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Posts posted by pieman
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I haven't seen much promotion for TASM2.
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Will Noah make it to 100M?
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I wasn't crazy about 12 Years a Slave but I'm just so thankful that Gravity didn't win. It's a good film but it wouldn't hold up 50 years from now.
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BEST PICTURE: 12 Years a Slave
BEST DIRECTOR: Alfonso Cuaron - Gravity
BEST ACTOR: Matthew McConaghey - Dallas Buyers Club
BEST ACTRESS: Cate Blanchett - Blue Jasmine
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: American Hustle
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: 12 Years a Slave
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Jared Leto - Dallas Buyers Club
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Lupita N'yongo - 12 Years a Slave
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Gravity
BEST EDITING: Captain Phillips
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: Gravity
BEST SOUND MIXING: Gravity
BEST SOUND EDITING: Gravity
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Gravity
BEST MAKEUP: Dallas Buyers Club
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: The Great Gatsby
BEST COSTUMES: The Great Gatsby
BEST ORIGINAL SONG: "Ordinary Love" - Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Frozen
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: The Great Beauty
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: 20 Feet from Stardom
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT: Helium
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT: The Lady in Number 6
BEST ANIMATED SHORT: Get a Horse
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Yawn.
Bring on the oscars and Leo's hope for an Oscar.
He doesn't have a chance.
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A total F
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I think Leonardo DiCaprio will win for best actor.
You know they haven't even started voting yet, right?
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Any chance Frozen could benefit from V-Day? I think it's the kinda movie that would play well to younger and possibly older couples.
Probably not.
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Strange that Grudge Match did THAT badly because I did see a decent amount of promotion for it.
I'm pleasantly surprised at how well 12 Years a Slave did as usually films about American issues/history don't usually do very well. The per theatre average is pretty strong.
And Banks should cross 10 million which is nice. I also didn't expect The Book Thief to play as well as it did even with the Australian influence.
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Overrated: Frozen, Gravity, Prisoners
Underrated: Saving Mr Banks, The Lone Ranger (still not that good but not terrible), Oblivion, The Incredible Burt Wonderstone
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!!!!!!!And Frozen has won like all the major awards (Globes, Critic's Choice, PGA, Annie's, what more?) it'll be the biggest upset if it doesn't get that Oscar.
It will win but it wouldn't have a chance at Best Picture.
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Yeah, there is to much momentum behind Frozen now for it to lose. In fact, if they had campaign Frozen for Best Picture instead of Banks it probably would have been nominated.
There would be absolutely no chance of that happening. It's an okay movie but it is by no means worthy of Best Picture. It is too kid-ish to be nominated for Best Picture. These are adults who take their vote for Best Picture seriously.
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The Hangover was MA in theatres.
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American Hustle may have this. The techs didn't support 12 Years enough and the actors and writers came through for AH (which didn't happen for Gravity).
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12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Her
Nebraska
Saving Mr Banks
The Wolf of Wall Street
alt. Inside Llewyn Davis
dark horse: Philomena
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12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Her
Nebraska
I think Gravity, 12 Years a Slave and American Hustle will take a good percentage of the number 1 votes leaving room for maybe 6 total nominees.
Votes are redistributed after a film gets 20% of the number one votes so I don't think it would cause anything that major.
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so is there no chance of Rush getting in for BP?
I would say it has no chance. I don't think it's shown up anywhere except for Bruhl and the Globes.
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But it doesn't seem to be getting a lot of sessions for a new release.Saw it today and quiet enjoyed it even thought it did take a few liberties with history.
Who cares about it taking a few liberties, so has every movie ever made based on a true story. It's the nature of art and I doubt you would say the same thing about something like The Wolf of Wall Street or Rush.
I agree though that it doesn't seem to be getting many sessions but that will change next week. It's not indicative of it's success.
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SMB has been selling out entire sessions at my local theatre and that never happens.
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Of course there always is a chance that a film could be nominated for director without picture-Short Cuts comes to mind in 1992.
Edit: referring to if there were 10 noms of course.
Maybe not Mulholland Drive.
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I think the internet film snobs are way overestimating Inside Llewyn Davis and Her. I think only one of them can get into Best Picture and it will probably be Her because it's had a much better precursor run. It's like when people were still predicting The Master and Moonrise Kingdom to get nominated despite little precursor support.
I also think that Dallas Buyers Club, despite doing well with the guilds, could get ignored in Best Picture (it seems to me like the type of film that would have a hard time generating that many number 1 votes). This would leave space for the more conventional but Academy friendly films like Philomena and Saving Mr Banks to get in. Which I think is what will happen.
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Philomena's BAFTA nom you could just say is them throwing a British film in the line-up, because it's kinda obligatory for them and the golden globe nom could be justified by saying it was a sorta weaker field. I mean, so many of the contenders were over in the comedy/musical category this year, anyway.
I think Saving Mr. Banks has a better chance but they are both targeting the same demographic. Philomena got in because the HFPA really loved it disproportionately to everyone else. It got in for BAFTA because it's the token Brit Best Picture nominee.
Saving Mr Banks may have not gotten the globe nod for Best Picture either because the Disney thing didn't translate to some of the foreign journalists or because it was sort of on the cusp of Drama and Comedy, and they didn't think it had the gravitas to compete in Drama.
I also maintain that SMB missed the SAG ensemble nod because it's a film about Hollywood and the creative process that almost entirely shuns the role of actors. I still think the film is a near lock for a nomination and I think a lot of the cynics that have been rallying against the film are going to look foolish for shutting it out of their predictions.
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ONTOH, Philomena got three of the main precursors (Globe, BFCA, BAFTA), has the British touch (sooo important), is friendlier to the Academy tastes, and is having a very good BO run.
I think Philomena is well liked but this category is just so damn crowded this year and maybe it's just too small a film to stand out.
It didn't get BFCA and I think the Globe and BAFTA noms are justifiable without bearing any significance on the Oscar race.
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Saving Mr. Banks is going to do really well here. I just have a feeling.
Weekend Estimates: Gone Girl - 26.8M | Dracula Untold - 23.5M | Alexander - 19.1M | Annabelle - 16.4M | The Judge - 13.3M
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Will The Equalizer make it to 100M?