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Posts posted by Tubes
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I'll add more as I watch more:
1965:
-For A Few Dollars More
-Dr. Zhivago
-Thunderball
1975:
-Monty Python and the Holy Grail
-One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest
1985:
-Brazil
-Witness
-The Goonies
-Mad Max: Beyond Thunderdome
-A View To A Kill
-Rambo: First Blood Part II
1995:
-Heat
-Toy Story
-Apollo 13
-Se7en
-Braveheart
-Goldeneye
-Get Shorty
-Babe
-Die Hard With a Vengeance
-Desperado
2005:
-Syriana
-Sin City
-Cinderella Man
-Batman Begins
-Kingdom of Heaven
-King Kong
-Lord of War
-Madagascar
-Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
-Legend of Zorro
2015:
-Mad Max: Fury Road
-Jurassic World
-Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation
-Furious 7
-Avengers: Age of Ultron
-Ant-Man
-Terminator: Genisys
A missing film usually means that I haven't seen it or haven't seen it to completion. Will list updates when they happen.
EDIT 8/6/15: Added Ant-Man and M:I-RN
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TG, MMXXL, and Ted 2...
Do any of these have a chance at hitting 100 m?
I want MMXXL to make it, just to show some unprecedented stamina after everyone thought it had blown over.
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Anyway, the one bright side of Minions coming out is I'll no longer have to sit through shitty advertisements with Minions in it... for a year
BUY MINIONS ON HOME VIDEO
BUY MINIONS ON STREAMING
BUY THE MINIONS SOUNDTRACK
BUY THE MINIONS ACTION FIGURE SET
BUY THE MINIONS PLUSH DOLL
BUY THE MINIONS OFFICIAL SOCKS
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1. SPECTRE
2. The Man from U.N.C.L.E.
3. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation
4. Straight Outta Compton
5. The Hateful Eight
6. Bridge of Spies
7. Deadpool
8. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
9. Creed
10. Southpaw
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Thanks, now I have that damn Celine Dion song stuck in my head. It's 1998 all over again!
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So Magic Mike XXL had the biggest Sunday bump AND the smallest Monday drop.
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what other theatre are you talking about
I was betting that a movie could break into the top 10 just by selling out it's showings at AMC Empire 25. I did some math afterwards and while that can't really happen, it looks like a big movie could do upwards of $300,000 for a weekend just at that multiplex.
For TG, using T3 and TS's Friday to Friday drop, it's second weekend should be in the range of $12 to 15 million, with a total between $67 to $71 million domestic.
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$14 million range for TG seems right, as that would mirror what Public Enemies did in 2009. Doing less would be a sure sign of bad legs and a really poor reception; doing more could indicate a surprising late summer run if it isn't hurt too badly by Ant Man.
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I don't expect IO or JP4 to really be hurt that much by Minions, but we will see a lot of smaller films lose theaters and tank as a result.
Max is going to be hit the biggest of the family films and R rated fare like Spy, Ted 2, and Magic Mike are going to suffer with the older crowd either going towards Minions or the two big holdovers.
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Gross
That explains why AMC Empire is almost always on top.
I bet if a movie opened there and nowhere else, that cinema's sellouts could propel it into the top 10.
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I'm not sure if this was answered before or not, but are the top theaters rth posted based on gross or ticket sales?
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Did everyone forget that Sarah and Arnold needed a Terminator Neural Net Processor to run the time machine, something that John didn't exactly have handy in 2017?
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I want to see a huge Terminator multiplier purely to see people try to explain it.
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That is just too bad. Because Minions will destroy everything next week....
The 2009 slate dropped fairly lightly because of the deflated Saturday, but they were going against such illustrious competition like Bruno.
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Last Friday gross for both IO & JW is about 27% - 28% of the whole weekend take.
Using the same multiplier, is it possible for these 2 to end up with high 30s?!!!
Independence Day will have a negative effect on grosses. In 2009, all movies dipped 30-40% from their Friday totals.
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MMXXL
Fri - 6.4
Sat - 3.5 (-45%)
Sun - 5.3 (+50%)
total - 15.2
I don't even think MMXXL is going to get that big of a Sunday increase, regardless of how it does on the 4th.
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$40 million 5 Day for Terminator possible?
My math takes Terminator to $44 million 5 day ($28.5 million 3 day). That's a best case scenario at this point.
Public Enemies rode a $40 million 5 day to $97 million domestic, but Terminator is going to fall faster for sure. We're probably going to see a lighter drop next week for all films (due to Saturday not being a holiday) and TG is going to implode fast after that.
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People The Rock and Chris Pratt can't be in everything.
What if we put The Rock and Chris Pratt in the same movie? Would it break Avatar's record?
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All the super saturated releases received roughly a 50% increase in 2009 (the last time July 4th was a Saturday). The placing shouldn't change that much. If positioning were to change, MM2 might get a Friday night bump and swap places with TG.
Expect to see numbers ranging from $11.5 million to $8.5 million for the top 4 tomorrow.
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And T2 in real 4K remastered image quality
Knowing the way this works, we'll get a new T2 remastered Blu Ray
with director approved 16x9 open matte framing and altered color timing.
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1. SPECTRE
2. The Hateful Eight
3. The Man from U.N.C.L.E.
4. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation
5. Straight Outta Compton
6. Black Mass
7. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
8. Bridge of Spies
9. Creed
10. Southpaw -
Fun fact: If TG misses $100 million (and I'm probably being generous), it would have sold less tickets than the first Terminator did.
Let that sink in for a second.
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In July 1991, Terminator 2 opened on a Wednesday and had $2.4M in previews the day before and earned $9.2M on Wednesday business.
Now, 24 years later, with 3D and IMAX, TG fails to match the preview number of T2. And assuming Rth's number holds, TG's OD including previews is even less than T2's excluding previews.
That's historic levels of bad there. This is sad to watch.
Roughly:
T2 w/preview: 2.77 million tickets
T3 w/preview: 2.73 million tickets
TS w/midnight: 1.8 million tickets
TG w/preview: 1.1 million tickets
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This leads to both MM and TG having an under $30 million weekend/$45 5 day.
When was the last time a new Independence Day slate opened so low?
Weekend Estimates: Minions - 115.2M; JW - 18.1M; Inside Out - 17.1M; Gallows - 10M; Self/Less - 5.4M; MMXXL - 9.6M; T5 - 13.7M
in Numbers and Data
Posted
I would find it hilarious if IO made exactly the same amount of money JW did outside JW's record setting opening week.
Right now, JW holds a $10.8 million lead.