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Posts posted by Exxdee
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I went with the 3 day domestic W/E numbers since the previous games did the same. Looks like I got the best on X-Men, Whoo!
Used Mojo to get the numbers, tough to find exact info. But it looks, right
Top 5 WW Openings
As of June 1st, 2016:
If your prediction is in ORANGE, then you are within $10 MILLION and get 25,000 points!
If your prediction is in PURPLE, then you are within $20 MILLION and get 20,000 points!
If your prediction is in GREEN, then you are within $30 MILLION and get 15,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLUE then you are within $50 MILLION and get 10,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLACK then you are SAFE!
If your prediction is in RED, then you are over the film's final total by at least $70 MILLION and lose at least 10,000 points!
X-Men: Apocalypse (28/36)
#ED - 315M
Dajk - 283M
Firedeep - 270M
The Panda - 270M
24Lost - 260M
Jake Gittes - 252M
DexterofSuburbia - 250M
Kalo - 250M
Glassfairy - 250M
Jayhawk - 245M
Laguy03 - 245M
Simonski - 240M
Jj-8 - 237M
Damienroc - 234M
Films - 227.4M
Baumer - 225M
Darkelf - 220M
Kayumanggi - 200M
Cmasterclay - 190M
Treetrunk Special - 190M
Bcf26 - 190M
Telemachos - 185M
Wrathofhan - 170M
Wrath - 165M
Exxdee - 157M (Bonus 10,000 for being the closest!)
Actual WW Weekend (3 Day): $118.563990M
Empire - N/A XX
Movieman89 - N/A XX
Nardiadis - N/A XX
Alice Through the Looking Glass (5/36)
Simonski - 260M
DexterofSuburbia - 205M
Firedeep - 300M
Telemachos - 210M
Bcf26 - 170M (Bonus 10,000 for being the closest!)
Actual WW Weekend (3 Day): $91.858726M- 3
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With Alice bombing, can the Angry Birds sneak into the top 10?
I'm not liking my top 10, Alice is not going to make it :/ Hopefully, X-Men can crawl to 700m WW.
Oh, I already including Warcraft's overseas take in the standings, just for the fun. China, you better not worship it like Pacific Rim and Transformers
Current Worldwide Top 10 Standings
As of June 1st, 2016:
If your prediction is in ORANGE, then you are within $10 MILLION and get 50,000 points!
If your prediction is in PURPLE, then you are within $25 MILLION and get 35,000 points!
If your prediction is in GREY, then you are within $50 MILLION and get 25,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLUE then you are within $75 MILLION and get 10,000 points!
If your prediction is in GREEN, then you are within $100 MILLION and get 5,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLACK then you are SAFE!
If your prediction is in RED, then you are over the film's final total by at least $150 MILLION and lose at least 10,000 points!
Captain America: Civil War (38/38)
DexterofSuburbia - 2B
ThatOneGuy - 1.6B
Firedeep - 1.6B
Mike Hunt - 1.6B
Jj-8 - 1.5958B
Treetrunk Special - 1.587B
Infernus - 1.55B
Grey Ghost - 1.55B
Jayhawk - 1.512B
The Panda - 1.5B
Empire - 1.5B
Simonski - 1.46B
Baumer - 1.455B
Exxdee - 1.45B
Jake Gittes - 1.45B
Darkelf - 1.45B
Chewy - 1.45B
Kayumanggi - 1.45B
Laguy03 - 1.45B
Movieman89 - 1.44B
#ED - 1.44B
Chasmmi - 1.42B
Wrathofhan - 1.4B
Alpha - 1.4B
Blank Panther - 1.386B
Telemachos - 1.377B
Damienroc - 1.357B
Kalo - 1.35B
Films - 1.35B
Cmasterclay - 1.35B
Nardiadis - 1.34B
Dajk - 1.33B
Maxmoser3 - 1.3B
24Lost - 1.26B
Jj99 - 1.25B
Wrath - 1.2B
Glassfairy - 1.1125B
Bcf26 - 1.15B
CURRENT TOTAL $1,112,129,062
The Angry Birds Movie (8/38)
Mike Hunt - 799M
Glassfairy - 775M
Jj99 - 657M
Bcf26 - 610M
Blank Panther - 528M
Cmasterclay - 520M
JJ-8 - 472.3M
Maxmoser3 - 410M
CURRENT TOTAL $229,296,476
X-Men Apocalypse (37/38)
Bcf26 - 950M
Treetrunk Special - 884M
Firedeep - 880M
JJ-8 - 878.2M
Cmasterclay - 865M
Kalo - 860M
Chasmmi - 857M
MovieMan89 - 855M
Chewy - 850M
Simionski - 840M
Jayhawk - 826M
Laguy03 - 825M
Blank Panther - 822M
Dexter of Suburbia - 820M
Kayumanggi - 820M
Infernus - 810M
#ED - 805M
Jj99 - 800M
DAJK - 800M
Narniadis - 800M
Glassfairy - 800M
Grey Ghost - 775M
The Panda - 770M
Darkelf - 770M
Empire - 760M
Wrath - 755M
ThatOneGuy - 755M
Baumer - 755M
DamienRoc - 753M
WrathofHan - 750M
Films - 750M
Telemachos - 728M
Exxdee - 712M
Jake Gittes - 691M
24Lost - 678M
Mike Hunt - 600M
Alpha - 550M
CURRENT TOTAL $277,208,206
Alice Through the Looking Glass (29/38)
Firedeep - 1.3B
Grey Ghost - 900M
Kalo - 850M
MovieMan89 - 790M
#ED - 790M
Simionski - 785M
Infernus - 770M
Empire - 724M
Films - 720M
Dexter of Suburbia - 700M
JJ-8 - 691.5M
Jayhawk - 675M
DAJK - 667M
ThatOneGuy - 645M
Treetrunk Special - 632M
WrathofHan - 630M
24Lost - 629M
Telemachos - 625M
Wrath - 610M
Jj99 - 600M
Alpha - 570M
Kayumanggi - 520M
Narniadis - 500M
Jake Gittes - 493M
Laguy03 - 485M
Bcf26 - 455M
Mike Hunt - 450M
Maxmoser3 - 410M
Exxdee - 402M
CURRENT TOTAL $110,275,110
Current Top 11 Films of Summer 2016 (as of 6.01.16): Thanks LAguy
1. Captain America: Civil War - $1,112,129,062
2. X-Men: Apocalypse - $277,208,206
3. The Angry Birds Movie - $229,296,4764. Alice Through the Looking Glass - $110,275,110
5. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising - $78,807,071
6. Money Monster - $52,886,2127. Warcraft - $37,453,034
8. The Nice Guys - $24,451,030
9. The Darkness - $10,099,194
9. Love & Friendship - $4,396,579
10. The Lobster - $1,828,584
CURRENT TOP 10 TOTAL: $1,938,830,558- 2
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Need to do this early,
Part 1 ~ answer yes/no unless otherwise stated (UOS) and are worth 1000 points each UOS. They also only refer to the top 12 UOS.
1) Will TMNT open to more than $40M? No
2) Will TMNT open to more than $47.5M? 2000 No
3) Will TMNT open to more than $55M? No
4) Will Me Before You open to more than $15M? No
5) Will Me Before You open to more than $20M? No
6) Will Popstar open to more than $7M? No
7) Will Popstar open to more than $10? 3000 No
8) Will Apocalypse have a weekend total above $30M? No
9) Will Alice cross $50M by the end of the weekend? 2000 Yes
10) Will Angry Birds have a higher percentage drop than Zootopia? Yes
11) Will Neighbours stay above Jungle Book? No
12) Will The Nice Guys Increase more than 110%? No
13) Will Love and Friendship have a weekend total above $2M? 3000 Yes
14) Will Approaching the Unknown have a PTA above $3,500? Yes
15) Will Mother's Day stay above the Boss? 2000 No
16) Will The Darkness Drop less than 65% this weekend? No
17) Will Zootopis pass $1B Worldwide by the end of the weekend? No
18) Will The Huntsman have a Sunday drop above 31%? No
19) Will Me Before you have a higher PTA within $1,000 of TMNT? 3000 No
20) Will any film ever make the box office we hope it will ever again? Yes, Episode VIII (far, far away)
Bonuses
15/20 - 2000
16/20 - 4000
17/20 - 6000
18/20 - 9000
19/20 - 12000
20/20 - 15000
Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS
1. What will TMNT's Saturday Gross Be? 14.13M
2. What will Popstar's Sunday percentage drop be? -33.51%
3. What will Jungle Book's Total Domestic Gross be by the end of the weekend? 347.53M
Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film)
2. X-Men: Apocalypse
6. Captain America: Civil War
9. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising
12. The Lobster
14. Zootopia
16. The Man Who Knew Infinity
Bonuses:
3/6 ~ 2000 points
4/6 ~ 5000 points
5/6 ~ 9000 points
6/6 ~ 15000 points- 1
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Part 1 ~ answer yes/no unless otherwise stated (UOS) and are worth 1000 points each UOS. They also only refer to the top 12 UOS.
1) Will Xmen make more than $67.5m this weekend? Yes
2) Will Xmen make more than $80m this weekend? 2000 No
3) Will Xmen make above $92.5m this weekend? No
4) Will Alice make more than $47.5m this weekend? No
5) Will Alice make more than $60m this weekend? No
6) Will Alice make more than $72.5m this weekend? No
7) Will Alice make at least 70% of the gross of Xmen this weekend? 3000 No
8) Will Angry Birds stay above $20m? Yes
9) Will Nice Guys' total gross pass Keanu's total gross by the end of the weekend? 2000 Yes
10) Will Jungle Book drop more than 40%? Yes
11) Will Civil War's PTA stay above $4,500? Yes
12) Will The Darkness drop more than Ratchet and Clank? No
13) Will Neighbours remain within $7.5m of Civil War this weekend? 3000 Yes
14) Will the two main new entries combine to more than $150m? No
15) Will Money Maker drop less than 37% on Sunday? 2000 Yes
16) Will The Wailing have a PTA above $6000? No
17) Will Zootopia stay in the top 9? No
18) Will The Huntsman have a PTA above $650? Yes
19) Will Mother's Day stay above Barbershop? 3000 No
20) Will the World End by Saturday? APOCALYPSE IS RISING!
Bonuses
15/20 - 2000
16/20 - 4000
17/20 - 6000
18/20 - 9000
19/20 - 12000
20/20 - 15000
Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS
1. What will be the gross of Alice be as a percentage of Xmen's? 51.13%
2. What will The Boss make on Sunday? $150,000
3. What will Civil War's World Wide total be by the end of the weekend? $1,103,000
Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film)
6. Jungle Book
9. Love & Friendship
11. The Darkness
14. The Meddler
16. The Huntsman: Winter's War
19. Mother's Day
Bonuses:
3/6 ~ 2000 points
4/6 ~ 5000 points
5/6 ~ 9000 points
6/6 ~ 15000 points
- 1
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Part 1 ~ answer yes/no unless otherwise stated (UOS) and are worth 1000 points each UOS. They also only refer to the top 12 UOS.
1) Will Angry Birds make more than $40m this weekend? Yes
2) Will Neighbours 2 make more than $40m this weekend? 2000 No
3) Will any film make above $50m this weekend? No
4) Will at least two new entries open above Civil War? No
5) Will The Nice Guys make more than $15m this weekend? No
6) Will Civil War become the number 1 film of 2016 by the end of Saturday? No (Under Deadpool)
7) Will The Jungle Book overtake BvS's domestic total by the end of the weekend? 3000 No
8) Will Zootopia remain in the top 8? Yes
9) Will Huntsman increase more than 72% on Saturday? No
10) Will Mother's Day drop down to 10th place or lower? No
11) Will Money Monster drop more than 53%? 2000 No
12) Will The Darkness drop more than Ratchett and Clank? 3000 No
13) Will Barbershop have a better Friday increase than Keanu? Yes
14) Will the three main new entries combine to more than $100m? No
15) Will Greek Wedding 2 drop less than 37% on Sunday? 2000 No
16) Will Jungle Book's weekend gross be within $24m of Civil War's? 3000 No
17) Will Sing Street remain in the top 12? No
18) Will The Boss have a PTA above $650? Yes
19) Will Deadpool stay above Kung Fu Panda 3 this weekend? Yes
20) Will all three films involve scenes that show the unwitting imbibing of urine? omg what the heck, Chas with the big words
Bonuses
15/20 - 2000
16/20 - 4000
17/20 - 6000
18/20 - 9000
19/20 - 12000
20/20 - 15000
Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS
1. What will be the gross of the number 1 film of the weekend? 45.35M
2. What will the top three new entries combined Saturday gross be? 38.01M
3. How far away from $1B Worldwide will Zootopia be by the end of the weekend? 20.5M
Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film)
1. The Angry Birds Movie
3. Neighbours 2
6. Money Monster
9. Mother's Day
11. The Meddler
15. Sing Street
Bonuses:
3/6 ~ 2000 points
4/6 ~ 5000 points
5/6 ~ 9000 points
6/6 ~ 15000 points- 1
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Wow, Mojo already reported some of these budgets. The BFG looks high, I was thinking 70m, but you got sources.
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Finding Dory - 50%
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Proboxoffice has all the actuals, Mojo should have it in an hour
http://cms.pro.boxoffice.com/statistics/bo_numbers/actual_estimate/2016-05-16
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2 hours ago, Telemachos said:
All but a handful of us are gonna lose points on CIVIL WAR WW.
Yes, but less of us compared with Ultron last year where I think like 5 players were safe. I wonder if there is going to be another Jurassic World performance, hopefully not ID: Resurgence
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Part 1 ~ answer yes/no unless otherwise stated (UOS) and are worth 1000 points each UOS. They also only refer to the top 12 UOS.
1) Will Civil War make more than $77m? Yes
2) Will Civil War make more than $89m? 2000 No
3) Will Money Monster open above $10m? 3000 No
4) Will The Darkness open above $6m? No
5) Will Money Monster and The Darkness' combined opening weekends be higher than The Jungle Book's Weekend total? No
6) Will Mother's Day remain in the top 5? Yes
7) Will High Rise have a PTA above $15,000? No
8) Will The Huntsman stay above Zootopia this weekend? 2000 No
9) Will Ratchett and Clank increase more than 85% on Saturday? 3000 Yes
10) Will Mother's Day have the biggest drop of any film in the top 8? Yes
11) Will BvS's PTA stay above $400? Yes
12) Will Sing Street increase this weekend? 2000 Yes
13) Will Hologram for the king stay above The Meddler this weekend? 3000 No
14) Will The Boss make $1m this weekend? Yes
15) Will more people watch George Clooney in Nespresso commercials than in the cinema this weekend? Yes, do you want the can, sir?
Bonuses
11/15 - 2000
12/15 - 4000
13/15 - 6000
14/15 - 9000
15/15 - 12000
Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS
1. What will be the difference between BvS and Civil War's total gross this weekend? 22.13M
2. What will Mother's Day's weekend drop be? 4.413M (-60.13%)
3. What will Keanu make on Sunday? 0.4913M
Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film)
4. Mother's Day
7. The Huntsman: Winter's War
9. The Barbershop: The Next Cut
12. Ratchet & Clank
14. Green Room
17. The Meddler
Bonuses:
3/6 ~ 2000 points
4/6 ~ 5000 points
5/6 ~ 9000 points
6/6 ~ 15000 points- 1
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Ok, I decided that I would do the WW weekend also, it didn't take too long (30 minutes or so if you're wondering)
I used Boxofficemojo, I added international and domestic weekend (Mojo's chart seems to be off, for the all-time chart). Rentrax seemed to have estimates. Correct me if I'm wrong
As for me, I just missed the gold/orange mark
No wonder you wanted someone to score WW weekends @Telemachos
As of May 12th, 2016:
If your prediction is in ORANGE, then you are within $10 MILLION and get 25,000 points!
If your prediction is in PURPLE, then you are within $20 MILLION and get 20,000 points!
If your prediction is in GREEN, then you are within $30 MILLION and get 15,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLUE then you are within $50 MILLION and get 10,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLACK then you are SAFE!
If your prediction is in RED, then you are over the film's final total by at least $70 MILLION and lose at least 10,000 points!
Captain America: Civil War (38/38)
Jj-8 - 470.8M
24Lost - 460M
Treetrunk Special - 450M
Infernus - 450M
Darkelf - 450M
Jayhawk - 440M
Simonski - 435M
Grey Ghost - 425M
#ED - 415M
DexterofSuburbia - 405M
Firedeep - 400M
WW Weekend: $396.139142M
Kayumanggi - 395M (Bonus 10,000 for being the closest!)
Telemachos - 395M (Bonus 10,000 for being the closest!)
Exxdee - 385M
Wrathofhan - 380M
Chewy - 375M
Alpha - 370M
Jake Gittes - 365M
Laguy03 - 350M
Kalo - 350M
Glassfairy - 350M
Damienroc - 345M
Jj99 - 340M
Dajk - 340M
Wrath - 340M
Bcf26 - 340M
Baumer - 325M
The Panda - 320M
ThatOneGuy - 320M
Chasmmi - 317M
Blank Panther - 312M
Films - 285.7M
Cmasterclay - 280M
Mike Hunt - 200M
Empire - N/A
Movieman89 - N/A
Nardiadis - N/A
Maxmoser3 - N/A
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Thanks to Filmovie for the format, lemme know if you still want to do it. I just wanted to try it, let's see
Current Worldwide Top 10 Standings
As of May 11th, 2016:
If your prediction is in ORANGE, then you are within $10 MILLION and get 50,000 points!
If your prediction is in PURPLE, then you are within $25 MILLION and get 35,000 points!
If your prediction is in GREY, then you are within $50 MILLION and get 25,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLUE then you are within $75 MILLION and get 10,000 points!
If your prediction is in GREEN, then you are within $100 MILLION and get 5,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLACK then you are SAFE!
If your prediction is in RED, then you are over the film's final total by at least $150 MILLION and lose at least 10,000 points!
Captain America: Civil War (38/38)
DexterofSuburbia - 2B
ThatOneGuy - 1.6B
Firedeep - 1.6B
Mike Hunt - 1.6B
Jj-8 - 1.5958B
Treetrunk Special - 1.587B
Infernus - 1.55B
Grey Ghost - 1.55B
Jayhawk - 1.512B
The Panda - 1.5B
Empire - 1.5B
Simonski - 1.46B
Baumer - 1.455B
Exxdee - 1.45B
Jake Gittes - 1.45B
Darkelf - 1.45B
Chewy - 1.45B
Kayumanggi - 1.45B
Laguy03 - 1.45B
Movieman89 - 1.44B
#ED - 1.44B
Chasmmi - 1.42B
Wrathofhan - 1.4B
Alpha - 1.4B
Blank Panther - 1.386B
Telemachos - 1.377B
Damienroc - 1.357B
Kalo - 1.35B
Films - 1.35B
Cmasterclay - 1.35B
Nardiadis - 1.34B
Dajk - 1.33B
Maxmoser3 - 1.3B
24Lost - 1.26
Jj99 - 1.25B
Wrath - 1.2B
Glassfairy - 1.1125B
Bcf26 - 1.15B
CURRENT TOTAL $737,792,138- 6
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I thought we had 40m to play with lol already in the red
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I went through my IMDB ratings, and arranged everything. It's pretty heavy on recent films (this decade), the movies I love. It was tough, a lot of these movies I've only seen once. I'm sure I missed a few, but it looks good to me
1. Forrest Gump
2. Pulp Fiction
3. Inception
4. Toy Story 3
5. No Country for Old Men
6. The Dark Knight
7. Back to the Future
8. Boyhood
9. Up
10. Raging Bull
11. Her
12. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
13. Hoop Dreams
14. Raiders of the Lost Ark
15. The Godfather
16. Taxi Driver
17. Silver Linings Playbook
18. Up in the Air
19. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
20. Inside Lllewyn Davis
21. The Matrix
22. Wall-E
23. Blue is the Warmest Color
24. Seven
25. The Lion King
26. The Shawshank Redemption
27. Birdman
28. Goodfellas
29. Inglourious Basterds
30. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
31. The Grand Budapest Hotel
32. Zootopia
33. The Princess Bride
34. Harry Potter and The Deathly Hallows Part 2
35. Malcolm X
36. Creed
37. Mad Max: Fury Road
38. Silence of the Lambs
39. The Wolf of Wall Street
40. Good Will Hunting
41. Ferris Bueller's Day Off
42. Once
43. Black Swan
44. Die Hard
45. Borat
46. Monsters Inc.
47. Short Term 12
48. Mommy (Dolan)
49. Midnight in Paris
50. 25th Hour
51. United 93
52. Magnolia
53. The Exorcist
54. Finding Nemo
55. The Usual Suspects
56. The Departed
57. Whiplash
58. Drive
59. Vertigo
60. How to Train Your Dragon
61. It's a Wonderful Life
62. Halloween
63. A Prophet
64. The Piano
65. Moneyball
66. End of Watch
67. Full Metal Jacket
68. The Fugitive
69. Alien
70. Groundhog Day
71. Strangers on a Train
72. Home Alone
73. Monster
74. Moneyball
75. The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
76. A Clockwork Orange
77. Collateral
78. Ratatouille
79. Boyz N The Hood
80. Speed
81. The Karate Kid
82. Unbreakable
83. The Wrestler
84. Rebecca
85. Eyes Wide Shut
86. Ex Machina
87. Searching for Sugarman
88. The Fly
89. Y tu Mama Tambien
90. Dodgeball
91. Punch Drunk Love
92. Cape Fear
93. Big
94. Casablanca
95. Do The Right Thing
96. The Thin Red Line
97. The Other Guys
98. Dog Day Afternoon
99. Mean Girls
100. Jingle All The Way
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Money Monster: $28m - Lower
Nice Guys: $60m - Lower
Popstar: $25m - Lower
Me before You: $45m - Lower
Now you see me 2: $65M - Higher
Free State of Jones: $43M - Lower
The Shallows: $28m - Higher
The Purge: $42m 0 - Higher -
Part 1 ~ answer yes/no unless otherwise stated (UOS) and are worth 1000 points each UOS. They also only refer to the top 12 UOS.
1) Will keanu open to more than $18m? No
2) Will keanu open to more than $22.5m? 2000 No
3) Will mothers day open to more than $10m? Yes
4) will the 3 openers' combined OW be higher than jungle book's weekend gross? 3000 No
5) Will all 3 wide openers finish in the top 5? No
6) Will huntsman drop less than 47.5%? No
7) Will Zootopia drop more than 20%? Yes
8) Will BvS have a sub-$1M day this weekend? Yes
9) Will Barbershop have a higher Saturday gross than Zootopia this weekend? 3000 Yes
10) will miracles from heaven have a better Sunday drop than gods not dead 2? No
11) Will deadpool have a better Friday percentage increase than BvS? No
12) Will criminal stay above my big fat gel wedding? Yes
13) Will allegiant stay above Cloverfield lane? Yes
14) Will hardcore Henry make less than $100k this weekend? 2000 Yes
15) Will any film below the top 12 last weekend, move up into the top 12 this weekend? 2000 Yes (Green Room)
16) Will the boss have a PTA above $1,500? No
17) Will 2 films have a Friday increase above 200%? Yes
18) Will KFP3 have a Saturday increase over 98.5%? 3000 Yes
19) Willthe man who knew infinity have a PTA above $5000? No
20) Will the hologram for the king turn out to be a threatening message from Lord Snoke? Yes, soon to be seen in Rogue One read by Mikkelsen
Bonuses
14/20 - 2000
15/20 - 3000
16/20 - 5000
17/20 - 7000
18/20 - 10000
19/20 - 12000
20/20 - 15000
Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS
1. What will keanu gross OW? 12.13M
2. What will Huntsman's weekend percentage drop be? 58.13%
3. What well be the difference in dollars of the total domestic grosses of BvS and zootopia after this weekend? 1.13M
Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given.
3. Mother's Day
5. Barbershop: The Next Cut
8. The Boss
10. Criminal
13. A Hologram for the King AKA Mikkelsen
Bonuses:
3/5 ~ 4000 points
4/5 ~ 7000 points
5/5 ~ 10000 points- 1
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A: Domestic top 15:
1. Captain America: Civil War – 585M
2. Finding Dory – 403M
3. Suicide Squad – 285M
4. X-Men: Apocalypse – 242M
5. Independence Day: Resurgence – 208M6. The Secret Life of Pets – 201M
7. Jason Bourne – 194M
8. Star Trek Beyond – 186M
9. Alice Through the Looking Glass – 156M
10. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows – 145M
11. Central Intelligence – 133M
12. Pete’s Dragon – 124M13. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising – 119M
14. Ice Age: Collision Course – 117M
15. Ghostbusters – 108M
On the outside: Conjuring 2, NYSM 2, Angry Birds Movie, Warcraft
B: Top 7 Domestic OW:
1. Captain America: Civil War – 212M
2. Finding Dory – 123M
3. Suicide Squad – 108M
4. X-Men: Apocalypse – 93M
5. Independence Day: Resurgence – 74M
7. Star Trek Beyond – 64M6. The Secret Life of Pets – 62M
C: Worldwide top 10:1. Captain America: Civil War – 1.45B
2. Finding Dory – 1.05B
3. X-Men: Apocalypse – 712M
4. Independence Day: Resurgence – 701M5. Suicide Squad – 575M
6. The Secret Life of Pets – 534M
7. Ice Age: Collision Course – 503M
8. Star Trek Beyond – 436M
9. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows – 409M
10. Alice Through the Looking Glass – 402M
D: Worldwide Weekends:
1) Captain America: Civil War - 385M
2) Finding Dory - 231M
3) Suicide Squad - 202M
4) Independence Day: Resurgence - 164M
5) X-Men: Apocalypse - 157M
E: China Box Office:
1) Captain America: Civil War - 214M
2) X-Men: Apocalypse - 122M3) Finding Dory - 111M
4) Independence Day: Resurgence - 106M
5) Suicide Squad - 95M
6) Star Trek: Beyond - 71M
7) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows - 62M
F: Total Grosses:
Top 15 Dom) 3.23B
Top 7 W/E) 737M
Top 10 WW) 6.77B
Top 5 China) 653M
G: Around The World in 80 Box Offices:
South Korea #1) Captain America - Civil War
South Africa #1) Captain America -
Brazil #1) Captain America - Civil War
Mexico #1) Captain America - Civil War
Australia #1 ) Captain America - Civil War
Italy #1 ) Captain America - Civil War
Pre-season Questions:
A generous risk-free question to start you off: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game:
A: 100M Angry Birds Movie
B: 200M Jason Bourne
C: 300M Suicide Squad
D: 400M Finding Dory
E: 500M Captain America: Civil War
Each correctly predicted film scores you 15,000 points, get all four correct and receive 25,000 bonus points for 100k total. (This is the only preseason question where there is no penalty for being wrong so enjoy it).
1) Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the summer domestically:
1) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2
2) Independence Day Resurgence 198M
3) Angry Birds Movie
4) Ghostbusters
Answer correctly: 12,000 points
Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points
State that you abstain: 2,000 points
Correctly predict the film’s gross to within 20M and receive a 13,000 point bonus, Predict to within 10M and receive 23,000 points bonus.
2) Tell me which of these will be the lowest grossing film of the summer domestically:
1) Free State of Jones
2) Purge: Election Year
3) Popstar: Never Stop Not Stopping
4) Nine Lives 16M
Answer correctly: 12,000 points
Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points
State that you abstain: 2,000 points
Correctly predict the films gross to within 10M and receive a 13,000 point bonus, Predict to within 5M and receive 23,000 points bonus
3) Will at least 3 films make more than 300M domestically by the end of the game? NO
Answer correctly: 15,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points
State that you abstain: 3,000 points
4) Will animated films combine to make more than 800M domestically by the end of the game? YES
Answer correctly: 15,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points
State that you abstain: 3,000 points
5) Will at least 3 films make more than 100M OW domestic? YES
Answer correctly: 20,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points
State that you abstain: 4,000 points
6) Will any film have either a second domestic 3 day weekend or a second worldwide weekend that would have qualified for its respective top X table if multiple entries had been allowed? YES
Answer correctly: 20,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points
State that you abstain: 4,000 points
7) Will at least 3 of the top 5 domestic films of the summer NOT be comic book films? No
Answer correctly: 20,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points
State that you abstain: 4,000 points
8) Will the top 3 films of the summer’s combined gross be higher than the combined gross of Batman vs Superman, Jungle Book and Zootopia? Yes
Answer correctly: 20,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points
State that you abstain: 4,000 points
9) Will any film have a domestic Opening Weekend above $50M but not open to number one at the box office? Yes
Answer correctly: 25,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points
State that you abstain: 5,000 points
10) Will at least 2 sequel/prequel/reboots drop more than 33.33% Domestically from the previous installment in its franchise (Civil War is vs Winter Soldier, Apocalypse is against DOFP and Bourne is vs Ultimatum for this question)? Yes
Answer correctly: 25,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points
State that you abstain: 5,000 points
11) Will at least 2 DOMESTIC titles make over $150M in China? No
Answer correctly: 25,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points
State that you abstain: 5,000 points
12) Will at least 3 animated films open to number one at the domestic box office? No
Answer correctly: 25,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points
State that you abstain: 5,000 points
13) Will any film with a budget above $120M (according to BOM or another credible source) gross less than $60M domestically? Yes
Answer correctly: 25,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points
State that you abstain: 5,000 points
14) Will any domestic film get more than 8 million admissions in South Korea? Yes
Answer correctly: 25,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points
State that you abstain: 5,000 points
15) Will any film make more than $45M in Germany? Yes
Answer correctly: 30,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points
State that you abstain: 6,000 points
16) Will at least 3 comedy films (as listed by BOM) make over $100M domestic? Yes
Answer correctly: 30,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points
State that you abstain: 6,000 points
17) Will any film open to 1st place domestically in its opening weekend and then drop more than 64% in its second week? Yes
Answer correctly: 30,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points
State that you abstain: 6,000 points
18) Will any film in the worldwide top 10 NOT be in the domestic top 15 films at the end of the game? No
Answer correctly: 30,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points
State that you abstain: 6,000 points
19) Which combination of films will gross the most amount of money domestically during the game?
1) Finding Dory, Civil War, Popstar: Never stop Never Stopping, Mike and Dave need Wedding Dates
2) Apocalypse, Star Trek 3, Sausage Party, Alice Through the Looking Glass
3) Warcraft, Neighbours 2, Tarzan, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2
4) Jason Bourne, Central Intelligence, Secret Life of Pets, Conjuring 2
Answer correctly: 30,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points
State that you abstain: 5,000 points
20) Which combination of films will gross the smallest amount of money during the game?
1) Pete’s Dragon, Keanu, The Shallow, Nine Lives,
2) Legend of Tarzan, Ratchet and Clank, Me Before You, Arms and the Dudes
3) Ice Age, Money Monster, Lights Out, The Space Between Us,
4) Ben Hur, Now You See Me 2, The Shallows, Mechanic: Resurrection,
Answer correctly: 30,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points
State that you abstain: 5,000 points
Jajang’s (JJ-8) little set of Questions. Answer if you Dare!
Part A: A Fish called Dory
1) Will Finding Dory produce the biggest “animated” opening weekend of 2016 ? (Current Record – 2016 = Zootopia 75.1m) YES
2) Will Finding Dory produce the biggest “animated” opening weekend ever ? (Current Record = Shrek the Third : 121.6m) YES
3) Will Finding Dory make more than 300m domestically ? YES
4) Will Finding Dory make more than 400m domestically ? YES
5) Will Finding Dory top the Summer Game domestically ? (ie. #1 film for the game) NO
6) Will Finding Dory make more than 1B worldwide ? YES
7) Will Finding Dory become the #1 Animated Film Worldwide (Current #1 = Frozen 1.277B) NO
8) How many weekends will an Animated Film be on top of the weekend chart ? (You have a Cushion of 1 Weekend – so if you are off by 1 you still get this correct) 3
9) Will any of the listed Animated Films have a weekend drop of “< 30%” in their 2nd weekends ? NO
10) How many Animated Films will be in the top 15 for the summer game ? (you have a Cushion of 1 Film) 3
Part B: It’s a Comic Book World
1) A comic book film is expected to make the highest opening weekend during the summer game (Many of you will have it as your number 1 Weekend). Name that Film OR if you don’t think a Comic Film will be the number 1 weekend this summer, then put None. CAPTAIN AMERICA: CIVIL WAR
2) Will Captain America: Civil War make more than Iron Man 2 (128.1m) on Opening Weekend? YES
3) Will Captain America: Civil War make more than Iron Man 3 (174.1m) (and inherently more than BVS) on Opening Weekend? YES
4) Will Captain America: Civil War make more than Captain America: The Winter Soldier (259.8m)? YES
5) Will Captain America: Civil War become the biggest MCU film which doesn’t have “The Avengers” in its title (ie. More than Iron Man 3 (409m)) YES
6) Will X-Men: Apocalypse make more than X-Men: Days of Future Past (90.8m) on Opening weekend? YES
7) Will X-Men: Apocalypse make more than Deadpool (132.4m) on Opening weekend (this would make it the largest of the X-Men series)? NO
8) Will X-Men: Apocalypse make more than X-Men: The Last Stand (234.4m)? YES
9) Will X-Men: Apocalypse become the biggest of the X-Men series/franchise (Deadpool – Final number isn’t done yet)? NO
10) Will Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows make more than Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) (65.6m) on Opening weekend? NO
11) Will Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows make more than Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) (191.2m)? NO
12) Will Suicide Squad make more than Captain America: The First Avenger (65.1m)? YES
13) Will Suicide Squad (Total) make more than Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice Opening Weekend (170m – estimate)? YES
14) Will All Comic Book films (Total) make more than 1 Billion domestically (Total of all 4 films together)? YES
15) Will any Comic Book film drop more than 62% in it’s second weekend? (this will always reference 3 day totals only) YES
16) In how many of the following markets will a Comic Book film be the number 1 film (Total Gross) during the Game? (You have a cushion of 1 country) (Australia; Brazil; China; France; Germany; Mexico; Russia; South Korea; United Kingdom) 8
17) Will Captain America: Civil War make more than 1 Billion Worldwide? YES
18) Will Captain America: Civil War (Worldwide Total) OR X-Men: Apocalypse (Worldwide Total) make than Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows (Worldwide Total) AND Suicide Squad (Worldwide Total) Worldwide? YES
19) Will at least 2 Comic Book films receive a Cinema Score of at least “A”? YES
20) How Many Comic Book films will be in the ALL 3 of the main game charts? (there is no Cushion for this one!) 3- 1
-
1. BvS Domestic Opening Weekend (including Thursday previews) vs Civil War Opening Weekend (excluding Thursday Previews)
2. BvS Total Domestic Gross vs Angry Birds, Neighbours 2 and Nice Guys total combined domestic gross
3. BvS Total Worldwide Gross vs Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles and Conjuring 2's combined total Worldwide gross
4. BvS Opening Day (including previews) vs Alice Through The Looking Glass Opening Weekend
5. BvS China Gross vs Xmen Apocalypse Domestic Opening Weekend
6. BvS UK Gross vs Keanu's Total Domestic Gross -
I gotta play small ball, since I keep missing the big movies
100% on The Darkness
50% on The Nice Guys
- 2
-
Missed Neighbors ?
Gimme 30% of Angry Birds
- 2
-
Darn it forgot about this again. I should enter my predictions when PBO releases their numbers jeez
-
Loss out on Civil War, so
50% on Barbershop
35% on Keanu
- 2
-
Suicide Squad
Jason Bourne
Jungle Book
Sausage Party
Finding Dory
-
Big ones,
Silence (going to read this novel, the master Scorcese)
Sully, Hanks, Eastwood and real story (or maybe another J. Edgar?)
The Founder, Keaton
Manchester by the Sea, Lonergan
Billy Lynn's Walk, Ang Lee + War setting
Stronger, David Gordon Green + Boston Marathon tragedy (next year's Spotlight Tom McCarthy?)
My favs from some great directors, I have high hopes, maybe some oscars for:
Nocturnal Animals (Tom Ford and Gyllenhaal)
Story of Your Life (love this Chiang's short story, Adams + Villeneuve + Montreal filmed, my personal most anticipated)
War Machine (Michod and Brad Pitt)
The Promise (my boy Oscar Isaac and Christian Bale in an Epic)
The Yellow Birds (great book with some good actors like Sheridan and maybe Aniston gets some love?)
Man, if Birth of No Nation doesn't get love, imagine the controversy
Summer Game SOTM 4: Put one's money where one's mouth may be
in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Posted
2) Will TMNT open to more than $47.5M? 2000 No
3) Will TMNT open to more than $55M? No
5) Will Me Before You open to more than $20M? No
7) Will Popstar open to more than $10? No
8) Will Apocalypse have a weekend total above $30M? No
9) Will Alice cross $50M by the end of the weekend? 2000 Yes
11) Will Neighbours stay above Jungle Book? No
16) Will The Darkness Drop less than 65% this weekend? No
17) Will Zootopis pass $1B Worldwide by the end of the weekend? No
19) Will Me Before you have a higher PTA within $1,000 of TMNT? 3000 No
13) Will Love and Friendship have a weekend total above $2M? Yes