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Posts posted by Tubes
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5 minutes ago, tokila said:
yes I know.
That is why I said it should. And it just shows how flawed going by tickets sold is. Does not accurately show one movies relative success to another.
Crappy iOS videogame sells 50 million at 99 cents a pop. AAA video game sells 10 million at 60 dollars a pop. Clearly one is better than the other, but it would like arguing the one did better because it sold more.
That's what dollar amounts are for. That's when you follow the march to $1 billion instead of the march to 100 million tickets.
Then you go into production budgets and hey, that free to play game can afford Arnold Schwarzenegger in it's commercials that air in prime time. What kind of in app revenue could support such a massive ad budget?
And so on and so on.
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The final run:
Now TFA is performing less Avatar-like and more like a normal blockbuster. It's still due another $200 million plus, especially since it'll probably hold on to it's PLF and IMAX screens for another 3 weeks.
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More fun with the Avatar Run:
These records are going to be obliterated so badly that it's going to take a miraculous run and 20 years of ticket price inflation to even approach them. It took 11 years for another film to approach ET's original release total (Jurassic Park) and another 4 for a film to finally surpass it (Titanic). Titanic's record took 12 years and 3D to be surpassed.
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Updated Avatar Run:
The actual percentage drops day to day for TFA are disturbingly close to Avatar's. We might get more $30 million weekdays from it next week.
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1 minute ago, superduperm said:
I be going crazy here... but $750M by New Year's Day?
The Avatar Run (Avatar's daily % drops compared to TFA's Sunday going forward) as of now puts TFA close to $400 million for the first week, which is surprisingly possible. Holiday weekdays can make anything happen.
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3 minutes ago, Orestes said:
What's Holiday Monday record?
Spider-Man 2 with $27,661,137. Well, until yesterday.
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Just now, superduperm said:
Tuesday is going to be very interesting. Avatar only dropped 1.8%. This will probably take a decent dive though...
On Discount Tuesday during Christmas Break? I don't think so, even with the massive grosses TFA is bringing in. Watch it do another $35-40 million Wednesday will be the nosedive, if anything.
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By Christmas, all these records will be broken.
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Food for thought: The last time a OW record holder had a multiplier higher than 4 was Jurassic Park back in 1993.
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Watch as TFA has a better first Monday drop than Avatar. The only thing stopping this film is some Day After Tomorrow-esque weather event.
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Updated Avatar run:
I think a $40 million Monday is going to happen. At the very least, it's going to break the Monday record and probably Tuesday too.
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This is the least fudgiest total I've ever seen. Disney didn't even try to push it over $248.
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11 minutes ago, Jayhawk the Hutt said:
It's tradition. It used to be for the highest grossing film of all-time however.
It's probably be a bit arrogant for Jim Cameron to post a full page congratulations to himself.
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3 minutes ago, hasanahmad said:
Luke was able evade Vader's shots at him and make a one in a million shot using the force destroying an entire death star. I would think that is a bigger achievement than fighting an immature fighter who has the force and has not even completed his training. For crying out loud he got hit by a saber when fighting FINN, that is how untrained he is.
I didn't like that either. Instead of making Finn and Rey look better, it made Ren look worse and hurt his menace for future films.
As for the Death Star, Vader clipped several fighters in addition to the ones he destroyed, including Luke, indicating that his TIE targeting might not be the best. Luke had an introductory course in the Force on the Falcon and stretched his reach out for the first time under Obi Wan's eyes, something Rey didn't have. Plus, before Luke could even fire, he was saved by Han blowing away Vader's wingman and breaking up his formation.
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Luke is repeatedly mentioned as being an excellent bush pilot and being able to hit small targets using his T-16's laser cannon.
Anakin winning the pod race (something he's never done) is convenient, but he's raced in them before.
I didn't mind Rey being able to pilot the Falcon or winning the respect of Han (both possible Sue-ish traits). I just found it a bit off that she was able to pull out Force powers and beat a Sith (who, as a Dark Side practicioner, thrives on emotion and anger to drive his power) without having some kind of tutelage first.
This isn't the first time the franchise had criticism for overpowered author avatars. You could pick apart Luke as a self insert character. Had the prequels came first, we would have.
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FYI: Myself, my 6 friends, and at least 200 other people all paid $8 each to see TFA on Thursday.
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3 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said:
No one here is saying 1 billion is in play. All I said is a reasonable multiplier based on several factors, is 3.5. But if it manages that elusive 4X, then a billion is in play....a lot of X factors there.
I think what's skewing this is the only holiday time comparison we have is Avatar, a box office freak. That and we've never seen an opener this large in this time frame, so we don't really know how the weekdays will really play out.
Crazy thing is, I think $800 million is a worst case scenario.
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Remember, Avatar did roughly $400 million after it's holiday weekends. So whatever you think TFA is going to do for the next three weekends, tack on at least $200 mil for the rest of it's run.
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What's the fastest a domestic gross record was established? Avatar beat Titanic in 47 days, Titanic beat the combined Star Wars gross in 86, and it took ET over 200 days to overtake Star Wars originally.
If the holidays do their thing, we could have a new all time champ in 3 weeks.
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5 minutes ago, Deedlit said:
Woah, ROTJ adjusts to $60,800 per theatre without 3D or IMAX and without previews. And probably with a fair number of children as well. How the heck did that happen?
My guess is a lot of ROTJ's first showings were of the 70mm Premium variety, commanding higher ticket prices than normal. Like if TFA was only released in 3D PLF variants.
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3 minutes ago, spizzer said:
Don't have my spreadsheets for another few hours, but given the splits, it would take something disastrous to miss it (everything goes down). 240M should be >23.0M tickets.
Does this include the $60 marathon showings from Thursday? I don't know how widespread they were, but they might have done big in major cities.
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Everybody ready for the Avatar run?
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DEADPOOL WEEKEND THREAD | Deadpool 152.193 actual. Daily breakdown on page 159
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Anyone think this performance will change the stigma of the R Rating as box office poison or is Deadpool just a well marketed oddity?