carlsalf

Well it's official now. Mexico City has allowed theaters to open starting on Wednesday August 12th at only 30% of their capacity. Museums are also opening. A lot of people are still afraid of going out but I have seen malls and restaurants and they already have a lot of people so... we will have to see what happens with movies. Canacine is fiercely pushing for theather to return to some "normalcy" Disney+ being a part of Prime Channels would indeed be good. I already have HBO and it works very well having eveything in the same App. I remember the contract for Disney properties was for a year (wow, time flies) but as you say now they have a lot of adult content that is great (I'm rewatching Will & Grace entirely). I really hope Disney+ does arrive in November... I really want to see The Mandalorian

Yesterday the App for Cinepolis changed from "Schedule not available" to: "Next Releases" (from August 7th and onwards) when looking at the movie times in CDMX South... Not sure if that means it will open really as I think there are a lot of discrepancies between the local and federal goverments but it change the status indeed. What do you think about Disney's announcement regarding Mulan? Do you think it will happen with other big titles? Or will it only be a one time thing? I think they are testing the waters and if it works probably more tites will follow that road which will be sad for theater and distribution. Besides apparently Disney+ was officialy announced for Mexico and Latin America for November... not sure how will that work as right now Amazon Prime works as a partial Disney+ here in Mexico.

When will you go back to theaters. I know Cinepolis is doing a whole safety protocol but what will it take for you to return to theaters considering the situation hasn't ended and will still take some time? A lot of people are afraid still to go outside to work let alone to restaurants and entertainment. Do you really think Mulan and Tenet will stay put in July? If everything goes as planned for what I understand cinemas in Mexico City will open only until June 24 or 25th and that's with only 40% attendance right? So... will things really improve in one month for cinemas to allow 100% of attendance and will people really go in droves to the movie theaters?

I guess this Friday a lot of businesses will close along with schools already out for a month. With tonight’s announcement of the first death authorities will have to increase measures to contain the virus from spreading as much as possible. Everything has moved out of the April-May corridor and not sure June is really safe. But the important thing is to stay safe and indoors... let’s do as much as we can to stop this.

Mulan, Antlers and New Mutants (again!!!) have been delayed in USA, I guess the same will happen here (not sure if Antlers had a release date already here). Some are saying if things improve quickly Mulan will take the May 1st slot and Black Widow will move to the slot emptied by F9... too soon to tell really.

And so... it is here. A Quiet Place Part II out of the calendar worldwide. Fast and Furious 9 moves to 2021¡ Mulan and Black Widow should be in the horizon soon as USA prepares to avoid gatherings and concentrations specially in California and NY

Well... what a terrible result for Onward. Not sure if it was lack of buzz, the Coronavirus or the 8/9M... but this was not good at all. Will A Quiet Place Part II and Mulan suffer the same fate? Considering some movies are moving out of April not sure the March ones will deliver the big bucks if this situation continues spreading. Do you think the May ones will move or not? Considering some countries are locking down and America is basically only starting I think we will have the greater impact during the month of April. Let's hope is not so complicated but damn this is not a good year at all.

Didn't see this post before posting mine¡ Hehehe. By the way welcome back @Carlangonz we missed you¡

As per Canacine's numbers Sonic got to 230M and will pass Bad Boys Life over the week to become the number one movie of the year. Birds of Prey continues stumbling but will at least get to 200M, a bad number when all things are considered. Wonder Woman will have to really devilered in June Parasite falls against the Post-Oscar surge but is still on track for 150M. I already have it pre-ordered in iTunes With good WOM The Call of the Wild can probably get to 100M... but it will be hit hard in two weeks by the Pixar movie.

Well. Sonic at least saves some face. Will it have kiddie legs and get to 300M? Weekdays will be hit hard due to the lack of holidays but the weekend should be interesting without competition for the next two weeks. Parasite increases a great 300% from last weekend and in it's 8th week has it's biggest weekend yet with 118M total. 150M is not out of the question which is really outstanding for a movie that opened with 6M (¡¡¡¡). I don't remember a movie with such a great performance (in recent years at least). Next week we have only small films and Harrison Ford trying to be relevant for a few more years with The Call of the Wild, can it get to 20M? How do you think The Invisible Man will fare? Can it open at 30 or 40M? It looks really intense.

Actually no, I asked the same thing not only for Asian films but also for foreign ones (of course outside USA). I think someone said Parasite will be the top one without considering Dragon Ball franchise of course. Not sure how much Crouching Tigger, Hidden Dragon gross. Even Train to Busan (one of the latest Asian hits) only grossed about 20M

Didn't Dragon Ball Z opened to 123M over 3 days? And HTTYD3 opened to 118M?

Thank God for the Oscars... without Jojo, 1917, Little Women and Parasite the first month would have been really pathetic. Last year we already had 2 movies that opened to 100M by the 6th week now we have none, can Sonic save the first bimester??? Does anyone know how pre-sales have been? So we will have to wait until Onward in March and it will not compare to the level that Captain Marvel achieved last year so Mulan will have to save the first trimester by her own... haha Great win for Parasite really. Was very happy that happened on Sunday

Dolittle somehow made 66M and with the help of the holiday will most surely get to 150M-170M Bad Boys continues holding well and will cross the 200M by the end of the week. Cindy drops more than 50% and 100M is not entirely sure although I do think will cross the mark but will not get much further. Jojo holds incredibly well (I saw it on Friday and the theater was full... loved the movie and the kid actors are great). Salma gets the finger with Like a Boss opening to just 5.8M (as in pesos¡¡¡). Will not even get to 1M (USD) when all is said and done. Parasite is out of the top 10, does anybody knows what is the total... unless it wins Best Picture on Sunday the 100M mark is out of reach.

And with 6 Oscar nominations under it's belt and incredible WOM... will surely double that amount. Can it sustain and get to 100M? Speaking about that do you know which is the most succesful non-mexican/latin/spanish/gringa movie? I can't recall any movie from Poland or China or any other country getting that high. Competition will get fierce with the crowded January that we have but I think it will still be a factor specially if the distributor expands it this weekend.

So the final numbers are in (as per Canacine) and indeed we crossed the 19 Billion mark. 19.05B in total. This is nothing short of outstanding. Even the record of tickets sold fell this year at 350M (2 Million more than previous high of 2017) So 2020 will not even come close to these numbers (I think) At least for the time being Charlie's Angels has indeed being a good player (already at 55.3M, can it get to 85M?). This week there is nothing really outstanding, probably Underwater can make some splash but I'm not really condifent. Next week we have the major Oscar player (which will surely have many nominations on Monday) in 1917... can it get to 100M when all is said and done?

Sorry... didn't see the recent update from @Carlangonz so... we get to 19Billion. WOW

Thank you very much for your great 2019 Recap @Carlangonz you really took the time to resume everything that happen during this crazy and record-breaking year. If I calculated right, we indeed crossed the 18.5 Billion mark, which would mean an increase of 10% from the grosses of 2018 and I can imagine also a good amount regarding admissions. 10% could sound little but considering we're talking about Billions this is outstanding. Some movies really delivered like superhero and horror but a lot of movies failed to really boost the box office to greater levels. I know no one was asking for a fourth MIB movie or a sixth Terminator but less than 200M for these ones was basically embarrassing. I really think 2020 will se a steep drop as we don’t have anything close to Endgame or Toy Story 4 or even Joker which even if it was surprising there is nothing with the cultural buzz that can get this kind of breakthrough. Some may remember that I did a prediction for all the big movies for the second semester (well from August until today) and here is how I fare – In hindsight I REALLY should have known better with Como si Fuera la Primera Vez (I will never again trust a Derbez unless if it’s the Big Papa¡ Hahaha) but I was surprised at the drop for Hobbs and Shaw (although what I heard about the movie was terrible) and Maleficent. All the others were well more or less in target and some did better in the end. Note*: I did put in the first list Charlie’s Angels but it will premiere until January 1st and after seeing how it fare in the rest of the world will be lucky to get to 30M Película Ingreso Est. Ingreso Real Desvío Hobbs and Shaw $ 600.00 $ 341.52 43% The Secret Life of Pets $ 550.00 $ 288.64 48% Crawl $ 80.00 $ 72.15 10% Scary Stories $ 120.00 $ 152.30 -27% Once upon a Time in Hollywood $ 50.00 $ 116.30 -133% Angel has Fallen $ 45.00 $ 79.30 -76% Como si fuera la Primera Vez $ 110.00 $ 27.10 75% Angry Birds 2 $ 80.00 $ 49.70 38% It: Chapter 2 $ 550.00 $ 426.51 22% Dora and the Lost City of Gold $ 85.00 $ 142.61 -68% Mama se fue de Viaje $ 50.00 $ 34.15 32% Ad Astra $ 60.00 $ 72.15 -20% Tod@s Caen $ 180.00 $ 136.54 24% Abominable $ 60.00 $ 117.60 -96% Joker $ 320.00 $ 848.65 -165% Gemini Man $ 170.00 $ 125.31 26% Maleficent: Mistress of Evil $ 800.00 $ 498.74 38% The Adams Family $ 80.00 $ 166.10 -108% Zombieland 2: Double Tap $ 58.00 $ 55.98 3% Terminator: Dark Fate $ 130.00 $ 126.90 2% Dr. Sleep $ 80.00 $ 67.60 16% Frozen 2 $ 350.00 $ 518.68 -48% Guadalupe Reyes $ 40.00 $ 62.15 -55% Knives Out $ 55.00 $ 51.48 6% Jumanji: The Next Level $ 250.00 $ 255.50 -2% Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker $ 200.00 $ 233.16 -17% Spies in Disguise $ 180.00 $ 44.39 75% $5,333 $5,111.2 4% I know we're here to talk about Box Office but would like to my top 10 favorite movies that I saw during 2019 (mind you I haven’t seen The Irishman, The Lighthouse, Jojo Rabbit, Little Women, 1917, Ford vs. Ferrari and many others that everyone puts in their favorite movies of the year): 1. Avengers: Endgame. Yes… I’m a Superhero super fan so this choice was basically obvious. I even saw it three times in theaters and have seen in twice in video¡ (I’m crazy I know) 2. Parasite. Loved it and was mesmerized by it all the way through I didn’t find any moment lacking. The acting is great and would love to see it again any time. 3. Capernaum. It oppressed my heart big time. Is not a nice movie or a joyful one but it is really outstanding how it can be somber yet entertaining at the same time. 4. Shoplifters. This one is also very entertaining (specially at the beginning) but then it turns sad very quickly. The ending still haunts me. 5. Vuelven (or Tigers are not Afraid… yes the translation is ridiculous). Is more terrifying in the real-life part than in the fantasy one. The kids are outstanding and has a real dark atmosphere. 6. Toy Story 4. We go from sad to saccharine in a heartbeat. We had a great closure with Toy Story 3 but this one also delivers, especially with Woody’s character arc. If they make a 5th one hope it maintains the high-level quality of the series. 7. Crawl. I’m a big fan of people-eating animals and this one delivers in spades, the acting is great (for the material of course) and the set pieces are really nail-biting 8. Knives Out. I ate it up entirely. It’s probably a little far-fetched if you really think about it but the cast gives it all and in the end is a very, very funny movie. 9. Bad Genius. Who knew taking exams could be made into a heist movie? Has more action than many blockbusters and fantastic “too-close” moments 10. Crazy Rich Asians (I think I have a thing with Asians now). Sweet (super sweet probably) but it was very well done and I cried like a baby during the final act. What do you think the future has in store for us? Will Female Power deliver the big bucks (Black Widow, Wonder Woman, Birds of Prey, Little Women, Mulan, The Woman in the Window, The Witches)? Will Superhero movies make it all the way to the bank (Free Guy, Eternals, Venom 2)? Will sequels again falter (Kingsman 3, Trolls 2, Ghostbusters 4, Top Gun 2, The New Mutants, James Old)? Will Horror be the favorite genre for Mexicans (The Purge 5, Antlers, The Conjuring 3, Underwater, The Grudge)? and will Pixar be able to launch two movies in the same year and survive againts the other animated movies (Onward, Soul, Minions 2)? Happy New Year and my best wishes for a great 2020.

I do think WAY under. I mean. The Last Jedi only did 261M LC. Not even the Force Awakens got to 500M and I'm not seeing much excitement for this one. Probably can get to 350M but… I’m not that confident. So in the end Frozen will be hard pressed to get to 500M as Jumanji will definitely compete but holidays are basically around the corner so weekday numbers will improve a little bit. It will be interesting to see if it can hold some. Was expecting a bigger number for Knives Out but I guess it was ok and it can have good word of mouth. I still see it getting to 50M

Frozen is getting a good run and still has another weekend for itself so 500M looks achievable Guadalupe Reyes had a somewhat good opening. I don't think it will last until the holidays to really benefit from the December corridor... but 60M can be in the cards... I think. Knives Out was really great specially at it was only from VIP and Premium screens. I couldn't see it over the weekend will try to see it over the week but with the trafic getting worse by the minute sometimes I don't get it to the theater in time¡¡ Hehehe

Hehehe. MY goal¡ Just wishful thinking but yes... if we're already at 17.6B then 18.5B is basically locked up... and with the lucrative December corridor ahead anything can happen¡¡ Have you noticed is the last Mexican movie of the decade that could be big? It's the last push for Mexican Cinema (comercially speaking of course) as the 10's are basically over... I'm not a hardcore fan of Star Wars but I'm a real fan (I went to see the Prequels at midnight and own the original trilogy) but after The Last Jedi my interest in seeing this has really diminished. I will see it (cause I have to...) but I'm in no rush to do it. I'm not seeing 400M either even if is being labeled as "the end of an era" I bought tickets for this one when it was in Cinepolis. I REALLY wanted to see it but due to conflicting scheduling I wasn't able to attend to but yes... of course I will see it if not this weekend then the next one. Did you see Parasite, it really blew me away. I think it can easily be my favorite movie of the year (without Avengers in the title).

What a great number for Frozen 2¡ This was what we needed to end the bad streak during November... now if it can have real legs during the whole month and get it to 550M that would be awesome¡ Hahaha. So If my numbers are correct we have already passed the 17B mark (so 2019 has ALREADY the record for yearly income) but considering we're only left with 5 weekends and only Jumani as the big player I'm not sure it will be enough to pass the 18.5B mark by year's end (unless I have something wrong in the numbers), even it's sad we didn't get higher still a great year, right? Do you really think 2021 can come close to that??? Have you heard anything about Guadalupe Reyes? I was reading someone saying it can be a sleeper hit, I'm just thinking about 25M but by now who knows??

Yes... this year has already ended basically. Frozen 2 will be the only beacon of light and we will have to see how it goes this weekend. Considering how things are not expecting much... probably 100-110M but not sure if that will be enough to save the end of the year. What??? You don't think that Cats will endure??? I'm not even sure if it will premiere this year but it looks really weird and there is not that much buzz. Jumanji can help but Star Wars is only for die hard fans... so, nothing great for the rest of the year so we're not really getting to 20Billion... Not even 19B??? How sad...

Thanks... Yes but as I didn't remember the email I thought it would be easier to have a new account...

Yes. In the end it didn't break out. I haven't seen it but I have heard that it is too slow and too long so not a very good combination. I still think it can get to 75M in the end. This Holiday weekend we only have Ford vs. Ferrari as the big film, how much will it gross? 20-25M? Or higher? I'm not sure how to read the "adult films" sometimes specially with Midway also making some competition. This month has not been very nice but at least we have Frozen next weekend to save some face...