jma22
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Posts posted by jma22
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Dune Part 2: 4,54M€ first week. (+57% Dune 1)
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Spain 13-15 October 2023: TOP 10 (€)
1. Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour: 1.138.510 (NEW) ------------ 1.138.510
2. Paw Patrol: The Mighty Movie: 1.125.533 (NEW) ------------ 1.793.919
3. The Exorcist: Believer: 633.566 (-35%) ------------ 2.308.262
4. Sound of Freedom: 596.320 (NEW) ------------ 955.296
5. Me he hecho viral: 373.764 (NEW) ------------ 578.806
6. The Creator: 346.628 (-30%) ------------ 2.542.249
7. Saw X: 267.193 (-28%) ------------ 1.956.168
8. A Haunting in Venice: 240.182 (-19%) ------------ 4.309.118
9. Campeonex: 205.321 (-04%) ------------ 11.495.157
10. Coup de Chance: 154.174 (-31%) ------------ 1.129.471
Top 25 = 5,75M€
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Spain 25-27 July 2023: Top 10 (€)
1. Campeonex: 1.299.595 (-25%) ------------ 4.959.8662. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: 624.726 (NEW) ------------ 624.726
3. Barbie: 614.805 (-17%) ----------- 30.877.849
4. Meg 2 567.216 (-20%) ----------- 10.228.2105. Oppenheimer: 563.059 (-13%) ----------- 17.994.616
6. Mi soledad tiene alas: 310.811 (NEW) ------------ 310.8117. Gran Turismo: 294.522 (-24%) ------------ 2.806.339
8. Elemental: 293.227 (-07%) ----------- 11.179.347
9. Blue Beetle: 264.480 (-53%) ------------ 1.282.331
10. Cobweb: 188.189 (NEW) ------------ 188.458
Top 25 = 5,5M€
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19 minutes ago, setna said:
Barbie going closer to 5 M admits and 30 M euro, such a great success!!
30m it's locked for Barbie. The goal of this movie is the top 10 of all time
With 28,15M€ until Wednesday, Barbie ranks 18th of all time at Spanish box office. The 10th movie of all time is The Lord of the Rings 1 which grossed 31,9M€ here. So let's see if Barbie can do it !!
Oppenheimer (15,75M€ until Wednesday) will soon become Nolan's highest grossing film surpassing Incepction 17,05M€ and could have a very good late legs.
Elemental surpassed 10M€ and it's the 9th film to do it this 2023. Meg 2 will probably end its run very close too.
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4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
Peak of summer we are better off looking at week on week grosses as weekdays make a huge difference. if it did 140m last week, it can do another 210m more with existing markets as some of them tend to play out really long and make up for the rest. Asian markets at this point are less relevant.
From 175m to 210 there's a difference of 35m so yeah , probably you're right. But no way 260m in existing markets.
Gran Turismo releases this weekend so maybe affects a bit, and not only Asia is droping bad, Latam too
That being said, hopefully it reaches 1500m and even surpasses Top Gun Maverick but for now I stay in the 1400-1500 range
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1 hour ago, 1Robert1 said:
i thought that barbie made last week around 140 m international so how can it make only 175. if it will finish with current split domestic/international it would need 260m more from international markets to reach 1500
Barbie grossed 74,6m OS last weekend. 175m it's a realistic forecast imho. (Japan and Middle east not icluded)
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Barbie crossed the Barbillion last weekend and it grossed 1034 M until Sunday
I'll try to make a realistc forecast to see how far can Barbie go.
I think 1300 M it's locked, while 1360 M it's almost locked. That would mean reaching two major goals of Barbie: nº 1 of the year (worldwide) and the highest grossing Warner film ever.
My Barbie forecast: 1400M ($)
1034m (total until Sunday)
166m Domestic --- For a total 625M
25m Japan and Middle East (This countries have the release this weekend)
175m current International countries
- 120m Europe -- Uk 35m (for a total of 95m£), Germany 16m, France 14m, Italy 8m, Spain 8m , Netherlands 7m , Poland 5m, Nordics 10m and 17m the rest.
- 20m Oceania -- Australia 18m (for a total of 89m AUD) and New Zeland 2m
- 35m Latam + Asia
Maybe I underestimated Japan and North America.. I wouldn't be surprised if Japan 50m and Domestic +650m
I don't think Barbie grosses less than 1400 so ... 1400m-1500m $
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Domestic: 75m
China: 115m
Korea and Japan: 10m
OS-C-K-J: 150m
Total: 350m
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- Meg 2 had a great OW and better than expected with 2,9M€ (estimated). That's better than the original film (2018) which had an OW: 2,07M€ and grossed 11M€ at the end of its run. I think Meg 2 will be more frontloaded so let's say 9M€ (total)
- Maybe I'm wrong but I think Franspeech it's overestimating the total of Barbie and Elemental. He did it last weekend too, so until actuals comes out , I'd say Barbie total until today is 23M (Not 23,5) and Elemental 8,2M
- This weekend Barbenheimer saw bad drops due the big opening of Meg2 , but I still predict: 30m for Barbie , 18m for Oppenheier and 10m for Elemental
Great summer for the Spanish box office!!!
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Friday 04 July
1. Meg 2: 1,1M€
2. Barbie: 0.64M€ ------------ 22M€
3. Oppenheimer: 0,42M€ ---- 11,2M€
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Spain 28-30 July 2023: Top 8 (€)
1. Barbie: 3.629.001 (-30%) ------------ 16.737.487
2. Oppenheimer: 2.282.022 (-17%) ------------ 8.468.784
3. Elemental: 818.222 (-27%) ------------ 6.697.927
4. Insidious: The Red Door: 580.638 (-33%) ------------ 2.560.425
5. Mission Impossible: DR Part One: 406.161 (-36%) ------------ 4.537.383
6. Haunted Mansion: 399.328 (NEW) ------------ 399.328
7. Vacaciones de verano: 386.214 (-25%) ------------ 5.651.409
8. Indiana Jones and the Dial of destiny: 330.153 (-29%) ------------ 10.430.821
TOP 25 = 9,06M€
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25 minutes ago, Flip said:
Barbie should end up here, maybe 250m?
I think Barbie coud end with $365M in Europe:
Uk: 115mFrance: 45m
Germany: 45mItaly: 35m
Spain: 35m
Nordics: 25m
Netherlands: 18m
Poland: 12m
Rest: +35m
Maybe I'm a bit optimistic with some countries and a bit pessimistic with others, but i'd say +325 m it's locked.
400m with crazy legs.
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Last Monday was 14M... huge drop
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Top Christopher Nolan movies in Spain (€)
1. Inception: 17,05M
2. The Dark Knight Rises: 11,96M
3. The Dark Knight: 11,15M
4. Interstellar: 9,75M
5. Dunkirk: 9,04M6. Oppenheimer: 8,5M (11 days)
7. Tenet: 7,6M
8. Batman Begins: 7,33M9. The Prestige: 3,9M
10. Insomnia: 3M
11. Memento: 1,05M
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Great Weekend !!
- Barbie should should beat Super Mario Bros (27,4M€) and become the top 1 of 2023 with 30M€... Outstanding
- Oppenheimer coud be Nolan's highest grossing film in Spain if it perform with drops like that (-16%)
- Elemental with a good drop should end its run at +9M€. Not bad if you compare with Lightyear (4,6M€) but far from typical gross of a Pixar movie in Spain.
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Spain 9-11 June 2023: Top 10 (€)
1. Spider-Man: Across the SV: 1.184.508 (-46%) ------------ 4.263.801
2. The Little Mermaid: 1.115.401 (-43%) ------------ 8.368.000
3. Transformers: Rise of The Beasts: 1.085.563 (NEW) ------------ 1.085.563
4. Fast X: 527.107 (-51%) ------------ 11.776.143
5. Como Dios manda: 387.927 (-29%) ------------ 1.181.812
6. The Boogeyman: 187.378 (-46%) ------------ 711.451
7. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3: 179.648 (-47%) ------------ 10.880.000
8. The Super Mario Bros Movie: 179.384 (-36%) ------------ 26.790.639
9. Master Gardener: 116.885 (NEW) ------------ 116.885
10. Vaya Vacaciones: 94.185 (-39%) ------------ 4.514.420
TOP 25 = 5,3M€
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Spain 4-6 June 2023: Top 10 (€)
1. Spider-Man: Across the SV: 2.182.821 (NEW) ------------ 2.182.821
2. The Little Mermaid: 1.966.972 (-38%) ------------ 6.340.111
3. Fast X: 1.072.075 (-50%) ------------ 10.672.060
4. Como Dios manda: 545.133 (NEW) ------------ 545.133
5. The Boogeyman: 346.921 (NEW) ------------ 346.921
6. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3: 336.596 (-46%) ------------ 10.530.550
7. The Super Mario Bros Movie: 281.285 (-37%) ------------ 26.498.504
8. Vaya Vacaciones: 154.205 (-48%) ------------ 4.353.815
9. Le Otto montagne: 38.938 (-34%) ------------ 258.981
10. Evil Dead Rise: 33.055 (-64%) ------------ 3.774.992
TOP 25 = 7,2M€
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Highest grossing animated movies in Spain (+20M€)
1. Shrek 2: 28,2M€
2. The Super Mario Bros. Movie: 25,8M€
3. Toy Story 3: 25M€
4. UP: 24,9M€
5. Minions: 24M€
6. Finding Nemo: 23,8M€
7. Shrek 3: 22,3M€
8. Toy Story 4: 22,1M€
9. Inisde Out: 21,8M€
10. Ice Age 3: 21,8M€
11. The Secret Life of Pets: 21,3M€
12. The Incredibles: 21,1M€
13. Frozen 2: 20,8M€
14. Minions: The Rise of Gru: 20,7M€
15. Despicable me 3: 20,7M€
16. The Lion King (1994): 20,4M€
- 16 animated films with +20M€: 6 Pixar, 5 Illumination , 2 Walt Disney Animation, 2 Dreamworks, 1 Blue Sky.
- Pixar was the king of the animation films in Spain but since pandemic, Illumination it's in a better position.
- Super Mario Bros have a shot to surpass Shrek 2 and become the highest grossing animated film in Spain. But in my opinion, it should end with 27M-27,5M€
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Spain 19-21 May 2023: Top 10 (€)
1. Fast X: 5.050.970 (NEW) ------------ 5.050.970
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3: 1.038.350 (-45%) ------------ 8.954.415
3. The Super Mario Bros Movie: 628.633 (-22%) ---------- 25.842.996
4. Vaya Vacaciones: 402.147 (-05%) ------------ 3.691.385
5. Evil Dead Rise: 157.656 (-33%) ------------ 3.542.836
6. Pattie et la colère de Poséidon: 118.634 (-17%) ------------ 360.848
7. A Good Person: 81.184 (NEW) ------------ 81.184
8. Le Otto montagne: 74.202 (NEW) ----------- 80.107
9. Mavka Lisova Pisnya: 70.687 (-31%) ------------ 786.185
10. Marlowe: 65.257 (-44%) ------------ 273.640
TOP 25 = 8M€
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Really good start for Fast 10 !!
With 1,6M€ on Friday I expect OW= 4,5-5M€ That would be the best opening of the saga. Let's hope it's not frontloaded
OrdenTítuloAño estrenoRecaudación1 Fast & Furious 5 20114,45M€2 FAST & FURIOUS 7 20154,23M€3 Fast & Furious 6 20134,06M€4 FAST & FURIOUS 8 20174,06M€5 Fast & Furious 9 20212,80M€6 Fast & Furious: Aún más rápido 20082,68M€7 Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw 20192,21M€-
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Spain 12-14 May 2023: Top 10 (€)
1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3: 1.897.265 (-39%) ------------ 6.498.432
2. The Super Mario Bros. Movie: 803.196 (-16%) ---------- 24.150.650
3. Vaya Vacaciones: 422.236 (-03%) ------------ 2.949.578
4. Evil Dead Rise: 236.265 (-28%) ------------ 3.169.060
5. Pattie et la colère de Poséidon: 138.500 (NEW) ------------ 138.500
6. Marlowe: 116.107 (NEW) ------------ 116.107
7. Mavka. Lisova Pisnya: 101.690 (-27%) ------------ 653.505
8. Love Again: 97.500 (NEW) ------------ 97.500
9. Book Club: The Next Chapter: 96.931 (NEW) ------------ 96.931
10. Jeepers Creepers Reborn: 73.227 (NEW) ------------ 73.227
TOP 25 = 4,44M€
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DUNE II | 395.8M overseas | 660.7M worldwide
in International Box Office
Posted · Edited by jma22
$700M Locked. 30-45 Domestic & 45-60 Int = 700M-730M