corngrower87
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Posts posted by corngrower87
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2 hours ago, M37 said:
May not be the appropriate place to post this, but figured more eyeballs wandering in here than anywhere else right now
A few high profile names on this list, including Union Square
My local Regal survived the cut again, and I’m honestly surprised no better than it’s kept up. I don’t go there often unless the showtimes are more convenient, but I really don’t want to see it close. Maybe I’ll have to make it more of a priority it support it.
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25 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said:
Not bad, but lower than I was expecting. I guess this will make the large weekend jumps to easier…
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From Thursday’s number, my guess for the rest of the week is:
Wednesday $2.1
Thursday $1.9
Early weekend guess:
Friday $4.3
Sat $9.5
Sun $6.5 ($20.3 weekend total)
If that holds, TGM will shave between $9 & 10 million off of Avatar’s lead before Monday. (The corresponding Monday for TGM is inflated as it was July 4th.)
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13 minutes ago, todos said:
MLK day is a federal holiday not a state specific holiday. All 50 states observe it.
The last state to resist observance was in the early 2000s. It’s a day off in all states.
Avatar could be down from estimates (which is unfortunate) but it won’t be because any state didn’t have the day off.
Canada flopped on Monday? Sounds right!States may all give the day off, but not everyone got to stay home. Some companies consider MLK Day/ President’s Day/ Veterans Day, etc. to be “floating holidays” and you only get one or two off and you have to chose which one(s).
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8 hours ago, upriser7 said:
its also super rare to see a Brady led team getting blown out in playoffs..I can't even remember the last time it happened
The only example I can think of is the 2009 season when Baltimore beat New England 33-14 in the wild card round.
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19 minutes ago, upriser7 said:
the biggest game of this weekend ends up being an absolute dud lol
It seems like that happens more often than not.
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15 minutes ago, Dale Cooper said:
Wasn't it some sort of weather impact last year on SUN/MON of the MLK weekend as well? Seems most movies fell hard harder on the Sunday.
I don’t know how wide spread it was, but we had an ice storm last year over MLK weekend. I was one of the few idiots brave enough to go to the cinema. (Full disclosure: I saw Scream)
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8 minutes ago, Elessar said:
I believe FRI and SAT jumps will be even bigger than last week's which will make up for the SUN drop.
Friday’s jump will have to be bigger if this the Thursday to Thursday drop is anything close to what it did drop this past Thursday…
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2 hours ago, stripe said:
Avatwo from here, if it drops 30% each weekend until end of February.
23.1M / 16.2M / 11.3M / 7.9M / 5.5M / 3.9M
That would be 67-68M just for weekends.
Add 25M for all midweek days, and 10-15M for the rest of its run.
670-690M is the likely end.
AMQ or the SB in the second weekend of February could impact late legs, though.
Don’t forget the loss of PLFs, which will start with Knock at the Cabin and Dolby, and then it will start losing IMAX screens with Titanic’s rerelease. As PLF heavy as this film has been playing, I can see the first weekend of February having a steeper drop and the second weekend of February having a huge drop. Especially with the Super Bowl that weekend as you said.
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4 minutes ago, Borobudur said:
I am happy for A2' Saturday number but we can't really just live off with a great one Saturday and the rest of the meh-to-tepid day. And aren't we suppose to expect some impacts from NFL? Does this mean Sunday will be great too since Sunday has less NFL games?
Sunday actually has more NFL games, and arguably those have a bigger draw than yesterday’s.
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13 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:
Until A2 deplete its lead over TGM, I won't declare TGM is safe.
Anyway, glad to see two blockbusters that actually show sincerity in production value and top class filmmaking engineering prevail at the top box office list.
I think we’ll have a fairly good idea after next weekend. It will just be a regular three day for Avatar, but the sixth weekend for Maverick was the Fourth of July inflated four day. It will be very telling going forward what the gap is then, especially with the loss of so many PLFs on the horizon for Avatar.
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2 minutes ago, upriser7 said:
a $14M Saturday would be quite amazing considering we have NFL playoff games today. That would be 60% higher than NWH's 5th Saturday
It is. It will be even more interesting to see the hold tomorrow. Not only are there three games, but you could make the argument that the games tomorrow have more appeal. People will want to watch Buffalo because of Hamlin. The Giants represent the nation’s largest market. Rivals in Baltimore and Cincy. I personally think Sunday will dip a little more than some expect because of it. Then again, the way the numbers have fallen so far it’s anyone’s guess.
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43 minutes ago, stuart360 said:
I dont think those numbers are dissapointing, in fact i bet Disney are over the moon. Cameron couldnt stop smiling at the Golden Globes when interviewers kept going on about the film passing 2bil.
I'm just saying either the cinema going climate has changed because of the pandemic, or it hasnt. We cant have it both ways depending on what film we are talking about.
Nothing disappointing about Avatar’s numbers at all. Anytime in this environment a film can get to $600 plus million domestic and over $2 billion worldwide is impressive. Had Cameron not made those comments about break-even before the film’s release, I don’t think anyone could objectively look at the numbers and say it’s anything other than a massive success.34 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:Yeah I hate seeing people diminishing Avatar 2s run by comparing it with the runs of other films from 10 years ago and saying "adjusted for inflation it's massively underperforming". The world doesn't work like that. Sure over a long period of time, the prices of things will generally increase by ~5% a year, but on a micro scale things are very different, and a global pandemic is obviously going to have an enormous effect and buck the trend.
Agreed. If that’s the criteria then every modern film would underperform. TFA wouldn’t crack the top 10 and Endgame wouldn’t crack the top 15. Not a good standard to use when the era being compared aren’t apples to apples.
26 minutes ago, Porthos said:As an off topic observation.
GOOD FUCKING GOD, ARE THE NINERS SCARY.
Been held in check for most of the day. Defense was under performing to a degree. Just fucking exploded in the last 20 minutes or so. Some of it was grinding the other side continuously until they started making mistakes, but part of it was sheer explosiveness.
I still ain't entirely sold on Brock Purdy so I can't put them at the Bills or Chiefs level. Hell, I'm even uncertain about putting them at the level of the Eagles, presuming Hurts is fully healed by the time they match up (which might not be gaurenteed).
BUT HOLY FUCKING SMOKES, ARE THE NINERS SCARY!!!
This might just be their year even with Purdy at the helm.
Yeah, I don’t see either the Vikings or the winner of the Cowboys/Bucs game doing much of anything against the 49ers.
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24 minutes ago, The Dark Alfred said:
TITANIC re-release will do some business as well.
It looks like it’s going to get the lions share of PLFs that week. Couple that with Valentine’s Day, I would be surprised if it didn’t make some coin that week.
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20 minutes ago, JustLurking said:
Isn't M3GAN's jump more because it is literally friday the 13th? Hard to think of a better date to go watch a horror rlick.
Halloween would be the only other date that comes to mind, but I agree. Friday the 13th definitely was a boost.
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1 minute ago, Alex SciChannel said:
Can someone remind me what days of this weekend are football days?
Two games Saturday. Three on Sunday. One Monday night.
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21 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:
In ~18 months, 2050 will be closer to us than Titanic.Scary how fast it goes, isn’t it?
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2 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said:
This is violence
Iron Man 2 is closer to Titanic’s release than to the A2’s, which is spooky to me. Won’t be long before avengers is closer to titanic than present 😬
I know. Titanic is now older than films that mom and dad showed me when I was a kid that came out when they were in school. In the mid to late ‘90s, films like Star Wars and Halloween felt old. (Not that I didn’t love those films)
I guess that means I’m old now too…
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9 minutes ago, setna said:
Yeah, of course. I wanted to say in the last 25 years. In the 80´s many movies were very leggy althiugh not a the same level of success and numbres than Titanic.
With the data we have, in the last 50 years, the only comparable runs to Titanic are Star Wars and E.T., long long time ago...And Titanic is closer to those two in time than we are to Titanic.
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49 minutes ago, Krissykins said:
Is Avatar keeping all of the PLF’s to itself this weekend as well? Weekend 5?
My local theaters that have multiple PLFs are starting to split them off. M3gan got one last weekend. This weekend Plane is siphoning one off.
I know that not every theater has multiple PLF screens, and those that don’t still are showing Avatar. But the big multiplexes that have 2,3, & 4 PLF screens are starting to show other things as well, when a week ago Avatar had all of those screens.
This may not be widespread and may end up being completely anecdotal, but if it’s happening in my backyard it’s probably happening somewhere else. It’s just a question of whether or not it is enough to shave some off of the gross.
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3 hours ago, interiorgatordecorator said:
from deadline
Last weekend’s saw 65% of its $45.8M take coming from premium formats.
avatar might not survive antman, really hope they find a way to share premium screens with it (or atleast get most of them back after a week), theres still a month between antman and the next premium format release
Don’t forget the Titanic rerelease is going to take at least some of the plf screens. The IMAX twitter confirmed on 11/18 that it is getting an IMAX release.
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I think we’ll have a much better idea where Avatar 2 will end up relative to TGM after the next (6th) weekend. At that point we’ll be at the 4th of July boost that Mav had, and we’d also have a non-holiday weekend and another set of weekdays from Avatar to go off of…
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11 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:
I dont see imax anywhere
good
Atom tickets has it listed as “an IMAX event.” There are a few other theaters listing it as on their IMAX release schedule. I think it’s safe to say it will at least get some PLFs…
https://www.atomtickets.com/movies/titanic-25-year-anniversary-an-imax-3d-experience/338123
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7 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
Speaking of TITANIC...
Very much looking forward to seeing this in the cinema again.
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Short Weekdays thread Jan 17 to Jan 19
in Numbers and Data
Posted
I have read that ‘A Knock at the Cabin’ is taking all of the Dolby Screens anyway as it is in their contract with universal. Not sure about other PLF formats though.
Box Office Mojo, for whatever it’s worth, is saying it will be wide.