Carlangonz
-
Posts
2,618 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Posts posted by Carlangonz
-
-
On 2/15/2024 at 6:59 PM, Carlangonz said:
DEMON SLAYER: KIMETSU NO YAIBA - OPENING DAY (T-8 DAYS)
Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth Kimetsu No Yaiba 7270 19436 37.4% +14.4% DEMON SLAYER: KIMETSU NO YAIBA - OPENING DAY (T-6 DAYS)
Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth Kimetsu No Yaiba 8175 19436 42.06% +12.45% T-3 DAYS UPDATE
Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth Kimetsu No Yaiba 9465 19436 48.7% +15.78% Solid growth on its final weekend before opening. Both seats sold and occupancy shall finish above 10K and 50% respectively installing as the biggest pre-sales since Five Nights At Freddy's and probably until Godzilla & Kong or even Deadpool & Wolverine.
Holding reservations for how front-loaded this may be from OD but looking like a $50M+ opener across the 4-Day. The figure would be below To the Swordwith Village's first frame a year ago in lc but above in admissions as ticket pricing was higher that time.-
1
-
1
-
-
FEBRUARY 14-18 WEEKEND.
1. Madame Web - $37.8M/$48.9M
2. One Love - $13.1M/$16.1M
3. Todas Menos Tú - $12.5M/$15M
4. Anyone but You - $8.2M/$129.2M (-30.51%)
5. Poor Things - $7.2M/$80.7M (-26.53%)
6. Baghead - $6.6M/$19.3M (-21.43%)
7. Past Lives - $4.8M/$28M (-23.81%)
8. Turning Red - $4.6M/$10.3M (-11.54%)
9. Argylle - $3.4M/$49.7M (-61.36%)
10. Wonka - $3.2M/$468.4M (-11.11%)
Decent start for Madame Web fueled by Valentine's Day where it surpassed The Marvels' opening day but underwhelming weekend overall. On par with the latest Marvel Studios' production and a bit above DC's Blue Beetle. As those two; it's under Morbius and even lower than underperformances like 2019's Dark Phoenix or 2015's F4ntastic.
One Love also delivers underwhelming results. Its distributor didn't bet on screens -just a third of those for Madame Web- and cracked a very similar Per-Screen Average. Musical biopics can enjoy very nice legs so it can be a medium-term bet if distributor doesn't drop the ball.
Anyone but You took a sizable drop after facing some competition but nevertheless nothing dramatic unlike local comedy Todas Menos Tú (it translates as Everyone but You, sigh) which -guess again- was the third underperformer of the week with even a higher screen count than One Love. The rom-com lead by Glen Powell and Sidney Sweeney is still clear from strong competition for another couple of weeks.
Audiences still catching up with Poor Things and Past Lives before Oscar ceremony with great holds particularly the latter which can be seen as a pleasant surprise. For Emma Stone, the former is now among her highest grossing features surpassing titles like Birdman and soon La La Land.
Wonka is still turning in the Top 10 and now it has surpassed San Andreas as Warner's 8th highest grossing title ever.-
4
-
-
On 2/12/2024 at 5:10 PM, Carlangonz said:
QUICK PRE-SALES REPORT.
Dune: Part II (T-17) - 623/15,023 (4.15% occupancy) +66.58% from T-20DUNE: PART II - OPENING DAY (T-15 DAYS)
Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth Dune II 828 15023 5.51% +32.91% Like Kimetsu No Yaiba, I have no comps this far out for this one either but I'd say these ones are pretty good too and pointing towards a 3k+ final ticket count which is amazing.
I'm going cautious as growth in Metro Area theaters isn't as great as it is in Mexico City itself but a bit of a marketing push from Warner (kudos to what they've already done) and it could very well push $70M+ across the opening weekend.-
6
-
-
On 2/12/2024 at 5:10 PM, Carlangonz said:
QUICK PRE-SALES REPORT.
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba (T-10) - 6,355/19,436 (32.71% occupancy) +22.16% from T-13DEMON SLAYER: KIMETSU NO YAIBA - OPENING DAY (T-8 DAYS)
Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth Kimetsu No Yaiba 7270 19436 37.4% +14.4% I have no appropiate comps at this very same point but is still marching well for something that may well be front-loaded. Not going to use it as a comp but funny thing is that is running quite similar as Across the Spiderverse in net sales and even better in pace. Ultimately won't get the same capacity or walk-ins so won't get close to its opening day over $40M but $25M is boding well.
There's no way around to the fact that Dragon Ball has found a successor in here.
-
2
-
1
-
-
On 2/9/2024 at 9:51 PM, Carlangonz said:
QUICK PRE-SALES REPORT. OPENING DAY ONLY - NO PREVIEWS FOR NEITHER.
Madame Web (T-5) - 367/18,544 (1.98% occupancy)MADAME WEB (T-15 HOURS)
Seats sold Seats available Occupancy 964 20996 4.59% Comps at the same point before release
Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Comp in % Comp in $ The Marvels 1344 30227 4.45% 71.73% $6.67M Aquaman 2 2588 25882 10% 37.25% $8.49M I'm not seeing many group purchases but rather many for couples so Valentine's Day may give it the edge to have better walk-ins than The Marvels. Other comps like Little Mermaid or action-packed Dead Reckoning also indicate $8M which seems like a perfect opening day target.
Days after Valentine's Day will see a sizable drop and pending WOM we'll be seeing $35M-$45M across the 5-Day opening.-
1
-
-
On 2/9/2024 at 9:51 PM, Carlangonz said:
QUICK PRE-SALES REPORT. OPENING DAY ONLY - NO PREVIEWS FOR NEITHER.
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba (T-13) - 5,202/19,436 (26.76% occupancy)
Dune: Part II (T-20) - 374/15,419 (2.43% occupancy)QUICK PRE-SALES REPORT.
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba (T-10) - 6,355/19,436 (32.71% occupancy) +22.16% from T-13
Dune: Part II (T-17) - 623/15,023 (4.15% occupancy) +66.58% from T-20Great increase for both of them. Demon Slayer is now 3x of what The Boy and the Heron did until T-1 and 2x of Minus One but occupancy sandwiched between them but should eventually catch a 50%+. Day 1 shall be massive with a potential $20M+ but full opening weekend must be a careful forecast as it will be more front-loaded than any of the comps including the previous Demon Slayer entry which was held back by lack of screens and won't be the case this time.
Dune is having a good progress particularly on IMAX shows. Expecting a high ATP similarly to 007 titles that play big on big cities and formats but rather underperform on smaller ones.-
1
-
-
FEBRUARY 8-11 WEEKEND.
1. Anyone but You - $11.8M/$115.4M (-43.27%)
2. Poor Things - $9.8M/$69.5M (-40.61%)3. Argylle - $8.8M/$43.3M (-60.89%)
4. Baghead - $8.4M
5. Past Lives - $6.3M/$20.4M (-25.88%)6. Freelance - $5.6M
7. Turning Red - $5.2M
8. El Roomie - $5.2M/$74.8M (-48.51%)
9. May December - $4.7M
10. The Lost Kingdom - $4M/$389.8M (-44.45%)
Bigger drops than in previous weeks; perhaps a Super Bowl-related effect, deflation from Monday's holiday or maybe people feeling that they're running out of stuff to see.
Anyone but You becomes the first $100M grosser of the year with Valentine's Day around the corner and still feeling like it could crawl to $150M. Big hit for Sony.
Poor Things also sees its biggest drop yet but still going comfortable with Awards Season still going on and a potential bump after Oscars. Past Lives also enjoying a good WOM and is looking to do similarly as Priscilla; both of them grossing a nice amount for their distributors.
Red came higher than Soul but still a bit of a dissapointment for a wide re-issue. Aquaman is now leaving the Top 10 but it is doing so by surpassing The Nun II as Warner's second biggest hit of 2023.
-
2
-
-
1 hour ago, Purple Minion said:
Mexico Box Office 2023
CANACINE published 2023's Annual Results. Highlights:
- 4th biggest market worldwide in audience. 233M tickets sold, 28% higher than 2022, however 33% less than 2019.
- 9th biggest box worldwide office market (up one place from 2022). 15.59 billion pesos ($920M), a 29% increase on 2022 but still 18% behind 2019.
- 4th place worldwide in number of screens (7,241)
- 10th cheapest tickets worldwide, ATP = 66.89 lc ($3.95)
- Bonus: 6th largest Netflix market in the world, 24% of subscribers in Latin America
Top 3 movies were Super Mario, Barbie and Fast X. Top 3 distributors were Universal (26% of market share), WB (20%) and Disney (17%).
https://canacine.org.mx/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/Resultados-de-industria-2023.pdf
Little by little coming back to 2017-2018 levels in lc; great news. We have to acknowledge 2019 as an outlier even despite pandemic.
New record for number of screens and ticket price average but a more stable increase compared to previous year-to-year increases.
Cool data about Netflix, I remember to have seen back in 2019 that were around 8M accounts. Both Disney+ and HBO Max must be around 2M each.-
1
-
2 hours ago, TheTom said:
Does it have now a better pre sales pace than The Marvels and Aquaman????? This is why you’re seeing it diminishing the 15% and 50% difference????? Considering the T 5 difference you reported, it’d need a better pace than Marvels and Aquaman to achieve those over 50M you’re projecting
Can't tell about sales because I won't update until T-2 but I do expect it to have better pace because these Sony Marvel movies (except Spidey himself) act less front-loaded and with less fan-rush; plus Valentine's Day benefiting it. Still we have to wait to see WOM which could still make it crumble past Day 1.
-
1
-
-
6 hours ago, TheTom said:
If it’s now 15% away from The Marvels (which debuted with 50M-ish) and 50% away from Aquaman 2 (Which debuted with 80M-ish), how is it possible you project it to make over 50M in OW?????
Like I said, there's a distortion on the comps because this one is getting an extra day which I'm already considering but is taking away a proper comparison to those two (T-6 for Marvels/Aquaman and T-5 for Web)
-
QUICK PRE-SALES REPORT. OPENING DAY ONLY - NO PREVIEWS FOR NEITHER.
Madame Web (T-5) - 367/18,544 (1.98% occupancy)
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba (T-13) - 5,202/19,436 (26.76% occupancy)
Dune: Part II (T-20) - 374/15,419 (2.43% occupancy)
Kimetsu No Yaiba is blowing out every single title in presales since The Eras Tour and while won't reach those heights; it's safe to say it'll keep the insane levels already set by To the Swordsmith Village last year. Sony is going more ambitious this time playing it on the biggest auditoriums plus a release on IMAX, 4DX and PLFs; neither of which happened for previous Demon Slayer entries, at least not from the start.
Madame Web is lagging behind both Aquaman and Captain Marvel at similar points; about half from the former and 15% behind the latter. Pace is all matters now but is looking like a debut on the $50M ballpark considering is getting a 5-Day release.
Dune II is doing just okay. Not expecting this to break-out but rather a decent performance akin to Death Reckoning with a bit better legs considering it'll play during holidays and won't get any big competition until Godzilla/Kong team up. Maybe a $60M opening/$180M total scenario.-
3
-
-
2 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
I know. I was just saying that fandom reaction aligns with reactions from before that event.
Oh, absolutely. It seems like reactions will point out if you loved first Dune you'll love this one even more and if you only liked it you'll love this one. Also lots of mentions of it being more action-packed and apparently a surprise that hasn't been mentioned or at least as much spread.
-
23 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
EC called it a masterpiece for what is worth and he saw it before these fans. Nolan called it ESB and he saw it before these fans too.
Not saying it was the first screening ever; I'm aware there have been others before. What I mean is that it wasn't reported as a premiere but rather a mere fan event (red carpet + a 15-20 minutes footage) but I do clarify it's skewing because most of those people are indeed die-hard fans from what I know and know some of them.
-
6 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:
apparently many moviegoers have seen it after Mexico premiere
Somehow US media reported it as merely a fan-event but it was actually a full screening for both media last weekend and an audience on the premiere. Media is embargoed but audiences are raves even if a bit skewed.
-
17 hours ago, BOfficeStats said:
How are Madame Web's presales?
Quite poor tbf so won't start tracking until T-7 or T-5
-
FEBRUARY 01-04 WEEKEND.
1. Argylle - $22.5M
2. Anyone but You - $20.8M/$92.1M (-21.51%)3. Poor Things - $16.5M/$50.8M (-20.67%)
4. El Roomie - $10.1M/$63.8M (-37.27%)
5. Past Lives - $8.5M
6. The Lost Kingdom - $7.2M/$381.7M (-25%)
7. Wonka - $6.4M/$456.2M (-24.71%)
8. Concrete Utopia - $3.9M/$14.7M (-51.25%)
9. Migration - $3.7M/$145.4M (-2.64%)
10. Shepherd - $3.4M
Sony overestimated Anyone but You but still a marvelous hold and still over $20M for the third weekend. It'll easily pass $100M by tomorrow with today's holiday and still no direct competition for the coming weeks! Shall be the biggest hit for a foreign romantic title since 2016's Me Before You which went over $200M.
Argylle did just bad; on par with Beekeper but a seemingly more audience-friendly premise and bigger efforts from its distributor. Will fade quickly.
Another great weekend for Poor Things which is hanging well on theaters and becoming quite a hit. It'll easily stay as the 3rd highest grossing Best Picture nominee this year behind Barbenheimer and top some other previous winners and nominees like Green Book, A Star is Born, Everything Everywhere All at Once and Emma Stone's own darling La La Land.
Great debut for Past Lives; nearly double of last weekend's Anatomy of a Fall with a slightly bigger distribution effort. December hits Wonka, Aquaman and Migration continue to put out some good numbers; Wonka is going to finish quite close to San Andreas' tally and Aquaman is looking to pass The Nun II's gross by next week.-
2
-
1
-
-
As Minus One farewells as the 4th highest grossing Japanese title ever, Sony/Crunchy have just announced the release of Demon Slayer's new entry To the Hashira Training scheduled for February 22nd with tickets going on sale on the 9th.
Madame Web tickets go on sale this Thursday as it opens wide on February 14th. The Marvels/Blue Beetle numbers shall be the target.
Denis Villeneuve, Timothee Chalamet, Zendaya, Austin Butler, Josh Brolin and Florence Pugh are coming to promote Dune: Part II next Tuesday. It'll be the largest red carpet event in a long time; probably since Coco's Mexico City premiere or Batman v Superman. No details on tickets going on sale yet but Warner is showing a lot of faith into it.-
2
-
-
On 1/27/2024 at 2:00 PM, Valonqar said:
Likewise LATAM. BOM reported only Mexico, Colombia and Brazil, all dismal numbers but if I rememebr correctly, LATAM was hit with covid the last so that could explain why only 3 countries show up on the list. The rest was probably indoors.
I would say it overperformed because it was really leggy everywhere and yeah, COVID was still an issue but not really everywhere, it was different in Mexico than Brazil for example and for Let There be Carnage numbers were close to the original in Mexico, Argentina and Chile.
They're going all in promoting Part II but I still feel like it'll lean older despite its popular young cast. I'm expecting it to behave a bit like Maverick with pretty similar gross; great numbers (relative to expectations) but not blowing up compared to US/CAN and Europe. -
JANUARY 25-28 WEEKEND.
1. Anyone but You - $26.5M/$60.7M (+17.26%)
2. Poor Things - $20.8M3. El Roomie - $16.1M/$48.2M (-31.2%)
4. The Lost Kingdom - $9.6M/$371.6M (-32.39%)5. Wonka - $8.5M/$447.6M (-24.78%)
6. Concrete Utopia - $8M
7. The Beekeper - $6.8M/$53.9M (-45.16%)
8. Godzilla: Minus One - $5.6M/$95.2M (-17.65%)
9. Anatomy of a Fall - $4.8M
10. Mean Girls - $4.7M/$55.7M (-58.04%)
Once again, kudos to Anyone but You as it now will be the first $100M+ grosser of the year and only one for January saving some face. It is now unpredictable with February 24th in a few weeks and lack of direct competition. It would be the biggest non-local romance title since Fifty Shades Freed; or Overboard if you take it.
Poor Things off to a great start welcoming its awards and Oscar nominations plus Emma Stone mojo. It has already surpassed The Favourite's entire run and we'll see if WOM keeps nurturing a leggy run past $50M.
The Lost Kingdom and Wonka remain strong barely losing ground with the latter already available on PVOD. Aquaman still with chances to surpass The Nun II but it'll be quite close.
Godzilla is finishing just shy of $100M as it will end its run on Jan 31st with an estimated $97M. Distributor could still surprise with Minus Color in orden to pull the milestone but remains to be determined.
Good for Anatomy of a Fall on its limited release. It will beat what Banshees of Inisherin did last year with less screens than that one. Now wondering what would've happened if Universal had let The Holdovers to go wide; wasted opportunity.-
5
-
1
-
-
Wonderful for Anyone but You, big success for a foreign rom-com. Also pretty well for Poor Things; comp with TSOW is actually funny as I remember that one got expansions on screens day after day because shows were selling way better than expected and it was similar for this one as well; we'll see how far reception takes it but is already Yorgos' highest grossing film.
-
1
-
-
6 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:
This only highlight the supporting roles category just isn’t as stacked. We all know leading actress and actor have been bloodbath for months.
Yeah, competition was quite weak there and contenders like McAdams or Pine would've probably been sole nominees for their films. If competiton had been as stacked as in Lead Actress then Ferrera would've been a casualty.
-
After Globes I started to feel Barbie was going to be another Maverick: top grosser, audience-friendly but still would be respected at best, miss on major categories and a single win in the end. Ferrera's nom is a shocker but is likely coming true my prediction.
-
JANUARY 18-21 WEEKEND.
1. El Roomie - $23.4M
2. Anyone but You - $22.6M
3. The Lost Kingdom - $14.2M/$357.4M (-38%)
4. Beekeper - $12.4M/$42.7M (-44.64%)
5. Wonka - $11.3M/$435.8M (-35.42%)
6. Mean Girls - $11.2M/$47.1M (-53.91%)
7. Godzilla: Minus One - $6.8M/$87.6M (-37.04%)
8. Migration - $4.8M/$135.5M (-41.46%)
9. Don't Look at the Demon - $4.8M
10. The Boy and the Heron - $4.7M/$62M (-32.86%)
Great drops across the chart except for Mean Girls which isn't getting a reception as warm as it was expected. Nevertheless a good result although a bit dissapointing considering the property.
Can't remember the last time two romantic comedies opened on top of the weekend; don't even know if it has happened before. Even more special as one is a local and one a foreign. We'll see which one wins in the end with a combined run north of $100M.
December releases remain the strongest ones: Aquaman still looking for a spot on 2023's Top 10 as it has now surpassed Flash's run and soon will do so with The Meg 2. Wonka is now a far No. 6 of the year looking to finisg right in the middle between Spiderverse and Freddy.
Godzilla is still chasing that sweet $100M benchmark; a B&W release is still on the cards but it'll lose 4DX and PLFs on Thursday so will be a photo-finish but in admissions is now the highest grossing non-Dragon Ball japanese release. Boy and the Heron is now above 2013's Battle of the Gods and close to 2020's Mugen Train.
-
5
-
-
4 hours ago, Cookson said:
What’s -1 at total in usd?
No update yet. The Numbers has it at $4.67M
5 hours ago, Purple Minion said:Anyone But You had a good (for a R-rated movie) #1 $1.3M OW. Wonka total $25.3M, Aquaman 2 $20.7M, Migration $7.9M and Mean Girls $2.8M.
It's a very slow January but indeed great for an original + no big stars: Anyone But You; over Ticket to Paradise and quite close to Mean Girls. Wonka and Aquaman just rolling around before a big opener comes.
Award-season hopefuls are getting quite limited runs including Universal and Disney's backed titles Holdovers and Poor Things; not looking better for lower profile releases such as Anatomy of a Fall and Past Lives.
The only titles to expect a bump from nominations on Tuesday are Boy and the Heron and Godzilla: Minus One plus Oppenheimer which is looking to increase its IMAX record after it re-issues on Thursday.-
2
-
Mexico Box Office | Planet of the Apes is king with $6.4M OW; good holds for Garfield and Challengers
in International Box Office
Posted
DUNE: PART II - OPENING DAY (T-13 DAYS)
T-10 DAYS
Impressive jump during the weekend especially as there's strong movement from Metro Area where it concerned me the most. Growth in premium formats -of course mostly IMAX but also PLFs- is significant as well and has no sign of slowing down. I'll keep an eye on traditional screens to see how much can gain there.