abracadabra1998
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Posts posted by abracadabra1998
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23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-4):
Day: T-4, T-3 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 166 455 17196 2.65 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 89 454 5146 8.82 TOTALS: 121 255 909 22342 4.07 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 329 99 72.31 MTC1: 247 84 54.29 Alamo: 20 0 4.4 Other chains: 188 82 41.32 Comps (Thursday only):
1.78x The Fall Guy (THU): $4.19 Million
0.43x Godzilla x Kong: $3.93 Million (17 theaters)
0.72x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $3.38 Million (17 theaters)
0.79x Madame Web: $4.77 Million (17 theaters)
0.25x FNAF: $2.6 Million (17 theaters)
0.36x Indy 5: $2.61 Million (17 theaters)
0.33x MI7 (TUE): $2.33 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $3.4 Million
Comps (EA only):
1.59x Fall Guy EA: $1.27 Million
2.11x Challengers T-4 EA: $1.16 Million
0.45x Dune Part 2 EA: $900k (17 theaters)
0.74x MI7 EA: $1.48 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $1.2 Million
Very good EA numbers at the moment, and I would think that with it drawing from Thursday previews that is also a good sign. I am bullish for this, pace keeps doing pretty well!
Minnesota Previews:
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-3):
Day: T-3, T-2 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 117 103 558 19588 2.85 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 57 511 5146 9.93 TOTALS: 140 160 1069 24734 4.32 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 413 84 74.01 MTC1: 292 45 52.33 Alamo: 26 6 4.66 Other chains: 240 52 43.01 Comps (Thursday only):
1.8x The Fall Guy (THU): $4.23 Million
0.72x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $3.4 Million (17 theaters)
Madame Web: Missed
0.26x FNAF: $2.66 Million (17 theaters)
0.36x Indy 5: $2.61 Million (17 theaters)
0.36x MI7 (TUE): $2.54 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $3.09 Million
Comps (EA only):
1.62x Fall Guy EA: $1.3 Million
1.58x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare EA: $945k
1.28x Mean Girls EA: $830k (17 theaters)
0.76x MI7 EA: $1.52 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $1.15 Million
The average went down artificially because I didn't track GxK's last week and missed today's update for Madame Web, all comps actually went up except for Indy which stayed steady! I think Fall Guy is the best comp here because of the very similar EA situation
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On 5/2/2024 at 10:41 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-21):
Day: T-21, T-17 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 24 theaters 90 8 22 12044 0.18 Sunday May 19 EA: 9 theaters 9 12 142 954 14.88 TOTALS: 99 20 164 12998 1.26 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 7 3 31.82 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 15 5 68.18 Feels silly to do Thursday comps with numbers this tiny so skipping that for now.
EA Comps:
0.74x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes EA: ??
1.21x Fall Guy EA: ??
0.22x Dune Part 2 EA: $440k
1.22x Trolls (T-16 EA): $1.42 Million
Trolls had gone on sale a couple of days earlier so that will be going down as well
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-18):
Day: T-18, T-14 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 93 11 33 12272 0.27 Sunday May 19 EA: 9 theaters 9 13 155 954 16.25 TOTALS: 102 24 188 13226 1.42 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 18 11 54.55 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 15 0 45.45 Feels silly to do Thursday comps with numbers this tiny so skipping that for now.
EA Comps:
0.68x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-13 EA): ??
1.08x Fall Guy (T-13 EA): $865k
0.23x Dune Part 2 EA: $450k
0.87x Trolls (T-13 EA): $1.02 Million
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On 5/2/2024 at 10:32 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
IF (T-14):
Day: T-14 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 72 30 39 11918 0.33 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 19 14 48.72 MTC1: 19 14 48.72 Alamo: 4 4 10.26 Other chains: 16 12 41.03 Comps:
0.3x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.13 Million (17 theaters)
0.16x Wonka: $565k (17 theaters)
0.26x Wish (TUE): $475k (17 theaters)
1.07x Trolls (THU): $1.39 Million (17 theaters)
0.19x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $600k (17 theaters)
The release window for this is way shorter than all these comps so those numbers will naturally go up. Decent growth in the last three days
Minnesota Previews:
IF (T-11):
Day: T-11 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 72 17 56 11918 0.47 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 33 14 58.93 MTC1: 32 13 57.14 Alamo: 4 0 7.14 Other chains: 20 4 35.71 Comps:
0.33x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.25 Million (17 theaters)
0.19x Wonka: $650k (17 theaters)
0.32x Wish (TUE): $575k (17 theaters)
0.96x Trolls (THU): $1.24 Million (17 theaters)
0.26x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $815k (17 theaters)
Average: $905k
Rising against comps as expected, due to the short release window, but I am still failing to see anything that suggests the numbers given by some other outlets
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On 5/2/2024 at 10:23 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-7):
Day: T-7, T-6 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 97 289 17196 1.68 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 98 365 5146 7.09 TOTALS: 121 195 654 22342 2.93 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 230 68 79.58 MTC1: 163 45 56.4 Alamo: 20 4 6.92 Other chains: 106 48 36.68 Comps (THU + EA combined):
1.61x The Fall Guy: ???
1.42x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $6.67 Million (17 theaters)
0.86x Hunger Games BoSS: $4.95 Million (17 theaters)
0.5x FNAF: $5.13 Million (17 theaters)
0.83x Indy 5: $5.97 Million (12 theaters)
0.49x MI7: $4.4 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $5.42 Million
Keeps doing really well and rising against comps. I will split the EA and Thursday previews for this at T-4, on Sunday
Minnesota Previews:
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-4):
Day: T-4, T-3 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 166 455 17196 2.65 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 89 454 5146 8.82 TOTALS: 121 255 909 22342 4.07 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 329 99 72.31 MTC1: 247 84 54.29 Alamo: 20 0 4.4 Other chains: 188 82 41.32 Comps (Thursday only):
1.78x The Fall Guy (THU): $4.19 Million
0.43x Godzilla x Kong: $3.93 Million (17 theaters)
0.72x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $3.38 Million (17 theaters)
0.79x Madame Web: $4.77 Million (17 theaters)
0.25x FNAF: $2.6 Million (17 theaters)
0.36x Indy 5: $2.61 Million (17 theaters)
0.33x MI7 (TUE): $2.33 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $3.4 Million
Comps (EA only):
1.59x Fall Guy EA: $1.27 Million
2.11x Challengers T-4 EA: $1.16 Million
0.45x Dune Part 2 EA: $900k (17 theaters)
0.74x MI7 EA: $1.48 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $1.2 Million
Very good EA numbers at the moment, and I would think that with it drawing from Thursday previews that is also a good sign. I am bullish for this, pace keeps doing pretty well!
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15 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Fall Guy (T-1 hour Thinking about these, my post yesterday, and the pace, I will go with a final prediction of: $2.3 Million Thursday (+/- 0.2), ~$750-850k EA). So maybe a reported total number around $3.1 Million
Ok I’ll flex this one just a little bit
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On 4/28/2024 at 11:23 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-25):
Day: T-25, T-21 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 23 theaters 84 4 14 10661 0.13 Sunday May 19 EA: 9 theaters 9 37 130 954 13.63 TOTALS: 93 41 144 11615 1.24 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 4 4 28.57 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 10 0 71.43 Thursday Comps:*
0.3x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.13 Million
0.15x Wonka: $535k
0.29x Wish (TUE): $525k
1.75x Trolls: $2.28 Million
*Very low sales will lead to big variance in these early days. Trolls is the most useful comp due to similar EA situations.
EA Comps:
0.69x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes EA: ??
1.17x Fall Guy EA: ??
0.21x Dune Part 2 EA: $420k
Again, Trolls EA will be the most useful here but the first comp for it will be at T-16.
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-21):
Day: T-21, T-17 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 24 theaters 90 8 22 12044 0.18 Sunday May 19 EA: 9 theaters 9 12 142 954 14.88 TOTALS: 99 20 164 12998 1.26 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 7 3 31.82 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 15 5 68.18 Feels silly to do Thursday comps with numbers this tiny so skipping that for now.
EA Comps:
0.74x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes EA: ??
1.21x Fall Guy EA: ??
0.22x Dune Part 2 EA: $440k
1.22x Trolls (T-16 EA): $1.42 Million
Trolls had gone on sale a couple of days earlier so that will be going down as well
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On 4/29/2024 at 11:05 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
IF (T-17, Day 1):
Day: T-17 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 23 theaters 67 9 9 11114 0.08 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 5 5 55.56 MTC1: 5 5 55.56 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 4 4 44.44 Day 1 Comps:
0.35x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.32 Million
0.19x Wonka: $670k
1.29x Wish: $2.31 Million
0.38x Trolls (w/ EA): $925k
Comps are obviously silly at this stage, just wanted to show that unsurprsingly not really a lot of interest from a get-go. We shall see how it does in these coming weeks
Minnesota Previews:
IF (T-14):
Day: T-14 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 72 30 39 11918 0.33 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 19 14 48.72 MTC1: 19 14 48.72 Alamo: 4 4 10.26 Other chains: 16 12 41.03 Comps:
0.3x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.13 Million (17 theaters)
0.16x Wonka: $565k (17 theaters)
0.26x Wish (TUE): $475k (17 theaters)
1.07x Trolls (THU): $1.39 Million (17 theaters)
0.19x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $600k (17 theaters)
The release window for this is way shorter than all these comps so those numbers will naturally go up. Decent growth in the last three days
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On 4/28/2024 at 11:13 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-11):
Day: T-11, T-10 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 23 192 17196 1.12 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 39 267 5146 5.19 TOTALS: 121 62 459 22342 2.05 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 162 18 84.38 MTC1: 118 21 61.46 Alamo: 16 0 8.33 Other chains: 58 2 30.21 Comps (THU + EA combined):
1.44x The Fall Guy: ???
1.26x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $5.9 Million (17 theaters)
1.03x Hunger Games BoSS: $5.91 Million (17 theaters)
0.45x FNAF: $4.67 Million (17 theaters)
0.43x MI7: $3.84 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $5.08 Million
Minnesota Previews:
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-7):
Day: T-7, T-6 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 97 289 17196 1.68 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 98 365 5146 7.09 TOTALS: 121 195 654 22342 2.93 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 230 68 79.58 MTC1: 163 45 56.4 Alamo: 20 4 6.92 Other chains: 106 48 36.68 Comps (THU + EA combined):
1.61x The Fall Guy: ???
1.42x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $6.67 Million (17 theaters)
0.86x Hunger Games BoSS: $4.95 Million (17 theaters)
0.5x FNAF: $5.13 Million (17 theaters)
0.83x Indy 5: $5.97 Million (12 theaters)
0.49x MI7: $4.4 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $5.42 Million
Keeps doing really well and rising against comps. I will split the EA and Thursday previews for this at T-4, on Sunday
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16 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:
I do that in my initial set up. So I have a row for each show that has theater, time, total seats, unavailable seats, and then columns for each day. Then on the app I just count everything greyed out and subtract out the unavailable. I've been doing it long enough that I can spot them in most of the auditoriums 😅
Haha same, at this point I know most of the rooms and how many seats they have just by looking at the layout... but thanks for the info!
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21 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Fall Guy (T-1):
Day: T-1, T-1 hour Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 99 154 516 16881 3.06 Wednesday May 1 EA: 19 theaters 23 131 500 5129 9.75 TOTALS: 122 285 1016 22010 4.62 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 360 91 69.77 MTC1: 300 52 58.14 Alamo: 38 9 7.36 Other chains: 178 93 34.5 Thursday Comps:
1.27x Monkey Man: $1.78 Million
0.62x Civil War: $1.8 Million
0.43x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $2 Million (17 theaters)
0.45x Madame Web (OD): $2.72 Million (17 theaters)
0.72x Wonka: $2.53 Million (17 theaters)
0.62x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $2.8 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $2.27 Million
EA T-1 Hour Comps:
1.45x Challengers: $795k
0.45x Dune Part 2: $895k
0.85x Mean Girls: $550k
0.51x MI7: $1.03 Million
Average: $815k
Pretty good day, for both the EA and Thursday previews. Comps are a bit all over the place but I would probably put the EA at around $750-850k. I believe I will be able to give a T-1 hour update tomorrow so I'll wait on a final prediction until then, but for now I will just say this is a promising update after a disappointing final week!
Minnesota Previews:
The Fall Guy (T-1 hour):
Day: T-1 hour Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 99 382 898 16881 5.32 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 569 209 63.36 MTC1: 429 129 47.77 Alamo: 67 29 7.46 Other chains: 402 224 44.7 Thursday Comps:
1.63x Monkey Man: $2.28 Million
1.3x Argylle: $2.23 Million (17 theaters)
0.23x MI7 (TUE): $1.63 Million (17 theaters)
0.28x Indy 5: $2.04 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $2.05 Million
I don't have as many T-1 hour comps so this looks worse than it actually was, all the comps would have gone up if I had them in my previous post. Thinking about these, my post yesterday, and the pace, I will go with a final prediction of: $2.3 Million Thursday (+/- 0.2), ~$750-850k EA). So maybe a reported total number around $3.1 Million
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7 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:
I highly recommend using the Fandango app once you've set your sheet up. I only use the site for getting the seat counts of new shows now and for shows with a ton of sales. So much easier to scroll through seating charts that way.I've also noticed that if you open a show in a new tab - don't go to the new tab until the seating chart loads. That's worked every time I start hitting the errors.
Hope this helps!
With bigger releases, I end up using the “inspect element” quite a bit and searching for keywords like “unavailable”, are you able to do that with the app at all?Regardless, really helpful advice, thank you
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9 minutes ago, Porthos said:
Also long time readers of my post might note that this took an insane length of time for so few showings. Roughly twice or twice-and-a-half long as it "should" have had, thanks to Fandango throwing up "Not Found" after "Not Found" after "Not found" error on me in what I have to presume is an anti-flood control measure.
It's been a loooooong time since Fandango has been this crabby for me and if I can't figure out a way to regularly bypass the flood control (usually I can get by it by making sure my requests aren't quite so rapid fire so I'll see if I can bypass triggering in the first place as it seems once it has flipped, Fandango gets Xtra Froggy on me) I'm either gonna have to severely cut back on my reporting (likely dropping Q&Ds altogether) or figure out how to get MTC3's corp site to "play nice" with tracking. MTC2 I can deal with, if have to grumble with its... eccentricities. My Local MiniMTC keeps changing its site, but I should be able to make that one "play nice". But, as always, MTC3 is a GIGANTIC PITA to deal with and I'd just as soon have a root canal than have to check it for 100+ showtimes every night.
Coz, gonna tell ya all, I ain't looking forward to the above sort of shit I just went through on a 250+ showtime track at T-0.
Fandango has been so damn annoying lately it’s real frustrating-
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Will only be able to post the numbers tonight but just in raw numbers the T-1 hour update for Fall Guy is looking pretty good!
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Wrong thread
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4 minutes ago, MysteryMovieMogul said:
Doesn't that just make the fact Fall Guy has less ticket sales but more screenings sound even worse?
Not really, because what was stated was that the comparison was in “comparable theaters” which I am assuming means like-for-like.
I think it would actually have the opposite effect. If on the Monday of its EA you wanted to watch Challengers in the twin cities metro, you had to go to the one theater showing it. If you wanted to watch Fall Guy tonight, you had over a dozen options. If I just compare the one theater, Challengers actually beat the fall guy there if I look at the T-1 hour updates; if I compared the metro area ticket sales, Fall Guy had triple the sales.
Anyway, more broadly, for these EA grosses, number of screenings is a much more important variable than it would be in a normal Thursday preview
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48 minutes ago, DAJK said:
Fall Guy did like half of Civil War in ticket sales for EA at comparable theaters in my area.
Lowering my prediction to 20-22M.
I do think Civil War EA was very limited in screenings though (in Minne, for example, only 1 of 25 theaters I track had EA, versus 19 for Fall Guy), so perhaps not the best comparison here
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On 4/30/2024 at 10:22 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Tarot (T-2):
Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 73 17 51 6613 0.77 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 25 3 49.02 Alamo: 5 5 9.8 Other chains: 21 9 41.18 Comps:
0.38x Abigail: $385k
0.76x First Oman: $550k
Immaculate: Missed
0.48x Imaginary: $345k
0.44x Last Voyage of Demeter: $320k
Average: $400k
Probably settle around $400-500k unless this has crazy last-minute growth
Minnesota Previews:
Tarot (T-1):
Day: T-1 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 75 50 101 6757 1.49 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 45 20 44.55 Alamo: 6 1 5.94 Other chains: 50 29 49.5 Comps:
0.53x Abigail: $535k
0.82x First Oman: $595k
0.925x Immaculate: $510k
0.7x Imaginary: $510k
0.57x Last Voyage of Demeter: $430k
Average: $515k
Also a really good jump, maybe indicative of good walk-ups. I'll go with a final prediction of $550k, +/-100
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On 4/30/2024 at 10:17 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Fall Guy (T-2):
Day: T-2, T-1 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 96 52 362 16676 2.17 Wednesday May 1 EA: 19 theaters 23 54 369 5129 7.19 TOTALS: 119 106 731 21805 3.35 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 269 36 74.31 MTC1: 248 34 68.51 Alamo: 29 5 8.01 Other chains: 85 13 23.48 Thursday Comps:
1.16x Monkey Man: $1.62 Million
0.58x Civil War: $1.68 Million
0.35x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $1.65 Million (17 theaters)
0.45x Madame Web (OD): $2.7 Million (17 theaters)
0.63x Wonka: $2.22 Million (17 theaters)
0.56x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $2.5 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $2.06 Million
EA Comps:
1.34x Challengers: $735k
1x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $605k
0.81x Mean Girls: $525k
0.48x MI7: $955k
Average: $705k
I will try to do a T-1 hour update for EA tomorrow but we shall see if that happens. EA maybe around $700-800k from my numbers, Thursday continues to look anemic.
Minnesota Previews:
The Fall Guy (T-1):
Day: T-1, T-1 hour Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 99 154 516 16881 3.06 Wednesday May 1 EA: 19 theaters 23 131 500 5129 9.75 TOTALS: 122 285 1016 22010 4.62 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 360 91 69.77 MTC1: 300 52 58.14 Alamo: 38 9 7.36 Other chains: 178 93 34.5 Thursday Comps:
1.27x Monkey Man: $1.78 Million
0.62x Civil War: $1.8 Million
0.43x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $2 Million (17 theaters)
0.45x Madame Web (OD): $2.72 Million (17 theaters)
0.72x Wonka: $2.53 Million (17 theaters)
0.62x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $2.8 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $2.27 Million
EA T-1 Hour Comps:
1.45x Challengers: $795k
0.45x Dune Part 2: $895k
0.85x Mean Girls: $550k
0.51x MI7: $1.03 Million
Average: $815k
Pretty good day, for both the EA and Thursday previews. Comps are a bit all over the place but I would probably put the EA at around $750-850k. I believe I will be able to give a T-1 hour update tomorrow so I'll wait on a final prediction until then, but for now I will just say this is a promising update after a disappointing final week!
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23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Tarot (T-3):
Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 22 theaters 62 8 34 5567 0.61 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 22 4 64.71 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 12 4 35.29 Comps:
0.33x Abigail: $330k
0.81x First Oman: $585k
0.67x Immaculate: $370k
0.44x Imaginary: $320k
0.51x Last Voyage of Demeter: $380k
Average: $395k
Minnesota Previews:
Tarot (T-2):
Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 73 17 51 6613 0.77 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 25 3 49.02 Alamo: 5 5 9.8 Other chains: 21 9 41.18 Comps:
0.38x Abigail: $385k
0.76x First Oman: $550k
Immaculate: Missed
0.48x Imaginary: $345k
0.44x Last Voyage of Demeter: $320k
Average: $400k
Probably settle around $400-500k unless this has crazy last-minute growth
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23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Fall Guy (T-3):
Day: T-3, T-2 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 85 55 310 14944 2.07 Wednesday May 1 EA: 19 theaters 23 29 315 5129 6.14 TOTALS: 108 84 625 20073 3.11 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 233 33 75.16 MTC1: 214 35 69.03 Alamo: 24 4 7.74 Other chains: 72 16 23.23 Thursday Comps:
1.11x Monkey Man: $1.55 Million
0.59x Civil War: $1.72 Million
0.4x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $1.88 Million (17 theaters)
Madame Web (OD): Missed
0.64x Wonka: $2.25 Million (17 theaters)
0.56x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $2.54 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $2 Million
EA Comps:
0.97x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $585k
0.82x Mean Girls: $530k
0.49x MI7: $975k
Average: $695k
Very unimpressive, especially the EA numbers. I would have expected them to start climbing up by now. Again, my comps are not the best and walk-ups are king for this, but without a catalyst like a buzzy review drop I can see this have a rough final week. At this point my prediction is we are in for a depressing weekend thread
Minnesota Previews:
The Fall Guy (T-2):
Day: T-2, T-1 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 96 52 362 16676 2.17 Wednesday May 1 EA: 19 theaters 23 54 369 5129 7.19 TOTALS: 119 106 731 21805 3.35 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 269 36 74.31 MTC1: 248 34 68.51 Alamo: 29 5 8.01 Other chains: 85 13 23.48 Thursday Comps:
1.16x Monkey Man: $1.62 Million
0.58x Civil War: $1.68 Million
0.35x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $1.65 Million (17 theaters)
0.45x Madame Web (OD): $2.7 Million (17 theaters)
0.63x Wonka: $2.22 Million (17 theaters)
0.56x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $2.5 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $2.06 Million
EA Comps:
1.34x Challengers: $735k
1x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $605k
0.81x Mean Girls: $525k
0.48x MI7: $955k
Average: $705k
I will try to do a T-1 hour update for EA tomorrow but we shall see if that happens. EA maybe around $700-800k from my numbers, Thursday continues to look anemic.
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Minnesota Previews:
IF (T-17, Day 1):
Day: T-17 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 23 theaters 67 9 9 11114 0.08 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 5 5 55.56 MTC1: 5 5 55.56 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 4 4 44.44 Day 1 Comps:
0.35x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.32 Million
0.19x Wonka: $670k
1.29x Wish: $2.31 Million
0.38x Trolls (w/ EA): $925k
Comps are obviously silly at this stage, just wanted to show that unsurprsingly not really a lot of interest from a get-go. We shall see how it does in these coming weeks
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On 4/28/2024 at 10:40 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Fall Guy (T-4):
Day: T-4, T-3 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 74 66 255 13546 1.88 Wednesday May 1 EA: 19 theaters 23 69 286 5129 5.58 TOTALS: 97 135 541 18675 2.9 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 200 48 78.43 MTC1: 179 52 70.2 Alamo: 20 2 7.84 Other chains: 56 12 21.96 Thursday Comps:
1.19x Monkey Man: $1.67 Million
0.58x Civil War: $1.68 Million
0.24x Godzilla v. King: $2.2 Million (17 theaters)
0.4x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $1.89 Million (17 theaters)
0.44x Madame Web (OD): $2.67 Million (17 theaters)
0.64x Wonka: $2.24 Million (17 theaters)
0.56x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $2.5 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $2.12 Million
EA Comps:
1.33x Challengers: $730k
0.29x Dune Part 2: $580k
0.48x MI7: $955k
Average: $755k
Finally decided to break this down and it obviously doesn't look great, but I wouldn't doom and gloom just yet, pace will be all messed up with the Wednesday EA
Tarot (T-4):
Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 21 theaters 55 14 26 5110 0.51 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 18 11 69.23 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 8 3 30.77 Comps:
0.33x Abigail: $330k
0.65x First Oman: $470k
0.43x Imaginary: $315k
0.45x Last Voyage of Demeter: $335k
Average: $360k
Not great
Minnesota Previews:
The Fall Guy (T-3):
Day: T-3, T-2 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 85 55 310 14944 2.07 Wednesday May 1 EA: 19 theaters 23 29 315 5129 6.14 TOTALS: 108 84 625 20073 3.11 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 233 33 75.16 MTC1: 214 35 69.03 Alamo: 24 4 7.74 Other chains: 72 16 23.23 Thursday Comps:
1.11x Monkey Man: $1.55 Million
0.59x Civil War: $1.72 Million
0.4x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $1.88 Million (17 theaters)
Madame Web (OD): Missed
0.64x Wonka: $2.25 Million (17 theaters)
0.56x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $2.54 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $2 Million
EA Comps:
0.97x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $585k
0.82x Mean Girls: $530k
0.49x MI7: $975k
Average: $695k
Very unimpressive, especially the EA numbers. I would have expected them to start climbing up by now. Again, my comps are not the best and walk-ups are king for this, but without a catalyst like a buzzy review drop I can see this have a rough final week. At this point my prediction is we are in for a depressing weekend thread
Tarot (T-3):
Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 22 theaters 62 8 34 5567 0.61 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 22 4 64.71 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 12 4 35.29 Comps:
0.33x Abigail: $330k
0.81x First Oman: $585k
0.67x Immaculate: $370k
0.44x Imaginary: $320k
0.51x Last Voyage of Demeter: $380k
Average: $395k
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On 4/25/2024 at 11:13 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-28):
Day: T-28, T-24 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 23 theaters 84 10 10 10661 0.09 Sunday May 19 EA: 8 theaters 8 93 93 842 11.05 TOTALS: 92 103 103 11503 0.9 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 0 0 0 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 10 10 100 Was super busy Day 1 of release so I wasn't able to get to this, but this seems like it'll be like Trolls where EA syphons off all the early sales, so I'll for sure keep them separate here.
Thursday Comps:*
0.15x Wonka: $520k
0.26x Wish: $460k
1.25x Trolls: $1.63 Million
*Very low sales will lead to big variance in these early days. Trolls is the most useful comp due to similar EA situations.
EA Comps:
0.6x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes EA: ??
0.91x Fall Guy EA: ??
0.16x Dune Part 2 EA: $325k
Again, Trolls EA will be the most useful here but the first comp for it will be at T-16.
Gotta love EA
Minnesota Previews:
The Garfield Movie (T-25):
Day: T-25, T-21 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 23 theaters 84 4 14 10661 0.13 Sunday May 19 EA: 9 theaters 9 37 130 954 13.63 TOTALS: 93 41 144 11615 1.24 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 4 4 28.57 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 10 0 71.43 Thursday Comps:*
0.3x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.13 Million
0.15x Wonka: $535k
0.29x Wish (TUE): $525k
1.75x Trolls: $2.28 Million
*Very low sales will lead to big variance in these early days. Trolls is the most useful comp due to similar EA situations.
EA Comps:
0.69x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes EA: ??
1.17x Fall Guy EA: ??
0.21x Dune Part 2 EA: $420k
Again, Trolls EA will be the most useful here but the first comp for it will be at T-16.
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On 4/25/2024 at 10:40 PM, abracadabra1998 said:
Minnesota Previews:
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-14):
Day: T-14, T-13 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 17 169 17196 0.98 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 36 228 5146 4.43 TOTALS: 121 53 397 22342 1.78 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 144 12 85.21 MTC1: 97 12 57.4 Alamo: 16 0 9.47 Other chains: 56 5 33.14 Comps (THU + EA combined):
1.4x The Fall Guy: ???
1.17x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $5.5 Million (17 theaters)
1.48x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $6.68 Million (17 theaters)
0.46x FNAF: $4.78 Million (17 theaters)
0.41x MI7: $3.69 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $5.16 Million
This has been doing pretty consistently well, good to see!
Minnesota Previews:
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-11):
Day: T-11, T-10 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 23 192 17196 1.12 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 39 267 5146 5.19 TOTALS: 121 62 459 22342 2.05 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 162 18 84.38 MTC1: 118 21 61.46 Alamo: 16 0 8.33 Other chains: 58 2 30.21 Comps (THU + EA combined):
1.44x The Fall Guy: ???
1.26x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $5.9 Million (17 theaters)
1.03x Hunger Games BoSS: $5.91 Million (17 theaters)
0.45x FNAF: $4.67 Million (17 theaters)
0.43x MI7: $3.84 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $5.08 Million
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Minnesota Previews:
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-2):
Comps (Thursday only):
2x The Fall Guy (THU): $4.71 Million
0.71x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $3.34 Million (17 theaters)
0.9x Madame Web (OD): $5.46 Million (17 theaters)
1.12x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $5.06 Million (17 theaters)
0.29x FNAF: $2.94 Million (17 theaters)
0.4x Indy 5: $2.84 Million (17 theaters)
0.4x MI7 (TUE): $2.81 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $3.88 Million
Comps (EA only):
1.6x Fall Guy EA: $1.28 Million
2.14x Challengers EA: $1.18 Million
1.61x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare EA: $965k
1.23x Mean Girls EA: $800k (17 theaters)
0.71x MI7 EA: $1.42 Million (17 theaters)
Average: $1.13 Million
I do not think I will be able to give a T-1 hour for the EA tomorrow, so I am planting my flag at around $1.25 Million. In terms of screenings it is very similar to Fall Guy; Ungentlemanly did not have PLF, so ATP was a lot lower, and Mean Girls had considerably less screenings.
Despite EA continuing to draw sales, Thursday actually keeps rising against comps. I would not be surprised to see the average end up over 4. Good stuff!