Eric the IF

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Discuss

Discuss

No? They always put out movies that open below 50 out to PVOD in 17 days. They have been doing that for four years now.

Re: Fandango polls Yes, they are plagued with recency bias and their exact rankings don't typically correlate with reality. And yeah, for specific stuff like horror or action or animation or whatever, I don't pay that any mind (though in the case of IMAX movies, yeah Twisters or Alien won't make as much as Despicable Me 4 or Inside Out 2, but not many are going to seek out IMAX specifically for those, so...) But generally speaking, their top 10s have served as a good rule of thumb and the majority of their films do reach their rankings. If you look at the summer countdowns specifically... Like yeah, the metrics have it that for 70% of the time, at least for the summer, these Fandango polls showcase a good barometer on what's connecting, and you can easily use context clues to realize that Asteroid City or Downton Abbey 2 or Sicario 2 will probably get beaten out by a July/August release that doesn't have much advertising or a kids animated movie that won't be on most Fandango users' radar. I think there's value in them IMO

Quorum Updates Bad Boys: Ride or Die T-18: 60.56% Awareness, 59.12% Interest The Watchers T-18: 31.07% Awareness, 44.15% Interest It Ends with Us T-81: 15.47% Awareness, 38.28% Interest Blink Twice T-95: 10.69% Awareness, 35.19% Interest Never Let Go T-130: 18.2% Awareness, 42.48% Interest Wicked T-191: 37.01% Awareness, 45.09% Interest Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga T-4: 43.46% Awareness, 43.51% Interest Final Awareness: 46% chance of 20M, 25% chance of 30M, 16% chance of 40M, 9% chance of 70M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 20M Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M, 9% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 70M Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 30M The Garfield Movie T-4: 56.39% Awareness, 49.62% Interest Final Awareness: 92% chance of 20M, 73% chance of 30M, 35% chance of 40M, 23% chance of 50M, 15% chance of 60M Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 50% chance of 30M Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M, 9% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 70M Animation/Family Interest: 80% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M, 20% chance of 20M, 10% chance of 70M Sight T-4: 14.96% Awareness, 33.53% Interest Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M Final Interest: 18% chance of 10M Low Interest: 9% chance of 20M Horizon: An American Saga Chapter 1 T-39: 19.73% Awareness, 36.57% Interest T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M Medium Awareness: 25% chance of 10M Final Interest: 33% chance of 10M Medium Interest: 50% chance of 10M

We're really going to listen to a bunch of blue checks over a movie that still opened to relatively fine numbers? Sure. Okay. Yeah.

Cyclones go whoosh

Oh, and this is actually legit solid stuff disregarding tracking. Like this is what I expected and something Paramount should be happy with. It's also now the second-biggest opening for a totally original movie, only behind Nope.

Lower, but ~32M still ain't bad

It's following a similar run so far as Dial of Destiny where it has okay legs despite tepid WOM and a bad Cinemascore, in large part thanks to being part of an older-skewing legacy franchise. At the very least, we should get another sequel, which I'm happy for.

Moderation Not the Marvel thread.

Could be worse!

So…you’re saying I gotta clean up your mess in a month? Because that’s where I am for all those movies lol 😂

IF is a weird one, because this is opening on the higher end of non-NTCs despite mediocre reviews and should gross a fine enough total in the end. But when studio tracking had it at 40M+, it’s hard to really commend it as a success. I dunno how to respond if I’m being honest.

And you doubted me 🤪 Happy to see this going for about 2.75x or so. Maybe even do something like Dial of Destiny’s 2.9x

Would get to 26.2 if it follows Guardians 3’s third weekend.

I actually want it to stay around here. Because in a couple weeks, we will have a scenario where Godzilla X Kong is the biggest Monsterverse movie WW, Kong Skull Island is the biggest OS, and Godzilla 2014 is the biggest DOM. Three separate movies have their own franchise records. That has to be a first I am assuming

Hoping Apes can still get closer to that 25M high end, though it's still holding fine. Better than the 60%+ people speculated on from its weak Wednesday.

I'll always remember him best as Principal Prickly on the Disney cartoon Recess. May he rest in peace.