Jump to content

justnumbers

Free Account
  • Posts

    73
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by justnumbers

  1. 2 hours ago, YM! said:

    In fairness it's only been an hour but yeah sales are softer than I expected. However, it is a month out and will largely skew more towards kids than say TLM/Across so wasn't expecting a blitz like them

    Well not because of that. I haven't seen anything yet and it's still very early but some comments here seem wayy too bullish. This is still a Animated movie and we don't know if it's going to behave like a normal one or not during pre-sales.

    • Like 1
  2. 4 hours ago, elinio said:

    Also in 2025 there will be:

    -A complete unknown (Bob Dylan Biopic with Chalamet), currently filming

    -Formula One movie with Brad pitt (Apple film with theatrical release), currently filming

    -Now you see me 3 (the first $351m WW, the second $334m WW), filming will begin in july

    -scream 7

     

    Also:

     

    - Final Destination

    - Mortal Kombat

    - The Conjuring 4 

    - New "Scary Movie"

    • Like 1
  3. OK that CinemaScore is surprising. I feel like I've been only hearing positive buzz and word of mouth and my 2 casual friends last night also really liked it. I loved it to.

     

    It's going to be very interesting to see if legs will reflect this CinemaScore. 

    According to the Numbers, Rise did 3.23 from its OW, Dawn did 2.87 and War did 2.61 its OW.

  4. 4 minutes ago, AniNate said:

    The strike is the main culprit for the last weekend, I would say, but yes, Q1 never looked all that impressive. Spiderverse 3 likely wasn't gonna be ready regardless and Elio was surely offset by the Dune delay. 

     

    I do suspect there was a certain bet hedging by studios regarding the schedule though, since they probably knew strikes were coming. Q1 next year does look a lot healthier

    Yes there definitely was quite a bit of bet hedging and specially April and February and January suffered the most.

     

    Studios filled them with small movies with no promotion and stinkers and tried to make them bigger by the default of lack of product, like Argylle and Madame Web.

    ,

  5. 8 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

     

    This is what AI has to say:

     

    Historical Precedence: For decades, Hollywood has designated the first weekend in May as the launch pad for the season’s first potential blockbuster. This tradition has been established to capitalize on the anticipation for summer entertainment.

     

    Financial Strategy: Releasing big-budget films in May allows studios to take advantage of the long Memorial Day weekend, which marks the unofficial start of summer for many. This period is often associated with increased leisure time and higher audience turnout.

     

    Extended Playtime: Starting the season in May gives movies a longer run time in theaters throughout the summer, maximizing their earning potential before the fall when the frequency of movie-going typically decreases.

     

    School Vacations: The timing coincides with school vacations, making it an ideal period for family outings and for young audiences to frequent cinemas.

     

    Weather: The warmer weather encourages people to seek indoor activities like going to the movies, especially in air-conditioned theaters, to escape the heat.

     

    Industry Trends: Over time, some studios have started releasing their big titles even earlier, at the end of April, to get a jump on the competition and extend the profitable summer season.

    That's a good AI.

     

    Well. Obviously audiences came because of the big Marvel movie. 

     

    And SPECIALLY in today's reality won't be any different.

     

    The Flop Guy fell. We speak your name.

  6. Also. I have some questions about this "Summer Season Start" on the 1st week of May.

     

    Why is this? Who says it? What it means? 

    Is it Hollywood? The Business?

     

    I don't think 1st weekend of May means anything to audiences. It's not their summer start. It just happens that there's always a big Marvel movie opening this week and that's why audiences rushed out. It's only a big weekend historically because there's a true event movie opening every year. 

     

    It doesn't mean anything for audiences regarding a Summer Season start. I think the Summer Season start for audiences is the Memorial Day Weekend or at best the weekend before.

     

    This fictional 1st weekend of May as a big weekend for audiences doesn't exist. It's just a Hollywood insider thing so you're just not going to force a movie like The Fall Guy into starting a early summer season being another action movie. It's just a mid sized movie (with a overblown budget) coming out in a calendar lacking big movies and no momentum.

    • Haha 1
  7. We needed a big movie on the weekend after Civil War. The Fall Guy should've opened on the Kung Fu Panda weekend other or the weekend after with Arthur the King or on the 1st weekend of April instead of Monkey Man. We'll never know now but I think it clears 30M on any of those dates which is what these mid sized movies open too, be it 80M or 180M Budget. You can give 400M budget to this movie. It's a movie that opens on the 30s. 

×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.