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Posts posted by Eric Deetz
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10 minutes ago, Fran2 said:
You consistently miss the point.
No one cares about Harry. Sorry. Keep wanting it to fail and making excuses. Evidence shows otherwise.
It's not a Harry Potter film. It's the Wizarding world brand, a cinematic universe
I'm an optimist for Beasts' performance...but come on dude.
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8 minutes ago, Daniel Dylan Davis said:
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https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/20th_century_women
90% out of 10 reviews. 8.4 average rating. Nice.
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17 minutes ago, Arlborn said:
Do you guys think low quality and obviously unfinished leaked stuff can negatively affect a movie like this?
Nah. Most unfinished leaked footage is usually taken down within a couple of hours, is pretty much only talked about by fanboy websites (aka not the GA), and usually is release a couple of months before the actual marketing takes place. No need to panic.
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Overperform
Well I'm the one who has the "Fantastic Beasts over Half-Blood Prince" club, so I clearly think Beasts will oveperform and be #2 this winter behind Rogue One. It's got the Harry Potter brand, a brand that's still insanely popular and well-respected I might add, easy 4-quad appeal, and it will have appeal to people who didn't join the Potter craze, by virtue of being an original story.
This movie hasn't gotten much discussion, if at all, but I feel Rock That Body has potential to be the biggest comedy next summer. The premise seems very Hangover-like, its script was in a huge bidding war, and it has a stellar cast, with its leading lady being Scarlett Johannson, and a supporting cast including four potential rising stars, one of them being an Emmy winner I might add. The only real speed bump with that movie could be The House, but if RTB strikes a chord and ends up being really funny, I think it could be a real surprise.
Most people think that Ninjago will do around Hotel Transylvania numbers, but I think it could be the first September movie to cross $200M. Lego Movie was a smash hit, and Lego Batman will do the same, and Tsujihara is reportedly focusing on Lego being a huge moneymaker for WB, so with that brand recognition, WB's marketing powah, and it being one of the most popular toylines currently for Lego Group, this movie's gon' explode.
Underperform
Next March looks to be YUGE, but I feel Logan could get hurt by it. With Kong and Beauty and the Beast being the main attractions for moviegoers, Logan wasn't going to be a huge hit regardless, but I feel that it has potential to be the lowest-rated X-Men movie. Its title doesn't scream "X-Men" to me, and its R rating could potentially be a hinderance. Yeah yeah yeah, I know about Deadpool, but that had the virtues of being much more unique in the superhero landscape, thanks to lampooning the genre and its oddball character. It'll still do good, but around Origins: Wolverine numbers, or even Apocalypse numbers? Nah.
War for the Planet of the Apes I just don't see crossing $200M. Dawn's only major competition it had to face was Transformers 4, which severely underperformed, and Lucy, which did just a cool $125M. War will be surrounded by Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man, and Dunkirk. Yeah, Dawn had amazing reception, and War could be the same, yadda yadda yadda, but Dawn's explosion was largely in part because there was nothing else out in theaters when it was released IMO. War won't have that benefit, so it'll probably chill in the $160-190M range.
This is all I have so far.
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http://collider.com/spider-man-spin-off-movies-the-dark-tower-trailer/#passengers-images
Tom Rothman was interviewed at the Inferno premiere. Most of the interview focuses on Spidey and Passengers, but Dark Tower stuff was talked about.
Good news: The movie reportedly satisfies both fans and newcomers, Idris Elba kicks ass as Roland, and Stephen King is completely gun-ho about his casting.
Bad news: The first teaser or trailer for the movie will come out around Christmastime.
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Got my predicts in. A reminder for everyone else that ya got only a few days left.
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19 minutes ago, That One Guy said:
@CoolEric258 Might wanna adjust your Dark Tower and Fist Fight grosses, the money only counts on their first and 2nd weekend of release. The game's grosses cut off on February 27.
Gotcha. Now it's fixed.
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This is the one that always amazes me: Forrest Gump.
This nearly 2.5 hour-long drama focusing on a mentally slow Tom Hanks going through and experiencing the cultural mood swings of 40s-80s America would probably gross around $100M at most today, and I'm being generous. But not only did it gross almost $330M, not only did it have the legs of 13.5, but it was the biggest movie of the year, beating out Disney's 90s magnum opus, and a Schwarzenegger-Cameron joint. Did Hanks' Oscar goodwill and Zemeckis' BttF success really make it that big of a hit?
There's also Pirates of the Carribean 1. Think about it: This was a movie based on a theme park ride and a genre that was completely abandoned after Cutthroat Island crashed and burned, it was Disney's first foray into the PG-13 rating (excluding Touchstone of course), and it costed $140M to make, at a time when that budget wasn't the Hollywood norm. And yet, it made over $305M off of a $70.6M 5-day opener, and didn't drop above hard until week 22. It even grossed more than movies with bigger brand recognition at the time (Matrix Reloaded, Terminator 3, X-Men 2, etc.) Now that's something you don't see everyday.
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17 hours ago, Ethan Hunt said:
Finally watching Eye in the Sky
...and?
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Okay...now I really need to watch the original John Wick.
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This is the last release under their Fox partnership, right?
No. The last two (I think) are Boss Baby in March and Captain Underpants in June.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk -
Somewhat of a bummer to see this getting slammed. Was holding out hope for a surprise with how angry some of the animators got when they saw the teaser.
There really isn't much hope for DreamWorks now, is there?
In 2019, the terror will be ogre.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk-
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I really should see John Wick sometime soon.
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3 minutes ago, DAJK said:
Hey, how about stanning for Resident Evil and make that series go away?
Well, the next one is subtitled as The Final Chapter, so...
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15 minutes ago, CJohn said:
7-9M is not doing well. Anything over 10M would be a solid performance and it ain't doing that.
It costs $8.5M to make, and it has family legs. It would take a lot for it to fail.
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7 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:
Yeah, but... does anything have breakout potential? The Girl On The Train was the one thing people were pointing to the most when the discussion headed towards "October breakouts", and now, not so much. If it finishes w/80-90M, it'll have done well for itself (under Gone Girl is a lock at this point). Besides that, what else you got? Jack Reacher? Ehh, I see no buzz for it, with or without Cruise. 20M OW, 25 tops. The Accountant is the only one I see legit breakout potential, tbh. Inferno could do ok on OW and then sink like a rock, simply thanks to Tom Hanks' momentum coming off Sully. I'd love for Moonlight to do well, but hardly.
What I find funny is how, since 2013, the big sci-fi blockbusters of the fall have all come out in either October of the odd years (Gravity in 2013, Martian last year, Blade Runner next year), and in the pair years, November is where they fall (Interstellar in 2014, Arrival this year), leaving October to major novel adaptations instead (Gone Girl and TGOTT). That means Arrival under 200M and BR over 200M is confirmed
I don't think Inferno has a decent shot of breaking out per se, but I believe it will do better than what a lot of the forum thinks. It's still an incredibly popular book, and Hanks has a strong audience of followers. It has even more chance of doing better now that every other adult-skewing movie minus Sully has underperformed. It won't do phenomenal, but I think it'll do above $90M, and there's a chance that it could do above $100M.
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11 hours ago, CJohn said:
Haley Bennett full frontal in the shower. My pants were destroyed. There was a massive explosion. White everywhere.
Oh John.
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2 minutes ago, filmlover said:
lol and we just got refunded for Friday in case things haven't cleared up by then. Oh well.
Well that just means you have time to watch 13th on Netflix.
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Friday the 13th was delayed to October 2017. What do I do with question #28, which has Friday the 13th as one of the options?
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Madea: Too Low
Ouija 2: Too Low
Hacksaw Ridge: Too Low
Trolls: Too Low
Edge of Seventeen: Too High
Allied: Too High
The rest are almost exactly what I'm predicting, so I'm not gonna bother with them.
Trolls | Nov 4 2016 | Trailer Page 7. Justin Timberlake, Anna Kendrick. RT watch - 86%
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Projected towards $40M opening.