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A Marvel Fanboy

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Everything posted by A Marvel Fanboy

  1. this time, it is much worse than SARS. already out of control https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.20018549v1
  2. donot trust the reported cases. A whole province (50m+ people) would not be locked down if there were only a few hundred cases. 90%+ cases are not hospitaled because there are not enough medical resource.
  3. Box office is just a tiny small meaningless thing now. A whole metropolis can be locked down. No one is allowed to escape from Wuhan. All trains, buses, airlines, subways, highways, locked down. 2020 GDP probably will be decreasing for four decades. (2019 real GDP estimatedly increased 3% from 2018)
  4. Wuhan, a city of 11 million residents, has been sealed. All CNY movies are cancelling release. CNY box office 2020 = 0
  5. at this point, the best case scenario: overall box office down 30%, the wost case scenario: all theaters across the country close
  6. number is real. PS are barely increasing because of the virus. PS for the other movies (except DC3) are not moving. I think it is possible that some movies cancell release if things get worse.
  7. I am not sure whether this is the right move either. so bold, unprecedentsl a move. CNY eve is indeed more of a family/home celebration day/eve. These movies are just too scaried of DC3. They are probably behaving out of mind due to panic.
  8. Interesting that we probably do not know which December movie will score the most daily #1s until Jan 24th ... So far, Adoring has 11 #1s, IPM4 has 5, Sheep 8
  9. It has great hype due to Ne Zha but final box office comes down to WOM. Really hard to predict which one will be CNY champion.
  10. Chinese are not crazy over the first Top Gun movie at all. To them, it is just another "HLWblockbuster". Shang Chi has no chance at 3B.
  11. 2020, local movies are weak, but imports are weaker. local share will set new records.
  12. Not to forget Angel has truely FALLEN with sub 100m yuan total ... what a bomb
  13. It is very average. But if you want to watch a recent Chinese movie, Ne Zha or IPMAN4 probably is the best choice. The other local hits are either too poorly-made or too dull.
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