Tokugennumataka
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Everything posted by Tokugennumataka
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Variety and Deadline estimating 92-100M for Spidey. Either they are ignorant or expect abnormally massive jump on Christmas and killer hold on 26.
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Spidey heading to $85M. Wondering if $50M+ third weekend is possible.
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Any way Sunday sees an increase over Saturday? I think a 10 percent bump is within the realms of possibility. Best case scenario of 20-38-42 puts it at even 100.
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Tomei for best supporting actress.
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Boring numbers for NWH. Would be funny if f tmrw comes below $17M or above $22M.
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22 would be an excellent hold for Christmas eve. Any reason why you're going with that? Is it because of eve falling on a weekend?
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26 D - 491M 2J - 644M 9J - 710M 16J - 744M 23J - 772M ~810M by the end. 3.1 multi. 550M post OW. 80% of TFA.
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Was Deadline's 143M prediction for FSSM or TFSS?
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Still can't believe the business No Way Home has done. Making over 3 times as the pandemics second highest grosser is no joke and Venom 2 and Shang chi didn't have Omicron concerns looming over them. One of the most impressive runs for a film this century and right up there with Black Panther for MCU imho.
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Haha wtf? Move over NWH. $200mil becomes a possibility now. I wonder if it can beat NWH on its 3rd or 4th weekend.
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We knew I2 was going over $550M even though that was uncharted territories for an animated film because of its A+ Cinemascore. Because the fandom bias was much less. It was basically a confirmation that a film would make at least 3 times its OW. It's not the case with fandom driven movies now. A mix of casuals and fandom is always preferred over fandom alone.
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Don't think Cinemascore was overhyped at all. I believe it would have gotten an A+ even on Friday night. But that's not the case for most fandom driven movies. But an A+ on Friday would've been much more of a gauge of wom than an A+ on Thursday night. And I don't know a single casual moviegoer who takes the time to verify their ticket and vote on Rotten Tomatoes.
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Calculating the Cinemascore of these franchise fandom driven movies on Thursday is pointless. Casuals are much more likely to come out during Friday night and cinemascore will be much more of a useful gauge of word of mouth then.
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I think my 50m Christmas number is now a teensy bit off.
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Haha, Reddit is already having a meltdown with some people refusing to believe the numbers at all. There's room for disappointment but $700M during a pandemic with concerns of new variants is nothing short of an amazing Hollywood success story.
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Oof, the number on itself is fine and I think most of us would have taken it happily two weeks ago. But the drop isn't promising.
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Aah Deadline. Ridiculously lowball and laughably underpredict during 1st weekend and when the movie overperforms, surprised Pikachu face. Then goes on to overpredict the 2nd weekend like braindead idiots.
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So Deadline thinks this one with 24,25,26th on 2nd weekend will perform similar to TFA which didn't have to face Christmas Eve on a weekend at all?
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Wow, still remember seeing TFA hold both largest and the second Monday record and that second Monday is now out of the top 5.
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So when is infinity war going down? By jan 2nd?
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But low 30s will be a bit disappointing. I expect close to 35.
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How do you see Christmas Eve grossing? I had low 20s but seems like 25M is indeed possible.
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Wdym? I think Christmas and new years eve falling on Fridays isn't better than what TFA had.
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I am really looking forward to second weekdays. Hope it beats AIW by next Sunday, day 17. It will still trail AEG by $50mil and hopefully catches up by the end of January.
