Joyous Legion
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Posts posted by Joyous Legion
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1 minute ago, feasby007 said:
Are you telling me that an 80M Monday is confirmed if BP2 can keep the President’s day slot?
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Are are we doing 1B sans China? Kind of feels like BP will hit a billion without China.
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Feige was truly playing 4-D chess with those *Black* Widow rumors
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At this point I’m willing to believe that “Marvel: Ham Sandwhich” would break 250 DOM and 700WW.
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This should easily take the schoolday Tues record as well, right? Beating.... BatB’s 18M?
Was hilarious to discover that TFA has 2 of the top 3 Tuesday’s overall.
Edit: Oh, okay. Looks like Rth meant “already clear that 33 will be passed,” not “33M has literally already been passed as of 3PM Pacific.”
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So far, the number of pages in this thread has been doing an uncanny job of tracking BP’s gross. So to help do my part in getting us to 240, I’ll join in a bit with the Marvel ranking. Tiers are pretty fixed, but movement within tiers is very possible when I rewatch for A4:
Tier 1 — Winter Soldier, Civil War, Black Panther, Iron Man, Guardians of the Galaxy
Tier 2 — Ragnarok, Homecoming, First Avenger, Guardians Vol 2, Ant-Man, Avengers
Tier 3 — Age of Ultron, Thor, Iron Man 3, Doctor Strange
Tier 4 — Iron Man 2, Incredible Hulk, Dark World
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14 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:
Ant Man 2 > Solo DOM
Someone make a club on that. Not me though.
Hey, I predicted this on Reddit like 2 weeks ago.
It it was a thread specifically about unrealistic/long-shot predictions though.
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MCU movies released between May 5 2017 and May 5 2018 are going to pass 2B DOM, possibly pretty comfortably. Think about that for a second.
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Now that we’ve seen how successful Black movies can be for marvel, they should really put a rush on Black Widow.
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1 minute ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:
I have no words
And here I was thinking you had 4. Must have miscounted
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7 minutes ago, aabattery said:
Favourite part of the Deadline update:
As opposed to figuratively forecasting it?
Also the number is awesome. 241-243M puts the Monday record on the table.
They actually give Mon figure corresponding to that 4-day possibility — 40.3-41.75, beating the TFA Monday record on the low end.
Of course, they hedge their bets by mentioning a conservative forecasts of only 32M a few sentences later. But yes, Mon record very in play.
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12 minutes ago, Chewy said:
What's the schedule?
2019 Capt Marvel, 4vengers, Spider-Man Goes 2 Wakanda
2020 Guardians 3, Something New, Doctor Stranger
I got that right?
Also I feel like Feb is fine for it, dunno if they'd mess with something that worked THIS well
Stranger isn’t confirmed, 2020 non-sequel speculated to be Black Widow, but yeah that’s pretty much correct.
Marvl tends to move franchises that have done well in a non May date to May for the next time, but they could also keep it in the late winter/early spring slot.
I wonder what the first year with 4 films will be, hopefully 2020 or 2021.
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If BP and IW place 1 and 2 this year, somehow I doubt Feige will sweat the exact order too much.
Also, when are we expecting BP2? It’s clearly a big time franchise now, so presumably May 2021?
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2 minutes ago, That One Guy said:
Nobody?
You like this quote, and understandably. But actually looking through that thread we can see that 200 was a 4-day prediction, accompanying 180 3-day. So while it’s the best prediction I’ve seen from that far back, even it was off by 20/30+
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(I’m using 60 for the Sun fig with the same reasoning as a2knet)
In case anyone was curious, here’s a comprehensive list of movies with a top 25 OW and an OD:Sun ratio at least as good as BP’s:
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If it breaks the Sunday record it should have ~202, so a 2nd weekend drop of TA or JW gets it above 100.
If you take BP’s actual performance and just totally chop off the first 7 days, you might get weekends and a total that match the early predictions reasonably well
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“TLJ is doing so poorly because of an unnecessary and divisive push for ‘diversity,’ if only Disney pandered less to SJWs it would have done so much better at the box office.”
Black Panther in contention to beat TLJ
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Just now, grey ghost said:
At this point Squirrel Girl over 350 m DOM wouldn't surprise me.
And Marvel Studios just got back Fantastic Four and X-men.
The money they make from those two will probably pay for the Fox deal before phase 5.
Squirrel Girl 350 you say? What then for AM&tW?
Seriously though, MCU should have incredible good will domestically and overseas going into July. There’s some chance it could improve on Ant-Man more than expected.
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RIP Ultron.
Whether the actuals turn out 66.5 vs like 65.5 will make a big difference for the possibility of reaching 200.
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Just now, Ghostbusters! said:
More people from Norway, less posters from Haiti, Reddit and Texas.
But what if I’m from Norway *and* Reddit? Just call it even?
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1 minute ago, AJ2k said:
BP is attracting new fans to this universe that aren't even aware of the other movies. It would have been nice to show them that he's going to be in another movie coming up lol.
This is true from a marketing perspective, yeah. The more of the BP audience you can retain that weren’t previously MCU fans the better.
OTOH, putting the Infinity War trailer before BP could be considered kind of spoilery/confusing for people who are a bit out of the loop.
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Hey so I was wondering, do you guys over here have any good jobs to steal?
Not going to pay for any walls, btw.
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Alas, my infiltration has been noticed before it ever really began. Yes, have been lurking for a bit but signed up just now.
Do do we have a 2018 McU above 3.5B club? I would like to join a 2018 McU over 3.5B club.
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Who knew it was so easy to become meme famous.
On a more serious note, this means there will probably be a 365 day window where the MCU has released 5 movies — with a WW total of over 5B.
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BLACK PANTHER WEEKEND THREAD | Current Estimates - 202.4M 3-day / 242.6M 4-day | Record 40.167 Monday; more than TFA!
in Numbers and Data
Posted · Edited by Sliver Legion
I’m also excited to see the Tuesday Nums, but it occurs to me that they may be a bit beyond the time period that then WEEKEND thread is supposed to cover