abracadabra1998

Minnesota Previews: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-2): Day: T-2, T-1 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 172 168 726 25982 2.79 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 80 591 5146 11.48 TOTALS: 195 248 1317 31128 4.23 Comps (Thursday only): 2x The Fall Guy (THU): $4.71 Million 0.71x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $3.34 Million (17 theaters) 0.9x Madame Web (OD): $5.46 Million (17 theaters) 1.12x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $5.06 Million (17 theaters) 0.29x FNAF: $2.94 Million (17 theaters) 0.4x Indy 5: $2.84 Million (17 theaters) 0.4x MI7 (TUE): $2.81 Million (17 theaters) Average: $3.88 Million Comps (EA only): 1.6x Fall Guy EA: $1.28 Million 2.14x Challengers EA: $1.18 Million 1.61x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare EA: $965k 1.23x Mean Girls EA: $800k (17 theaters) 0.71x MI7 EA: $1.42 Million (17 theaters) Average: $1.13 Million I do not think I will be able to give a T-1 hour for the EA tomorrow, so I am planting my flag at around $1.25 Million. In terms of screenings it is very similar to Fall Guy; Ungentlemanly did not have PLF, so ATP was a lot lower, and Mean Girls had considerably less screenings. Despite EA continuing to draw sales, Thursday actually keeps rising against comps. I would not be surprised to see the average end up over 4. Good stuff!

Minnesota Previews: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-3): Day: T-3, T-2 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 117 103 558 19588 2.85 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 57 511 5146 9.93 TOTALS: 140 160 1069 24734 4.32 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 413 84 74.01 MTC1: 292 45 52.33 Alamo: 26 6 4.66 Other chains: 240 52 43.01 Comps (Thursday only): 1.8x The Fall Guy (THU): $4.23 Million 0.72x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $3.4 Million (17 theaters) Madame Web: Missed 0.26x FNAF: $2.66 Million (17 theaters) 0.36x Indy 5: $2.61 Million (17 theaters) 0.36x MI7 (TUE): $2.54 Million (17 theaters) Average: $3.09 Million Comps (EA only): 1.62x Fall Guy EA: $1.3 Million 1.58x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare EA: $945k 1.28x Mean Girls EA: $830k (17 theaters) 0.76x MI7 EA: $1.52 Million (17 theaters) Average: $1.15 Million The average went down artificially because I didn't track GxK's last week and missed today's update for Madame Web, all comps actually went up except for Indy which stayed steady! I think Fall Guy is the best comp here because of the very similar EA situation

Minnesota Previews: The Garfield Movie (T-18): Day: T-18, T-14 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 93 11 33 12272 0.27 Sunday May 19 EA: 9 theaters 9 13 155 954 16.25 TOTALS: 102 24 188 13226 1.42 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 18 11 54.55 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 15 0 45.45 Feels silly to do Thursday comps with numbers this tiny so skipping that for now. EA Comps: 0.68x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-13 EA): ?? 1.08x Fall Guy (T-13 EA): $865k 0.23x Dune Part 2 EA: $450k 0.87x Trolls (T-13 EA): $1.02 Million

Minnesota Previews: IF (T-11): Day: T-11 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 72 17 56 11918 0.47 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 33 14 58.93 MTC1: 32 13 57.14 Alamo: 4 0 7.14 Other chains: 20 4 35.71 Comps: 0.33x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.25 Million (17 theaters) 0.19x Wonka: $650k (17 theaters) 0.32x Wish (TUE): $575k (17 theaters) 0.96x Trolls (THU): $1.24 Million (17 theaters) 0.26x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $815k (17 theaters) Average: $905k Rising against comps as expected, due to the short release window, but I am still failing to see anything that suggests the numbers given by some other outlets

Minnesota Previews: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-4): Day: T-4, T-3 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 166 455 17196 2.65 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 89 454 5146 8.82 TOTALS: 121 255 909 22342 4.07 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 329 99 72.31 MTC1: 247 84 54.29 Alamo: 20 0 4.4 Other chains: 188 82 41.32 Comps (Thursday only): 1.78x The Fall Guy (THU): $4.19 Million 0.43x Godzilla x Kong: $3.93 Million (17 theaters) 0.72x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $3.38 Million (17 theaters) 0.79x Madame Web: $4.77 Million (17 theaters) 0.25x FNAF: $2.6 Million (17 theaters) 0.36x Indy 5: $2.61 Million (17 theaters) 0.33x MI7 (TUE): $2.33 Million (17 theaters) Average: $3.4 Million Comps (EA only): 1.59x Fall Guy EA: $1.27 Million 2.11x Challengers T-4 EA: $1.16 Million 0.45x Dune Part 2 EA: $900k (17 theaters) 0.74x MI7 EA: $1.48 Million (17 theaters) Average: $1.2 Million Very good EA numbers at the moment, and I would think that with it drawing from Thursday previews that is also a good sign. I am bullish for this, pace keeps doing pretty well!

Ok I’ll flex this one just a little bit

Minnesota Previews: The Garfield Movie (T-21): Day: T-21, T-17 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 24 theaters 90 8 22 12044 0.18 Sunday May 19 EA: 9 theaters 9 12 142 954 14.88 TOTALS: 99 20 164 12998 1.26 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 7 3 31.82 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 15 5 68.18 Feels silly to do Thursday comps with numbers this tiny so skipping that for now. EA Comps: 0.74x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes EA: ?? 1.21x Fall Guy EA: ?? 0.22x Dune Part 2 EA: $440k 1.22x Trolls (T-16 EA): $1.42 Million Trolls had gone on sale a couple of days earlier so that will be going down as well

Minnesota Previews: IF (T-14): Day: T-14 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 72 30 39 11918 0.33 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 19 14 48.72 MTC1: 19 14 48.72 Alamo: 4 4 10.26 Other chains: 16 12 41.03 Comps: 0.3x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.13 Million (17 theaters) 0.16x Wonka: $565k (17 theaters) 0.26x Wish (TUE): $475k (17 theaters) 1.07x Trolls (THU): $1.39 Million (17 theaters) 0.19x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $600k (17 theaters) The release window for this is way shorter than all these comps so those numbers will naturally go up. Decent growth in the last three days

Minnesota Previews: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-7): Day: T-7, T-6 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 97 289 17196 1.68 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 98 365 5146 7.09 TOTALS: 121 195 654 22342 2.93 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 230 68 79.58 MTC1: 163 45 56.4 Alamo: 20 4 6.92 Other chains: 106 48 36.68 Comps (THU + EA combined): 1.61x The Fall Guy: ??? 1.42x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $6.67 Million (17 theaters) 0.86x Hunger Games BoSS: $4.95 Million (17 theaters) 0.5x FNAF: $5.13 Million (17 theaters) 0.83x Indy 5: $5.97 Million (12 theaters) 0.49x MI7: $4.4 Million (17 theaters) Average: $5.42 Million Keeps doing really well and rising against comps. I will split the EA and Thursday previews for this at T-4, on Sunday

Haha same, at this point I know most of the rooms and how many seats they have just by looking at the layout... but thanks for the info!

Minnesota Previews: The Fall Guy (T-1 hour): Day: T-1 hour Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 99 382 898 16881 5.32 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 569 209 63.36 MTC1: 429 129 47.77 Alamo: 67 29 7.46 Other chains: 402 224 44.7 Thursday Comps: 1.63x Monkey Man: $2.28 Million 1.3x Argylle: $2.23 Million (17 theaters) 0.23x MI7 (TUE): $1.63 Million (17 theaters) 0.28x Indy 5: $2.04 Million (17 theaters) Average: $2.05 Million I don't have as many T-1 hour comps so this looks worse than it actually was, all the comps would have gone up if I had them in my previous post. Thinking about these, my post yesterday, and the pace, I will go with a final prediction of: $2.3 Million Thursday (+/- 0.2), ~$750-850k EA). So maybe a reported total number around $3.1 Million

With bigger releases, I end up using the “inspect element” quite a bit and searching for keywords like “unavailable”, are you able to do that with the app at all? Regardless, really helpful advice, thank you

Fandango has been so damn annoying lately it’s real frustrating

Will only be able to post the numbers tonight but just in raw numbers the T-1 hour update for Fall Guy is looking pretty good!

Wrong thread

Not really, because what was stated was that the comparison was in “comparable theaters” which I am assuming means like-for-like. I think it would actually have the opposite effect. If on the Monday of its EA you wanted to watch Challengers in the twin cities metro, you had to go to the one theater showing it. If you wanted to watch Fall Guy tonight, you had over a dozen options. If I just compare the one theater, Challengers actually beat the fall guy there if I look at the T-1 hour updates; if I compared the metro area ticket sales, Fall Guy had triple the sales. Anyway, more broadly, for these EA grosses, number of screenings is a much more important variable than it would be in a normal Thursday preview

I do think Civil War EA was very limited in screenings though (in Minne, for example, only 1 of 25 theaters I track had EA, versus 19 for Fall Guy), so perhaps not the best comparison here

Minnesota Previews: Tarot (T-1): Day: T-1 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 75 50 101 6757 1.49 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 45 20 44.55 Alamo: 6 1 5.94 Other chains: 50 29 49.5 Comps: 0.53x Abigail: $535k 0.82x First Oman: $595k 0.925x Immaculate: $510k 0.7x Imaginary: $510k 0.57x Last Voyage of Demeter: $430k Average: $515k Also a really good jump, maybe indicative of good walk-ups. I'll go with a final prediction of $550k, +/-100

Minnesota Previews: The Fall Guy (T-1): Day: T-1, T-1 hour Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 99 154 516 16881 3.06 Wednesday May 1 EA: 19 theaters 23 131 500 5129 9.75 TOTALS: 122 285 1016 22010 4.62 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 360 91 69.77 MTC1: 300 52 58.14 Alamo: 38 9 7.36 Other chains: 178 93 34.5 Thursday Comps: 1.27x Monkey Man: $1.78 Million 0.62x Civil War: $1.8 Million 0.43x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $2 Million (17 theaters) 0.45x Madame Web (OD): $2.72 Million (17 theaters) 0.72x Wonka: $2.53 Million (17 theaters) 0.62x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $2.8 Million (17 theaters) Average: $2.27 Million EA T-1 Hour Comps: 1.45x Challengers: $795k 0.45x Dune Part 2: $895k 0.85x Mean Girls: $550k 0.51x MI7: $1.03 Million Average: $815k Pretty good day, for both the EA and Thursday previews. Comps are a bit all over the place but I would probably put the EA at around $750-850k. I believe I will be able to give a T-1 hour update tomorrow so I'll wait on a final prediction until then, but for now I will just say this is a promising update after a disappointing final week!

Minnesota Previews: Tarot (T-2): Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 25 theaters 73 17 51 6613 0.77 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 25 3 49.02 Alamo: 5 5 9.8 Other chains: 21 9 41.18 Comps: 0.38x Abigail: $385k 0.76x First Oman: $550k Immaculate: Missed 0.48x Imaginary: $345k 0.44x Last Voyage of Demeter: $320k Average: $400k Probably settle around $400-500k unless this has crazy last-minute growth

Minnesota Previews: The Fall Guy (T-2): Day: T-2, T-1 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 96 52 362 16676 2.17 Wednesday May 1 EA: 19 theaters 23 54 369 5129 7.19 TOTALS: 119 106 731 21805 3.35 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 269 36 74.31 MTC1: 248 34 68.51 Alamo: 29 5 8.01 Other chains: 85 13 23.48 Thursday Comps: 1.16x Monkey Man: $1.62 Million 0.58x Civil War: $1.68 Million 0.35x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $1.65 Million (17 theaters) 0.45x Madame Web (OD): $2.7 Million (17 theaters) 0.63x Wonka: $2.22 Million (17 theaters) 0.56x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $2.5 Million (17 theaters) Average: $2.06 Million EA Comps: 1.34x Challengers: $735k 1x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $605k 0.81x Mean Girls: $525k 0.48x MI7: $955k Average: $705k I will try to do a T-1 hour update for EA tomorrow but we shall see if that happens. EA maybe around $700-800k from my numbers, Thursday continues to look anemic.

Minnesota Previews: IF (T-17, Day 1): Day: T-17 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 23 theaters 67 9 9 11114 0.08 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 5 5 55.56 MTC1: 5 5 55.56 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 4 4 44.44 Day 1 Comps: 0.35x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.32 Million 0.19x Wonka: $670k 1.29x Wish: $2.31 Million 0.38x Trolls (w/ EA): $925k Comps are obviously silly at this stage, just wanted to show that unsurprsingly not really a lot of interest from a get-go. We shall see how it does in these coming weeks

Minnesota Previews: The Fall Guy (T-3): Day: T-3, T-2 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 85 55 310 14944 2.07 Wednesday May 1 EA: 19 theaters 23 29 315 5129 6.14 TOTALS: 108 84 625 20073 3.11 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 233 33 75.16 MTC1: 214 35 69.03 Alamo: 24 4 7.74 Other chains: 72 16 23.23 Thursday Comps: 1.11x Monkey Man: $1.55 Million 0.59x Civil War: $1.72 Million 0.4x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $1.88 Million (17 theaters) Madame Web (OD): Missed 0.64x Wonka: $2.25 Million (17 theaters) 0.56x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $2.54 Million (17 theaters) Average: $2 Million EA Comps: 0.97x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $585k 0.82x Mean Girls: $530k 0.49x MI7: $975k Average: $695k Very unimpressive, especially the EA numbers. I would have expected them to start climbing up by now. Again, my comps are not the best and walk-ups are king for this, but without a catalyst like a buzzy review drop I can see this have a rough final week. At this point my prediction is we are in for a depressing weekend thread Tarot (T-3): Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 22 theaters 62 8 34 5567 0.61 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 22 4 64.71 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 12 4 35.29 Comps: 0.33x Abigail: $330k 0.81x First Oman: $585k 0.67x Immaculate: $370k 0.44x Imaginary: $320k 0.51x Last Voyage of Demeter: $380k Average: $395k

Minnesota Previews: The Garfield Movie (T-25): Day: T-25, T-21 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 23 theaters 84 4 14 10661 0.13 Sunday May 19 EA: 9 theaters 9 37 130 954 13.63 TOTALS: 93 41 144 11615 1.24 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 4 4 28.57 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 10 0 71.43 Thursday Comps:* 0.3x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.13 Million 0.15x Wonka: $535k 0.29x Wish (TUE): $525k 1.75x Trolls: $2.28 Million *Very low sales will lead to big variance in these early days. Trolls is the most useful comp due to similar EA situations. EA Comps: 0.69x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes EA: ?? 1.17x Fall Guy EA: ?? 0.21x Dune Part 2 EA: $420k Again, Trolls EA will be the most useful here but the first comp for it will be at T-16.

Minnesota Previews: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-11): Day: T-11, T-10 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 23 192 17196 1.12 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 39 267 5146 5.19 TOTALS: 121 62 459 22342 2.05 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 162 18 84.38 MTC1: 118 21 61.46 Alamo: 16 0 8.33 Other chains: 58 2 30.21 Comps (THU + EA combined): 1.44x The Fall Guy: ??? 1.26x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $5.9 Million (17 theaters) 1.03x Hunger Games BoSS: $5.91 Million (17 theaters) 0.45x FNAF: $4.67 Million (17 theaters) 0.43x MI7: $3.84 Million (17 theaters) Average: $5.08 Million