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Eric is Quiet

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Posts posted by Eric is Quiet

  1. 4 minutes ago, Insomnia said:

    I just realized we didn't see Rth this weekend. Where did he go? When I was still lurking I remember he would make an appearance every big weekend.

    He likely is busy with his personal life. It's not the first time he's dipped for a long period, and it's very understandable.

    • Like 5
  2. 6 minutes ago, druv10 said:

    20th Century Studios/Disney’s The Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes at 2,410 theaters is posting a seventh Friday of $1M, seventh weekend of $3.75M, -32%, and running total of $164.5M. As we reported, the Wes Ball directed new iteration already surpassed Matt Reeves’ previous chapter, War for the Planet of the Apes which ended its U.S./Canada run at $146.88M.

     

    https://deadline.com/2024/06/box-office-inside-out-2-record-bikeriders-1235980501/

     

    Fantastic for the Apes! 180M Domestic and 400M WW is possible.

    Not sure I can see it going that high. Guardians 3 had similar great late legs, and following that film takes us to 170M. It does have less in the way of direct competition granted at the same point in time, and it'll likely get another boost on Deadpool 3's weekend, but I don't know if that's really enough for an extra 10 million. Maybe at most like 5. Still great results either way of course.

  3. 5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

    it has exceeded my expectations. I would have been ok with low 80s 2nd weekend considering so much demand has been burned with mid week holiday. But its a juggernaut and so keeps chugging along. 

     

    That said I would wait for evening update for Volde/Charlie. Early number for holdovers could be off. 

    So ready for early Deadline to be early Deadline and Charlie comes out saying we're getting 31M or something lol

    • Like 1
  4. https://deadline.com/2024/06/box-office-inside-out-2-record-bikeriders-1235980501/

     

    Quote

    Whoever wrote that the theatrical business is dead, may want to run a correction for Disney/Pixar’s Inside Out 2 is potentially headed to a historic second weekend for an animated movie, topping Illumination/Universal’s Super Mario Bros Movie‘s $92.3M.

     

    Rival projections see $95M for the second frame of the Kelsey Mann-directed sequel, while insiders see $85M-$90M+ after a $28M-$30M Friday at 4,400 locations. Today’s til alone will propel the sequel to become the highest grossing movie YTD leaving Dune: Part Two in the dust ($282.1M domestic).

    At that level, Inside Out 2 looks to post the best second weekend for any Disney animated release, besting Frozen 2‘s $85.9M and Incredibles 2‘s $80.3M.

     

    Sony’s Bad Boys: Ride or Die holds onto to second place with $16M, -53%, for a running total of $144.1M. That hold is in the vicinity of Bad Boys for Life‘s third weekend of -48%. By Sunday the Will Smith and Martin Lawrence fourthquel will be trailing about $4M behind Bad Boys for Life at the same point in time. Friday’s take is $4.6M at 3,781 venues.

     

    Third goes to Regency/Focus Features’ The Bikeriders at 2,641 theaters with a $3.8M Friday, including $1.45M advance screenings and Thursday previews for a $9M opening. Focus covered 50% of the $30M-$40M production cost and is on the hook for P&A. 

     

    Sony’s The Garfield Movie at 3,013 theaters is seeing a fifth Friday of $1.3M and fifth weekend of $4M, -16% and a running total by Sunday of $85.5M.

     

    20th Century Studios/Disney’s The Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes at 2,410 theaters is posting a seventh Friday of $1M, seventh weekend of $3.75M, -32%, and running total of $164.5M. As we reported, the Wes Ball directed new iteration already surpassed Matt Reeves’ previous chapter, War for the Planet of the Apes which ended its U.S./Canada run at $146.88M.

     

    Outside the top 5 is Vertical Entertainment’s widest release ever, the Russell Crowe genre movie The Exorcism, financed by Miramax, at 2,240 theaters. Slammed with a 32% Rotten Tomatoes critics score and 50% audience, the movie is looking at an $800K Friday, $1.85M 3-day per industry estimates. I hear in regards to the economics of the pic for Vertical, it’s a low threshold, nothing to lose their shirt over. I understand those polled believed it was a sequel to Crowe’s genre movie from last year, The Pope’s Exorcist, however, he’s not playing a priest in this movie, but a troubled actor.

     

    • Like 5
    • Astonished 5
  5. Quorum Updates

    Twisters T-29: 48.5% Awareness, 53.67% Interest

    Borderlands T-50: 27.86% Awareness, 41.95% Interest

    The Front Room T-78: 15.67% Awareness, 38.67% Interest

    Wolfs T-92: 17.5% Awareness, 41.95% Interest

    Kraven the Hunter T-176: 24.82% Awareness, 40.59% Interest

    Mufasa: The Lion King T-183: 46.97% Awareness, 56.87% Interest

    The Fire Inside T-188: 12.17% Awareness, 36.11% Interest

     

    The Bikeriders T-1: 29.47% Awareness, 39.02% Interest

    Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M

    Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M

    Final Interest: 18% chance of 10M

    Low Interest: 9% chance of 20M

     

    A Quiet Place: Day One T-8: 41.28% Awareness, 51.39% Interest

    Final Awareness: 79% chance of 10M, 48% chance of 20M, 25% chance of 30M, 16% chance of 40M

    Horror Awareness: 82% chance of 10M, 45% chance of 20M, 18% chance of 40M

    Final Interest: 94% chance of 10M, 80% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 47% chance of 40M

    Horror Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 69% chance of 20M, 38% chance of 30M, 15% chance of 40M

     

    Horizon: An American Saga Chapter 1 T-8: 29.04% Awareness, 39.31% Interest

    Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M

    Medium Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

    Final Interest: 18% chance of 10M

    Medium Interest: 33% chance of 10M

    • Like 4
    • Thanks 1
  6. 3 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

    Not sure why the age factor is here we are talking about ethnicity. PostTrak had Oppenheimer's white audience come in at 55%, that is actually higher than what we normally gotten and pretty in line with the actual national white %.  

    Dude said older white men. That was what I wanted to debunk. For white guys, yeah Oppy brought them in.

  7. 58 minutes ago, Kon said:

     

    Well, Oppenheimer was also big on older white men.

     

    Honestly, I really think the lack of interest in movies is the real reason why old white men aren't coming. Maybe streaming makes more difficult to call their attention, but they will come when something really interest them.

    Not really. 59% of Oppenheimer’s audience was aged 18-34. If Barbenheimer didn’t make the youths hyped, Oppenheimer probably would have opened and grossed the same as Indy or Dead Reckoning. Maybe even worse

    • Like 2
  8. I mean I feel the real reason for this demographic shift is just that white folks are way more into streaming and at home watching compared to most demographics. Nielsen reported back in 2021 that roughly 60% of the total streaming is from Caucasians. 58% of that crowd is 35 and older too. By contrast, according to the MPA, in 2021, Caucasians made up 54% of viewership. And over the years, things have skewed less and less white. If you want pre-COVID and post-COVID comparisons, John Wick 3 had 42% Caucasian viewership for its opening weekend, while Wick 4 had just 32%. Creed 2 had 38% white viewers, then Creed 3 was down to 23%. Bad Boys 3 was 30%, while Bad Boys 4 was a whopping 18%.

     

    Like yeah, there have been changes in the population in that time, but streaming is considered a huge culprit as to why moviegoing is down across the board, and there's clear evidence that 35+ audiences are going way less. Those age demos are generally more white, and those audiences, especially the white ones, have more disposable income to spend more on SVOD services. Like I don't think it's hard to see a scenario where the olds just bought 4K TVs during the pandemic and are happily streaming Netflix stuff. That's why, Top Gun aside, every movie that has been aimed at old white guys has opened around the 50s/low 60s (Bond, Indy, Mission: Impossible). That's why the usual Oscar contenders that skewed towards seniors aren't making the money they used to and the big arthouse breakouts have been stuff like Poor Things or Asteroid City or Everything Everywhere.

     

    So yeah. That's why the shift happened IMO.

     

    https://nscreenmedia.com/streaming-user-demographics-top-4-services/

    https://www.motionpictures.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/MPA-2021-THEME-Report-FINAL.pdf

    • Like 3
  9. Quorum Updates

    Despicable Me 4 T-14: 67.42% Awareness, 57.49% Interest

    MaXXXine T-16: 17.98% Awareness, 31.97% Interest

    Cuckoo T-44: 11.7% Awareness, 36.09% Interest

    Harold and the Purple Crayon T-44: 18.2% Awareness, 30.86% Interest

    Trap T-51: 23.03% Awareness, 46.23% Interest

    Megalopolis T-100: 15.12% Awareness, 32.89% Interest

    Venom: The Last Dance T-128: 42.03% Awareness, 54.35% Interest

    Gladiator II T-156: 28.98% Awareness, 44.53% Interest

    Den of Thieves: Pantera T-205: 19.44% Awareness, 33.89% Interest

     

    The Bikeriders T-2: 28.52% Awareness, 37.13% Interest

    Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M

    Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M

    Final Interest: 18% chance of 10M

    Low Interest: 9% chance of 20M

    • Like 3
    • Thanks 1
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