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    Fanboy Wars Thread: Personal Attacks not allowed | With Digital Fur Technology

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    18 hours ago, RobrtmanAStarWarsReference said:

    kermit the frog with two samurai swords and a blunt would stomp him

     

    18 hours ago, IronJimbo said:

    bugs bunny would curb them both

     

    He has Superhuman Physical Characteristics, Genius Intelligence, Regeneration (Mid-Godly; Scaled to Tweety and Daffy, who can instantly return after being erased), Flight, Reality Warping, Teleportation, Toon Force, Plot Manipulation, Spatial Manipulation, Time Manipulation, Time Travel, Breaking the Fourth Wall, Lightning Manipulation, Body Control, Mind Control, Magma Manipulation, Telekinesis, Gravity Manipulation, BFR, Data Manipulation , Immortality, Duplication (, Text Manipulation (Both inside and outside of fiction), Weapon Mastery, Dream Manipulation, Dimensional Storage, Resistance to Mind Manipulation and Void Manipulation (Can survive in a void), Martial Arts (Has some experience with boxing and wrestling), Resurrection, Elasticity, Resistance to Gravity, Sleep, Darkness, and Fire Manipulation, Non-Physical Interaction (Can hit intangible beings), Can put out hellfire from Devil Daffy, Magic , Transmutation (Turned bullets into flowers), Sand Manipulation (with Acme Quicksand), Shapeshifting (As shown here), Immersion (Can bring characters and objects from fictional works), Causality Manipulation (Granted and undid a wish that altered history) and Acausality (Type 1; Was unaffected by that wish and like Wile.E Coyote, should be unaffected from having a previous page of his own story altered), Preparation (As shown here), Cloth Manipulation (Can instantly wear his disguise by spinning around), Telepathy, Illusion Creation with the Mirror, Empathic Manipulation (As shown here), Biological Manipulation (Can use magic to change other people's hair and nail model. Can turn into a vampire version of himself. Has changed the structure of people's jaw and teeth), Life Manipulation, Plant Manipulation (with Magic Hat), Invisibility (with invisibility potion), Supernatural Luck, Void Manipulation (Can erase living beings with a giant pencil), Creation , Technological Manipulation , Sleep Manipulation (Can use hypnosis to put others to sleepand put himself with pills at 3:02), Attack Reflection (As shown here), Age Manipulation, Size Manipulation , Transformation (with Hyde juice) | All previous powers enhanced, plus Enhanced Senses, Heat Vision, Super Breath, Solar Energy Absorption, BFR with Phantom Zone Projector, Size Manipulation with Size Ray

    Toon force too strong.

    Fanboy Wars Thread: Personal Attacks not allowed | With Digital Fur Technology

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    4 hours ago, RobrtmanAStarWarsReference said:

    oh my god are you losers actually complaining about minor plotholes and power levels

    That's a very good argument, but ponder this. Is there a character that could EVER defeat Uchiha Madara? And I'm not talking about Edo Tensei Uchiha Madara. I'm not talking about Gedou Rinne Tensei Uchiha Madara either. Hell, I'm not even talking about Juubi Jinchuuriki Gedou Rinne Tensei Uchiha Madara with the Eternal Mangekyou Sharingan and Rinnegan doujutsus (with the rikodou abilities and being capable of both Amateratsu and Tsukuyomi genjutsu), equipped with his Gunbai, a perfect Susano'o, control of the juubi and Gedou Mazou, with Hashirama Senju's DNA implanted in him so he has mokuton kekkei genkai and can perform yin yang release ninjutsu while being an expert in kenjutsu and taijutsu. I’m also not talking about Kono Yo no Kyuseishu Futarime no Rikudo Juubi Jinchuuriki Gedou Rinne Tensei Uchiha Madara with the Eternal Mangekyou Sharingan (which is capable of Enton Amaterasu, Izanagi, Izanami and the Tsyukuyomi Genjutsu), his two original Rinnegan (which grant him Chikushodo, Shurado, Tendo, Ningendo, Jigokudo, Gakido, Gedo, Bansho Ten’in, Chibaku Tensei, Shinra Tensei, Tengai Shinsei and Banbutsu Sozo) and a third Tomoe Rinnegan on his forehead, capable of using Katon, Futon, Raiton, Doton, Suiton, Mokuton, Ranton, Inton, Yoton and even Onmyoton Jutsu, equipped with his Gunbai (capable of using Uchihagaeshi) and a Shakujo because he is a master in kenjutsu and taijutsu, a perfect Susano’o (that can use Yasaka no Magatama ), control of both the Juubi and the Gedou Mazou, with Hashirama Senju’s DNA and face implanted on his chest, his four Rinbo Hengoku Clones guarding him and nine Gudodama floating behind him AFTER he absorbed Senjutsu from the First Hokage, entered Rikudo Senjutsu Mode, cast Mugen Tsukuyomi on everybody and used Shin: Jukai Kotan so he can use their Chakra while they are under Genjutsu.

    • Haha 6

    Fanboy Wars Thread: Personal Attacks not allowed | With Digital Fur Technology

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, Pure Spirit said:

    This. I got a single warning that I'd get threadbanned if I "trolled" again and it was literally just posting this screenshot (I think I can get away with it here?)

     

    I thought it was funny, and I just said, "how will this affect box office?"

     

    A1oP1Jp.jpg

     

    I mean, come on, that is kind of funny. But the brittle marveldrones in the thread gave me like 4 replies and probably 20 mod reports and I was given a warning, because the moderators are probably real sick of that thread by now. 

     

    Anyway I'm staying far away from any CM threads until the butthurt dies down a little. Just my avatar is enough to get reported no matter what I say in the CM thread, I'm called an Alitadrone even if I don't mention Brie, Alita, or criticize CM. They're super butthurt in there over CM apparently being a mediocre movie. I can't wait until the big weekend box office soothes their troubled minds.

    I don't think there is anything sadder than people arguing over which super hero can beat which other super hero.

    • Like 1
    • Haha 1

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, EconomySize said:

    Looking at the akvalley fandango sales for thursday previews historically, and CMs total as of last night - I took CoolErics ~70k in sales for BP and proected them out to Captain Marvel (using the same ratio of dates as has been bought previously).  That way we can compare thursday to thursday *like* fandango sales.  Aquaman and AMTW have been removed for being holiday related:

     

     

    Movie        Thursday   CM as of       Proj               Movie

                      Tix   midnight   CM Total    Ratio   Previews   CM Estimate

    AvengersIW     205486      83760     107061     .521         39         20.31

    Deadpool 2      89501      83760     107061     1.19       18.6         22.25

    Solo            67099      83760     107061     1.60       14.1         22.50

    Jurassic W      46033      83760     107061     2.32       15.3         35.36?!?

    Venom           46724      83760     107061     2.29       10.0         22.91

    Black Panther  112340      83760     107061     .849       25.2         24.02

     

    As has been mentioned however, BP had three weeks of presales, and giving the AKValley data a quick once over, it looks like ~15% of sales were in the first week.  I think it would be reasonable then to either assign BP extra sales for comp purposes *or* to remove the projection of the last days worth of sales from CM (Assuming last day sales rougly equals first week sales). That nets us the following projection

     

    Black Panther  112340      83760      83760     .746       25.2         18.79

     

    If you want to quibble with the BP sales adjustment, that's fine, but I would be hard pressed to get that number up above 20.  Considering (outside of JWFK), the MCU movies look around 20, while the non MCU movies look about 22, that gives us a general range for presales.  Given the following multipliers Preview to OW multipliers from boxofficereport

     
    IW 6.607641
    DP2 6.747688
    Solo 5.987234
    JW2 9.674837
    AM2 6.592348
    Venom 8.0256
    FB2 6.831099

     

    We can assume somewhere between 20-23 in presales with a 6.5 to 7 multiplier which nets us a range of 130m - 161m using the low/low and high/high estimates.  I had previously built a log model and an exponential model of OW/PG ratio, and the ranges on that one are 144-163, which is a little more optimistic (it uses data from a few years ago if it fits criteria which skews the sample) - Those numbers look like the prospective range.  I just want to tap the breaks on everybody who is getting wound up about a projected 160+m opening.  Yeah, that's in high end of range, but upside/downside are usually equal so it is seemingly just as likely to hit 175 as it is to hit 125.  The numbers over the past few weeks have generally looked ~130-140ish mean projections, and nothing has really moved the needle *that* much.  Middle of the range says 145 - absolutely great opening.

    This is some god-tier analysis right here. Do you work in the business?

    • Like 2

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Horner said:

     

    The ending generated so much buzz for that movie it helped drive people out to see what all of the fuss was about.  There were references to "The Snap" flying all over social media and getting mentioned in circles that don't normally talk all that much about CB movies.

    The memes were/are off the charts. Thanos is still quoted often, probably the most quotable MCU movie by far.

    • Like 1
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