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Media Demo
Posts posted by Eric Prime
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1 hour ago, AnthonyJPHer said:
Longlegs will probably have a 55+ domestic total? I don’t see 100m happening but this is very good for this film
80M+ sounds about right. Would be bigger than any A24 film believe it or not
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Quorum Updates
Harold and the Purple Crayon T-16: 23.86% Awareness, 33.11% Interest
Borderlands T-23: 35.5% Awareness, 44.14% Interest
Cuckoo T-23: 17.06% Awareness, 41.47% Interest
It Ends with Us T-23: 25.2% Awareness, 40.97% Interest
Afraid T-44: 9.83% Awareness, 38.55% Interest
The Front Room T-51: 18.48% Awareness, 39.18% Interest
The Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim T-149: 17.96% Awareness, 42.07% Interest
Den of Thieves: Pantera T-177: 19.38% Awareness, 35.36% Interest
Captain America: Brave New World T-212: 48.34% Awareness, 54.83% Interest
Twisters T-2: 62.95% Awareness, 58.55% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 89% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M
Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 91% chance of 40M, 82% chance of 50M, 73% chance of 60M, 45% chance of 70M,
Final Interest: 78% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 48% chance of 40M, 35% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 17% chance of 70M
Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 40M, 71% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 36% chance of 70M
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IF YOU CAN FEEL IT...
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Moderation
Things are getting a little too spoiler-y in here. I'm hiding a few posts and am gonna set up the spoiler thread for this movie now.
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3 hours ago, VanillaSkies said:
Right out of Mission Impossible’s playbook last year. Which just begs the question, why didn’t they just open it last weekend?Despicable Me. That's why.
Universal's not gonna hurt one of their own movies, especially a potential billion-dollar hit. If they put the movie out last week, then DM4 loses all its PLFs to Twisters and gets hit with a potentially bad second weekend drop. By having it on DM4's third weekend, DM4 gets a little more IMAX/Dolby play, resulting in the great second weekend hold it just had, and then will hold well yet again this week thanks to double features with Twisters, and therefore more cash money. From what I can gather, almost every market that got the movie last week got DM4 earlier than its domestic debut.
Twisters' release date still isn't perfect, but last week isn't as ideal as it seems, at least for Uni's bigger picture.
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Quorum Updates
Trap T-18: 27.73% Awareness, 50.65% Interest
Piece by Piece T-88: 14.47% Awareness, 30.79% Interest
Terrifier 3 T-88: 23.06% Awareness, 38.44% Interest
Gladiator II T-130: 33.8% Awareness, 45.67% Interest
Mickey 17 T-200: 8.29% Awareness, 31.95% Interest
Twisters T-4: 61.24% Awareness, 57.5% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 89% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M
Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 91% chance of 40M, 82% chance of 50M, 73% chance of 60M, 45% chance of 70M,
Final Interest: 78% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 48% chance of 40M, 35% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 17% chance of 70M
Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 40M, 71% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 36% chance of 70M
Deadpool & Wolverine T-11: 71.28% Awareness, 68.55% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 90M, 80% chance of 100M, 20% chance of 200M
DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 100M, 50% chance of 200M
Final Interest: 78% chance of 100M, 11% chance of 200M
DC/MCU Interest: 83% chance of 100M, 17% chance of 200M
Alien: Romulus T-32: 30.49% Awareness, 43.81% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 80% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 30M, 14% chance of 40M
Horror Awareness: 82% chance of 10M, 54% chance of 20M, 36% chance of 30M, 18% chance of 40M
T-30 Interest: 60% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M, 20% chance of 30M, 10% chance of 40M
Horror Interest: 67% chance of 10M, 37% chance of 20M, 15% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 40M
Blink Twice T-39: 20.66% Awareness, 42.82% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M
Low Awareness: 38% chance of 10M, 12% chance of 20M
T-30 Interest: 60% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M
Low Interest: 29% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice T-53: 60.98% Awareness, 64.66% Interest
T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 100M
Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 100M
T-60 Interest: 100% chance of 100M
Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 100M
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I mean I remember Amazon Studios went through some restructuring after a few flops IIRC. Maybe I’m wrong, but I can’t imagine some changes will happen in Apple’s movie/streaming division if things keep going poorly.
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Just now, lorddemaxus said:
Didn’t people like Blue Beetle?
Earned a B+ Cinemascore (same as Shazam 2, Love and Thunder, et al), though I know it has its fans like almost every other CBM has tbf
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5 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
It's summer. There used to be summers where there was a blockbuster opening to 50m every single weekend. Hell, this March proved that movies can survive against each other with multiple big openings. Twisters is doing shit overseas numbers and had weak presales from day one - both those metrics have nothing to do with Deadpool.
I mean I guess, but I don't think it's fair to say competition doesn't matter. It definitely impacted the examples I listed, and, despite the rating, Twisters and Deadpool are still going for a similar action movie target audience.
Though hey! You could be right that it is all lack of interest, since this is directly advertising to the people who don't go to the movies anymore.
I predicted Indy to be a Top Gun-style breakout, and even thought Twisters could get the TGM audience at a smaller scale, and I've been let down twice. Lesson learned for next summer! Sorry Karate Kid, but I'm going to be bearish on you.
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Will say in hindsight that Twisters probably should have dropped August 2 if it wanted to break out bigly like a lot of us hoped it would. This is basically a redux of Dungeons and Dragons and Dead Reckoning where it had lousy luck opening against a colossal giant. But at least I can understand D&D and Mario having potentially different audiences, or Paramount not expecting Barbenheimer to be what it was. Universal had to have known Deadpool would at least open to the level of Guardians 3 in a worst-case scenario.
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9 minutes ago, narniadis said:
I wonder what some of y'all would have been saying in the 50s when Disney and Warners were churning out multiple shorts of gags with all their cartoons. They are considered classics now, but such is the essence of the Minions appeal - it's the exact same thing in longer form. 🤷♂️
I mean I grew up watching those cartoons and I still find them funnier than almost anything with the Minions, so…yeah. Believe me, I get the appeal. But if I don’t find their stuff funny, I’m not gonna lie and say I like them.
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11 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
Need a diagnostic from folks who know OS box office better than me.
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59 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
Just for funsies, here’s a look at all the re-releases from 2022 onwards and how their OWs have all stacked up so far. I’m ignoring Fathom Events or the Spider-Man re-releases, since those are one/two-day only events. If I missed any, and I’m sure I did, please let me know.
1. Avatar: 10.53M
2. The Phantom Menace: 8.72M
3. Titanic: 6.71M
4. Spider-Man: No Way Home: 5.4M
5. Return of the Jedi: 5.1M
6. The Nightmare Before Christmas: 4.29M
7. Jaws: 2.64M
8. Jurassic Park: 1.7M
9. Hocus Pocus: 1.61M
10. Alien: 1.55M
11. Shrek 2: 1.45M
12. The Lion King: 1.08M
13. E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial: 1.07M
14. The Mummy: 1.03M
15. The Godfather: 0.96M
16. Turning Red: 0.58M
17. Luca: 0.56M
18. Oldboy: 0.49M
19. Soul: 0.43M
20. Amelie: 0.21M
21. Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon: 0.17M
Stop Making Sense has very wonky box office with its re-release (says it opened at 856K, but also somehow made 1.48M in total that weekend? It’s weird), so I’m excluding that.
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58 minutes ago, wildphantom said:
I’m kind of amazed at that DM4 hold as the movie really isn’t all that. Doesn’t seem to matter much to this franchise. Storming to $300 million domestic.
None of the Despicable Me movies are all that, and they still make billions. You can have a bunch of Minions play Go Fish for 90 minutes and the masses will still turn up to it like robots.
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Moderation
Not the Taylor Swift thread.
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Still insane this is outopening all but one A24 movie. Hoping this will lead to Neon getting a better foothold in the indie scene. We can't just have A24/Searchlight doing all this.
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This seems destined to do about 400-600M worldwide, sell a lot of dolls, have people argue over whether it's actually a hit or not, and be forgotten about 9 months later. Either way, not gonna be fun for me!
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Updated
Insomnia - Permanently banned for being an alt account of JB33
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Weekdays (15th-18th July) : The Calm before the Storm : DM4 : 5,7M - LongLegs : 2,4M - IO2 : 2,8M
in Numbers and Data
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