1Robert1
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Posts posted by 1Robert1
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On 5.03.2018 at 11:59 PM, MaxAggressor said:
Domestic: $393,139,443 42.3% + Foreign: $536,866,473 57.7%
= Worldwide: $930,005,916 The OS weekend figure is 2.154 million. It's down just 32.73% from last weekend. The weekdays brought in 1.05 million. 1.5x11th weekend will get J2's OS total to 540 million. Japan will have to deliver a bit over 14.3 million for J2 to cross SM3 for #3 OS of all time for Sony. The 1st paragraph of my previous post looks a bit silly now, doesn't it??
I was thinking that 2012 is also Sony movie. It's already over 541 mln without Japan so it has big chance to win with sm3 OS.
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In Monday Jumanji did 99.49% of last Monday, yesterday it did only 99.42% of last week Wed. #Crumbling
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5 hours ago, fmpro said:
Im thinking this has to do 600 mill WW to break even in the end depending how much it makes DOM..
It won't come near these kind of numbers
Probably even more than 600 mill, and in my opinion valerian doesn't have ANY chance to achieve this kind of number, so i'm curious why Besson think it's possible. He invested his own money in this movie, so theoretically he may go bankrupt.
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19 hours ago, Arlborn said:
That's never included in the production budget. But yeah, of course, just like with every other blockbuster.
My point was that movie production + movie promotion will cost much more than 200 mln $, so they will have to have earn around 500 mln to make any profit. How they can think it's possibile?
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What about movie promotion? Wouldn't it costs additional tens of millions dollars?
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47 minutes ago, Vadermort said:
JW earned about 34M after its 43rd day and If this is applied to TFA then 887+34 puts it at 921M
TFA had 36th, 37th, 38th, 41st, 42nd and 43rd day better than JW, so TFA should finish higher than 921.
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3 hours ago, TacoBell said:
So what are we looking at for a TFA final gross?
- 915/920M
Avatar did around 110 mln $ in February, don't you think you are too pesimistic and TFA will be around 915/920 after february? Avengers made 40 mln after 43rd day, so I think that TFA shoud finish at least 925 mln.
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Let's do some math first let's exclude China gross, if domestic gross will be in same percentage range as Ep 1-3 it will do between 45-48%.
900 mln (domestic) = 975mln ( OS minus china = 52% total gross) mln or 1100 mln( if OS minus China =55% total gross)
925 mln = 1.002 bln or 1.130
950 mln = 1.03 bln or 1.160
975 mln = 1.056 bln or 1.190
1 bln = 1.083 bln or 1.220
In China thread the're predicting 120 mln. I think it will end somewhere between 925-950 in north america, and OS gross will be somewhere between 52%-55% (let's say 53.5%). So my predictions is that it will end between 2.11 bln and 2.165 bln.
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22 minutes ago, Ozymandias said:
With MLK weekend, maybe.
So 1 bln is rather unlikely?
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So TFA after Sunday will be around $ 815 mln, can it make another 100 mln this month?
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1 hour ago, No Prisoners said:
Jan vs july weekdays
Look at the next weekend and you see that it will be up 66%~ over JW with a holiday weekend to follow. Capisce now?
But it need 70% to overpass 1bln...
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14 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:
Relax bro, it's the week after the holidays, one of the slowest of the year.
Of course TFA was going to drop huge. Doesn't mean that it's going to drop huge in the following weeks.
But it doesn't need huge drop to miss 1bln. Avatar made $ 312 mln in January if TFA will have 15% less it will end January with around 915 mln, if so imho it will miss 1bln. Do you think 15% less than Avatar is a huge drop? I don't think so.
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3 minutes ago, druv10 Maul said:
You can't compare like that since JW is in thick of summer while SW7 is when school is back. Friday jump will be much stronger for the latter.
Of course TFA could have great weekends, but JW had in 4th weekend over 29 mln, so if TFA needs 70% it means that it need around 50 mln in 4th weekend, and we shouldn't forget that TFA doesn't have weekdays which are 70% better than JW, so it need even better weekend.
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After 17 days JW made $ 500 mln, then only 152, TFA needs 258mln, it's 70% more, so if JW made 6.5 mln in 18th day TFA should have 11 mln, so i don't really understand how TFA can make 1 bln.
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7 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:
About the same. TFA is already up $20 million on Avatar in January after this weekend. This coming week TFA will do a little better during the week and have a little better weekend. After that Avatar should start outpacing it in daily totals. Avatar did $312 million in January, my model for TFA is $310 million including this weekend.So in January TFA will have 10 days better than Avatar, and Avatar will have 21 days better than TFA, and in the end of the month both films will be around 312 mln, isn't that a little bit to optimistic for TFA?
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5 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:
It's not really that optimistic though. $90 million next week is a 55% drop from this week. Then I'm modeling 35% drops (roughly) every proceeding week, which would be normal for an after holidays stabilization in January.So you think that TFA will have better January than Avatar? Is this possible?
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4 minutes ago, Obi-Wan Telemachos said:
It's gonna handily pass TPM in estimated ticket sales and come within 10% or so of a 1970s blockbuster. That's extraordinary.
Just don't forget how many people lived in usa in 80s and how many lives now...
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4 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:
Lol
SW7 not impressive just sold more tickets then huge films TA and JW in 12 to 14 days.
My mistake, what I wanted to say is that SW7 tickets sale isn't so great in comparison to TPM and first trilogy.
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4 minutes ago, terrestrial said:
It has nothing to do with 'lies' if you pick a mosaic stone and try to conclude out of it the complete picture, or better said 2 different pictures.
yes, the USA has a bigger population, but still the per year ticket sales is declining since a long time
Since 1999 were major changes in HV, media-able technology including 5.7" mobiles, other additional interests cinema has to compete to (like games) and tons of other details needed to include for a true comparison
According to my last link in 1980 TESB sold 98 million, in 1983 Return... sold 94 million, in 1980 there was 1,022 bln ticktets sold, in 1982 almost 1,2 bln in 2015 1.3 bln (so far). So you have a right that since TPM ticket sale is declining, but in 80s was even lower.
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http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/adjusted.htm?adjust_yr=1
If this site doesn't lie it means that TFA will have to sell more than 27 millions tickets to outsell TPM, and let's not forget that right now in the usa there's 15% more population than in 1999, so in fact TFA records aren't so great (if we doesn't focus only on BO).
Weekend thread | Deadline Friday Est. (p.11) ~ PR:U 10.1M, BP 4.4M, ICOI 3.7M, TR 2.8M, SG 2.7M, AWIT 2.1M, L,S 2.3M, P,AOC 1.5M, MS 1.45M, GN 1.2M, U 1.3M
in Numbers and Data
Posted
So BP wouldn't win with Avatar?