Safeno Rdz
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Posts posted by Safeno Rdz
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13 hours ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:
No but you can put your WW predictions in here.
Okay, so here it is:
1. Avengers 1.4B
2. Jurassic World 1.27B
3. Fantastic beasts 2 764M
4. The Incredibles 2 760M
5. Antman 744M
6. Deadpool 2 725M
7. Solo 700M
8. Black Panther 622M
9. Ralph Breaks 592M
10. Aquaman 590M
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Is there a thread for WW predictions or should I create one?
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39 minutes ago, Ithil said:
That film at best might get a costume nom.
Make-up, Production design, Song and maybe even Vissual effects
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Coco is getting a lot of praise, why is no one mentioning the film in the BP race? I know it's chances are not big, but I think it has better odds than many other films that have been mentioned here.
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On 11/20/2017 at 10:30 PM, filmlover said:
It was also the follow-up to the then biggest film of all time (which also won a ton of top Oscars, including Best Picture). That alone always put Avatar in the Oscar race so no.
Before Titanic, Jurassic Park was the biggest film of all time, and it didn't get recognition at any of the important categories, and neither it's follow-up.
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13 hours ago, filmlover said:
The Blind Side was a freak occurrence that only comes around once every now and then. Only other movies I can think of where the box office and box office alone truly propelled them into the awards conversation were Ghost and The Sixth Sense (movies like The Help, Hidden Figures, etc. all had the hallmarks of "traditional" Oscar bait, unlike any of those three). Wonder is unlikely to go the distance (especially when the voting method has changed) but it should gain attention in some areas. Maybe a Golden Globe nomination for Julia (if they nominated her for an early year forgotten flop like Duplicity, of all things...).
Avatar also got a BP nominations thanks to it's BO, and probably Get out too, as it's also not a "traditional" Oscar bait as well
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1. Three Billboards (most likely winner)
2. The Post
3. Dunkirk
4. Call me by your name
5. The shape of water
6. Darkest hour
7. Lady Bird
8. Get out
9. The Florida Project
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Early bold predictions:
- Three Billboards wins BP and Screenplay
- Get out doesn't get a BP nomination
- Dunkirk gets Best director and best edition and a few other technical
- Franco doesn't get a BA nomination
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Octavia Spencer is the only black person with a big chance for an acting nomination at this point.
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16 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:
None of these choices make any sense. 4 of these are smash hits, and the other was going to bomb no matter where it was.
Those smash hits could've been bigger
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4 minutes ago, Alli said:
The movies that flopped would have failed on any other date. they were crap
Many crappy movies do great box office when they have a strategic release date and good promo
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First of all, I don't post much here, so I'm not sure if this is the right place to post this, but I was reading in Box Office Mojo, that this summer marks the lowest grossing one in over a decade, and I think that the main problem with it, were the release dates of some movies. So, just for fun I made how I think it would've worked better for some movies at the BO.
June 28: The Dark Tower (Who tought placing this one just in between Annabelle and It was a good idea? With this date, it would've had a whole month with not much competition)
July 21: It (With all the anticipation this movie had, it would've worked so much better for a summer release, or at least is a better summer option than the one WB released, Dunkirk. And if it did great with a september release, just imagine how it would've done with a July release)
August 4: Baby Driver (August releases usually have good legs and as this was not a really front-loaded movie, it would've faced less comptetion)
August 11: Dunkirk (Closer to the Academy Awards, therefore, bigger chances for a nomination)
September 9: Annabelle Creation
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Does Patty Jenkis has a chance for Wonder Woman?
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lB8ZsjMhy5M
Do you think Amy Lee's Speak to me has a chance? I know it's from an unkwnon documentary, but it's kind of usual for this category to have songs from kinda unknown films, and this song is just gorgeous.
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2 hours ago, Rorschach said:
Blade Runner 2049
Call Me by Your Name
The Darkest Hour
Downsizing
Dunkirk
Get Out
mother!
The Papers
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Nice predictions! Altough I think that 5 fantasy/sci-fi/horror films maybe too much for the Academy, don't you think?
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My Best Picture Predictions:
If 8 Nominees:
The Papers
Call me by your name
Dunkirk
Downsizing
Darkest Hour
Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson
Last Flag Flying
Get Out
If 9 Nominees:
Roman Israel, Esq.
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8 minutes ago, Barnack said:
Still 6 nomination for a foreign language movie is really rare in modern time and he was never snubbed yet, nothing else he did was of oscar caliber he is probably still loved in many guild branch.
He hasn't been snubbed because he hasn't released any other worthy film besides Pan's labryinth (Which is one of my favorites ever btw), maybe Pacific rim could've used a nom for Special effects, but that's it. I remember a couple year ago, Crimson's peak , I think it will be the same for this one, altought I have to admit that the trailer does look promising, but so was Crimson's peak's, which was rumored to be a strong contender and we all know how that went a couple years ago, probably the same thing will happen with this one.
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So, is Scorsese doing this one right after The Irishman, or is there any other one before?
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2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
Pan's got nominated in Original Screenplay.
I forgot about that, but yet, even if it won a couple of tech categories, it failed to win Screenplay or Foreign language film (which everyone had as a safe bet that year)
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5 hours ago, El Panda Machos said:
Logan and Wonder Woman both have a decent chance. A lot of it depends on if there are more blockbusters that play really well coming up (IT, Blade Runner 2049, Star Wars: The Last Jedi), it'll also depend on how the big on paper contenders actually play for critics. Everything is obviously still up in the air, the field probably looks like
Known Major Contenders
Dunkirk
Get Out
Call Me By Your Name
The Florida Project
On Paper Major Contenders
The Papers
The Darkest Hour
Last Flag Flying
The Shape of Water
Phantom Thread
Battle of the Sexes
Suburbicon
Possible Contenders
Downsizing
mother!
Roman Israel, Esq
Wonder Woman
Logan
Mudbound
The Disaster Artist
Blade Runner 2049
Molly's Game
Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool
Three Billboards Outside of Ebbings, Missouri
You Were Never Really Here
The Big Sick
Off-Chance Contenders (Picture nom chance is a longshot but possible, but a decent/strong chance at competing for various other categories)
IT
Detroit
The Greatest Showman
The Current War
Goodbye Christopher Robin
Murder on the Orient Express
All the Money in the World
Victoria and Abdul
The Mountain Between Us
Wonder Wheel
Wonder
Marshall
Wonderstruck
Stronger
Coco
Lean On Pete
Breathe
Beauty and the Beast
The Beguiled
Okja
Wind River
Novitiate
The Snowman
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes
Baby Driver
I would move "Get out" to possible, because as good as the reviews are, it would be the first time in almost 20 years to have a horror film in competition, besides, the release date doesn't help it very much, I would say "The Papers" has much better chances than this or than "Florida Project" tbh.
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9 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:
Re Shape of Water: It's likely going to be Searchlight's main push, and the Academy like Pan's Labyrinth quite a bit.
Blockbusters: Nope.
Well, it's actually a very odd choice for Searchlight to have it as their main push, I mean the Academy liked Pan's Labryinth, but it didn't even get a nomination in any of the main categories, and besides, Del Toro is not a consistent good director, so I wouldn't bet on him to have a BP nom.
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Why is everyone mentioning The Shape of Water in their predictions? Del Toro has never been that big with the Academy, and there is already a stronger horror/fantasy/sci-fi contender in Get Out.
By the way, do you all think that any blockbuster has still any chances?: Wonder Woman/Logan/Baby Driver/War of the Planet of the Apes
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5 hours ago, YourMother said:
Top 10 domestic, and even though it's mid February, you should do it. Go nuts!
I'm not from the USA, so I'm more interested in WW BoxOffice, I posted my WW prediction in that thread anyways, thank you for the reply! =)
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1. Star wars - 1.39B
2. Transformers - 1.08B
3. Despicable me 3 - 1.06B
4. Beauty and the beast - 1B
5. Guardians - 960M
6. Pirates of the Caribbean - 950M
7. Thor - 920M
8. League of justice - 850M
9. Fast 8 - 800M
10. Spiderman - 750M
11. Coco - 725M
Top 10 of 2017 predictions!
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Let's see how I did this year:
1. Star Wars: It's kind of early to say, numbers may go as high as I predicted, tho
2. After many films, people finally got tired of Transformers and POTC franchises, I over predicted them
3. I tought Fast 7 BO's last year was because of Paul's passing, but it seems people really like this franchise, and unlike Transformers & POTC they are not tired yet
4. Despicable me 3 & Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 were my closest predictions; Transformers & Fast 8 were my worse
5. An asian movie called "Wolf Warrior" made it into the WW top 5, there's no way I could have seen that coming tbh