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Everything posted by Eric the Clown
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
So feasby's suggestion I finally considered, and I've decided that I'll have my data available free for the public to look at. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Q-1UceCRkSh3BraIvvm0XDJyoUJsyrq8oOufQvjP7Qk/edit#gid=1244698450 It's not as dense as akvalley's historical data, and it doesn't go back super far (I just don't have the time to look through akvalley's stuff, but I'll gladly let someone else do it for me and just PM what they found), but I feel like my layout's simpler to look at, and far less complicated. The first tab is what I usually post on weekdays, while the following tabs are what the upcoming bigly movies got each week. It's very rough right now, considering there's only about 6 or so movies being tracked, but I'm sure this will be helpful. -
Best Picture Predictions - 2018
Eric the Clown replied to Ezen Baklattan's topic in And The Winner Is...
The big problem is that the major exhibitors hate Netflix and have refused to show their movies. Granted, Bird Box and maybe To All the Boys are the only movies I could see making major money in theaters, but that's still a hurdle Netflix is forced to face. But Netflix did recently join the MPAA, and maybe the relations between them and exhibitors could soften or change this year. I'm sure once The Irishman arrives, it'll find its way into a Regal or AMC. That's the one upcoming Netflix movie off the top of my head that could do well commercially -
The Sixth Sense. Even knowing the twist, it's still utterly perfect and fantastic. I genuinely can't think of a thing wrong with it. Little Shop of Horrors is also amazing, and it's always a film that brings me joy. Finding Nemo and the first Spongebob movie also fall under the same umbrella, but those are clouded hard by nostalgia.
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I guess Universal just has the Midas touch when it comes to animation, because that's the only explanation for Dragon 3 making 60M. This was coming off two movies that opened in the mid-40s previously, the last one underperformed and came out five years after the last movie, and while the TV spots and ads were solid, it didn't seem like the GA had much buzz and interest in the movie or the franchise itself. This is honestly kind of mind-blowing. HYPE. Can't wait to see it on Tuesday (ain't seeing that with a bunch of asshole kids)
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BOX OFFICE FOR FEB. 22-24 THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY 3-DAY TOTAL WK 1 How To Train Your Dragon 3 DWA/Uni 4,259 $17.3M $60M $60M 1 2 Alita Fox 3,802 (+12) $3.1M (-58%) $11.4M (-60%) $60M 2 3 Lego Movie 2 WB 3,833 (-470) $2.1M (-51%) $9.5M (-55%) $83M 3 4 Fighting With My Family MGM 2,711 (+2707) $2.6M (+6250%) $7.7M (+5479%) $7.9M 2 5 Isn’t It Romantic NL/WB 3,444 $2.2M (-45%) $7.6M (-46%) $33.8M 2 6 What Men Want Par 2,389 (-523) $1.3M (-54%) $4.9M (-54%) $44.8M 3 7 Happy Death Day 2U Uni/Blum 3,212 (+5) $1.4M (-49%) $4.6M (-51%) $21.3M 2 8 The Upside STX 2,148 (-633) $915K (-32%) $3.5M (-35%) $100M 7 9 Cold Pursuit LG 2,320 (-310) $874K (-42%) $3.3M (-43%) $27.1M 3 10 Run The Race RoadAtt 853 $750K $2.5M $2.5M 1 11 Green Book Uni/DW/Part 1,253 (-365) $560K (-16%) $2.2M (-23%) $69.7M 15
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A Quiet Place 2 | Paramount | May 28, 2021
Eric the Clown replied to Eric the Clown's topic in Box Office Discussion
Love Emily, but I feel like that family's story is finished. I'd rather this be like an anthology looking at different families and people -
A Quiet Place 2 | Paramount | May 28, 2021
Eric the Clown replied to Eric the Clown's topic in Box Office Discussion
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Looking at other previews, Lego 2 did 1.5M, while Lego Batman did 2.2M. For non-spring comps, HT3 did 2.6M, Grinch did 2.2M, and Spider-Verse did 3.5M. If it follows Lego 2: 3M previews 16.9M Fri inc. previews 30.9M Sat 20.4M Sun 68.2M Total If it follows Lego Batman: 3M previews 19.8M Fri inc. previews 31.4M Sat 21.1M Sun 72.3M Total I don't think it's a lock to reach those numbers, but 50M feels like the floor at this point