Old Spice
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Posts posted by Old Spice
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20 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:22 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:
It's a perfectly fine movie. I'm sure it would be fresh (like 65-70%) on RT if Olivia image wasn't so bad right now.
I would rate it a 3/5. It's consistently entertaining, always keeps you guessing, Miss Flo is superb, cinematography / OST is excellent, and Olivia is a good director, she really knows how to create an atmosphere, the whole thing is freaky and very interesting visually, really cool ideas all around.
The script is awful tho, very underveloped and the whole cast besides Florence is bad. Some more rewrites and a better casting and it would be a great movie.
Mr Chris is bad? he's one of the most reliable actors out there. Glad you enjoyed it, I'm seeing it tomorrow and now I'm strangely anticipating the experience of hearing Harry Styles scream, which is not something I ever thought I'd say.
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Pretty good final day for DWD in the Salt Lake Valley. Here are the numbers:
Total Tix Sold
Cinemark Sugarhouse (SLC) 110
Cinemark Draper XD 54
Cinemark Farmington XD 98
Combined Total 262 (up 27% from Wednesday)
Sugarhouse Comps
124% of Crawdads (2.84M)
116% of Elvis (4.05)
167% of Lost City (5.42)
126% of Ghostbusters (5.69)
Combined Comp
87% of NOPE (5.57M)
Friday looks decent as well, with the prime evening shows running 50-70% at this point. Not super bullish on how the weekend is going to play out given those reviews, but tonight and tomorrow should give it a healthy start so I'll say 3.3/24.
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15 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:
Twin Cities Thursday Previews:
Don't Worry Darling:
Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 12 theaters 57 99 526 7676 6.85 Growth Rate (%):1-Day:23.193-Day:100.76Very solid indeed, and theaters around me are adding a ton of new showings. This is looking like the latest MCU entry out here (blah blah I know it'll be frontloaded let me jest in peace). Seriously though, no signs of slowing down.
A BUNCH of new showtimes added in Salt Lake today as well. And the surge continued in the suburbs, even as SLC had it best day since day 1. LOL at WB predicting $17M in that Deadline article. They know exactly what's happening on the ground.
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16 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:
PS - Looking at WW numbers, Superpets has definitely made it out of bomb/flop territory. It's easily gonna make 2x/budget (or $180m)...now to see how much higher it can go. Still might stay in the disappointing category, but I think it will take that with both the quality of the movie and the success of animateds in the Covid and beyond era...
Yeah, I was pretty sure after I saw it that it would leg out (and even that took a while to get going), but that soft start was a lot to overcome. Still, I think this could be a very successful franchise for WB, and I also think it's important to provide opportunities for young people to fall in love with these characters- not everything has be be Black Adam. (Although I did love it in Pets when Krypto briefly fantasized about going to the dark side with Lois 😂.)
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13 hours ago, belblazer said:
Each look has gotten better, and this one... oh, yeah. We got some good eatin' ahead, DC fans. 🔥
When he says that line at the end... 😃
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Whatever the degree to which the EM saga has entered the public consciousness, and not just the twitter echo chamber, by the time June 23rd rolls around most just aren't going to care anymore. You can only get the same stimulus so many times before you habituate to it, and if he stays out of trouble these next 9 mos- probably a tall order- the "Ezra Miller is a freak," angle will be long played out by then.
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17 minutes ago, Borobudur said:
But still a bit too late and little for 100m finish total, will even fall behind of TBG.
There's nothing magical about a $100M finish. Its had a solid run after a quiet start; will finish with a 4 multi and WW total of twice its covid-inflated budget. With strong audience scores and a long life ahead on PVOD and streaming, a sequel would easily do better biz.
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Those crazy Super Pets!
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Salt Lake City suburbs are finally getting in on the act with DWD... strong sales past 18 hours, more than doubling the previous totals. Salt Lake City has actually slowed a bit, but it's already 230% of where Bullet Train ended and dead even with The Lost City final so it's in good shape. Not raising my prediction yet but the trend in the suburbs is making me more confident that 25+ is likely.
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That DWD Awareness score still below 30 just a few days out is surprising. Even if it gets a last second bump, it still suggests that all the furor on Twitter over who did what hasn't bled into the GA much at all.
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If the stars align, Black Adam. Would love to see Fablemans reach those levels, but I think it's going to be more niche.
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1 hour ago, Porthos said:
Yes, burying the film is premature. And have other films overcome worse things against them? Sure. Well, probably.
Ya know, @Porthos, it's hard for me to think of any other film that has overcome - or even had to deal with- something as comically bad as the lead actor basically going berserk halfway through post, so right away that presents us with a real dilemma: there simply is no historical precedent. My own guess is that WB will come up with a series of interviews with influencers, etc. where Miller does his mea culpas, and the American public, being a forgiving- or at least, forgetful- sort, will accept them and move on. But who knows? It really is uncharted territory.
The film clearly has headwinds against it, and as you pointed out, it would be foolish to ignore them when talking about B.O. predictions, but if it's as good as we've been led to believe, I think that will ultimately be its salvation. We'll see. 🤞
P.S. really curious if anybody can think of other films that had to deal with off screen drama as extensive as this before they came out. (DWD feels more like tabloid gossip than anything that would keep execs up at night.) The only situation I can think of where a finished film would have become instant Kryptonite was whatever Fatty Arbuckle had in the can before his career ended overnight in a drunken debauchery, and that was 100 years ago.
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DWD is a strange beast. It got off to a torrid start in SLC, similar to a CBM, but since that first day it's only up 35%. Still, its double Bullet Train's final, and just shy of the final count for both Lost City and Morbius. It's about 60% of Elvis's final. I actually think Morbius may be a really good comp- fast start, rotten reviews- although I don't think it will match that film's OW because DWD is still lagging to a pretty significant degree in the suburbs.
Going to stick with $25-28 for now, but with room to the upside if it proves to be entertaining-bad vs. just boring-bad.
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I could see Super Pets potentially doing a little better than WB's projected 28% Sunday drop. At my theater yesterday, 2/3 of its matinees were lost to the Batman Day screenings. All it was left with was an 11:30 AM and a post-10:00 PM (!) screening. Don't know how common that was nationwide, but it could lead to a better Sunday hold.
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With a budget of $16M that Black Phone total is really spectacular when you think about it. I still haven't seen it (not super into horror) but with a $90M finish and great critical/audience scores, is this one that's set up to spawn sequels?
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5 hours ago, M37 said:
Is DWD going to A Star is Born range?
I can't imagine that it would, because while ASIB was critically acclaimed and a great movie, DWD, is by most accounts, terrible. I mean, at some point quality matters, right?
Plus, it would sully my user name.
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Salt Lake Valley preview night report for Thurs, Sept 15th, 1:00 PM MST. Cinemark Sugarhouse (Salt Lake City), Cinemark Draper XD, and Cinemark Farmington XD.
See How They Run over indexing, The Woman King under indexing, but pretty much crickets all around. Many of the holdovers haven't even sold a single ticket for tonight. (TGM, as usual, is the exception.)
Total tix sold:
(1) See How They Run 29 (7 showings)
(2) The Woman King 25 (13 showings)
(3) Clerks 19 (3 showings)
(4) Pearl 11 (4 showings)
(I have a limited data set from these three theaters, but for context, by early afternoon of their previews, Nope had sold 301, Super Pets 121, and Bullet Train 112.)
😴
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14 minutes ago, Pinacolada said:
That See How They Run projection is so depressing. Was hoping for at least like $4m?? There's 0 reason this pretty well reviewed, fun looking murder mystery shouldn't be able to manage that
I didn't even know what it was until this morning. Was surprised to see that it has a strong cast and decent reviews, with a sort of 'Knives Out Lite' vibe to it. Given the dearth of product right now, I find it strange that there's so little push behind it.
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45 minutes ago, John2015 said:
notfabio in HSX:
Did another scan of DON'T WORRY DARLING, I'm no Jatinder, but the regular Thursday pre-opens look way better than a teens opening.
Based on what I'm seeing in the Salt Lake Valley, I'd say that mid 20's is the floor, with the caveat that there appears to be a split developing, with significantly more demand in the SL urban area than the suburbs. If I was just looking at Salt Lake proper, I'd be on the $30M train, easy.
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43 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
The Little Mermaid opening May 2023 already has awareness in the 50s vs Black Adam's in the 30s. Ouch for The Rock.
Black Adam's awareness isn't in the 30's, it's 47, and it's interest score is 5.9. It's doing just fine.
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DWD is off to a strong start at the Salt Lake Cinemark Sugarhouse. Currently 20- edit: make that 28 as of 2:00 PM- tix sold for preview night over two showtimes. This compares to a final pre-sale total of 28 for Bullet Train and 30 for Black Phone, so the old adage that there's no such thing as bad publicity seems to be holding thus far.
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Avatar has sold a total of 8 tix across 9 showtimes for Friday the 23rd in the three theaters I track in the Salt Lake Valley. All showings are 3D.
Curious to see if Darling generates any heat tomorrow. I normally wouldn't expect something like this to start fast out of the gate, but then, pretty much everything about this movie's history is odd, so...
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Nice! Big improvement over the first trailer. Loved seeing more of the JSA. Only thing I didn't like was the music but that's probably my age talking. Six weeks from tonight!
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4 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
Enough about Harry's quote, why in the world does Chris Pine look like that now? He went from normal handsome 40 year old dude to early 20s glam rock guy in a Motley Crue knockoff band in the 80s.
Probably for Poolman, which is currently in post. ("Hapless dreamer and would-be philosopher looks after the pool for his apartment block in L.A.")
It's definitely not for his upcoming gig as Walter Cronkite (!) on the day of the Kennedy assassination.
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Nice Awareness bump for Adam, from 47% to 50% at 28 days out. With the marketing blitz about to crank into high gear, this should comfortably reach 55-60% by the time previews get here.
Aquaman-level or better reviews, which is what I'm expecting, get this into the upper end of BOP's range, IMO. And I'm not sure that even bad reviews- DWD, for example- would hamper it that much OW.