justnumbers

Revenue just a bit under expectations, lack of theatrical numbers and linear networks saw a 22% drop in operating income. Time to sell these to private equity.

Yes there definitely was quite a bit of bet hedging and specially April and February and January suffered the most. Studios filled them with small movies with no promotion and stinkers and tried to make them bigger by the default of lack of product, like Argylle and Madame Web. ,

I'm already dreading to see the PG13 trailer of Deadpool 3 in front of this.

Don't worry guys. The stuntman walk-ups will kick in its 2nd weekend. The tennis walk-ups are already kicking in with Challengers.

I just realized The Fell Guy is just as expensive as Godzilla X Kong 💀

That's a good AI. Well. Obviously audiences came because of the big Marvel movie. And SPECIALLY in today's reality won't be any different. The Flop Guy fell. We speak your name.

Also. I have some questions about this "Summer Season Start" on the 1st week of May. Why is this? Who says it? What it means? Is it Hollywood? The Business? I don't think 1st weekend of May means anything to audiences. It's not their summer start. It just happens that there's always a big Marvel movie opening this week and that's why audiences rushed out. It's only a big weekend historically because there's a true event movie opening every year. It doesn't mean anything for audiences regarding a Summer Season start. I think the Summer Season start for audiences is the Memorial Day Weekend or at best the weekend before. This fictional 1st weekend of May as a big weekend for audiences doesn't exist. It's just a Hollywood insider thing so you're just not going to force a movie like The Fall Guy into starting a early summer season being another action movie. It's just a mid sized movie (with a overblown budget) coming out in a calendar lacking big movies and no momentum.

We needed a big movie on the weekend after Civil War. The Fall Guy should've opened on the Kung Fu Panda weekend other or the weekend after with Arthur the King or on the 1st weekend of April instead of Monkey Man. We'll never know now but I think it clears 30M on any of those dates which is what these mid sized movies open too, be it 80M or 180M Budget. You can give 400M budget to this movie. It's a movie that opens on the 30s.

I mean...Ghostbusters has been holding pretty well since the 2nd weekend drop.

OK. 3.15M. I can get behind that. Fingers crossed. 30M or bust.

I'm actually expecting an increase in Mission Impossible 8. 650M-750M

Fast XI is so getting delayed to later in the year. Maybe August or October.

I'm interested to see the animation in Dog Man. I know the superhero genre is not the same anymore but I have a very good feeling about Superman. I'm very high on it. Gunn just never fails to disappoint me and I think Superman will be such a classic summer tentpole with a classic Superman story.

Dude. Bomb away for a few days. You might need a break. Box Office is for the strong of heart. Like soccer.

Well we're not going to be making up budgets either. That's nonsense. We'll use what we have. Only thing we can play the assumption game is marketing

Oh wow. How bold. Specially since those are the only predictions you have.

Rumor is that Tarot is kicking somethings ass. Insiders don't know what it is, if it exists or if it is a trick of the mind. But sources closer to the event say it is " I Saw the TV Glow". Worthy opponents.

People thinking this year will catch up to 2023 should just stop already. Not gonna happen. Just hope we end only 1B or less behind. Nothing about this year makes sense to see it go there.

The delusional doom and gloom here is just hilarious throughout this April. Going to certainly be funny to look back in 1 year from now when theaters will be running as usual (even it there needs to be some screens adjustment before or after), schedule will be normal and stronger and coming off of a strong 2nd half of 2024. The lack of actually thinking before posting here goes crazy here.

I have a feeling that from May on the schedule picks up, big movies at least every 2 weeks (3 at most) and the momentum picks up and holds from then on. I may just be a optimistic but starting in May, I actually feel good about the schedule. Even if The Fall Guy isn't the breakout people wanted it to be. We'll just have to wait and see. And hope there isn't other strikes or industry crippling events at least for the next 4 years.

I think it's clear you just can't force these movies into being more than they are, specially in this post covid and streaming takeover world. That's why we need a big movie every other weekend and these are the B openers that open on a big movie 2nd weekend or 3rd weekend. Obviously we live in a April screwed by the strikes and Studios only decided to save it for March since it's one of the years strongest months historically. We're only about to have an actual schedule with consistency starting in May. I don't think Amazon should ever regret this. If this movie was dumped on Amazon, it would be maybe talked about for 1 week and then forever forgotten. Now they have this extremely talked about movie that will make its money in theaters, will have RELEVANCE stamped on and be a much higher profile project once it goes to PVOD and streaming. It's going to sustain months of conversation. 15M is good for a movie like this and maybe legs out to 35M-40M and whatever it makes Overseas and will go to its next windows with a high-profile and will perform better than it would ever perform, since it is also the kind of movie people wait to watch at home today on a bigger scale.

Still don't understand why these 2 are coming out so close. I don't wanna hear when The Wild Robot flops or even both. Just idiotic.

I still don't understand who's distributing these movies. Is it Lionsgate or Roadside?

Yeah Avatar 2 is just some of the biggest nonsense. It's extremely difficult to follow up such a zeitgeist type of movie and we're talking one of the biggest there is. Avatar 2 wasn't THE perfect run but disappointing? I don't even wanna hear such dilusion.

Hoping for 20M for Challengers and 40M for The Fall Guy. I could live with a 30s opening but I think 40M would really be the definitive win.