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Porthos

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Porthos last won the day on May 18

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About Porthos

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  1. Since folks were throwing out 2012, here are some reverse adj numbers for $300m movies adj'ed back to 2012 ticket prices: 2018: 2017: 2016: 2015: In 2018, Aquaman and Deadpool 2 fall off the list (Aqua just barely). 2017, Homecoming, IT, and Thor: Ragnarok all fall off the list. 2016 and 2015 doesn't have any fall off the list. Since Aquaman barely falls off the list, I think putting the line at 340m or 350m is pretty acceptable, if we were using 300m in 2012 as a guideline.
  2. @CoolEric258 Any chance you might be able to do a "Last Seven Days" comp (or something similar) with Solo and Aladdin sometime tomorrow? Solo was pretty damn flat by that point, so the inherent SW pre-sale advantage might not be there and it could be an interesting MDW for MDW look. If it's too much work or you have too little time (or both) please never mind the request.
  3. Some notes on all three flicks. Aladdin recovered from yesterday locally, but still is only pacing at a bit higher than Pikachu. But it ain't collapsing, so there's that at least. Also is stubbornly doing 50% of JW:FK. Might just end up in the 7m range on preview night after all. Absolutely no guarantees though. KotM did not see any bump whatsoever from its World Premiere, not that I was really expecting one after looking at Fandango all day. Sorry, @Mulder and @Brainbug Still, "doing what it needs to do" really is the catch phrase of this movie so far. Next breakout potential might be after the 22nd and those screenings that are happening. But still no sign of major expansion off of "what it needs to do" yet locally. As for FFH? Well, here are the last six days of sales locally: T-48: 3 T-47: -2 T-46: 0 T-45: 4 T-44: 0 T-43: 0 Yeah. Might shift to once a week if this keeps up. See how I feel on Thr.
  4. Far From Home Greater Sacramento Area MIDNIGHT SCREENINGS Seat Report: T-43 Days and counting Sellouts Showings Seats left Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 14 2112 2344* 10.05% NOTE: Some theaters adjusted the seats available for purchase resulting in a loss of five seats overall. Total Seats Sold Since Thr: 4 No comps at the moment. Next update: Thr 5/23
  5. King of the Monsters Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 Days and counting Sellouts Showings Seats left Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 90 11367 12129* 6.28% *NOTE: Some theaters adjusted the seats available for purchase resulting in a loss of three seats overall. Total Seats Sold Today: 45 IMO, the best comp of movies I have tracked will be Fallen Kingdom. I also have comps with the Aladdin (still in pre-sales) and Detective Pikachu as something as a compare/contrast with current May movies. They may not be as good comps, being in different genres. Unadjusted Comps 1.2303x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 11 days before release. 0.8457x as many tickets sold as Aladdin 11 days before release. PRE-SALES NOTE: [Pika Pika had 29 days of pre-sales and Aladdin had 24 while King of the Monsters had 20 days of pre-sales] T-11: Pika 38 tickets sold [0 sellouts/75 showings | 8030/8648 seats left | 7.15% sold] Aladdin 38 tickets sold [0 sellouts/70 showings | 9096/9997 seats left | 9.01% sold] Adjusted Comps .4421x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom 11 days before release. PRE-SALES NOTE: JW2 had 22 days of pre-sales while KotM had 20. Also some theaters had KotM tickets on sale for a few days before they were officially announced to the public for sale. ADJUSTMENT NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question. If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio. It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally. T-11: JW2 76 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings | 8507/10113 seats left | 15.88% sold] KotM (JW) 33 tickets sold [0 sellouts/90 showings | 10367/11077 seats left | 6.41% sold] KotM (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom.
  6. Aladdin Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 Days and counting Sellouts Showings Seats left Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 74 9457 10718* 11.77% NOTE: Some theaters adjusted the seats available for purchase resulting in a loss of four seats overall. Total Seats Sold Today: 128 The best comp I have so far is Detective Pikachu. I also have less ideal comps with Solo (for Memorial Day Weekend like-for-like), JW2 and FB2. Use the later comps with caution. Unadjusted Comps 1.1668x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 4 days before release. PRE-SALES NOTE: [Pika Pika had 29 days of pre-sales while Aladdin had 24] T-5: Pika: 110 tickets sold [0 sellouts/62 showings | 6217/7464 seats left | 16.71% sold] Adjusted Comps .3249x as many tickets sold as Solo 4 days before release. .5440x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom 4 days before release. .5004x as many tickets sold as Crimes of Grindelwald 4 days before release. PRE-SALES NOTE: Solo had 20 days of pre-sales, JW2 had 22 days of pre-sales and FB2 had 30 days of pre-sales while Aladdin had 24. ADJUSTMENT NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question. If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio. It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally. T-4 days: Solo 151 tickets sold [0 sellouts/92 showings | 6077/10146 seats left | 40.10% sold] JW2 220 tickets sold [0 sellouts/111 showings | 8833/11263 seats left | 21.58% sold] Aladdin (JW) 110 tickets sold [0 sellouts/81 showings | 8727/10049 seats left | 13.16% sold] FB2 146 tickets sold [0 sellouts/98 showings | 10691/13377 seats left | 20.08% sold] Aladdin (FB) 112 tickets sold [0 sellouts/81 showings | 9139/10483 seats left | 12.82% sold] * Aladdin (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom and Solo **Aladdin (FB) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Crimes of Grindelwald
  7. It's good to see Gareth Edwards again. He's practically fallen off the face of the earth for a couple of years now. Last I heard from him was a talk at SXSW post R1. Sure hope he gets another chance to do something, big or small.
  8. Aladdin now at #4 on the Fandango rolling tracker; Godzilla at #12: Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours Since: 2019-05-18 21:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago) RANK PERCENT TICKETS MOVIE 1 39.708% 30927 John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum 2 19.422% 15127 Avengers Endgame (2019) 3 15.086% 11750 Pokémon Detective Pikachu 4 03.708% 2888 A Dogs Journey 5 03.355% 2613 Aladdin (2019) 6 02.868% 2234 The Hustle (2019) 7 02.158% 1681 Long Shot 8 01.827% 1423 The Intruder (2019) 9 01.244% 969 Avengers Endgame (2019) 10 01.216% 947 The Sun Is Also a Star 11 01.048% 816 UglyDolls 12 00.755% 588 Poms 13 00.710% 553 Aladdin 14 00.550% 428 Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019) 15 00.496% 386 Fandango Early Access The Secret Life of Pets 2 16 00.492% 383 The Curse of La Llorona 17 00.424% 330 Captain Marvel (2019) 18 00.357% 278 Steel Magnolias 30th Anniversary (1989) presented by TCM 19 00.333% 259 Dark Phoenix 20 00.318% 248 Spider-Man Far From Home (2019) 21 00.315% 245 Tolkien 22 00.307% 239 Godzilla King of the Monsters -
  9. Aladdin has actually just passed The Hustle on the Fandango tracker (which will reset in a few hours) when combined, so I imagine it'll show up on MT sometime tomorrow.
  10. *sends up the Deep Wang signal* @Deep Wang (If anyone thinks I'm making a stylized version of it, you're flippin' crazy - I like my posting privileges )
  11. This is why I think checking the daily numbers over the last few days will be interesting. I know for a fact that Solo was tepid and flat. What I want to see if Aladdin follows that flatness without the huge pre-sale lead Solo had. Basically look at the curvelines/trendlines. This close to release, the fact that SW is so pre-sales heavy should be fairly irrelevant on the day to day look.
  12. Folks like cheap, decent (enough) food? Not sure why this would be a surprise.
  13. Straight from Google. === I actually think Denny's gets something of a bad rap, which is why I felt bad singling them out. But I didn't want to waste time thinking of which low-dollar chain restaurants was the worst I'd been to. ... Actually now that I think about it, they're all pretty tolerable. Except for the one I've been bashing the last few posts.
  14. Possible, I suppose. Haven't looked deeply into the weekend locally to see. Don't plan on it, either. But the MDW point is a good one (hence the like) and the other main reason I roped in Solo. Want to see how Aladdin is doing against the most recent MDW film, and one I happen to have pre-sale info for.
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