beloved for. The pic could be the first $100M opening of 2024.
The other goodie of June is Sony’s Bad Boys: Ride or Die on June 6 which six-week projection tracking firm Quorum has at a $60M start which is on par with the 3-day of the 2020 movie, Bad Boys for Life ($62.5M).
July contains three of four titles which rep the aorta of the summer box office: Illumination/Universal’s Despicable Me 4 on July 3 (pic will have a 5-day opening, a $100M start over that frame wouldn’t be shocking), Disney/Marvel Studios’ Deadpool & Wolverine on July 26 (many are putting pressure on this movie to be the belle of the ball), and Universal/Warner Bros’ Twisters on July 19. Deadpool & Wolverine reps the first R-rated superhero release for Disney’s MCU, the franchise inherited from the 20th Century Fox merger. Upside: Hugh Jackman is back after dying in Logan and the film has a three-week run in Imax (the longest hold of any title this summer), though the last week will be shared with Lionsgate’s Eli Roth feature take of videogame Borderlands on Aug. 9
Surprises this summer: New Line’s Kevin Costner 3-hour western Horizon “can be a $5M or a $100M movie” per one rival. M. Night Shyamalan can sometimes surprise, so don’t count his Josh Hartnett creepy dad at a young popstar concert feature, Trap, out on Aug. 9 (“It’s a sticky concept,” says one marketing exec). Both Trap and The Watchers on June 7 from Shyamalan’s daughter Ishana Shyamalan rep the first movies during the Michael De Luca and Pamela Abdy administration at Warners, those execs luring the filmmakers over from Universal). Also, Paramount’s prequel, A Quiet Place: Day One, from Pig filmmaker Michael Sarnoski, which takes the action to New York City with Lupita Nyong’o, looks to reawaken the John Krasinski born franchise even more on June 28.
The other movie which many think could raise the bar is from NEON; yes NEON: Oz Perkins’ Nicolas Cage and Maika Monroe horror movie Longlegs. There’s been four poster teasers and WTF clips leading up to the main trailer drop which has some intrigued about its potential on July 12.
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Johnson’s behavior has led to confrontations with costars, most famously Vin Diesel. “Vin has been having problems with The Rock because The Rock keeps showing up late for production,” an insider told People during their work together on the “Fast and Furious” franchise. “Sometimes he doesn’t show up at all, and he’s delaying the production.”
The next Fast and Furious going to cost 500M or something. Just you wait.
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Weekend Numbers | Thu Previews | 3.15M THE FALL GUY | 0.715M TAROT
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Do they though? Like 80% of all the movies that are hits post-COVID are still NTCs designed to be part of bigger franchises that make shareholders happy. Even Dune qualifies here. I have a Paul Atreides action figure in my house. Toys and merch were part of its reason to exist. The only other hits this year have been Kung Fu Panda and Godzilla X Kong. And you know darn well what type of movie those are.
Sorry mate, but the people just want the same old slop.