TylerDurden365
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Posts posted by TylerDurden365
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SOTM 8
Monsters University - 200 million - Yes
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Ugh, misread the thread title on SOTM 7 and thought I had until 10 PM tonight PST. Oh well, just have to keep soldiering on I suppose.
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1) Will the first place film make at least 10 mill more than the second place film? Yes
2) Will MU open to more than 65 mill? Yes
3) Will WWZ open to less than 50 mill? Yes
4) Will MOS drop less than 55%? No
5) Will MOS's Saturday drop less than 45% from last Saturday? Yes
6) Will WWZ make more than 2 mill at midnights/sneaks? No
7) Will any film in the top 12 besides Bling Ring have a Friday increase of more than 105%? No
8) Will Bling Ring make more than 3.5 mill No
9) Will MU fall less than 5% on Sat? No
10) Will WWZ drop more than 25% Sunday? Yes
11) Will NYSM fall less than 38% No
12) Will TITE have a Friday increase of more than 65%? No
13) Will WWZ and MU combine to make more than 100 mill? Yes
14) What film finishes in first? Monsters University
12/14 4000
13/14 5000
14/14 7000
What finishes in spots
2 Man of Steel
3 World War Z
7 The Purge
8 The Internship
9 Star Trek Into Darkness
2000 each
3000 bonus if all correct
Bonus 2: Whats the combine gross of MOS and TITE 4000 62.355
Bonus 3: What % does MOS drop? 3 decimal spots plz. 4000 56.365
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Option B:
Man of Steel - 360 million
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SOTM 6
1) Will MOS make more than 7.5 mill at midnight? Yes
2) Will MOS make more than 42 mill OD? Yes
3) Will MOS make more than 47.5 mill OD? Abstain
4) Will MOS make more than 98.5 mill OW? Yes
5) Will MOS make more than 110 mill OW? Yes -
1) Will MOS have one of the top 3 opening days for June of all time? 5000 Yes
2) Will MOS make at least 5 mill from early/midnights? 3000 Yes
3) Will MOS make less than 45 mill OD? 3000 No
4) Will MOS make more than 15 mill OW in UK? 2000 Yes
5) Will MOS have a WW opening of more than 175 mill? 2000 Yes
6) Will MOS make more than 90 mill OW? 2000 Yes
7) Will MOS have a Saturday drop? 2000 Yes
8) Will MOS make more than 100 mill OW? 5000 Yes
9) Will MOS make more than 10 mill at IMAX domestically? Yes
10) Will MOS have a per theater average of more than $25,000? Yes
11) Will MOS have a cinemascore of at least A? Yes
12) Will MOS make at least 26.1 mill on Sunday? Yes
13) Will MOS make at least 30 mill on Sunday? Yes
14) Will MOS drop less than 25.5% on Sunday? No
15) Will MOS make at least 90 mill more than IM3 and After Earth combined? Yes
16) Will MOS make more than 120 mill OW? 2000 Yes
17) Will This is the End make more than 3.5 mill for sneaks? 2000 Yes
18) Will TITE make more than 10 mill OD? 2000 No
19) Will TITE drop more than 32.2% on Thurs? 2000 No
20) Will TITE have a 5 day of more than 40 mill? 2000 Yes
21) Will TITE have a Friday increase of more than 75% Yes
22) Will TITE's 5 day be at least half of MOS's 3 day? No
23) Will the top 10 films combine to make more than 170 million? Yes
24) Will The Purge drop less than 62.5%? No
25) Will The Purge finish top three? No
26) Will The Purge finish with at least half of TITE's 3 day? No
27) Will The Internship drop more than 45%? Yes
28) Will Nikki's first Friday report come out before 1pm PST time (just go to deadline and see when she posts her tentpoles)? Yes
29) Will Nikki's first posting about MOS contain the phrase "NOT A RECORD" or mention anything that resembles MOS not setting any kind of record? No
30) Will Nikki's first "projection" about MOS be higher than the number reported with official Friday estimates? 3000 No
31) On the first three days, will BKB post anywhere at anytime about how the film is not meeting expectations from a box office standpoint? Yes
32) Will the Weekend Numbers thread (this starts with Thurs midnights and goes until Sunday estimates) reach 250 pages by 9AM on Monday? Yes
33) Will NYSM drop less than 40%? Yes
34) Will any film in the top 10 drop less than 15% on Wednesday? Yes
35) Will any film in the top 12 (besides Before Midnight) drop less than 35%? No
36) Will Before Midnight make more than 2.5M? Yes
37) Will IM3 drop less than 50%? No
38) Will AE, TH3 and TGG all drop more than 50%? Yes
39) Will The Internship jump more than 30% on Saturday? Yes
40) Will The STID jump at least 60% on Friday? Yes
35/40 5000
36/40 8000
37/40 10,000
38/40 12,000
39/40 15,000
40/40 25,000
Bonus 1: What will MOS's weekend gross be? 5000 121.568
Bonus 2: What will TITE's weekend gross be (3Day)? 5000 36.254
Bonus 3: What will TITE's 5 day be? 5000 51.895
Bonus 4: What will AE, TH3 and Mud's combined weekend gross be? 5000 8.536
Bonus 5: What finishes in spots:
6 The Internship
8 Star Trek Into Darkness
10 The Hangover Part III
11 Before Midnight
13 Mud
2000 each and a bonus of 5000 if all correct
Bonus 6: On Wednesday, what finishes in spots:
3 The Purge
4 Fast & Furious 6
6 Epic
2000 each one correct and a bonus of 3000 if all three correct. -
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1) What film finishes number 1? The Purge
2) Will FF6 finish in one of the top 3 spots? Yes
3) Will After Earth fall less than The Happening did in it's second weekend? Yes
4) Will any film in the top 12 have a Friday increase of more than 83.5%? No
5) Will any film in the top 12 have a Saturday increase of more 51.6%? No
6) Will The Purge open to more than 20 mill? Yes
7) Will The Internship open to more than 20 mill? No
8) Will NYSM fall less 39.4%? No
9) Will The East increase more than 200%? Yes
10) Will FF6 have a Saturday increase of more than 43.2%? No
11) Will IM3 drop less than 40%? No
12) Will STID increase more than 65% on Friday Yes
13) Will The Hangover 3 make more than 50 mill internationally? Yes
14) Will The Internship have a better Sunday decrease than The Purge? Yes
15) Will TGG stay in the top 10? Yes
12/15 3000
13/15 4000
14/15 5000
15/15 8000
What finishes in spots:
1 The Purge
2 Fast & Furious 6
3 Now You See Me
12 Mud
15 42
2000 each spot correct
5000 bonus if all 5 correct
Bonus 2: What will the cume be for the top three films? 4000 59.785
Bonus 3: What will Epic, The Croods and Oz gross combined for the weekend? 4000 10.766
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I swear to Jebus if I manage to miss both SOTM 2 and lose points on the top 15 because Iron Man 3 lands between 400.1 and 403.7 I will...well, I'll be really upset. Really upset.
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1) What film will finish #1? Fast and Furious 6
2) Will After Earth finish with at least 10 mill more than NYSM? Yes
3) Will TH3 drop more than 50%? Yes
4) Will Epic increase more than 50% on Saturday? No
5) Will ST finish higher than TH3? Yes
6) Will NYSM make more than 10 mill OD? No
7) Will TGG drop more than 45%? No
8) Will The East have a theater average of more than $5000? Yes
9) Will F6 drop less than 50%? No
10) Will F6 increase more than 25% on Saturday? Yes
11) Will After Earth have an increase on Saturday of more than 10%? No
12) Will Fast 6 make more that ST, TH and Epic combined? No
10/12 3000
11/12 4000
12/12 5000
Bonus 1: What will Fast 6 gross on Friday? 4000 11.855
Bonus 2: What will the top 3 films gross? 4000 88.495
Bonus 3: What will finish in positions:
2 After Earth
5 The Hangover Part III
9 Mud
13 Oz The Great and Powerful
2000 each and a bonus of 3000 if all correct.
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Fast and Furious movies are incredibly easy to predict how they will perform. They're like Twilight or Potter at this point. There's an audience that will show up on the opening weekend, the opening day will be front loaded, and the legs will be mediocre to terrible even if the movie is well received (Fast Five). There's nothing wrong with any of that. It doesn't make the franchise any less interesting to follow or more commendable for its success. It just means that it is what it is. Now Hangover 3 on the other hand...woof.
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1) Will Hangover do more than 7 million at midnights/early? No
2) Will Hangover do more than 25 mill OD? No
3) Will Hangover have at least 3 days over 20 mill? No
4) Will Hangover's 4 day (FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY) be more than STID's OW 4 day(including all money earned on Wed)? No
5) Will Hangover make more for its 4 (FRIDAY-MONDAY)day than Fast 6 does for its 3 day (FRIDAY-SUNDAY)? No
6) Will Hangover have a world wide weekend of more than (FRI-SUN)120 mill? Yes
7) Will Fast 6 make more than 5 mill for midnights/early? Yes
8) Will Fast 6 make more than 35 mill OD? Yes
9) Will Fast 6 make more than 175 mill WW for this weekend(FRI THROUGH SUNDAY)? Yes
10) Will Fast 6 make more than 96 mill OW (FRI-MONDAY)? Yes
11) Will Fast 6 drop more than 15% on Saturday? No
12) Will Star Trek drop more than 47.5% for the weekend(fRI-SUN)? No
13) Will Star Trek make more than IM3 and Gatsby combined (4 DAY)? Yes
14) Will Gatsby have a better Saturday increase than STID? Yes
15) Will Epic make more than 28 mill OW (4 DAY)? Yes
16) Will the three openers do more than 225 mill (including the 4 day for Hangover) (NOT INCLUDING MONDAY)? No
17) Will Before Midnight have a theater average of more than $6500 (FRI-MON)? Yes
18) Will Epic increase more than 45% on Saturday? Yes
19) Will Epic finish in 3rd spot? No
20) Will any of Hangover's best 3 days, plus Epic's weekend (FRI-SUN)gross add up to more than Fast 6's 3 day? No
16/20 3000
17/20 5000
18/20 7000
19/20 9000
20/20 12000
What finishes in spots
5 The Great Gatsby
7 The Croods
9 Mud
12 Peeples
2000 each 5000 bonus for all 4 correct
Bonus 1: what will STID gross for the weekend? 4000 40.235
Bonus 2: What will Fast 6 gross on Saturday? 4000 30.556
Bonus 3: What will IM3 increase by on Saturday (%)...3 decimal points please. 4000 62.355
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1) Will Star Trek have more than a 7 mill midnight/sneak? No
2) Will Star Trek open to more than 30 mill OD? No
3) Will Star Trek have a drop of more than 10% on Friday? No
4) Will ST increase by more than 10% on Saturday? Yes
5) Will IM3 increase by more than 160% on Friday? No
6) Will IM3 and Gatsby's weekend gross be more than Star Trek's best two combined days total in its 4 day release? No
7) Will Gatsby fall less than 50%? Yes
8) Will Pain and Gain remain in the top 5? Yes
9) Will Star Trek make more than 105 mill for the 4 day? Yes
10) Will Star Trek have a world wide weekend gross of more than 200 million? Yes
11) Will Star Trek make more than 90 mill in its first three days? Yes
12) Will Peeples fall less than 50%? No
13) Will Erased make more than $100,000? No
14) Will Star Trek's 4 day make at least 104.9 Mill more than Erased's 3 day? Yes
15) Will Star Trek make more than 4 mill opening weekend in Russia? Yes
12/15 3000
13/15 4000
14/15 6000
15/15 9000
What finishes in spots:
7 Oblivion
9 Mud
10 The Big Wedding
11 Oz
12 Place Beyond the Pines
15 Scary Movie 5
2000 each
5 correct bonus of 3000
6 correct bonus of 5000
Bonus 1: What will Star Trek gross for the 4 day 4000 116.556
Bonus 2: What will Star Trek gross for the 3 day 4000 92.355
Bonus 3: What will IM3 gross? 4000 36.455
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SOTM 2:
Spider-Man
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1) Will Gatsby open to more than 35 mill? Yes
2) Will Gatsby open to more than 40.5 mill? Yes
3) Will Tyler Perry open to more than 20 mill? No
4) Will IM3 drop less than 55%? No
5) Will IM3 have a Friday increase of more than 130%? Yes
6) Will Tyler Perry drop by more than 7% on Saturday? Yes
7) Will Tyler Perry have one of the three best theater averages in the top 15? Yes
8) Will IM3 make more than than the next three films combine (slots 2-4) Yes
9) Will Gatsby's weekend gross be more than IM3's Friday and Sunday gross? Yes
10) Will Mud drop less than 30% Yes
11) Will Pain and Gain drop more than 47%? No
12) Will Oz stay in the top 10? Yes
10/12 3000
11/12 4000
12/12 5000
What finishes in spots
4 Pain and Gain
5 42
9 The Big Wedding
13 GI Joe
2000 each 3000 bonus for all four correct
Bonus 1: What will the top 10 cume be? 4000 146.455
Bonus 2: What will IM3 gross this weekend? 4000 71.655
Bonus 3: What will IM3's WW total be after Sunday's estimates (not actuals, estimates) 4000 956.255
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Hey, it could be worse with these movies moving up to Thursday. We could have gotten GI Joe'd again. That made last year's game all kinds of wonky.
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Merely a personal observation for the medium sized college town I live in, but the evening sell outs are starting to pile up. Mostly 2D, but that's spilling over into IMAX and 3D as well. I wouldn't be shocked to see that 65 number move up to the range of 68-70 (hoping, of course, it stays below 71 for Summer Game purposes). I'm heading to the 10:30 show soon, hoping to come back to some bigger numbers and more banter.
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It's just nice to see the summer season in proper swing with a thread that's all over the place. As a lurker (for the most part), I appreciate the entertainment these things provide.
As for numbers, I said 160 for the game, and I'd say the numbers so far are good. The thought that this was going to hit TDKR level numbers when Iron Man has never been the series that Batman was from a BO perspective seemed a little crazy to me, even with a bump from Avengers.
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1) Will The IM3 make more than 62 mill OD? 5000 Yes
2) Will IM3 make less than 55 mill OD? 3000 No
3) Will IM3 make more than 71.167 M OD mill OD? 3000 No
4) Will IM3 make more than 15 mill OW in Russia? 2000 Yes
5) Will IM3 make more than 8 mill OW in Germany? 2000 Yes
6) Will IM3 make more than 1 mill OW in Poland? 2000 Yes
7) Will IM3 have a Saturday drop of more than 15%? Yes
8) Will IM3 make more than 16 mill at midnight/thurs? No
9) Will IM3 make more than 12.5 mill at IMAX domestically? Yes
10) Will IM3 have a per theater average of more than $37,200?
11) Will IM3 have a cinemascore of A or better? Yes
12) Will IM3 fall less than 33% on Sunday? Yes
13) Will IM3 make at least 140 mill more than positions 2 and 3 combined? Yes
14) Will IM3 make more than 145 mill OW? 2000 Yes
15) Will IM3 make more than 155 OW? 2000 Yes
16) Will IM3 make more than 165 mill OW? 2000 No
17) Will IM3 have a world wide weekend of more than 300 mill? Yes
18) Will the top 10 films combine to make more than 205 million? No
19 Will Pain and Gain drop less than 55.5%? Yes
20) Will Pain and Gain have a Friday increase of more than 120%? Yes
21) Will Oblivion have a Saturday increase of more than 35%? No
22) Will Nikki's first Friday report come out before 1pm PST time (just go to deadline and see when she posts her tentpoles)? Yes
23) Will Nikki's first posting about IM3 contain the phrase "NOT A RECORD" anywhere in the post? No
24) Will Nikki's first "projection" about IM3 be higher than the number reported with official Friday estimates? 3000 No
25) On the first three days, will BKB post anywhere at anytime about how the film is not exceeding expectations from a box office standpoint, or at least how amazing the film is doing? Yes
26) Will the Weekend Numbers thread (this starts with Thurs midnights and goes until Sunday estimates) reach 150 pages by 9AM on Monday morning? (I'll keep track...this would be our first enormous thread of the yr) Yes
27) Will The Big Wedding drop less than 45%? No
28) Will GI Joe drop less than 45%? No
29) Will any film in the top 12 drop less than 35%? Yes
30) Will Mud make the top 12? Yes
31) Will Jurassic Park drop less than 55%? No
32) Will Evil Dead and Scary Movie both drop more than 50%? Yes
33) Will IM3 drop less than 45% in UK? Yes
34) Will IM3 have an international weekend of more than 150 mill? Yes
35) Will The Croods have a Saturday increase of more than 98% Yes
30/35 5000
31/45 8000
32/35 10,000
33/35 12,000
34/35 15,000
35/35 25,000
Bonus 1: What will IM3s weekend gross be? 5000 160.558
Bonus 2: What will Pain and Gain's weekend gross be? 5000 11.358
Bonus 3: What will The Big Wedding's weekend gross be? 5000 3.785
Bonus 4: What will IM3, Mud and Place BTP combined gross be? 5000 165.455
Bonus 5: What finishes in spots:
6 The Big Wedding
8 GI Joe: Retaliation
10 Olympus Has Fallen
11 Mud
13 Jurassic Park 3D
2000 each and a bonus of 5000 if all correct
Bonus 6: According to the International Report in the International section (first report will be the one we go by), Internationally, what finishes in spots:
3 The Croods
4 GI Joe: Retaliation
6 Oblivion
2000 each one correct and a bonus of 3000 if all three correct. -
As someone who was top 3 after the first round of questions last year, and ended up in the middle of the pack, I agree completely with Baumer. This game is decided largely by the preseasons, and more importantly by your top 15. Still, I'll take the start I have and look forward to the rest of the summer.
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Oh yeah, 30% drop on Sunday is ridiculous, no way it hits that to stay above 20 million. Paramount just really wanted to trumpet that 20 million number. Oh well, good flick (imo) and it's not like anyone at Paramount is going to be screaming about the money it lost them.
Week 10 Magic Mike VS Female Power (MGS, ED, Gittes, filmovie individs)
in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Posted
1) What film finishes number 3? 3000 White House Down
2) Will WHD open to more than 38.5 mill? 2000 No
3) Will The Heat open to more than 42.5 mill 2000 Yes
4) Will Monster's University have BOTH a Friday increase of more than 35% and a Saturday increase of more than 30%? Yes
5) Will WWZ fall less than 55.5%? No
6) Will MOS decrease more than 50%? Yes
7) Will any film in the top 12 have a Friday increase of more than 52.5%? Yes
8) Will NYSM fall more than 30%? No
9) Will TITE have a Saturday increase of more than 20%? No
10) Will either WHD or Heat increase by more than 2.9% on Saturday? Yes
11) Will WWZ and NYSM combine to make more than MOS, The Purge, TITE and FF6? Yes
12) Will The Heat get at least an A- Cinemascore? Yes
10/12 3000
11/12 5000
12/12 7000
Bonus 1: What will the top 10 cume be for the weekend? 4000 190.522
Bonus 2: What will The Heat and WHD combine to gross? 4000 79.655
Bonus 3: If you add up the % drops of WWZ and NYSM, what do they add up to? 5000 84.758
Bonus 4: What finishes in spots:
6 This is the End
7 Now You See Me
10 Star Trek Into Darkness
13 The Bling Ring
14 Iron Man 3